The Pacific Northwest will experience mild, mostly clear skies and light winds through the end of the workweek. You can thank a tongue of high pressure extending across the Pacific Northwest and westward into the eastern Pacific for these extremely pleasant mid-November conditions.
Thursday night, the high pressure will continue to erode the cooler air that remains in place across central and northern Washington state. With inversions likely, the coldest temperatures will be found in deeper valley locations below around 5500 ft. Light E winds through the mountain gaps will keep the coldest temperatures along the east slopes of the range such as in the Methow Valley and near Washington Pass where temperates may linger in the 20s.
Friday will be the warmest day of the week with freezing levels rising to 9000-10500 ft in most locations, although the NE Cascades could remain slightly cooler. Expect a few, thin high clouds or filtered sunshine at times. Enjoy these conditions while they last.
High cloud cover will increase Friday night as the ridge shifts eastward and a trough moves toward our nearshore waters. Temperatures remain quite mild, but freezing levels begin to retreat slightly.
Saturday will be a transitional day with the trough reaching the coastline and spreading light precipitation into the Olympics and then the Washington Cascades during the afternoon hours. Snow levels start high (around 7000 ft in most areas).
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday
Night
Mostly clear with a few thin high clouds. Mild. Temperatures may be coolest at lower elevations and in valley locations.
Friday
Mostly clear with filtered sunshine at times. Very mild with temperatures rising above freezing by late morning.
Thursday
Night
Mostly clear with a few thin high clouds. Mild. Temperatures may be coolest at lower elevations and in valley locations.
Friday
Mostly clear with filtered sunshine at times. Very mild with temperatures rising above freezing by late morning at all but the highest elevations.
Thursday
Night
Mostly clear with a few thin high clouds. Mild. Temperatures may be coolest at lower elevations and in valley locations.
Friday
Mostly clear with filtered sunshine at times. Very mild with above-freezing temperatures likely at all elevations by late morning.
Thursday
Night
Mostly clear with a few thin high clouds. Mild. Temperatures may be coolest at lower elevations and in valley locations.
Friday
Mostly clear with filtered sunshine at times. Very mild with above-freezing temperatures likely at all elevations by late morning.
Thursday
Night
Mostly clear with a few thin high clouds. Mild. Temperatures may be coolest at lower elevations and in valley locations. Light ridgeline and light E winds at the Pass.
Friday
Mostly clear with filtered sunshine at times. Very mild with above-freezing temperatures likely at all elevations by late morning. Light ridgeline and E winds at the Pass.
Thursday
Night
Mostly clear with a few thin high clouds. Mild. Temperatures may be coolest at lower elevations and in valley locations. Light ridgeline and light E winds at the Pass.
Friday
Mostly clear with filtered sunshine at times. Very mild with above-freezing temperatures likely at all elevations by late morning. Light ridgeline and E winds at the Pass.
Thursday
Night
Mostly clear with a few thin high clouds. Temperate will remain near freezing at upper elevations and will remain well below freezing at lower elevations and in valley locations.
Friday
Mostly clear with filtered sunshine at times and light winds. Very mild with temperatures rising above freezing at mid and upper elevations, while isolated deeper valley locations may hold onto below-freezing temperatures.
Thursday
Night
Mostly clear with a few thin high clouds. Temperate will remain near or above freezing at mid and upper elevations and will fall or remain below freezing at lower elevations and in valley locations.
Friday
Mostly clear with filtered sunshine at times and light winds. Very mild with temperatures rising above freezing in most areas during the morning hours.
Thursday
Night
Mostly clear with a few thin high clouds. Mild with below-freezing temperatures most likely at lower elevations and in valley locations.
Friday
Mostly clear with filtered sunshine at times and light winds. Very mild with temperatures rising above freezing at all elevations by around 10 AM.
Thursday
Night
Mostly clear with a few thin high clouds; fog lingering in the valleys. Mild with below-freezing temperatures most likely at lower elevations and in valley locations.
Friday
Mostly clear with filtered sunshine at times and light winds. Very mild with above freezing temperatures almost to the summit of Mt Hood.
