The Pacific Northwest maintains a very wet and active pattern through the forecast period. A dirty ridge allows moisture to filter over the top into our region Thursday night. Post-frontal snow showers in the evening decrease and then more continuous light to moderate snow arrives as moisture pushes into northern Washington ahead of a warm front. Snow levels should be near Snoqualmie Pass levels.
Friday morning, the warm front continues to bring light to moderate rain and snow to the region, with Mt. Baker receiving heavy precipitation. Some areas south of highway 2 may see a brief break as the warm front lifts northward and before the cold frontal rainband brings heavy rain and snow to many areas late in the day, moving through the region Friday evening. Strong SW winds will bring in milder air, so many areas will see snow levels bump up to 4000 ft by Friday evening with a transition to rain sometime Friday afternoon or evening for Snoqualmie Pass. Behind the front, moderate to heavy postfrontal snow and convergence activity (currently expected to focus between Stevens and Snoqualmie) should decrease rapidly in the early morning hours on Saturday.
Saturday brings cloudy conditions with some light rain and snow shower activity holding before precipitation starts increasing late in the day ahead of an atmospheric river event slated for late Saturday night into Sunday. Snow levels should be near or slightly below Snoqualmie Pass level on Saturday.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday
Night
Increasing very light rain and snow after midnight. Light winds.
Friday
Increasing light rain and snow in the morning becoming moderate in the afternoon. Warming trend. Moderate winds becoming strong at ridge crest.
Thursday
Night
Light snow showers becoming increasing light snow after midnight. Light to moderate winds.
Friday
Increasing heavy rain and snow. Warming trend. Moderate winds becoming strong.
Thursday
Night
Decreasing light snow showers in the evening, then increasing light snow after midnight. Light to moderate winds.
Friday
Moderate rain and snow, possibly heavy at times. Warming trend. Moderate winds becoming strong.
Thursday
Night
Decreasing light snow showers in the evening, then increasing light snow after midnight. Light to moderate winds.
Friday
Light to moderate rain and snow, heaviest at Paradise. Warming trend. Moderate ridgetop winds becoming moderate to strong in the afternoon.
Thursday
Night
Decreasing light snow showers in the evening, then increasing light snow after midnight. Light ridgeline winds and light W winds at pass level.
Friday
Periods of light to occasionally moderate rain and snow. Gradual warming. Light to moderate ridgetop winds and light W wind at pass level switching E from mid-morning onward.
Thursday
Night
Decreasing light snow showers in the evening, then increasing light snow after midnight. Moderate ridgeline winds and light W winds at pass level.
Friday
Periods of light to occasionally moderate rain and snow. Gradual warming aloft, but E flow may keep snow at pass. Light to moderate ridgetop winds and light W wind at pass level switching E from mid-morning onward.
Thursday
Night
Very light snow showers. Moderate winds.
Friday
Light snow becoming moderate late in the day. Moderate ridgetop winds.
Thursday
Night
Snow showers in the evening becoming light snow after midnight. Decreasing moderate winds.
Friday
Periods of light to occasionally moderate rain and snow. Moderate winds.
Thursday
Night
Light snow showers possible in the evening with light snow possible after midnight. Decreasing light to moderate winds.
Friday
Light rain and snow increasing in the afternoon. Increasing moderate ridgetop winds.
Thursday
Night
Light snow showers. Decreasing moderate winds.
Friday
Cloudy with light snow developing very late in the day. Moderate winds becoming strong in the afternoon at ridge crests.
