Issued: 4:59 PM PST Thursday, February 3, 2022
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

5 pm Update: Increased Wednesday night 5000' temperatures

Drippy warm frontal precipitation will continue to taper down this afternoon and early evening. This first round of precipitation brought only a few inches of snow near and west of the Cascade crest, the west-side of the Olympics and Mt Hood with very light accumulations elsewhere. Snow levels have risen into the 3000-4000' range over the Washington Cascades and will more or less stay there overnight as we wait for the next system.  Snow levels are higher down in the Mt Hood region. 

Very light warm frontal precipitation will linger over the northwest Cascades through the early morning hours with dry but mostly cloudy conditions expected elsewhere. With milder air over the region, there isn't much cooling as you climb higher; expect overnight lows to stick near freezing in most locations and elevations.

 A quick moving frontal system approaching from the NW will sweep through the Cascades mid-afternoon on Friday.  This system will bring moderate snow to the Mt Baker and Olympic area beginning in the late morning hours. Areas south of Snoqualmie Pass will have to wait until the frontal passage in the afternoon for a burst of rain and snow.  Snow levels will not be particularly cold with the system, hovering in the 3000-4000' range. Look for very strong westerly winds to develop out ahead and with the frontal passage Friday afternoon.  

A trailing upper level trough will quickly pass overhead Friday night with post-frontal showers heaviest in the evening. Strong westerly ridgeline winds will continue through Saturday morning. Shower activity will begin to wane later Friday evening, except where a Puget Sound Convergence Zone (PSCZ) forms in the Skagit/Snohomish/northern King County corridor. The PSCZ could deliver a nice shot of additional snow above 3000' from the Mountain Loop Hwy to Stevens Pass Friday night. Strong westerly ridgeline winds will continue through Saturday morning.

A strong upper level ridge will build offshore. Saturday will be a transition day towards milder and drier weather.  Low clouds will be slow to clear along the west slopes of the Cascades with a few drips possible between Stevens/Snoqualmie Passes in the morning. An overall clearing trend with rising freezing levels will take hold Saturday afternoon and evening.  

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Cloudy.
Friday Light rain and snow developing in the morning becoming occasionally moderate mid-day. Ridgeline winds becoming strong mid-day.
Thursday Night Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow.
Friday Light rain and snow developing in the morning becoming moderate mid-day. Ridgeline winds becoming strong in the morning.
Thursday Night Cloudy.
Friday Light rain and snow developing in the morning becoming occasionally moderate mid-day. Ridgeline winds becoming strong mid-day.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy.
Friday Cloudy in the morning. Light rain and snow developing mid-day and becoming occasionally moderate in the afternoon. Ridgeline winds becoming strong mid-day.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy. Light east winds at Pass level.
Friday Light rain and snow developing late morning and becoming occasionally moderate in the afternoon. Ridgeline west winds becoming strong mid-day. Light to moderate west winds at Pass level.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy. Light east winds at Pass level.
Friday Light rain and snow developing late morning and becoming occasionally moderate in the afternoon. Ridgeline winds becoming strong mid-day. Ridgeline west winds becoming strong mid-day. Moderate west winds at Pass level.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy.
Friday Light rain and snow developing late morning and becoming occasionally moderate near the Cascade crest in the afternoon. Ridgeline winds becoming strong mid-day.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy.
Friday Cloudy in the morning. Light rain and snow developing mid-day and becoming occasionally moderate near the Cascade crest in the afternoon. Ridgeline winds becoming strong mid-day.
Thursday Night Partly to mostly cloudy.
Friday Cloudy in the morning. Light rain and snow developing early afternoon. Ridgeline winds becoming strong mid-day.
Thursday Night Partly cloudy.
Friday Mostly cloudy in the morning. Light rain and snow developing early afternoon. Ridgeline winds becoming strong mid-day.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Paradise 0 LT 0.25 0.25 0
White Pass 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0
Washington Pass 0 0.25 LT 0.25 0
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 LT 0.25 0.25 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Timberline 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 4500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 8000'
West North 3000' 3000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 6000'
West Central 3500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3500' 3000' 3000' 6500'
West South 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 4000' 3000' 3500' 7500'
Stevens Pass 3000' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3500' 3000' 3000' 6000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 4000' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 6000'
East North 2500' 2000' 2500' 3500' 3000' 2000' 2500' 6000'
East Central 2500' 2500' 2500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 6000'
East South 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 6500'
Mt. Hood 6500' 6500' 6500' 4000' 4000' 4000' 5000' 7500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening 4500'
Thursday Night* 4000'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 8000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 6000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 6500'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 7500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 6000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night* 4000'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 6000'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 6000'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 6000'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 6500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening 6500'
Thursday Night* 6500'
Friday Morning* 6500'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 4000'
Saturday Morning 5000'
Saturday Afternoon 7500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 31 / 28 31 / 27
West North 30 / 28 30 / 28
West Central 30 / 28 29 / 27
West South 30 / 27 31 / 29
Stevens Pass 30 / 27 29 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 30 / 27 30 / 27
East North 27 / 24 30 / 25
East Central 29 / 25 30 / 27
East South 30 / 27 32 / 30
Mt. Hood 31 / 27 34 / 31
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 31 / 28
Friday 31 / 27
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 30 / 28
Friday 30 / 28
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 30 / 28
Friday 29 / 27
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 30 / 27
Friday 31 / 29
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 30 / 27
Friday 29 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 30 / 27
Friday 30 / 27
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 27 / 24
Friday 30 / 25
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 29 / 25
Friday 30 / 27
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 30 / 27
Friday 32 / 30
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 31 / 27
Friday 34 / 31

