Issued: 2:23 PM PDT Saturday, April 15, 2023
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

The first in a series of short-wave storms is just arriving this afternoon and bringing a few showers into the mountains. The precipitation has been a little slow out of the gate, as the associated front stalls offshore. Eventually, rain and snow will meander their way into the Cascades, but without much movement by the storm itself, these showers should struggle to make it much farther than the crest. Relatively mild air across the region will result in rain or mixed precipitation at the Passes and many trailheads overnight and into Sunday. 

Our second storm is a bit bigger. As it approaches the coast Sunday, it will shove the stalled front eastward. These combining systems will have three big impacts. 1: Look for winds to increase especially in the afternoon. Some of the more wind-prone locations like Mt Hood, Mt Baker, Crystal Mt, and Mission Ridge could see very strong and gusty winds. 2: Moderate to heavy precipitation rates will accompany the front. Given the southerly flow associated with this system, this could also result in an upslope event for portions of the Wenatchee Mountains and areas near the Teanaway River and Salmon la Sac. 3: Colder air behind the front will cause temperatures to fall. This probably won't occur until Sunday evening, but will eventually bring snow back below Pass levels. As the bulk of the precipitation exists, low-level moisture and onshore flow should maintain showers overnight and into the first part of Monday. 

After a brief break in the action Monday morning, yet another short-wave system will approach the Pacific Northwest. This 3rd storm will once again increase winds and snowfall rates primarily in the afternoon hours. While the models continue to struggle with this last feature, they do all agree that our wet and active weather pattern will persist into at least the middle of the week. 

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Saturday Night Cloudy with scattered snow showers, heaviest in the western Olympics. SSW winds becoming moderate to strong.
Sunday Rain and snow, heavy at times. Moderate to strong SSW wind turning SW and decreasing slightly.
Saturday Night Cloudy with showers, heaviest near Mt Baker. Moderate to strong and gusty S winds.
Sunday Stormy, particularly in the afternoon. Rain and snow could be moderate to heavy at times. Strong S winds becoming very strong and gusty.
Saturday Night Cloudy with scattered showers. Moderate S winds.
Sunday Cloudy with rain and snow, could be moderate at times. Moderate S winds becoming SW and increasing.
Saturday Night Cloudy with isolated showers heaviest near Mt Rainier. Moderate SW winds.
Sunday Cloudy with rain and snow. Moderate SW winds increasing in the afternoon.
Saturday Night Cloudy with isolated showers. Light E flow at Pass level. Ridgeline winds turning SSW and becoming light to moderate.
Sunday Cloudy with scattered rain and snow, heaviest in the afternoon. Light E flow in the morning turning W in the afternoon. Light to moderate SSW ridgeline winds becoming SW.
Saturday Night Cloudy with isolated showers. Light E flow at Pass level. Ridgeline winds turning SSW and becoming light to moderate.
Sunday Cloudy with rain and snow showers. Light E flow turning W in the afternoon. Moderate ridgline winds shifting from S to SW.
Saturday Night Cloudy with isolated showers mainly near the crest. Light to moderate S winds.
Sunday Cloudy with scattered showers. Winds becoming moderate from the SW.
Saturday Night Cloudy with isolated showers mainly near the crest. Moderate SW winds.
Sunday Cloudy with rain and snow. A brief period of heavier precipitation possible in the Wenatchee Mts during the afternoon. Moderate to strong SSW winds turning SW.
Saturday Night Cloudy with a few isolated showers possible in the northern half of the zone. Moderate SW winds.
Sunday Cloudy with showers. Moderate to strong SSW winds turning SW.
Saturday Night Cloudy. Moderate to strong and gusty SW winds.
Sunday Cloudy with rain and snow mainly in the afternoon. Windy. SW winds becoming very strong and gusty.