Issued: 2:03 PM PST Thursday, November 16, 2023
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
Friday
Friday Night
Saturday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
0
0
0
LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area
0
0
0
LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
0
0
0
LT 0.10
Stevens Pass
0
0
0
0
Snoqualmie Pass
0
0
0
0
Crystal Mt
0
0
0
LT 0.10
Paradise
0
0
0
LT 0.10
White Pass
0
0
0
LT 0.10
Washington Pass
0
0
0
0
Mission Ridge
0
0
0
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
0
0
0
0
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
0
0
0
0
Mt Hood Meadows
0
0
0
LT 0.10
Timberline
0
0
0
LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
Issued: 2:03 PM PST Thursday, November 16, 2023
Snow Level (ft)
Thursday
Evening*
Thursday
Night*
Friday
Morning*
Friday
Afternoon*
Friday
Evening*
Friday
Night*
Saturday
Morning*
Saturday
Afternoon*
Olympics
10500'
9500'
9500'
10500'
9500'
8500'
8000'
6000'
West North
6000'
5500'
6000'
9500'
8500'
6500'
7500'
6500'
West Central
9000'
8500'
8500'
10000'
8500'
7500'
7000'
6000'
West South
9500'
8500'
8000'
10500'
8500'
7500'
7500'
6500'
Stevens Pass
6000'
4000'
5000'
9000'
6500'
4000'
5000'
5500'
Snoqualmie Pass
9500'
8500'
8000'
10000'
8500'
6500'
6000'
6000'
East North
4500'
3500'
4000'
7000'
5500'
3500'
4500'
4500'
East Central
6000'
4000'
5000'
8000'
6500'
5000'
5000'
6000'
East South
7000'
5500'
5500'
10500'
7500'
5500'
5500'
7000'
Mt. Hood
10500'
10500'
9500'
9500'
9000'
8500'
8500'
6500'
Olympics
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
10500'
Thursday
Night*
9500'
Friday
Morning*
9500'
Friday
Afternoon*
10500'
Friday
Evening*
9500'
Friday
Night*
8500'
Saturday
Morning*
8000'
Saturday
Afternoon*
6000'
West North
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
6000'
Thursday
Night*
5500'
Friday
Morning*
6000'
Friday
Afternoon*
9500'
Friday
Evening*
8500'
Friday
Night*
6500'
Saturday
Morning*
7500'
Saturday
Afternoon*
6500'
West Central
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
9000'
Thursday
Night*
8500'
Friday
Morning*
8500'
Friday
Afternoon*
10000'
Friday
Evening*
8500'
Friday
Night*
7500'
Saturday
Morning*
7000'
Saturday
Afternoon*
6000'
West South
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
9500'
Thursday
Night*
8500'
Friday
Morning*
8000'
Friday
Afternoon*
10500'
Friday
Evening*
8500'
Friday
Night*
7500'
Saturday
Morning*
7500'
Saturday
Afternoon*
6500'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
6000'
Thursday
Night*
4000'
Friday
Morning*
5000'
Friday
Afternoon*
9000'
Friday
Evening*
6500'
Friday
Night*
4000'
Saturday
Morning*
5000'
Saturday
Afternoon*
5500'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
9500'
Thursday
Night*
8500'
Friday
Morning*
8000'
Friday
Afternoon*
10000'
Friday
Evening*
8500'
Friday
Night*
6500'
Saturday
Morning*
6000'
Saturday
Afternoon*
6000'
East North
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
4500'
Thursday
Night*
3500'
Friday
Morning*
4000'
Friday
Afternoon*
7000'
Friday
Evening*
5500'
Friday
Night*
3500'
Saturday
Morning*
4500'
Saturday
Afternoon*
4500'
East Central
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
6000'
Thursday
Night*
4000'
Friday
Morning*
5000'
Friday
Afternoon*
8000'
Friday
Evening*
6500'
Friday
Night*
5000'
Saturday
Morning*
5000'
Saturday
Afternoon*
6000'
East South
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
7000'
Thursday
Night*
5500'
Friday
Morning*
5500'
Friday
Afternoon*
10500'
Friday
Evening*
7500'
Friday
Night*
5500'
Saturday
Morning*
5500'
Saturday
Afternoon*
7000'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
10500'
Thursday
Night*
10500'
Friday
Morning*
9500'
Friday
Afternoon*
9500'
Friday
Evening*
9000'
Friday
Night*
8500'
Saturday
Morning*
8500'
Saturday
Afternoon*
6500'
Issued: 2:03 PM PST Thursday, November 16, 2023
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Thursday
Night
Friday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
43 / 40
45 / 43
West North
35 / 32
