Issued: 7:11 AM PST Friday, December 18, 2020
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

The Pacific Northwest is in the midst of a very wet and active weather pattern. A warm front is lifting across Washington State on Friday, bringing a broad band of steady light to moderate snow, that may be heavy at times in the Mt. Baker area. SW winds should continue to ramp up in the moderate range at ridgelines across the region on Friday. As the warm front lifts northward, areas from highway 90 southward may see some slightly drier weather during the middle of the day. The associated cold frontal precipitation reaches the Olympics in the late afternoon, then spreads moderate to heavy rain and snow at rising snow levels throughout the Cascades during the evening hours. Most of this precpitation should come as rain right at Snoqualmie pass level, but areas above 4000 ft should see significant accumulations. Rain and snowfall taper to showers and convergence zone activity overnight Friday as snow levels in Washington State cool back to Snoqualmie Pass level. Models indicate the convergence setting up between Snoqualmie Pass and the Mountain Loop.

Saturday features a break between storms with increasing westerly flow continuing to bring in moisture to maintain light rain and snow shower activity with 3000-4000 ft snow levels. Late in the day, the beginning of an atmospheric river event spreads increasing moderate precipitation to the region in the afternoon, which may become heavy in the Olympics by the end of the day.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Periods of light rain and snow in the morning, becoming moderate to heavy late in the day. Warming. Increasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Moderate rain and snow in the early evening rapidly tapering to light rain and snow showers. Cooling. Decreasing moderate winds.
Friday Increasing rain and snow developing in the morning and becoming moderate to heavy by late morning. Gradually rising snow levels. Increasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Heavy rain and snow in the evening tapering to light rain and snow showers from midnight onwards. Cooling after midnight. Decreasing moderate winds.
Friday Light to moderate rain and snow, peaking mid-morning. Warming trend. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Heavy rain and snow in the evening tapering to light to moderate rain/snow showers and convergence activity. Cooling in the late evening. Decreasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Light rain and snow peaking in the mid-morning hours. Gradual warming. Increasing moderate winds.
Friday Night Heavy rain and snow in the evening (moderate at Crystal), tapering to light rain and snow showers after midnight. Gradual cooling. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Light rain and snow, peaking mid-morning. Warming trend. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds. Light and variable wind at pass level.
Friday Night Heavy rain and snow in the evening tapering to light to moderate rain/snow showers and convergence activity. Cooling in the late evening. Decreasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Light rain and snow, peaking mid-morning. Warming trend. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds. Light and variable wind at pass level.
Friday Night Heavy rain and snow in the evening tapering to light to moderate rain/snow showers and convergence activity. Cooling in the late evening. Decreasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Light snow peaking in the mid-day hours. Gradual warming. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow in the evening. Cooling from late evening onwards. Moderate winds becoming strong.
Friday Light rain and snow peaking in the mid-day hours. Gradual warming. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Moderate to heavy rain and snow in the evening. Cooling from late evening onwards. Strong winds.
Friday Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of very light snow. Increasing light to moderate winds.
Friday Night Moderate rain and snow in the evening, then light rain and snow showers tapering after midnight. Moderate winds gusting strong.
Friday Cloudy. Warming temperatures. Increasing moderate winds.
Friday Night Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow tapering by morning. Strong winds.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 - 1.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass 0.25 0.75 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 0.75 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.25 1.00 LT 0.25
White Pass LT 0.10 0.75 LT 0.25
Washington Pass 0.25 0.75 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 1.00 LT 0.10
Timberline 0 1.00 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday 1.00 - 1.50
Friday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night 1.00
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 1.00
Saturday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday 0
Friday Night 1.00
Saturday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday 0
Friday Night 1.00
Saturday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Morning Friday Afternoon Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 4000' 5000' 5000' 3500' 3000' 3500'
West North 2500' 3500' 4000' 3500' 2500' 2500'
West Central 3000' 3500' 4000' 3500' 3000' 3000'
West South 3000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 3500' 4000'
Stevens Pass 3000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 3000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 3000' 3000'
East North 2500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 2500' 3000'
East Central 3000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 3000' 3000'
East South 3000' 4000' 4000' 4500' 4000' 4000'
Mt. Hood 3500' 5000' 4500' 5000' 5000' 4500'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Morning 4000'
Friday Afternoon 5000'
Friday Evening 5000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
West North Elevation
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
West Central Elevation
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 4000'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 4000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 4000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East Central Elevation
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 4000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East South Elevation
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 4500'
Saturday Morning 4000'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Morning 3500'
Friday Afternoon 5000'
Friday Evening 4500'
Friday Night 5000'
Saturday Morning 5000'
Saturday Afternoon 4500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Friday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 32 / 28 34 / 23
West North 31 / 26 31 / 25
West Central 31 / 26 31 / 26
West South 31 / 27 33 / 27
Stevens Pass 32 / 26 33 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 31 / 25 32 / 27
East North 30 / 26 31 / 24
East Central 31 / 25 32 / 26
East South 32 / 26 32 / 27
Mt. Hood 36 / 27 34 / 31
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 32 / 28
Friday Night 34 / 23
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 31 / 26
Friday Night 31 / 25
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 31 / 26
Friday Night 31 / 26
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 31 / 27
Friday Night 33 / 27
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 32 / 26
Friday Night 33 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 31 / 25
Friday Night 32 / 27
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 30 / 26
Friday Night 31 / 24
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 31 / 25
Friday Night 32 / 26
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 32 / 26
Friday Night 32 / 27
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 36 / 27
Friday Night 34 / 31

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Morning Friday Afternoon Friday Evening Friday Night
Olympics SW 25-35 SSW 30-40 WSW 20-30 WSW 10-20
West North SSW 20-30 SSW 30-40 SW 25-35 W 15-25
West Central SW 15-25 SSW 25-35 SW 25-35 W 20-30
West South SSW 10-20 SW 20-30 WSW 20-30 W 20-30
Stevens Pass SW 10-20 WSW 10-20 SW 20-30 W 25-35
Snoqualmie Pass WSW 10-20 WSW 15-25 SW 20-30 W 30-40
East North SW 10-20 SW 20-30 SW 20-30 W 30-40
East Central WSW 15-25 WSW 20-30 WSW 30-40 W 35-50
East South WSW 5-15 SW 15-25 WSW 25-35 W 25-35
Mt. Hood WSW 15-25 SW 20-30 SW 35-50 WSW 35-50
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning SW 25-35
Friday Afternoon SSW 30-40
Friday Evening WSW 20-30
Friday Night WSW 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning SSW 20-30
Friday Afternoon SSW 30-40
Friday Evening SW 25-35
Friday Night W 15-25
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning SW 15-25
Friday Afternoon SSW 25-35
Friday Evening SW 25-35
Friday Night W 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning SSW 10-20
Friday Afternoon SW 20-30
Friday Evening WSW 20-30
Friday Night W 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning SW 10-20
Friday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Friday Evening SW 20-30
Friday Night W 25-35
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning WSW 10-20
Friday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Friday Evening SW 20-30
Friday Night W 30-40
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning SW 10-20
Friday Afternoon SW 20-30
Friday Evening SW 20-30
Friday Night W 30-40
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning WSW 15-25
Friday Afternoon WSW 20-30
Friday Evening WSW 30-40
Friday Night W 35-50
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning WSW 5-15
Friday Afternoon SW 15-25
Friday Evening WSW 25-35
Friday Night W 25-35
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning WSW 15-25
Friday Afternoon SW 20-30
Friday Evening SW 35-50
Friday Night WSW 35-50

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Dec 17, 2020

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.