Issued: 7:09 AM PST Wednesday, December 16, 2020
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

A few leftover showers remain in the north and central Cascades but otherwise we're waiting for the next Pacific frontal system to arrive later today.  A baroclinic leaf signature can be seen on satellite this morning, indicating a rapidly deepening low-pressure system offshore. Precipitation will spread into the Olympics by late morning and Mt Hood by mid-day and spread north over the Cascades, reaching the Canadian border by mid-afternoon. The heaviest shot precipitation will come tonight as an occluded front passes through the region and a bit more southerly component to this storm will spread precipitation along both the west and east slopes of the Cascades. Colder continental air can't be found on the east side of the Cascades, so while snow levels should briefly fall to 3000' with the onset of precipitation this evening at Snoqualmie Pass, snow levels, in general, will hang around 3500' for much of today and tomorrow. The Mt Hood area and far southern Washington Cascades will see snow levels rise to 6500' as they are on the warmer side of this storm. 

As the frontal boundary passes inland Wednesday night, the flow aloft will become northwest with onshore westerly flow at the surface. This should do well to wring out moisture all day long for the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt Hood. The heaviest precipitation totals will be from about the Mt Loop Highway and south. Snow will pile up above 3500-4000' in most areas. 

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Light rain and snow developing late morning.
Wednesday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers overnight.
Wednesday Cloudy with isolated rain and snow showers this morning. Light rain and snow developing in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow.
Wednesday Cloudy with isolated rain and snow showers this morning. Light rain and snow developing in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow.
Wednesday Cloudy with isolated rain and snow showers this morning. Light rain and snow developing midday and increasing late.
Wednesday Night Moderate to locally heavy rain and snow at Paradise.
Wednesday Cloudy with isolated rain and snow showers this morning. Light rain and snow developing midday. East winds at Pass level rising to moderate in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Moderate rain and snow. Moderate east winds becoming west after midnight.
Wednesday Cloudy with isolated rain and snow showers this morning. Light rain and snow developing midday. East winds at Pass level rising to moderate in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Moderate rain and snow. Moderate east winds becoming west after midnight.
Wednesday Cloudy with light rain and snow developing in the early afternoon.
Wednesday Night Light to moderate rain and snow.
Wednesday Cloudy with light rain and snow developing in the early afternoon.
Wednesday Night Light to moderate rain and snow.
Wednesday Cloudy with light rain and snow developing midday.
Wednesday Night Light to moderate rain and snow becoming showers after midnight.
Wednesday
Wednesday Night Moderate rain and snow becoming showers overnight.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.75 -1.00
Crystal Mt 0.25 0.50 0.25
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 -1.00 0.75
White Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.50
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.25 0.50 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 -1.00 0.50
Timberline 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Thursday 0.75 -1.00
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Thursday 0.75
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Thursday 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon* Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics 5000' 5000' 5000' 3500' 4000' 4000'
West North 3500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500'
West Central 3500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500'
West South 4000' 4500' 4500' 3500' 3500' 4000'
Stevens Pass 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3500'
East North 3500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500'
East Central 3500' 2500' 3000' 2500' 3500' 4000'
East South 4500' 4500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 6000' 6500' 5500' 4000' 3500' 4000'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Morning 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 5000'
Wednesday Evening* 5000'
Wednesday Night 3500'
Thursday Morning 4000'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4000'
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night 3500'
Thursday Morning 3500'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4000'
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night 3500'
Thursday Morning 3500'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Morning 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4500'
Wednesday Evening* 4500'
Wednesday Night 3500'
Thursday Morning 3500'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night 3500'
Thursday Morning 3000'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night 3500'
Thursday Morning 3000'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 2500'
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning 3000'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 2500'
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning 3500'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Morning 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4500'
Wednesday Evening* 4000'
Wednesday Night 3500'
Thursday Morning 3500'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Morning 6000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 6500'
Wednesday Evening* 5500'
Wednesday Night 4000'
Thursday Morning 3500'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Wednesday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 32 / 30 32 / 24
West North 30 / 28 30 / 26
West Central 31 / 29 29 / 25
West South 34 / 30 32 / 25
Stevens Pass 30 / 28 29 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 30 / 28 28 / 25
East North 29 / 26 26 / 23
East Central 32 / 28 29 / 25
East South 32 / 27 31 / 24
Mt. Hood 37 / 29 35 / 25
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday 32 / 30
Wednesday Night 32 / 24
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday 30 / 28
Wednesday Night 30 / 26
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday 31 / 29
Wednesday Night 29 / 25
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday 34 / 30
Wednesday Night 32 / 25
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday 30 / 28
Wednesday Night 29 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday 30 / 28
Wednesday Night 28 / 25
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday 29 / 26
Wednesday Night 26 / 23
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday 32 / 28
Wednesday Night 29 / 25
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday 32 / 27
Wednesday Night 31 / 24
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday 37 / 29
Wednesday Night 35 / 25

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night
Olympics S 5-15 S 20-30 SW 20-30 SW 20-30
West North S 5-15 S 15-25 S 15-25 SSW 20-30
West Central S 5-15 SE 15-25 S 15-25 SW 20-30
West South SW 5-15 S 15-25 SSW 20-30 SW 20-30
Stevens Pass W 5-15 SSE 10-20 SE 10-20 WSW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass W 5-15 SE 15-25 SE 10-20 WSW 20-30
East North W 10-20 SSE 10-20 SE 15-25 SW 15-25
East Central W 15-25 S 15-25 S 15-25 WSW 25-35
East South W 5-15 S 10-20 SW 15-25 WSW 20-30
Mt. Hood SW 10-20 S 20-30 W 35-50 WSW 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Morning S 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon S 20-30
Wednesday Evening SW 20-30
Wednesday Night SW 20-30
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Morning S 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon S 15-25
Wednesday Evening S 15-25
Wednesday Night SSW 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Morning S 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SE 15-25
Wednesday Evening S 15-25
Wednesday Night SW 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Morning SW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon S 15-25
Wednesday Evening SSW 20-30
Wednesday Night SW 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 10-20
Wednesday Evening SE 10-20
Wednesday Night WSW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SE 15-25
Wednesday Evening SE 10-20
Wednesday Night WSW 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Morning W 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 10-20
Wednesday Evening SE 15-25
Wednesday Night SW 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Morning W 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon S 15-25
Wednesday Evening S 15-25
Wednesday Night WSW 25-35
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon S 10-20
Wednesday Evening SW 15-25
Wednesday Night WSW 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Morning SW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon S 20-30
Wednesday Evening W 35-50
Wednesday Night WSW 25-35

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Dec 15, 2020

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.