Issued: 2:23 PM PDT Sunday, April 16, 2023
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Stormy weather reaches all across our region this afternoon as a cold front passes overhead. Most locations are seeing moderate to strong S-SW winds, mild temperatures, and periods of heavier precipitation. This evening winds turn more westerly and decrease. As they do so, showers will start to taper and snow levels drop. We should see a bit of a break between storm systems overnight and into Monday morning. This will allow for at least partial clearing in most areas. 

You could see a bit of sunshine to start Monday. However, the large upper trough responsible for the weekend's active weather will send, yet another short-wave disturbance our way. A surface low will approach the coast and turn north. Clouds should start to increase and thicken mid-day with showers generally arriving late in the afternoon. Southerly flow out ahead of a weak front will increase wind speeds for many of the usual locations: Mt Baker, Crystal Mt, Mission Ridge, and Mt Hood.

Initially, this pattern will primarily favor the volcanoes Monday evening. As the front passes overnight, winds will once again turn more westerly and decrease. This should help post-frontal showers spread deeper into the mountains. Look for periods of moderate snow at the Passes, with showers even making it to locations east of the crest. 

On Tuesday, a secondary feature seems to arrive and reinvigorate precipitation in the afternoon. At the very least, it should add to the instability in the atmosphere and help produce a few more convective showers. The big question at this point is how much moisture will this weakening storm add to the equation. So, while we aren't sure about the exact snowfall amounts, it appears like our weather remains wet and active.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Sunday Night Isolated showers. Partial clearing. Moderate SW winds decreasing.
Monday Mostly cloudy with showers mainly in the southern Olympics. Moderate to strong S winds decreasing.
Sunday Night Rain and snow showers with cooling temperatures. Moderate SW winds decreasing and turning SSW.
Monday Mostly cloudy. Dry in the morning with showers increasing in the afternoon. Moderate S winds increasing and becoming strong and gusty.
Sunday Night Cloudy with scattered showers and lowering snow levels. Moderate SW winds decreasing.
Monday Dry in the morning Becoming cloudy with showers increasing in the afternoon. S winds increasing to moderate.
Sunday Night Isolated showers with some clearing, particularly near the crest. Moderate to strong WSW winds decreasing.
Monday Dry with periods of sunshine in the morning. Becoming cloudy with increasing showers in the afternoon. S winds increasing to moderate, with stronger winds near Crystal.
Sunday Night Isolated showers with some clearing possible. Moderate W winds decreasing.
Monday Dry in the morning with some sunshine. Becoming cloudy with isolated showers possible in the afternoon. E flow developing at Pass level. SE ridgeline winds increasing to light to moderate.
Sunday Night Showers decreasing overnight with some clearing possible. Moderate to strong W winds decreasing.
Monday Dry in the morning with some sunshine. Increasing clouds and isolated showers in the afternoon. Light E flow developing at Pass level. SE ridgeline winds increasing to light to moderate.
Sunday Night A few isolated showers in the evening, then clearing. Moderate to strong WSW winds decreasing.
Monday Mostly sunny in the morning, Increasing clouds in the afternoon with a few isolated showers. Winds turning SSE light to moderate.
Sunday Night A few isolated showers in the evening, then clearing. Strong and gusty W winds decreasing slightly.
Monday Mostly sunny in the morning. Increasing clouds and a few showers in the afternoon. S winds increasing to moderate.
Sunday Night A few isolated showers in the evening, then clearing. Strong and gusty W winds decreasing.
Monday Mostly sunny to start the day, then increasing clouds and a few showers possible. S winds becoming moderate.
Sunday Night Showers mainly in the evening, then some clearing overnight. Strong and gusty WSW winds decreasing.
Monday Partly sunny and dry in the morning. Increasing clouds and showers in the afternoon. S winds turning SSW and becoming moderate and gusty.

Precipitation (in)