42 / 35
West Central
39 / 34
45 / 38
West South
40 / 36
45 / 39
Stevens Pass
33 / 31
34 / 32
Snoqualmie Pass
40 / 34
41 / 38
East North
26 / 23
30 / 26
East Central
32 / 30
33 / 31
East South
34 / 32
36 / 33
Mt. Hood
43 / 40
45 / 42
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
43 / 40
Friday
45 / 43
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
35 / 32
Friday
42 / 35
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
39 / 34
Friday
45 / 38
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
40 / 36
Friday
45 / 39
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
33 / 31
Friday
34 / 32
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
40 / 34
Friday
41 / 38
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
26 / 23
Friday
30 / 26
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
32 / 30
Friday
33 / 31
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
34 / 32
Friday
36 / 33
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
43 / 40
Friday
45 / 42
Issued: 2:03 PM PST Thursday, November 16, 2023
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
Thursday
Night
Friday
Morning
Friday
Afternoon
Olympics
VAR 0-10
WSW 0-10
SSW 0-10
SSW 0-10
West North
SW 0-10
WSW 0-10
WSW 0-10
SSW 0-10
West Central
WSW 0-10
W 0-10
W 0-10
SSW 0-10
West South
WSW 0-10
W 0-10
SW 0-10
SSW 0-10
Stevens Pass
WSW 0-10
W 0-10
WSW 0-10
WSW 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass
W 0-10
W 0-10
W 0-10
WSW 0-10
East North
SW 0-10
WSW 0-10
WSW 0-10
SSW 0-10
East Central
WSW 0-10
W 0-10
WSW 0-10
SW 0-10
East South
W 0-10
W 0-10
WSW 0-10
SW 0-10
Mt. Hood
WSW 5-15
WSW 5-15
WSW 0-10
SSW 0-10
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
VAR
0-10
Thursday
Night
WSW
0-10
Friday
Morning
SSW
0-10
Friday
Afternoon
SSW
0-10
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SW
0-10
Thursday
Night
WSW
0-10
Friday
Morning
WSW
0-10
Friday
Afternoon
SSW
0-10
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WSW
0-10
Thursday
Night
W
0-10
Friday
Morning
W
0-10
Friday
Afternoon
SSW
0-10
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WSW
0-10
Thursday
Night
W
0-10
Friday
Morning
SW
0-10
Friday
Afternoon
SSW
0-10
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WSW
0-10
Thursday
Night
W
0-10
Friday
Morning
WSW
0-10
Friday
Afternoon
WSW
0-10
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
W
0-10
Thursday
Night
W
0-10
Friday
Morning
W
0-10
Friday
Afternoon
WSW
0-10
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SW
0-10
Thursday
Night
WSW
0-10
Friday
Morning
WSW
0-10
Friday
Afternoon
SSW
0-10
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WSW
0-10
Thursday
Night
W
0-10
Friday
Morning
WSW
0-10
Friday
Afternoon
SW
0-10
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
W
0-10
Thursday
Night
W
0-10
Friday
Morning
WSW
0-10
Friday
Afternoon
SW
0-10
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WSW
5-15
Thursday
Night
WSW
5-15
Friday
Morning
WSW
0-10
Friday
Afternoon
SSW
0-10
Issued: 2:03 PM PST Thursday, November 16, 2023
Extended Weather Synopsis
A band of moderate rain, snow and possibly freezing rain moves through the Cascades Saturday evening with moderate to locally strong westerly winds bringing a round of moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow as snow levels rapidly lower Saturday night into Sunday morning. Snow (and low-elevation rain) showers focus on the west slopes of the Cascades and gradually decrease during the day on Sunday. The heaviest amounts of precipitation with this system should be in the southern Cascade Volcanoes from Paradise to Mt Hood where mid and upper elevation locations could pick upwards of 1 ft of snow by the end of the day Sunday. We're also watching the potential for modest convergence in the vicinity of Stevens Pass on Sunday. Snoqualmie Pass level looks marginal for snowfall at this time but should get a rain/snow mix on Sunday and more significant snow totals above 3500 ft.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).