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics W 0-10 SW 10-20 SW 15-25 SW 25-35
West North W 0-10 SSW 10-20 SSW 20-30 SW 25-35
West Central WNW 0-10 SW 0-10 SW 10-20 SW 20-30
West South WNW 0-10 SW 5-15 SW 10-20 WSW 25-35
Stevens Pass WNW 0-10 W 0-10 WSW 10-20 WSW 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass WNW 5-15 W 5-15 WSW 15-25 W 25-35
East North W 5-15 WSW 10-20 SW 15-25 W 20-30
East Central WNW 10-20 WSW 5-15 WSW 20-30 W 30-40
East South W 5-15 WSW 5-15 WSW 15-25 W 25-35
Mt. Hood WNW 0-10 WSW 5-15 WSW 15-25 W 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 0-10
Thursday Night SW 10-20
Friday Morning SW 15-25
Friday Afternoon SW 25-35
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 0-10
Thursday Night SSW 10-20
Friday Morning SSW 20-30
Friday Afternoon SW 25-35
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 0-10
Thursday Night SW 0-10
Friday Morning SW 10-20
Friday Afternoon SW 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 0-10
Thursday Night SW 5-15
Friday Morning SW 10-20
Friday Afternoon WSW 25-35
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 0-10
Thursday Night W 0-10
Friday Morning WSW 10-20
Friday Afternoon WSW 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 5-15
Thursday Night W 5-15
Friday Morning WSW 15-25
Friday Afternoon W 25-35
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 5-15
Thursday Night WSW 10-20
Friday Morning SW 15-25
Friday Afternoon W 20-30
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 10-20
Thursday Night WSW 5-15
Friday Morning WSW 20-30
Friday Afternoon W 30-40
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 5-15
Thursday Night WSW 5-15
Friday Morning WSW 15-25
Friday Afternoon W 25-35
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 0-10
Thursday Night WSW 5-15
Friday Morning WSW 15-25
Friday Afternoon W 30-40

Extended Weather Synopsis

Dry, mainly sunny and mild weather will close out the weekend.  Light east flow through the Passes will reinforce some cooler temperatures at lower elevations and there will be some passing high clouds. High freezing levels will continue through Monday morning. A fast moving frontal system will bring a quick shot of rain and snow to the Olympics and Washington Cascades Monday afternoon.  

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night Sunday * Sunday Night Monday
West North 8000' 7500' 7000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 8500' 8500' 7500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 9000' 10000' 9000' 7000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night 8000'
Sunday * 7500'
Sunday Night 7000'
Monday 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night 8500'
Sunday * 8500'
Sunday Night 7500'
Monday 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night 9000'
Sunday * 10000'
Sunday Night 9000'
Monday 7000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 3, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.