Sunday Night Monday Monday Night Tuesday
5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm 5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Stevens Pass 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Paradise 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25
White Pass 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25
Timberline 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night 0.50
Monday 0.25
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday LT 0.25
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday 0.25
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday LT 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday 0.25
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday 0.25
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Evening Sunday Night Monday Morning* Monday Afternoon* Monday Evening* Monday Night Tuesday Morning Tuesday Afternoon
Olympics 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2000'
West North 2500' 1500' 1000' 2500' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000'
West Central 2500' 1500' 1000' 2500' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000'
West South 2500' 1500' 1500' 3000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000'
Stevens Pass 2500' 1500' 1000' 2500' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 1500' 1500' 3000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000'
East North 3000' 1500' 1000' 2500' 2500' 1500' 1500' 2000'
East Central 3000' 1500' 1500' 2500' 2500' 1500' 1500' 2000'
East South 3000' 1500' 1500' 3000' 2500' 1500' 1500' 2000'
Mt. Hood 2500' 1500' 1500' 3000' 2000' 2000' 1500' 2500'
Olympics Elevation
Sunday Evening 2000'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 2500'
Monday Evening* 1500'
Monday Night 1500'
Tuesday Morning 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon 2000'
West North Elevation
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1000'
Monday Afternoon* 2500'
Monday Evening* 2000'
Monday Night 1500'
Tuesday Morning 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon 2000'
West Central Elevation
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1000'
Monday Afternoon* 2500'
Monday Evening* 2000'
Monday Night 1500'
Tuesday Morning 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon 2000'
West South Elevation
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 3000'
Monday Evening* 2000'
Monday Night 1500'
Tuesday Morning 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon 2000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1000'
Monday Afternoon* 2500'
Monday Evening* 2000'
Monday Night 1500'
Tuesday Morning 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 3000'
Monday Evening* 2000'
Monday Night 1500'
Tuesday Morning 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon 2000'
East North Elevation
Sunday Evening 3000'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1000'
Monday Afternoon* 2500'
Monday Evening* 2500'
Monday Night 1500'
Tuesday Morning 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon 2000'
East Central Elevation
Sunday Evening 3000'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 2500'
Monday Evening* 2500'
Monday Night 1500'
Tuesday Morning 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon 2000'
East South Elevation
Sunday Evening 3000'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 3000'
Monday Evening* 2500'
Monday Night 1500'
Tuesday Morning 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 3000'
Monday Evening* 2000'
Monday Night 2000'
Tuesday Morning 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon 2500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Sunday Night Monday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 29 / 22 28 / 22
West North 28 / 20 29 / 20
West Central 29 / 22 29 / 21
West South 29 / 19 30 / 20
Stevens Pass 29 / 20 30 / 20
Snoqualmie Pass 29 / 22 29 / 22
East North 31 / 18 30 / 18
East Central 29 / 20 30 / 20
East South 29 / 20 30 / 20
Mt. Hood 30 / 22 32 / 22
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 29 / 22
Monday 28 / 22
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 28 / 20
Monday 29 / 20
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 29 / 22
Monday 29 / 21
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 29 / 19
Monday 30 / 20
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 29 / 20
Monday 30 / 20
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 29 / 22
Monday 29 / 22
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 31 / 18
Monday 30 / 18
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 29 / 20
Monday 30 / 20
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 29 / 20
Monday 30 / 20
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 30 / 22
Monday 32 / 22

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Sunday Evening Sunday Night Monday Morning Monday Afternoon
Olympics SW 15-25 SSW 10-20 S 20-30 S 15-25
West North SW 15-25 SSW 10-20 S 15-25 S 20-30
West Central SW 15-25 SSW 10-20 S 10-20 S 15-25
West South WSW 20-30 SSW 10-20 S 10-20 S 15-25
Stevens Pass W 15-25 W 5-15 SE 5-15 SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass W 20-30 W 10-20 SE 5-15 SE 10-20
East North WSW 20-30 WSW 15-25 S 5-15 SSE 10-20
East Central W 25-35 W 20-30 S 10-20 S 15-25
East South W 25-35 W 15-25 S 10-20 S 15-25
Mt. Hood WSW 25-35 WSW 20-30 S 10-20 SSW 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening SW 15-25
Sunday Night SSW 10-20
Monday Morning S 20-30
Monday Afternoon S 15-25
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening SW 15-25
Sunday Night SSW 10-20
Monday Morning S 15-25
Monday Afternoon S 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening SW 15-25
Sunday Night SSW 10-20
Monday Morning S 10-20
Monday Afternoon S 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening WSW 20-30
Sunday Night SSW 10-20
Monday Morning S 10-20
Monday Afternoon S 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening W 15-25
Sunday Night W 5-15
Monday Morning SE 5-15
Monday Afternoon SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening W 20-30
Sunday Night W 10-20
Monday Morning SE 5-15
Monday Afternoon SE 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening WSW 20-30
Sunday Night WSW 15-25
Monday Morning S 5-15
Monday Afternoon SSE 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening W 25-35
Sunday Night W 20-30
Monday Morning S 10-20
Monday Afternoon S 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening W 25-35
Sunday Night W 15-25
Monday Morning S 10-20
Monday Afternoon S 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening WSW 25-35
Sunday Night WSW 20-30
Monday Morning S 10-20
Monday Afternoon SSW 15-25

Extended Weather Synopsis

The trough situated in the northeastern starts to close Tuesday night into Wednesday. While this could limit its ability to send additional storms our way, it does focus the jet stream into Oregon. This will keep our atmosphere cold, moist, and unstable. Additional weak disturbances may set off rounds of more condensed snow showers. Right now these features seem to arrive Wednesday and Thursday afternoons, but the details feel a bit hazy. In general, expect a pattern of modest showers interspersed with periods of slightly drier weather and moments of sunshine. Even if the calendar wants us to think it's spring, the weather this week will probably feel a bit more winter-like. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Night* Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
West North 1500' 2500' 1500' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 1500' 2500' 1500' 2500'
Mt. Hood 2000' 3000' 2000' 3500'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Night* 1500'
Wednesday 2500'
Wednesday Night 1500'
Thursday 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Night* 1500'
Wednesday 2500'
Wednesday Night 1500'
Thursday 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Night* 2000'
Wednesday 3000'
Wednesday Night 2000'
Thursday 3500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Apr 15, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.