Issued: 2:03 PM PST Friday, December 11, 2020
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A closed upper low exits to our east Friday night, bringing one final band of moderate to heavy snow to the Mt. Hood area and light snow to the southern Washington Cascades. With northerly flow aloft, expect a chilly night under mostly clearing skies in many areas after midnight, followed by mostly sunny skies Saturday morning. A shortwave ridge gives our region a dry Saturday which could prove to be our last dry day for some time. Increasing easterly flow keeps the passes cool while southerly flow brings in milder air aloft throughout the day on Saturday into Saturday night, primarily west of the Cascade crest. Clouds increase Saturday afternoon ahead of a well-defined frontal system attached to a deep Aleutian Low. 

The front arrives late Saturday night with the GFS bringing it in several hours sooner than the European model. Water numbers here show the later-arriving model solution with more precipitation shifted into the Sunday time blocks. Precipitation should start as rain for Hurricane Ridge and possibly a rain-snow mix for Mt Hood and Paradise before quickly changing to all snow behind the front. The major Cascade passes are likely to remain all snow with decreasing easterly flow into Sunday. Cool, unstable SW post-frontal flow on Sunday should keep light to moderate snow or snow showers in the forecast through Sunday. The flow pattern should favor the volcanoes with Mt Hood and Paradise expecting over a foot of snow by late Sunday and less than 6" expected at the Cascade passes.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Clouds in the lowlands. Mostly clear skies above. Cold. Light winds.
Saturday Sunny in the morning with increasing clouds in the afternoon. Cool start, then becoming milder in the afternoon with high temperatures above freezing at Hurricane Ridge. Increasing light winds.
Friday Night Clearing skies. Cold. Light winds.
Saturday Sunny in the morning with increasing high clouds in the afternoon. Cool start, then becoming milder in the afternoon. Increasing light winds.
Friday Night Clearing skies. Cold. Light winds.
Saturday Sunny in the morning with increasing high clouds in the afternoon. Cool start, then becoming milder in the afternoon. Increasing light winds.
Friday Night Light snow showers early in the Mt Rainier area with light to moderate snow early in the Mt. St Helens area. Clearing skies in all areas by midnight. Cold. Light winds.
Saturday Sunny in the morning with increasing high clouds in the afternoon. Cool start, then becoming milder in the afternoon. Increasing light winds.
Friday Night Clearing skies. Cold. Light and variable pass-level and ridgeline winds becoming light easterly.
Saturday Sunny in the morning with increasing high clouds in the afternoon. Cool start, then becoming milder in the afternoon. Increasing light ridgeline and E pass-level winds, possibly increasing to moderate late in the day.
Friday Night Clearing skies. Cold. Light and variable pass-level and ridgeline winds becoming light easterly.
Saturday Sunny in the morning with increasing high clouds in the afternoon. Cool start, then becoming milder in the afternoon. Increasing E pass-level and ridgeline winds becoming moderate in the afternoon.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy in the evening with a few snow flurries in the evening, then becoming mostly clear after midnight. Cold. Light winds.
Saturday Sunny in the morning with increasing high clouds in the afternoon. Cool. Increasing light winds.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy in the early evening with a few snow flurries in the evening, then becoming mostly clear after midnight. Cold. Light winds.
Saturday Sunny in the morning with increasing high clouds in the afternoon. Cool. Increasing light winds.
Friday Night Light snow south of highway 12 in the early evening. Clearing skies in all areas by midnight. Cold. Light winds.
Saturday Sunny in the morning with increasing high and mid-level clouds in the afternoon. Cool. Light ridgeline winds increasing to moderate in the afternoon.
Friday Night Moderate to heavy snow in the early evening tapering and ending shortly after midnight with partial clearing thereafter. Cool. Light ridgeline winds.
Saturday

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 0 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0 0.25 0.25
Paradise LT 0.10 0 0.25 1.00
White Pass LT 0.10 0 LT 0.25 0.50
Washington Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 0 LT 0.25 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.75
Timberline 0.25 - 0.50 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 -1.00
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 1.00
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.75
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.75 -1.00