Issued: 2:45 PM PST Thursday, December 17, 2020
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
Friday
Friday Night
Saturday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
LT 0.10
0.50 - 0.75
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area
LT 0.25
1.50
0.75
0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
LT 0.25
0.75
0.75 -1.00
0.25
Stevens Pass
0.25
0.25 - 0.50
0.50 - 0.75
0.25
Snoqualmie Pass
0.25
0.25 - 0.50
0.50 - 0.75
LT 0.25
Crystal Mt
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
0.25
LT 0.10
Paradise
0.25
0.50
1.00
LT 0.25
White Pass
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
0.50 - 0.75
LT 0.10
Washington Pass
LT 0.10
0.50
0.50
LT 0.10
Mission Ridge
0
LT 0.10
0.25
LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
LT 0.25
0.25 - 0.50
0.50
LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
0
LT 0.25
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0.75 -1.00
LT 0.10
Timberline
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0.75 -1.00
LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
1.50
Friday Night
0.75
Saturday
0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.75
Friday Night
0.75 -1.00
Saturday
0.25
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0.25
Friday
0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Saturday
0.25
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0.25
Friday
0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Saturday
LT 0.25
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
LT 0.25
Friday Night
0.25
Saturday
LT 0.10
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0.25
Friday
0.50
Friday Night
1.00
Saturday
LT 0.25
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
LT 0.25
Friday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Saturday
LT 0.10
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
0.50
Friday Night
0.50
Saturday
LT 0.10
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
0.25
Saturday
LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night
0.50
Saturday
LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.25
Friday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday
LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
0.75 -1.00
Saturday
LT 0.10
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
0.75 -1.00
Saturday
LT 0.10
Issued: 2:45 PM PST Thursday, December 17, 2020
Snow Level (ft)
Thursday
Evening
Thursday
Night
Friday
Morning
Friday
Afternoon*
Friday
Evening
Friday
Night
Saturday
Morning
Saturday
Afternoon
Olympics
3000'
3000'
4000'
4500'
5000'
3000'
3000'
3500'
West North
2500'
2500'
2500'
3500'
4000'
3000'
2500'
2500'
West Central
3000'
2500'
3000'
3500'
4000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
West South
3000'
3000'
3000'
3500'
4000'
3500'
3000'
3500'
Stevens Pass
3000'
3000'
3000'
3000'
4000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
Snoqualmie Pass
3500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
4000'
3500'
3000'
3500'
East North
3000'
2500'
2500'
3500'
3500'
3000'
2500'
3000'
East Central
3500'
3000'
3000'
3500'
4000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
East South
3500'
2500'
3000'
4000'
4500'
4000'
3500'
4000'
Mt. Hood
3500'
3000'
3000'
4500'
5000'
4500'
4500'
4500'
Olympics
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
3000'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
4000'
Friday
Afternoon*
4500'
Friday
Evening
5000'
Friday
Night
3000'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
West North
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
2500'
Thursday
Night
2500'
Friday
Morning
2500'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
Friday
Evening
4000'
Friday
Night
3000'
Saturday
Morning
2500'
Saturday
Afternoon
2500'
West Central
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
3000'
Thursday
Night
2500'
Friday
Morning
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
Friday
Evening
4000'
Friday
Night
3500'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
West South
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
3000'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
Friday
Evening
4000'
Friday
Night
3500'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
3000'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
3000'
Friday
Evening
4000'
Friday
Night
3500'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
3500'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
3000'
Friday
Evening
4000'
Friday
Night
3500'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
East North
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
3000'
Thursday
Night
2500'
Friday
Morning
2500'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
Friday
Evening
3500'
Friday
Night
3000'
Saturday
Morning
2500'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
East Central
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
