Issued: 3:53 PM PST Friday, December 18, 2020
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

We're in for intense and wet weather in the short term. Following Friday's warm frontal rain/snow band, a cold front will bring moderate to heavy rain and snow across the region along with strong ridgecrest winds during the evening hours. Snow levels bump up to 4000 ft over Washington State and 5000 ft for Mt Hood. Overnight, the light to moderate snow showers should quickly taper in most areas, but persist longer in anticipated well-defined convergence that is likely to impact Stevens Pass and the Mountain Loop. On Saturday, as westerly flow keeps light rain and snow showers over the Cascades west slopes, snow levels lower to 2500-3000 ft across Northern Washington, but areas further south will experience limited cooling.
 
Saturday night's system taps dreaded subtropical moisture as a low tracking towards central British Columbia and brings that moisture into our region on a strong jetstream from late Saturday through Sunday. The front moves through northern Washington more quickly, dropping 2-4" of water equivalent by Sunday evening from Snoqualmie Pass northward. Paradise and Mt. Hood can expect 4-5" of water equivalent as the front stalls. Uncertainty remains regarding how quickly the front drops south, cutting off the moisture feed to areas further north. Snow levels should rise quickly Saturday night and peak in the 4500-8000 ft range (lowest in the north) before dropping back to 3000-4500 ft over Washington State as the northern areas dry out on Sunday. Snow levels at Mt Hood remain elevated in the 7000 ft range.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Moderate rain and snow in the early evening rapidly tapering to light rain and snow showers. Cooling. Strong winds in the evening.
Saturday Mostly cloudy in the morning with light to moderate rain and snow developing in the afternoon. Cooler with subtle warming late in the day.
Friday Night Heavy rain and snow in the evening tapering to moderate then light rain/snow showers. Cooling after midnight. Strong winds in the evening.
Saturday Light rain and snow showers in the morning, then increasing rain and snow in the afternoon. Cooler.
Friday Night Heavy rain and snow in the evening tapering to moderate rain/snow showers and convergence activity. Cooling in the late evening. Decreasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Lingering light rain and snow showers combined with weak convergence in the morning. Rain and snow increasing in the afternoon. Cooler.
Friday Night Heavy rain and snow before midnight (moderate at Crystal), tapering to light rain and snow showers after midnight. Gradual cooling.
Saturday Light rain and snow showers in the morning, then increasing rain and snow in the afternoon. Cooler.
Friday Night Heavy rain and snow in the evening tapering to light to moderate rain/snow showers and convergence activity. Cooling in the late evening. Decreasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Lingering light rain and snow showers combined with weak convergence in the morning. Rain and snow increasing in the afternoon. Cooler.
Friday Night Heavy rain and snow in the evening tapering to light to moderate rain/snow showers and convergence activity. Cooling in the late evening. Decreasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Light rain and snow showers in the morning, then increasing rain and snow in the afternoon. Cooler.
Friday Night Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow in the evening. Cooling from late evening onwards. Moderate winds becoming strong.
Saturday Light snow showers. Cooler.
Friday Night Moderate to heavy rain and snow in the evening. Cooling from late evening onwards. Strong winds.
Saturday Cloudy with some light rain and snow showers. Cooler.
Friday Night Moderate rain and snow in the evening, then light rain and snow showers after midnight. Cooling after midnight. Moderate to strong winds.
Saturday Cloudy with some light rain and snow showers. Cooler.
Friday Night Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow from late evening onwards. Strong winds increasing.
Saturday Light rain and snow showers. Strong winds.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 0.25 1.00 - 1.50 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.75 -1.00 0.50 1.50 - 2.00 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 1.00 0.25 - 0.50 1.50 - 2.00 0.50
Stevens Pass 0.75 0.25 1.50 - 2.00 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0.75 0.25 2.00 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 1.00 - 1.50 0.50
Paradise 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 2.50 - 3.50 1.00 - 1.50
White Pass 0.75 LT 0.25 1.50 - 2.00 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass 0.75 LT 0.25 1.00 - 1.50 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0.25 LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 1.50 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.50 LT 0.25 1.00 - 1.50 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 0.25 2.50 - 3.50 1.00 - 1.50
Timberline 0.75 0.25 2.50 - 3.50 1.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Sunday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 1.00
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Sunday 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Sunday 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 2.00
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday 0.50
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 2.50 - 3.50
Sunday 1.00 - 1.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 1.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 2.50 - 3.50
Sunday 1.00 - 1.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 2.50 - 3.50
Sunday 1.50