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon* Saturday Evening* Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon
Olympics 1500' 2500' 3500' 5000' 6000' 5000' 4000' 3500'
West North 1000' 1500' 2000' 3000' 3000' 2000' 1000' 2000'
West Central 1000' 1500' 2000' 3500' 2500' 2000' 1000' 2000'
West South 1500' 1500' 2500' 4000' 3000' 2000' 2000' 3000'
Stevens Pass 1500' 1500' 2000' 3000' 2500' 1000' 1000' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 1500' 1500' 2000' 3500' 2500' 1500' 1500' 2000'
East North 1000' 1000' 1500' 3000' 1000' 0 0 1000'
East Central 1500' 1500' 2000' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1000' 1500'
East South 1500' 1500' 2000' 3000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500'
Mt. Hood 2500' 2500' 2000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 2500' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning* 3500'
Saturday Afternoon* 5000'
Saturday Evening* 6000'
Saturday Night* 5000'
Sunday Morning* 4000'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 2000'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'
Saturday Evening* 3000'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday Morning* 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 2000'
Saturday Afternoon* 3500'
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday Morning* 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 2500'
Saturday Afternoon* 4000'
Saturday Evening* 3000'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 2000'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday Morning* 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 2000'
Saturday Afternoon* 3500'
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'
Saturday Evening* 1000'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon 1000'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 2000'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'
Saturday Evening* 2000'
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday Morning* 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 2000'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'
Saturday Evening* 2000'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning* 2000'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'
Saturday Evening* 3000'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday Morning* 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 19 / 17 34 / 19
West North 19 / 17 30 / 18
West Central 19 / 17 26 / 18
West South 21 / 18 31 / 17
Stevens Pass 18 / 15 24 / 16
Snoqualmie Pass 17 / 16 21 / 16
East North 19 / 15 22 / 15
East Central 18 / 16 23 / 15
East South 21 / 15 23 / 13
Mt. Hood 25 / 20 24 / 19
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 19 / 17
Saturday 34 / 19
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 19 / 17
Saturday 30 / 18
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 19 / 17
Saturday 26 / 18
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 21 / 18
Saturday 31 / 17
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 18 / 15
Saturday 24 / 16
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 17 / 16
Saturday 21 / 16
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 19 / 15
Saturday 22 / 15
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 18 / 16
Saturday 23 / 15
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 21 / 15
Saturday 23 / 13
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 25 / 20
Saturday 24 / 19

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics ENE 5-15 E 0-10 ESE 0-10 SSE 5-15
West North NE 0-10 NNE 0-10 ESE 0-10 SE 0-10
West Central E 0-10 ENE 0-10 ESE 0-10 SE 10-20
West South NE 0-10 NE 0-10 ESE 0-10 ESE 5-15
Stevens Pass E 0-10 ESE 0-10 ESE 0-10 ESE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 0-10 E 0-10 ESE 0-10 ESE 10-20
East North NE 0-10 NE 0-10 VAR 0-10 SSE 0-10
East Central E 0-10 ENE 0-10 ESE 0-10 SSE 5-15
East South E 0-10 ENE 5-15 ESE 0-10 SE 5-15
Mt. Hood W 0-10 ENE 5-15 ESE 5-15 S 10-20
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening ENE 5-15
Friday Night E 0-10
Saturday Morning ESE 0-10
Saturday Afternoon SSE 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening NE 0-10
Friday Night NNE 0-10
Saturday Morning ESE 0-10
Saturday Afternoon SE 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening E 0-10
Friday Night ENE 0-10
Saturday Morning ESE 0-10
Saturday Afternoon SE 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening NE 0-10
Friday Night NE 0-10
Saturday Morning ESE 0-10
Saturday Afternoon ESE 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening E 0-10
Friday Night ESE 0-10
Saturday Morning ESE 0-10
Saturday Afternoon ESE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening ESE 0-10
Friday Night E 0-10
Saturday Morning ESE 0-10
Saturday Afternoon ESE 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening NE 0-10
Friday Night NE 0-10
Saturday Morning VAR 0-10
Saturday Afternoon SSE 0-10
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening E 0-10
Friday Night ENE 0-10
Saturday Morning ESE 0-10
Saturday Afternoon SSE 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening E 0-10
Friday Night ENE 5-15
Saturday Morning ESE 0-10
Saturday Afternoon SE 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 0-10
Friday Night ENE 5-15
Saturday Morning ESE 5-15
Saturday Afternoon S 10-20

Extended Weather Synopsis

The cool, post-frontal trough trailing Saturday night's front flattens slightly as it arrives Sunday night. Light W flow will bring decreasing light snow showers and potentially weak convergence to the west slopes of the Cascades. Snow flurries taper on Monday as a weak ridge builds into the region with sunshine likely for the east slopes of the Cascades. East flow increasing through the passes Monday night as a strong front approaches the coastline and then arrives on Tuesday. Although the system looks slightly milder, with the cool air in place and easterly flow, pass level and above may experience primarily snowfall...we will have to monitor.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night Monday Monday Night* Tuesday *
West North 2500' 2500' 1500' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 2500' 2000' 1500'
Mt. Hood 3000' 3000' 2500' 3000'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday 2500'
Monday Night* 1500'
Tuesday * 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday 2500'
Monday Night* 2000'
Tuesday * 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night 3000'
Monday 3000'
Monday Night* 2500'
Tuesday * 3000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 11, 2020

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.