Issued: 7:08 AM PST Sunday, December 3, 2023
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

An onslaught of moisture focuses on Oregon and southern Washington with 1-3" of precipitation arriving as a warm front lifts northward Sunday morning. Brace for rapidly rising snow levels and a period of heavy rain and high-elevation snow. Snow levels have already risen above the tops of the ski areas around Mt Hood. The warming will be rapid along the west slopes of the Washington Cascades, but a trailing cold front will bring an end to the warming, with less moisture arriving to the northern Washington Cascades along with a briefer period of warming as well. As a result, Mt Baker base and Washington Pass likely remain all snow. The story will be more complex in the central Washington Cascades where warm air over-runs colder air, but with E flow bringing cooler air through the mountain gaps at lower elevations, a period of sleet or freezing rain is likely before the changeover to rain at places like Stevens and Snoqualmie Passes.

Post-frontal showers will be light Sunday night with snow levels dropping around 2000 ft for Washington State and less cooling for Mt Hood.

A stronger and more prolonged warm and wet system arrives early Monday with a second strong warm front lifting northward. Expect another round of rain, high-elevation snow, and more widespread very heavy precipitation than on Sunday. Precipitation totals should be in the 1-2.5" range across the west slopes of the Cascades on Monday.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Sunday Light rain and high elevation snow becoming showery or ending in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Sunday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow re-developing in the early morning hours. Decreasing light ridgeline winds.
Sunday Moderate rain and snow. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Sunday Night Light rain and snow showers decreasing or ending. Moderate ridgeline winds become light.
Sunday Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow. Rising temperatures. Ridgeline winds become moderate to occasionally strong.
Sunday Night Light rain and snow showers decreasing or ending. Moderate ridgeline winds become light.
Sunday Heavy rain and snow becoming showery by the afternoon. Light to moderate ridgeline winds become moderate from mid-morning onwards.
Sunday Night Light rain and snow showers decreasing or ending. Moderate ridgeline winds become light.
Sunday Moderate to heavy rain, wintry mix, and snow. The changeover to rain likely takes place by 1 PM. Light ridgeline winds become moderate. Light E winds shift W at the Pass during the afternoon.
Sunday Night Light rain and snow showers decreasing or ending. Moderate ridgeline winds become light. Light W wind at the Pass shifts E overnight.
Sunday Moderate to heavy rain, wintry mix, and snow. The changeover to rain likely takes place by 11 AM. Light ridgeline winds become moderate. Light to occasionally moderate E winds shift W at the Pass during the afternoon.
Sunday Night Light rain and snow showers decreasing or ending. Moderate ridgeline winds become light. Light W wind at the Pass shifts E overnight.
Sunday Light snow early becomes moderate rain and snow from mid-morning onwards. Light ridgeline winds become moderate.
Sunday Night Occasional snow flurries. Moderate ridgeline winds decreasing.
Sunday Moderate rain and snow, heaviest in the late morning hours. Snow transitions to rain at lower and middle elevations by the end of the day.
Sunday Night Light rain or snow showers taper overnight, mainly near the Cascade Crest. Strong ridgeline winds decrease into the moderate range.
Sunday Moderate rain and snow, heaviest in the morning hours, becomes showery late in the day. Snow transitions to rain at lower and middle elevations by the afternoon.
Sunday Night Mostly dry in the evening, then light rain and snow re-develop in the early morning hours. Moderate ridgeline winds become light.
Sunday Very heavy rain and high-elevation snow peak in intensity mid-morning. Strong ridgeline winds.
Sunday Night Tapering rain and high-elevation snow showers during the evening. Light to moderate rain and high-elevation snow re-develop in the early morning hours. Ridgeline winds decrease from strong to moderate.

Precipitation (in)

Sunday Sunday Night Monday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0 0.50 - 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 1.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.75 LT 0.10 1.50
Stevens Pass 0.75 -1.00 LT 0.10 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 LT 0.10 1.50
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 0 0.50
Paradise 1.50 LT 0.10 2.00
White Pass 0.75 LT 0.10 0.75
Washington Pass 0.50 0 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 0 0.50 - 0.75
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.75 0 0.75
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.50 - 0.75 0 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows 2.50 0.25 1.00
Timberline 2.50 - 3.50 0.25 - 0.50 1.00
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0.50 - 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday 1.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.75
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday 1.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.75 -1.00
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday 1.00
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday 1.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0.50
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Sunday 1.50
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday 2.00
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.75
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday 0.75
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.50
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0.50 - 0.75
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.75
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0.75
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Sunday 2.50
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday 1.00
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Sunday 2.50 - 3.50
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday 1.00

Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon Sunday Evening Sunday Night* Monday Morning* Monday Afternoon
Olympics 5000' 6500' 4500' 4500' 6000' 8000'
West North 2000' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 6000'
West Central 2500' 5000' 3500' 3000' 2500' 7000'
West South 4500' 6500' 4000' 3500' 4500' 8000'
Stevens Pass 2000' 4000' 4000' 3000' 2500' 7000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 5500' 4000' 3000' 3500' 5500'
East North 1000' 3000' 3500' 2500' 2000' 4500'
East Central 2500' 3500' 4500' 3000' 2500' 5500'
East South 4000' 6500' 5000' 3000' 4500' 8000'
Mt. Hood 7000' 7500' 7000' 7500' 7500' 8500'
Olympics Elevation
Sunday Morning* 5000'
Sunday Afternoon 6500'
Sunday Evening 4500'
Sunday Night* 4500'
Monday Morning* 6000'
Monday Afternoon 8000'
West North Elevation
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
Sunday Evening 3500'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday Morning* 3000'
Monday Afternoon 6000'
West Central Elevation
Sunday Morning* 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 5000'
Sunday Evening 3500'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday Morning* 2500'
Monday Afternoon 7000'
West South Elevation
Sunday Morning* 4500'
Sunday Afternoon 6500'
Sunday Evening 4000'
Sunday Night* 3500'
Monday Morning* 4500'
Monday Afternoon 8000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Sunday Evening 4000'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday Morning* 2500'
Monday Afternoon 7000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Morning* 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 5500'
Sunday Evening 4000'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon 5500'
East North Elevation
Sunday Morning* 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening 3500'
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday Morning* 2000'
Monday Afternoon 4500'
East Central Elevation
Sunday Morning* 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
Sunday Evening 4500'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday Morning* 2500'
Monday Afternoon 5500'
East South Elevation
Sunday Morning* 4000'
Sunday Afternoon 6500'
Sunday Evening 5000'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday Morning* 4500'
Monday Afternoon 8000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Morning* 7000'
Sunday Afternoon 7500'
Sunday Evening 7000'
Sunday Night* 7500'
Monday Morning* 7500'
Monday Afternoon 8500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Sunday Sunday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 38 / 28 34 / 27
West North 35 / 26 29 / 26
West Central 37 / 26 30 / 27
West South 39 / 29 32 / 27
Stevens Pass 38 / 25 29 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 37 / 26 29 / 27
East North 34 / 17 29 / 27
East Central 36 / 26 29 / 27
East South 39 / 28 35 / 29
Mt. Hood 41 / 33 39 / 36
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 38 / 28
Sunday Night 34 / 27
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 35 / 26
Sunday Night 29 / 26
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 37 / 26
Sunday Night 30 / 27
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 39 / 29
Sunday Night 32 / 27
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 38 / 25
Sunday Night 29 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 37 / 26
Sunday Night 29 / 27
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 34 / 17
Sunday Night 29 / 27
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 36 / 26
Sunday Night 29 / 27
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 39 / 28
Sunday Night 35 / 29
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 41 / 33
Sunday Night 39 / 36

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon Sunday Evening Sunday Night
Olympics SW 15-25 WSW 10-20 WSW 5-15 SW 5-15
West North S 15-25 SW 20-30 WSW 15-25 WSW 5-15
West Central SSE 10-20 WSW 15-25 W 15-25 WSW 5-15
West South SW 5-15 WSW 20-30 WSW 15-25 WSW 5-15
Stevens Pass S 5-15 WSW 15-25 W 20-30 W 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass SE 5-15 WSW 20-30 W 20-30 W 10-20
East North S 5-15 WSW 15-25 W 20-30 WNW 10-20
East Central SW 10-20 WSW 25-35 W 30-40 W 10-20
East South SW 5-15 WSW 15-25 W 15-25 WSW 5-15
Mt. Hood WSW 25-35 WSW 30-40 WSW 30-40 WSW 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SW 15-25
Sunday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Sunday Evening WSW 5-15
Sunday Night SW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning S 15-25
Sunday Afternoon SW 20-30
Sunday Evening WSW 15-25
Sunday Night WSW 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SSE 10-20
Sunday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Sunday Evening W 15-25
Sunday Night WSW 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SW 5-15
Sunday Afternoon WSW 20-30
Sunday Evening WSW 15-25
Sunday Night WSW 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning S 5-15
Sunday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Sunday Evening W 20-30
Sunday Night W 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SE 5-15
Sunday Afternoon WSW 20-30
Sunday Evening W 20-30
Sunday Night W 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning S 5-15
Sunday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Sunday Evening W 20-30
Sunday Night WNW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SW 10-20
Sunday Afternoon WSW 25-35
Sunday Evening W 30-40
Sunday Night W 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SW 5-15
Sunday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Sunday Evening W 15-25
Sunday Night WSW 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning WSW 25-35
Sunday Afternoon WSW 30-40
Sunday Evening WSW 30-40
Sunday Night WSW 20-30

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Dec 2, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.