Issued: 2:45 PM PST Thursday, December 17, 2020
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

The Pacific Northwest maintains a very wet and active pattern through the forecast period. A dirty ridge allows moisture to filter over the top into our region Thursday night. Post-frontal snow showers in the evening decrease and then more continuous light to moderate snow arrives as moisture pushes into northern Washington ahead of a warm front. Snow levels should be near Snoqualmie Pass levels.

Friday morning, the warm front continues to bring light to moderate rain and snow to the region, with Mt. Baker receiving heavy precipitation. Some areas south of highway 2 may see a brief break as the warm front lifts northward and before the cold frontal rainband brings heavy rain and snow to many areas late in the day, moving through the region Friday evening. Strong SW winds will bring in milder air, so many areas will see snow levels bump up to 4000 ft by Friday evening with a transition to rain sometime Friday afternoon or evening for Snoqualmie Pass. Behind the front, moderate to heavy postfrontal snow and convergence activity (currently expected to focus between Stevens and Snoqualmie) should decrease rapidly in the early morning hours on Saturday.

Saturday brings cloudy conditions with some light rain and snow shower activity holding before precipitation starts increasing late in the day ahead of an atmospheric river event slated for late Saturday night into Sunday. Snow levels should be near or slightly below Snoqualmie Pass level on Saturday.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Increasing very light rain and snow after midnight. Light winds.
Friday Increasing light rain and snow in the morning becoming moderate in the afternoon. Warming trend. Moderate winds becoming strong at ridge crest.
Thursday Night Light snow showers becoming increasing light snow after midnight. Light to moderate winds.
Friday Increasing heavy rain and snow. Warming trend. Moderate winds becoming strong.
Thursday Night Decreasing light snow showers in the evening, then increasing light snow after midnight. Light to moderate winds.
Friday Moderate rain and snow, possibly heavy at times. Warming trend. Moderate winds becoming strong.
Thursday Night Decreasing light snow showers in the evening, then increasing light snow after midnight. Light to moderate winds.
Friday Light to moderate rain and snow, heaviest at Paradise. Warming trend. Moderate ridgetop winds becoming moderate to strong in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Decreasing light snow showers in the evening, then increasing light snow after midnight. Light ridgeline winds and light W winds at pass level.
Friday Periods of light to occasionally moderate rain and snow. Gradual warming. Light to moderate ridgetop winds and light W wind at pass level switching E from mid-morning onward.
Thursday Night Decreasing light snow showers in the evening, then increasing light snow after midnight. Moderate ridgeline winds and light W winds at pass level.
Friday Periods of light to occasionally moderate rain and snow. Gradual warming aloft, but E flow may keep snow at pass. Light to moderate ridgetop winds and light W wind at pass level switching E from mid-morning onward.
Thursday Night Very light snow showers. Moderate winds.
Friday Light snow becoming moderate late in the day. Moderate ridgetop winds.
Thursday Night Snow showers in the evening becoming light snow after midnight. Decreasing moderate winds.
Friday Periods of light to occasionally moderate rain and snow. Moderate winds.
Thursday Night Light snow showers possible in the evening with light snow possible after midnight. Decreasing light to moderate winds.
Friday Light rain and snow increasing in the afternoon. Increasing moderate ridgetop winds.
Thursday Night Light snow showers. Decreasing moderate winds.
Friday Cloudy with light snow developing very late in the day. Moderate winds becoming strong in the afternoon at ridge crests.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 1.50 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 0.75 0.75 -1.00 0.25
Stevens Pass 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.25 0.50 1.00 LT 0.25
White Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0.50 0.50 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.75 -1.00 LT 0.10
Timberline LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.75 -1.00 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 1.50
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.75
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 1.00
Saturday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon* Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 3000' 3000' 4000' 4500' 5000' 3000' 3000' 3500'
West North 2500' 2500' 2500' 3500' 4000' 3000' 2500' 2500'
West Central 3000' 2500' 3000' 3500' 4000' 3500' 3000' 3000'
West South 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 4000' 3500' 3000' 3500'
Stevens Pass 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 4000' 3500' 3000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 4000' 3500' 3000' 3500'
East North 3000' 2500' 2500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 2500' 3000'
East Central 3500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 4000' 3500' 3000' 3000'
East South 3500' 2500' 3000' 4000' 4500' 4000' 3500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 3500' 3000' 3000' 4500' 5000' 4500' 4500' 4500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 4000'
Friday Afternoon* 4500'
Friday Evening 5000'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 2500'
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon* 3500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 2500'
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 3500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 3500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 3000'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 3000'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 2500'
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon* 3500'
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 3500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 2500'
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 4000'
Friday Evening 4500'
Friday Night 4000'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 4500'
Friday Evening 5000'
Friday Night 4500'
Saturday Morning 4500'
Saturday Afternoon 4500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 27 / 22 32 / 28
West North 25 / 22 29 / 26
West Central 26 / 24 31 / 25
West South 27 / 25 31 / 27
Stevens Pass 26 / 25 31 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 26 / 25 31 / 25
East North 25 / 22 29 / 25
East Central 26 / 24 29 / 24
East South 27 / 25 31 / 25
Mt. Hood 28 / 26 34 / 27
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 27 / 22
Friday 32 / 28
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 25 / 22
Friday 29 / 26
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 26 / 24
Friday 31 / 25
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 27 / 25
Friday 31 / 27
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 26 / 25
Friday 31 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 26 / 25
Friday 31 / 25
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 25 / 22
Friday 29 / 25
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 26 / 24
Friday 29 / 24
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 27 / 25
Friday 31 / 25
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 28 / 26
Friday 34 / 27

