Issued: 1:42 PM PST Wednesday, November 15, 2023
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A few showers continue to linger along the west slopes of the Cascades this afternoon. While you may encounter a few stray sprinkles into the early evening, they shouldn't amount to much. In general, we should experience clearing skies, decreasing winds, and drying. Without a warm blanket of clouds overnight, surface temperatures drop significantly. Combined with a bit of low-level moisture, this should form low clouds and fog in the mountain valleys and passes. 

After a cool (and potentially foggy) start to Thursday, a high-pressure ridge will usher substantially warmer air into the Northwest. This could create a complex set of temperature layers and inversions where freezing levels don't completely represent conditions you experience on the ground. This will be most pronounced Thursday night when clear skies once again allow for significant surface cooling. With a bit less moisture in place, you'll likely find low clouds and valley fog confined to areas near rivers and lakes. 

With a high-pressure ridge firmly in control of our weather, Friday seems like a bit of "rinse and repeat." A cool start to the day should give way to mostly sunny skies and warming temperatures as we wrap up the work week. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Mostly clear with low clouds and fog.
Thursday Fog and low clouds in the morning. Becoming mostly sunny with high thin clouds possible.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear with low clouds and fog.
Thursday Fog and low clouds in the morning. Becoming mostly sunny with high thin clouds possible.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear with low clouds and fog.
Thursday Fog and low clouds in the morning. Becoming mostly sunny with high thin clouds possible.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear with low clouds and fog.
Thursday Fog and low clouds in the morning. Becoming mostly sunny with high thin clouds possible.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear with low clouds and fog. Pass level winds becoming easterly overnight.
Thursday Fog in the morning. Becoming mostly sunny with high thin clouds possible. Light easterly winds at Pass level.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear with low clouds and fog. Pass level winds becoming easterly overnight.
Thursday Fog in the morning. Becoming mostly sunny with high thin clouds possible. Light easterly winds at Pass level.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear with low clouds and fog. Light to moderate NNW winds decreasing significantly.
Thursday Fog and low clouds in the morning. Becoming mostly sunny with high thin clouds possible.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear with low clouds and fog. Light to moderate NW winds decreasing and turning SE.
Thursday Fog and low clouds in the morning. Becoming mostly sunny with high thin clouds possible.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear with low clouds and fog. Light to moderate NW winds decreasing and turning S.
Thursday Fog and low clouds in the morning. Becoming mostly sunny with high thin clouds possible.
Wednesday Night Becoming mostly clear with a slight chance of a few sprinkles in the evening. Low clouds and valley fog forming overnight. Moderate W winds decreasing.
Thursday Fog and low clouds in the morning. Becoming mostly sunny with high thin clouds possible.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 0 0
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0
Crystal Mt 0 0 0 0
Paradise 0 0 0 0
White Pass 0 0 0 0
Washington Pass 0 0 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 0
Timberline 0 0 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon*
Olympics 3000' 2500' 3000' 9500' 8500' 8500' 8500' 9500'
West North 2500' 1000' 1500' 5500' 3000' 3000' 4000' 8500'
West Central 3000' 1500' 2000' 6000' 3500' 3500' 6000' 9000'
West South 3500' 2000' 3000' 7500' 5000' 5000' 6500' 9500'
Stevens Pass 3000' 1500' 2000' 5500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 9000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 2000' 2500' 7500' 5000' 5000' 6000' 9500'
East North 2000' 1000' 1000' 4000' 2500' 1500' 2500' 7000'
East Central 3000' 1500' 2000' 5000' 3500' 3000' 4000' 8500'
East South 3500' 2000' 3000' 6500' 4000' 4000' 5000' 9500'
Mt. Hood 7500' 6500' 6500' 7500' 9500' 10000' 9500' 9500'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 9500'
Thursday Evening* 8500'
Thursday Night* 8500'
Friday Morning* 8500'
Friday Afternoon* 9500'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5500'
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon* 8500'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 6000'
Thursday Evening* 3500'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 6000'
Friday Afternoon* 9000'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening 3500'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 7500'
Thursday Evening* 5000'
Thursday Night* 5000'
Friday Morning* 6500'
Friday Afternoon* 9500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 5500'
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 9000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening 3500'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 7500'
Thursday Evening* 5000'
Thursday Night* 5000'
Friday Morning* 6000'
Friday Afternoon* 9500'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 4000'
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 1500'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon* 7000'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
Thursday Evening* 3500'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon* 8500'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening 3500'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 6500'
Thursday Evening* 4000'
Thursday Night* 4000'
Friday Morning* 5000'
Friday Afternoon* 9500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening 7500'
Wednesday Night* 6500'
Thursday Morning* 6500'
Thursday Afternoon* 7500'
Thursday Evening* 9500'
Thursday Night* 10000'
Friday Morning* 9500'
Friday Afternoon* 9500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 30 / 25 37 / 26
West North 31 / 25 38 / 25
West Central 36 / 28 40 / 28
West South 35 / 24 37 / 23
Stevens Pass 30 / 21 35 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 34 / 27 38 / 26
East North 22 / 16 28 / 16
East Central 32 / 19 36 / 19
East South 34 / 24 34 / 24
Mt. Hood 39 / 31 37 / 32
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 30 / 25
Thursday 37 / 26
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 31 / 25
Thursday 38 / 25
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 36 / 28
Thursday 40 / 28
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 35 / 24
Thursday 37 / 23
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 30 / 21
Thursday 35 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 34 / 27
Thursday 38 / 26
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 22 / 16
Thursday 28 / 16
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 32 / 19
Thursday 36 / 19
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 34 / 24
Thursday 34 / 24
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 39 / 31
Thursday 37 / 32

