Issued: 7:04 AM PST Thursday, December 14, 2023
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

A weak frontal system is slowly pushing through the forecast area this morning. The system will lift NE through mid-day, delivering modest amounts of snow and rain to the northwest Cascades and much lighter totals elsewhere. A quick 4-6" of snow above 3500' is likely in the Mt Baker area along with a period of moderate to strong ridgeline southerly winds. Areas east of the crest and south of I-90 and the Mt Hood area may see almost nothing. Cool easterly flow has kept snow levels around 3000' in the Cascade Passes. As milder air in SW flow pushes in this afternoon, we should see a bump in freezing levels for the Cascade Passes and along the east slopes of the Cascades. Before the precipitation tapers off mid-day, there may be a strange brew of wintry precipitation including freezing rain in places where low-level cold air and moisture and light precipitation line up. 

While conditions dry out in most areas tonight, light warm frontal moisture from a system located well offshore will clip the Olympic mountains and perhaps the northwest Cascades overnight through Friday morning. An upper-level ridge centered over the Intermountain West will amplify on Friday and quickly shunt the precipitation well north into central British Columbia.  We'll see another battle of cool easterly flow and multiple freezing levels with warmer air aloft riding in from the SW Thursday night and Friday. Freezing levels will be tricky as you approach the Cascade crest and along the east slopes of the Cascades in this nuanced setup. Areas west of the Cascade crest will see mid-mountain temperatures rise well into the 40s. We can expect filtered sunshine with passing high clouds on Friday as well. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Light rain and snow this morning, then partly to mostly cloudy this afternoon.
Thursday Night Cloudy with periods of light rain or snow.
Thursday Light to moderate rain and snow through mid-day, then scattered light rain and snow showers in the afternoon. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds tapering down this afternoon.
Thursday Night Cloudy with periods of light rain or snow.
Thursday Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow this morning, then mostly cloudy with a chance of light rain or snow showers this afternoon.
Thursday Night Cloudy with a chance of light rain or snow.
Thursday Periods of light rain and snow this morning, then mostly cloudy this afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy. Cooler near White Pass with areas of low clouds.
Thursday Light rain and snow through mid-day, becoming mostly cloudy this afternoon. Chance of light mixed precipitation late morning. Light Pass level and ridgeline winds becoming occasionally moderate this afternoon.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy. Areas of low clouds near and east of the Pass. Light E winds at Pass level.
Thursday Light rain and snow through mid-day, becoming mostly cloudy this afternoon. Chance of light mixed precipitation late morning. Moderate Pass level and ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy. Areas of low clouds near and east of the Pass. Light to moderate E winds at Pass level.
Thursday Light rain and snow this morning, then partly to mostly sunny this afternoon.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy. Areas of low clouds lower slopes and valleys.
Thursday Periods of light rain and snow this morning mainly near the Cascade crest, then partly to mostly sunny this afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy. Areas of low clouds lower slopes and valleys.
Thursday Chance of light rain and snow this morning mainly near the Cascade crest, then partly to mostly sunny this afternoon. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy. Areas of low clouds lower slopes and valleys.
Thursday Chance of light rain and snow this morning, then partly to mostly sunny this afternoon. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds tapering down this afternoon.
Thursday Night Partly cloudy with periods of high clouds.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 0 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0 0
Paradise LT 0.10 0 0
White Pass LT 0.10 0 0
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 0 0
Timberline LT 0.10 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon*
Olympics 4500' 5000' 5500' 6000' 7000' 8000'
West North 3500' 4500' 5000' 5500' 6000' 7000'
West Central 4000' 5000' 5000' 5000' 5500' 7500'
West South 4000' 6000' 6000' 6000' 7000' 9000'
Stevens Pass 3000' 5500' 4000' 3000' 3500' 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 6000' 6000' 3000' 4500' 7500'
East North 2500' 4000' 3000' 2000' 3500' 4500'
East Central 3000' 4500' 3500' 2500' 3500' 4500'
East South 3500' 5500' 4500' 3000' 4000' 8000'
Mt. Hood 7000' 6500' 7000' 8000' 9000' 9000'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Morning* 4500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
Thursday Evening* 5500'
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday Morning* 7000'
Friday Afternoon* 8000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Morning* 3500'
Thursday Afternoon* 4500'
Thursday Evening* 5000'
Thursday Night* 5500'
Friday Morning* 6000'
Friday Afternoon* 7000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Morning* 4000'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
Thursday Evening* 5000'
Thursday Night* 5000'
Friday Morning* 5500'
Friday Afternoon* 7500'
West South Elevation
Thursday Morning* 4000'
Thursday Afternoon* 6000'
Thursday Evening* 6000'
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday Morning* 7000'
Friday Afternoon* 9000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 5500'
Thursday Evening* 4000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon* 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 6000'
Thursday Evening* 6000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon* 7500'
East North Elevation
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 4000'
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon* 4500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 4500'
Thursday Evening* 3500'
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon* 4500'
East South Elevation
Thursday Morning* 3500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5500'
Thursday Evening* 4500'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon* 8000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning* 7000'
Thursday Afternoon* 6500'
Thursday Evening* 7000'
Thursday Night* 8000'
Friday Morning* 9000'
Friday Afternoon* 9000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Thursday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 32 / 29 38 / 32
West North 32 / 28 34 / 30
West Central 33 / 28 34 / 30
West South 37 / 31 36 / 34
Stevens Pass 34 / 27 33 / 30
Snoqualmie Pass 34 / 29 33 / 30
East North 30 / 22 27 / 24
East Central 34 / 26 33 / 31
East South 38 / 31 36 / 32
Mt. Hood 40 / 35 37 / 34
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 32 / 29
Thursday Night 38 / 32
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 32 / 28
Thursday Night 34 / 30
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 33 / 28
Thursday Night 34 / 30
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 37 / 31
Thursday Night 36 / 34
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 34 / 27
Thursday Night 33 / 30
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 34 / 29
Thursday Night 33 / 30
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 30 / 22
Thursday Night 27 / 24
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 34 / 26
Thursday Night 33 / 31
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 38 / 31
Thursday Night 36 / 32
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 40 / 35
Thursday Night 37 / 34

