Issued: 4:35 PM PST Thursday, December 12, 2024
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

430pm update: Nudged precipitation amounts up for Mt Hood, East South and East Central precipitation points for Friday

The remnants of a weak frontal system will send a few shower bands over the area tonight, leading to anywhere from a few flurries to an inch or two of snow.  A much stronger system will make its presence felt on Friday with warm frontal precipitation moving over the Olympics in the morning and moving inland during the afternoon. The bulk of the precipitation will hold off until Friday evening and night, but we'll see light snow developing on both sides of the Cascades Friday afternoon. Strong S-SE winds will develop over the Olympics, and more generally along the west slopes of the Cascades.

Heavier precipitation will begin Friday evening and continue overnight as the frontal band pushes from the coast and largely stalls over western WA. Due to the orientation of this storm, the heaviest precipitation will favor the volcanoes, the S/SE slopes of the Olympics and and to a lesser extent the east slopes of the Cascades with lower totals for the Passes. Snow levels will be plenty low for snow at all lower elevation trailheads, except over the Olympics and Mt Hood were snow levels will hang around 4000' or so.

A secondary upper level feature will rotate from the parent low on Saturday. This feature will keep light to moderate showers going and bring about a switch to more westerly winds. Snow totals through Saturday afternoon will likely be in the 6-12" range with Mt Baker a likely candidate to exceed 1' of snow and on the lower end near the Cascade Passes.  

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Cloudy with scattered light snow showers. Light to occasionally moderate ridgeline winds increasing after midnight.
Friday Light rain and snow developing in the morning, becoming light to occasionally moderate in the afternoon. Heaviest south/southeast slopes of the Olympics. Strong ridgeline winds increasing during the day.
Thursday Night Cloudy with scattered light snow showers. Light to occasionally moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy. Light snow developing during the day. Moderate to occasionally strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Cloudy with scattered light snow showers. Light to occasionally moderate ridgeline winds increasing after midnight.
Friday Cloudy. Light snow developing during the day. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Cloudy with scattered light snow showers. Light to occasionally moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy. Light snow developing during the day. Moderate to occasionally strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Cloudy with scattered light snow showers. Light W ridgeline winds. Light to moderate E winds at Pass level.
Friday Cloudy. Light snow developing during the day. Light to moderate E-SE Pass level and ridgeline winds increasing during the day.
Thursday Night Cloudy with scattered light snow showers. Light W ridgeline winds. Light to moderate E winds at Pass level.
Friday Cloudy. Light snow developing during the day. Light to moderate E-SE Pass level and ridgeline winds increasing during the day.
Thursday Night Cloudy with a slight chance of light snow showers. Light to occasionally moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy. Light snow developing later in the day. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Cloudy with a slight chance of light snow showers. Light to occasionally moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy. Light snow developing during the day. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Cloudy with a slight chance of light snow showers. Light to occasionally moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy. Light snow developing during the day. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. Light ridgeline winds increasing after midnight.
Friday Cloudy. Light snow developing during the day and increasing late. Light to moderate ridgeline winds in the morning becoming moderate to occasionally strong in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 0.25 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50 LT 0.25
Paradise LT 0.10 0.25 0.50 0.25
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 0.25 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 1.00
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon* Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 4000' 3500' 4000' 4500' 5000' 4000' 4000' 3000'
West North 3000' 3000' 3000' 4000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000'
West Central 3500' 3500' 3000' 3500' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
West South 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3500'
Stevens Pass 3000' 3000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 3500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 3000'
East North 2500' 2000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1000' 1500' 3000'
East Central 2500' 2000' 1500' 2000' 2000' 1000' 1500' 3000'
East South 2500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 1500' 2000' 3500'
Mt. Hood 3500' 3500' 4000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening* 4000'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon* 4500'
Friday Evening* 5000'
Friday Night* 4000'
Saturday Morning* 4000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 4000'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning* 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 3500'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 3500'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning* 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 3500'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 3000'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning* 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon* 2500'
Friday Evening* 2500'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning* 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon* 1500'
Friday Evening* 1500'
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening* 3500'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon* 4000'
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night* 4000'
Saturday Morning* 4000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 29 / 26 31 / 27
West North 26 / 24 29 / 25
West Central 28 / 25 29 / 23
West South 28 / 25 30 / 23
Stevens Pass 28 / 24 27 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 28 / 24 27 / 22
East North 25 / 21 23 / 19
East Central 27 / 23 28 / 22
East South 26 / 23 29 / 22
Mt. Hood 30 / 25 30 / 24
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 29 / 26
Friday 31 / 27
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 26 / 24
Friday 29 / 25
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 28 / 25
Friday 29 / 23
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 28 / 25
Friday 30 / 23
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 28 / 24
Friday 27 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 28 / 24
Friday 27 / 22
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 25 / 21
Friday 23 / 19
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 27 / 23
Friday 28 / 22
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 26 / 23
Friday 29 / 22
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 30 / 25
Friday 30 / 24

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics SW 5-15 SSW 10-20 S 15-25 S 25-35
West North SW 5-15 SSW 10-20 S 15-25 SSE 10-20
West Central SW 5-15 SW 5-15 S 5-15 SE 10-20
West South WSW 5-15 SW 5-15 S 10-20 SE 20-30
Stevens Pass WSW 5-15 WSW 0-10 SE 5-15 SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 SE 10-20 SE 15-25
East North WSW 5-15 SW 5-15 S 5-15 SSE 10-20
East Central WSW 10-20 WSW 5-15 S 5-15 SSE 15-25
East South WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 S 5-15 SSE 10-20
Mt. Hood WSW 5-15 SW 10-20 SSW 15-25 SSE 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 5-15
Thursday Night SSW 10-20
Friday Morning S 15-25
Friday Afternoon S 25-35
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 5-15
Thursday Night SSW 10-20
Friday Morning S 15-25
Friday Afternoon SSE 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 5-15
Thursday Night SW 5-15
Friday Morning S 5-15
Friday Afternoon SE 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WSW 5-15
Thursday Night SW 5-15
Friday Morning S 10-20
Friday Afternoon SE 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WSW 5-15
Thursday Night WSW 0-10
Friday Morning SE 5-15
Friday Afternoon SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WSW 5-15
Thursday Night WSW 5-15
Friday Morning SE 10-20
Friday Afternoon SE 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WSW 5-15
Thursday Night SW 5-15
Friday Morning S 5-15
Friday Afternoon SSE 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WSW 10-20
Thursday Night WSW 5-15
Friday Morning S 5-15
Friday Afternoon SSE 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WSW 5-15
Thursday Night WSW 5-15
Friday Morning S 5-15
Friday Afternoon SSE 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WSW 5-15
Thursday Night SW 10-20
Friday Morning SSW 15-25
Friday Afternoon SSE 20-30

Extended Weather Synopsis

Showers will begin to taper down Saturday night and Sunday morning as an upper level ridge tries to build offshore. Any dry weather on Sunday that does materialize will be short-lived as another system begins to wind up for the area Sunday night or Monday.  

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night Sunday * Sunday Night* Monday *
West North 2500' 2000' 2000' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 2500' 2000' 2500'
Mt. Hood 2500' 2500' 2000' 3000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday * 2000'
Sunday Night* 2000'
Monday * 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday * 2500'
Sunday Night* 2000'
Monday * 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday * 2500'
Sunday Night* 2000'
Monday * 3000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 12, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.