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics N 0-10 N 0-10 VAR 0-10 N 0-10
West North VAR 0-10 E 0-10 VAR 0-10 VAR 0-10
West Central VAR 0-10 E 0-10 VAR 0-10 VAR 0-10
West South NW 5-15 E 5-15 S 0-10 VAR 0-10
Stevens Pass WNW 5-15 E 5-15 S 0-10 VAR 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass NW 5-15 E 5-15 SSE 0-10 VAR 0-10
East North NNW 10-20 VAR 0-10 W 5-15 W 5-15
East Central NW 10-20 SE 5-15 VAR 0-10 W 5-15
East South NW 10-20 S 5-15 S 0-10 W 0-10
Mt. Hood W 15-25 W 5-15 W 5-15 W 5-15
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening N 0-10
Wednesday Night N 0-10
Thursday Morning VAR 0-10
Thursday Afternoon N 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening VAR 0-10
Wednesday Night E 0-10
Thursday Morning VAR 0-10
Thursday Afternoon VAR 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening VAR 0-10
Wednesday Night E 0-10
Thursday Morning VAR 0-10
Thursday Afternoon VAR 0-10
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NW 5-15
Wednesday Night E 5-15
Thursday Morning S 0-10
Thursday Afternoon VAR 0-10
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WNW 5-15
Wednesday Night E 5-15
Thursday Morning S 0-10
Thursday Afternoon VAR 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NW 5-15
Wednesday Night E 5-15
Thursday Morning SSE 0-10
Thursday Afternoon VAR 0-10
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NNW 10-20
Wednesday Night VAR 0-10
Thursday Morning W 5-15
Thursday Afternoon W 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NW 10-20
Wednesday Night SE 5-15
Thursday Morning VAR 0-10
Thursday Afternoon W 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NW 10-20
Wednesday Night S 5-15
Thursday Morning S 0-10
Thursday Afternoon W 0-10
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 15-25
Wednesday Night W 5-15
Thursday Morning W 5-15
Thursday Afternoon W 5-15

Extended Weather Synopsis

After several days of quiet weather, we should start to see the first hints of an approaching storm late Friday night. Look for increasing clouds and strengthening S-SW winds to indicate the coming change. Clouds should thicken and lower throughout Saturday. However, the exact timing of precipitation is anything but certain. Right now, the first bands of rain appear to arrive on the coast in the afternoon and approach the Cascades closer to sunset. Initially, warm temperatures will cause most areas to receive rain. A strong cold front should sweep over the region Saturday night and drop snow levels to near or just below pass elevations. Post-frontal westerly winds will keep showers pushing up into the mountains Sunday, with a bit of clearing possible late in the day. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night* Saturday * Saturday Night Sunday
West North 5000' 6000' 3500' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 6000' 6500' 4000' 3000'
Mt. Hood 8000' 7500' 5000' 3500'
West North Elevation
Friday Night* 5000'
Saturday * 6000'
Saturday Night 3500'
Sunday 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night* 6000'
Saturday * 6500'
Saturday Night 4000'
Sunday 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night* 8000'
Saturday * 7500'
Saturday Night 5000'
Sunday 3500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 14, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.