3500'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
Friday
Evening
4000'
Friday
Night
3500'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
East South
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
3500'
Thursday
Night
2500'
Friday
Morning
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
4000'
Friday
Evening
4500'
Friday
Night
4000'
Saturday
Morning
3500'
Saturday
Afternoon
4000'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
3500'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
4500'
Friday
Evening
5000'
Friday
Night
4500'
Saturday
Morning
4500'
Saturday
Afternoon
4500'
Issued: 2:45 PM PST Thursday, December 17, 2020
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Thursday
Night
Friday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
27 / 22
32 / 28
West North
25 / 22
29 / 26
West Central
26 / 24
31 / 25
West South
27 / 25
31 / 27
Stevens Pass
26 / 25
31 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass
26 / 25
31 / 25
East North
25 / 22
29 / 25
East Central
26 / 24
29 / 24
East South
27 / 25
31 / 25
Mt. Hood
28 / 26
34 / 27
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
27 / 22
Friday
32 / 28
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
25 / 22
Friday
29 / 26
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
26 / 24
Friday
31 / 25
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
27 / 25
Friday
31 / 27
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
26 / 25
Friday
31 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
26 / 25
Friday
31 / 25
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
25 / 22
Friday
29 / 25
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
26 / 24
Friday
29 / 24
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
27 / 25
Friday
31 / 25
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
28 / 26
Friday
34 / 27
Issued: 2:45 PM PST Thursday, December 17, 2020
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
Thursday
Night
Friday
Morning
Friday
Afternoon
Olympics
WSW 5-15
SW 10-20
SW 25-35
SSW 30-40
West North
WSW 10-20
SW 10-20
SSW 20-30
SSW 30-40
West Central
WNW 10-20
WSW 10-20
SSW 15-25
SSW 30-40
West South
WSW 10-20
SW 5-15
SSW 10-20
SW 25-35
Stevens Pass
WNW 10-20
WSW 10-20
SW 10-20
SSW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass
WNW 10-20
W 10-20
WSW 10-20
SSW 15-25
East North
W 15-25
WSW 10-20
SW 10-20
SSW 15-25
East Central
WNW 15-25
W 15-25
WSW 15-25
SSW 15-25
East South
W 15-25
W 10-20
SW 10-20
SW 20-30
Mt. Hood
W 25-35
W 15-25
WSW 20-30
SW 30-40
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WSW
5-15
Thursday
Night
SW
10-20
Friday
Morning
SW
25-35
Friday
Afternoon
SSW
30-40
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WSW
10-20
Thursday
Night
SW
10-20
Friday
Morning
SSW
20-30
Friday
Afternoon
SSW
30-40
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WNW
10-20
Thursday
Night
WSW
10-20
Friday
Morning
SSW
15-25
Friday
Afternoon
SSW
30-40
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WSW
10-20
Thursday
Night
SW
5-15
Friday
Morning
SSW
10-20
Friday
Afternoon
SW
25-35
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WNW
10-20
Thursday
Night
WSW
10-20
Friday
Morning
SW
10-20
Friday
Afternoon
SSW
10-20
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WNW
10-20
Thursday
Night
W
10-20
Friday
Morning
WSW
10-20
Friday
Afternoon
SSW
15-25
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
W
15-25
Thursday
Night
WSW
10-20
Friday
Morning
SW
10-20
Friday
Afternoon
SSW
15-25
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WNW
15-25
Thursday
Night
W
15-25
Friday
Morning
WSW
15-25
Friday
Afternoon
SSW
15-25
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
W
15-25
Thursday
Night
W
10-20
Friday
Morning
SW
10-20
Friday
Afternoon
SW
20-30
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
W
25-35
Thursday
Night
W
15-25
Friday
Morning
WSW
20-30
Friday
Afternoon
SW
30-40
Issued: 2:45 PM PST Thursday, December 17, 2020
Extended Weather Synopsis
The extended forecast looks very wet for our region. A low landfalling in British Columbia Saturday evening sends a frontal system south into Washington State with a moisture feed extending from the subtropics. The result will be very heavy rain Saturday night for our entire region with the firehose aiming for the southern parts of our region on Sunday. Another storm develops offshore along the same front. Models differ regarding the amount of moisture the timing and strength of the warm front lifting northward Sunday night, but it's likely to remain mild and wet. On Monday, the surface low and cold front arrive from the WSW with plenty of moisture. Although the system starts mild, a shortwave trough adding energy to the system could bring rapid cooling and snow levels lowering to pass level by evening.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).