Precipitation (in)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday
5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm 5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Paradise LT 0.25 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
White Pass LT 0.10 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 0.25
Timberline 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday 1.00
Sunday Night 0.50
Monday 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.50
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.50
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Evening* Saturday Night* Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon Sunday Evening Sunday Night Monday Morning* Monday Afternoon*
Olympics 3500' 4000' 4000' 3500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2500'
West North 4000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500'
West Central 4500' 4000' 4000' 4000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500'
West South 4500' 4000' 4500' 4000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500'
Stevens Pass 4500' 4000' 4500' 4500' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 4500' 4000' 4500' 4000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500'
East North 4500' 4500' 4500' 4500' 2500' 1500' 1000' 2500'
East Central 4500' 4500' 4500' 4500' 2500' 1500' 1500' 2500'
East South 4500' 4500' 4500' 4500' 2500' 1500' 1500' 2500'
Mt. Hood 5000' 5000' 4500' 4500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 3000'
Olympics Elevation
Saturday Evening* 3500'
Saturday Night* 4000'
Sunday Morning 4000'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
Sunday Evening 1500'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 2500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Evening* 4000'
Saturday Night* 4000'
Sunday Morning 4000'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Sunday Evening 2000'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 2500'
West Central Elevation
Saturday Evening* 4500'
Saturday Night* 4000'
Sunday Morning 4000'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Sunday Evening 2000'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 2500'
West South Elevation
Saturday Evening* 4500'
Saturday Night* 4000'
Sunday Morning 4500'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Sunday Evening 2000'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 2500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening* 4500'
Saturday Night* 4000'
Sunday Morning 4500'
Sunday Afternoon 4500'
Sunday Evening 2000'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening* 4500'
Saturday Night* 4000'
Sunday Morning 4500'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Sunday Evening 2000'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 2500'
East North Elevation
Saturday Evening* 4500'
Saturday Night* 4500'
Sunday Morning 4500'
Sunday Afternoon 4500'
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1000'
Monday Afternoon* 2500'
East Central Elevation
Saturday Evening* 4500'
Saturday Night* 4500'
Sunday Morning 4500'
Sunday Afternoon 4500'
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 2500'
East South Elevation
Saturday Evening* 4500'
Saturday Night* 4500'
Sunday Morning 4500'
Sunday Afternoon 4500'
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Evening* 5000'
Saturday Night* 5000'
Sunday Morning 4500'
Sunday Afternoon 4500'
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night 2000'
Monday Morning* 2000'
Monday Afternoon* 3000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Saturday Night Sunday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 30 / 27 31 / 25
West North 32 / 29 32 / 29
West Central 33 / 28 33 / 27
West South 36 / 29 33 / 29
Stevens Pass 35 / 28 35 / 28
Snoqualmie Pass 33 / 28 33 / 28
East North 34 / 29 35 / 29
East Central 36 / 28 35 / 30
East South 37 / 30 35 / 30
Mt. Hood 37 / 33 35 / 28
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 30 / 27
Sunday 31 / 25
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 32 / 29
Sunday 32 / 29
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 33 / 28
Sunday 33 / 27
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 36 / 29
Sunday 33 / 29
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 35 / 28
Sunday 35 / 28
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 33 / 28
Sunday 33 / 28
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 34 / 29
Sunday 35 / 29
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 36 / 28
Sunday 35 / 30
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 37 / 30
Sunday 35 / 30
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 37 / 33
Sunday 35 / 28

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics SSW 15-25 SSW 20-30 SSW 20-30 SW 15-25
West North S 25-35 S 25-35 S 25-35 SSW 30-40
West Central S 15-25 S 15-25 S 15-25 SW 20-30
West South SW 15-25 SW 15-25 SW 15-25 SW 20-30
Stevens Pass SSE 5-15 SSW 10-20 SSW 10-20 SW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass SSE 5-15 SSW 10-20 S 15-25 SW 15-25
East North S 10-20 S 10-20 S 10-20 SW 15-25
East Central SW 15-25 SW 15-25 SSW 20-30 SW 20-30
East South SW 15-25 SW 15-25 SSW 20-30 SW 20-30
Mt. Hood SW 20-30 SW 20-30 SW 25-35 WSW 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SSW 15-25
Saturday Night SSW 20-30
Sunday Morning SSW 20-30
Sunday Afternoon SW 15-25
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening S 25-35
Saturday Night S 25-35
Sunday Morning S 25-35
Sunday Afternoon SSW 30-40
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening S 15-25
Saturday Night S 15-25
Sunday Morning S 15-25
Sunday Afternoon SW 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SW 15-25
Saturday Night SW 15-25
Sunday Morning SW 15-25
Sunday Afternoon SW 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SSE 5-15
Saturday Night SSW 10-20
Sunday Morning SSW 10-20
Sunday Afternoon SW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SSE 5-15
Saturday Night SSW 10-20
Sunday Morning S 15-25
Sunday Afternoon SW 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening S 10-20
Saturday Night S 10-20
Sunday Morning S 10-20
Sunday Afternoon SW 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SW 15-25
Saturday Night SW 15-25
Sunday Morning SSW 20-30
Sunday Afternoon SW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SW 15-25
Saturday Night SW 15-25
Sunday Morning SSW 20-30
Sunday Afternoon SW 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SW 20-30
Saturday Night SW 20-30
Sunday Morning SW 25-35
Sunday Afternoon WSW 30-40

Extended Weather Synopsis

The broad trough in the eastern Pacific responsible for this weekend's active weather will keep spinning disturbance after disturbance into our region about every 24hrs. So, if the weather starts to feel a bit like "groundhog day," it's for good reason. Additional short-wave systems seem to arrive Tuesday afternoon/evening and Wednesday. Though weather models can be notoriously bad a predicting these subtle weather features so far into the future. With each little storm, expect an uptick in winds and precipitation, before a return to a more showery interlude. While you could see a few sun breaks, if you're on the hunt for spring-like weather, you won't find it in our areas this week. 

 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Monday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night* Wednesday
West North 1500' 2500' 1500' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 1500' 2500' 1500' 2500'
Mt. Hood 2000' 3000' 2000' 3000'
West North Elevation
Monday Night 1500'
Tuesday 2500'
Tuesday Night* 1500'
Wednesday 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Night 1500'
Tuesday 2500'
Tuesday Night* 1500'
Wednesday 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Night 2000'
Tuesday 3000'
Tuesday Night* 2000'
Wednesday 3000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Apr 15, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.