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics WSW 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 25-35 SSW 30-40
West North WSW 10-20 SW 10-20 SSW 20-30 SSW 30-40
West Central WNW 10-20 WSW 10-20 SSW 15-25 SSW 30-40
West South WSW 10-20 SW 5-15 SSW 10-20 SW 25-35
Stevens Pass WNW 10-20 WSW 10-20 SW 10-20 SSW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass WNW 10-20 W 10-20 WSW 10-20 SSW 15-25
East North W 15-25 WSW 10-20 SW 10-20 SSW 15-25
East Central WNW 15-25 W 15-25 WSW 15-25 SSW 15-25
East South W 15-25 W 10-20 SW 10-20 SW 20-30
Mt. Hood W 25-35 W 15-25 WSW 20-30 SW 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WSW 5-15
Thursday Night SW 10-20
Friday Morning SW 25-35
Friday Afternoon SSW 30-40
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WSW 10-20
Thursday Night SW 10-20
Friday Morning SSW 20-30
Friday Afternoon SSW 30-40
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 10-20
Thursday Night WSW 10-20
Friday Morning SSW 15-25
Friday Afternoon SSW 30-40
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WSW 10-20
Thursday Night SW 5-15
Friday Morning SSW 10-20
Friday Afternoon SW 25-35
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 10-20
Thursday Night WSW 10-20
Friday Morning SW 10-20
Friday Afternoon SSW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 10-20
Thursday Night W 10-20
Friday Morning WSW 10-20
Friday Afternoon SSW 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 15-25
Thursday Night WSW 10-20
Friday Morning SW 10-20
Friday Afternoon SSW 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 15-25
Thursday Night W 15-25
Friday Morning WSW 15-25
Friday Afternoon SSW 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 15-25
Thursday Night W 10-20
Friday Morning SW 10-20
Friday Afternoon SW 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 25-35
Thursday Night W 15-25
Friday Morning WSW 20-30
Friday Afternoon SW 30-40

Extended Weather Synopsis

The extended forecast looks very wet for our region. A low landfalling in British Columbia Saturday evening sends a frontal system south into Washington State with a moisture feed extending from the subtropics. The result will be very heavy rain Saturday night for our entire region with the firehose aiming for the southern parts of our region on Sunday. Another storm develops offshore along the same front. Models differ regarding the amount of moisture the timing and strength of the warm front lifting northward Sunday night, but it's likely to remain mild and wet. On Monday, the surface low and cold front arrive from the WSW with plenty of moisture. Although the system starts mild, a shortwave trough adding energy to the system could bring rapid cooling and snow levels lowering to pass level by evening.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday
West North 4500' 4000' 3000' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 5500' 5500' 3500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 6500' 8000' 7000' 6000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night 4500'
Sunday 4000'
Sunday Night 3000'
Monday 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night 5500'
Sunday 5500'
Sunday Night 3500'
Monday 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night 6500'
Sunday 8000'
Sunday Night 7000'
Monday 6000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 17, 2020

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.