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon Thursday Evening Thursday Night
Olympics SW 5-15 SSW 5-15 S 5-15 S 10-20
West North S 20-30 SSW 10-20 S 5-15 S 10-20
West Central SW 10-20 SW 10-20 S 5-15 S 5-15
West South S 15-25 SW 10-20 SW 5-15 SSE 10-20
Stevens Pass SSE 5-15 WSW 10-20 SSW 5-15 SE 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass SSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 SSW 5-15 SE 5-15
East North SSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 SW 5-15 SW 5-15
East Central S 15-25 WSW 15-25 SSW 5-15 SSW 5-15
East South S 10-20 WSW 15-25 SSW 5-15 SSW 5-15
Mt. Hood SSW 15-25 SW 10-20 S 5-15 SSE 5-15
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SW 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SSW 5-15
Thursday Evening S 5-15
Thursday Night S 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning S 20-30
Thursday Afternoon SSW 10-20
Thursday Evening S 5-15
Thursday Night S 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SW 10-20
Thursday Evening S 5-15
Thursday Night S 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning S 15-25
Thursday Afternoon SW 10-20
Thursday Evening SW 5-15
Thursday Night SSE 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SSE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Thursday Evening SSW 5-15
Thursday Night SE 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SSW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Thursday Evening SSW 5-15
Thursday Night SE 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Thursday Evening SW 5-15
Thursday Night SW 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning S 15-25
Thursday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Thursday Evening SSW 5-15
Thursday Night SSW 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning S 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Thursday Evening SSW 5-15
Thursday Night SSW 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SSW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon SW 10-20
Thursday Evening S 5-15
Thursday Night SSE 5-15

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Dec 13, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.