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening* Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon Saturday Evening* Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics 5000' 4000' 3000' 3500' 5500' 6000' 4500' 4000'
West North 4000' 3500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 5000' 4000' 3500'
West Central 4000' 3500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 6000' 4500' 3500'
West South 4000' 4000' 3500' 3500' 4500' 6500' 5000' 4500'
Stevens Pass 4000' 4000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 6000' 4500' 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass 4000' 4000' 3000' 3500' 4000' 6000' 4500' 4000'
East North 3500' 3500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 4500' 4000' 4000'
East Central 4000' 4000' 3000' 3500' 3500' 6000' 5000' 4500'
East South 4000' 4500' 4000' 4000' 5000' 7000' 5500' 5000'
Mt. Hood 4500' 5000' 5000' 4500' 5500' 7500' 6500' 6500'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening* 5000'
Friday Night 4000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening* 5500'
Saturday Night 6000'
Sunday Morning 4500'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening* 3000'
Saturday Night 5000'
Sunday Morning 4000'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening* 3500'
Saturday Night 6000'
Sunday Morning 4500'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night 4000'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening* 4500'
Saturday Night 6500'
Sunday Morning 5000'
Sunday Afternoon 4500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night 4000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening* 3500'
Saturday Night 6000'
Sunday Morning 4500'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night 4000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening* 4000'
Saturday Night 6000'
Sunday Morning 4500'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening* 3500'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening* 3000'
Saturday Night 4500'
Sunday Morning 4000'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night 4000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening* 3500'
Saturday Night 6000'
Sunday Morning 5000'
Sunday Afternoon 4500'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night 4500'
Saturday Morning 4000'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
Saturday Evening* 5000'
Saturday Night 7000'
Sunday Morning 5500'
Sunday Afternoon 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening* 4500'
Friday Night 5000'
Saturday Morning 5000'
Saturday Afternoon 4500'
Saturday Evening* 5500'
Saturday Night 7500'
Sunday Morning 6500'
Sunday Afternoon 6500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 33 / 24 30 / 24
West North 31 / 26 28 / 24
West Central 32 / 25 29 / 25
West South 34 / 28 32 / 27
Stevens Pass 33 / 26 29 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 33 / 26 30 / 26
East North 32 / 26 28 / 24
East Central 33 / 25 29 / 25
East South 33 / 28 32 / 25
Mt. Hood 34 / 30 33 / 32
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 33 / 24
Saturday 30 / 24
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 31 / 26
Saturday 28 / 24
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 32 / 25
Saturday 29 / 25
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 34 / 28
Saturday 32 / 27
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 33 / 26
Saturday 29 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 33 / 26
Saturday 30 / 26
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 32 / 26
Saturday 28 / 24
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 33 / 25
Saturday 29 / 25
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 33 / 28
Saturday 32 / 25
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 34 / 30
Saturday 33 / 32

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics WSW 20-30 WSW 10-20 SW 5-15 SSW 25-35
West North SSW 25-35 W 15-25 SSW 10-20 SSW 20-30
West Central SW 30-40 W 15-25 SW 15-25 SW 15-25
West South SW 20-30 W 20-30 SW 10-20 SW 20-30
Stevens Pass SW 15-25 W 20-30 WSW 15-25 WSW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass SW 15-25 W 25-35 W 15-25 WSW 10-20
East North SW 25-35 W 30-40 WSW 15-25 SW 15-25
East Central WSW 25-35 W 35-50 W 25-35 WSW 20-30
East South WSW 20-30 W 20-30 W 10-20 WSW 15-25
Mt. Hood SW 35-50 WSW 35-50 WSW 30-40 SW 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 20-30
Friday Night WSW 10-20
Saturday Morning SW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon SSW 25-35
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 25-35
Friday Night W 15-25
Saturday Morning SSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SSW 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 30-40
Friday Night W 15-25
Saturday Morning SW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SW 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 20-30
Friday Night W 20-30
Saturday Morning SW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SW 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 15-25
Friday Night W 20-30
Saturday Morning WSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 15-25
Friday Night W 25-35
Saturday Morning W 15-25
Saturday Afternoon WSW 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 25-35
Friday Night W 30-40
Saturday Morning WSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SW 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 25-35
Friday Night W 35-50
Saturday Morning W 25-35
Saturday Afternoon WSW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 20-30
Friday Night W 20-30
Saturday Morning W 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 35-50
Friday Night WSW 35-50
Saturday Morning WSW 30-40
Saturday Afternoon SW 30-40

Extended Weather Synopsis

One final strong storm tracks NE off our coast Sunday night, sending more moderate rain and higher elevation snow back northward, followed by heavier rain and high elevation snow Monday. A strong cold front passing late Monday should bring rapid cooling and a good shot of snowfall on NW flow down to Snoqualmie Pass level Monday night. High pressure is expected for the rest of the week.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night* Monday Monday Night Tuesday
West North 2500' 4000' 2000' 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass 4000' 5000' 2500' 2000'
Mt. Hood 7500' 6500' 4000' 3000'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday 4000'
Monday Night 2000'
Tuesday 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night* 4000'
Monday 5000'
Monday Night 2500'
Tuesday 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night* 7500'
Monday 6500'
Monday Night 4000'
Tuesday 3000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 18, 2020

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.