Issued: 2:06 PM PST Thursday, December 10, 2020
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

We hope you benefit from significant updates to the mountain weather forecast, launched with this forecast issuance.

A wedge-shaped trough elongates as it moves into the region Thursday night with an associated modest cold front moving across the region during the evening hours. This should bring bands of light snow or snow showers through the region. As the trough moves in over Washington State, the stronger pressure gradient remains over Oregon, bringing moderate winds and more snowfall to Mt. Hood. The trough settles further into the region on Friday, focusing the light snowfall increasingly on the southern Washington and Mt. Hood regions of the Cascades as snow showers wind down in northern Washington State. Friday night, the trough moves eastward, the flow aloft switches more northerly, and precipitation should end in the southern parts of the forecast region. Expect around 1 ft of snow for Mt. Hood and 6-10" for Paradise with lesser amounts elsewhere through Friday night.

On Saturday, a quick-moving ridge of high pressure moves over the region, giving us a partly to mostly sunny and cool day. Offshore winds will strengthen as a stronger system approaches from the west.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Periods of light snow. Gradual cooling. Light to occasionally moderate winds.
Friday Light snow showers. Cool. Decreasing light ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Periods of light snow. Gradual cooling. Light to occasionally moderate winds.
Friday Light snow showers. Cool. Decreasing light ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Periods of light snow. Gradual cooling. Light to occasionally moderate winds.
Friday Light snow showers. Cool. Decreasing light ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Periods of light snow, heaviest at Paradise. Gradual cooling. Light to occasionally moderate winds.
Friday Increasing light snow showers, possibly moderate at Paradise. Cool. Decreasing ridgeline winds. W wind through the pass.
Thursday Night Periods of light snow. Light ridgeline winds. Decreasing light E flow at pass level.
Friday Light snow showers. Cool. Decreasing ridgeline winds. W wind through the pass.
Thursday Night Periods of light snow. Light ridgeline winds. Decreasing light to moderate E flow at pass level becoming light.
Friday Light snow showers. Cool. Decreasing ridgeline winds. W wind through the pass.
Thursday Night Very light upslope snow in the evening, then periods of light snow overnight. Light ridgeline winds.
Friday Very light snow showers. Cool. Light ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Very light upslope snow in the evening north of Leavenworth, then periods of light snow overnight across the zone. Light ridgeline winds.
Friday Light snow showers. Cool. Light to moderate ridgeline winds, decreasing.
Thursday Night Very light snow. Increasing ridgeline winds becoming light to moderate.
Friday Light snow showers increasing in the afternoon. Cool. Light ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Increasing moderate snow. Gradual cooling. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Moderate snow. Cool. Moderate ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 0.25 0.25 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0
White Pass LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0
Timberline 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning Friday Afternoon Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon*
Olympics 3000' 2500' 2000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 3000' 5000'
West North 2500' 2000' 1500' 2000' 1000' 500' 1500' 3000'
West Central 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 1000' 500' 1500' 3500'
West South 2500' 2000' 1500' 2000' 1500' 500' 1500' 3500'
Stevens Pass 2000' 2000' 1500' 2000' 1500' 500' 1500' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 1500' 500' 1500' 3500'
East North 1500' 1500' 1000' 2000' 1000' 500' 1000' 2500'
East Central 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 1500' 1000' 1500' 3000'
East South 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500' 2000' 1000' 1500' 3000'
Mt. Hood 2500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 2500' 1500' 2000' 3000'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning* 3000'
Saturday Afternoon* 5000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 3500'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 3500'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 1500'
Thursday Night* 1500'
Friday Morning 1000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning* 1000'
Saturday Afternoon* 2500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 1500'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 1500'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning* 2000'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 24 / 20 24 / 18
West North 26 / 21 23 / 18
West Central 23 / 20 22 / 20
West South 24 / 21 25 / 20
Stevens Pass 22 / 19 24 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 22 / 20 23 / 21
East North 21 / 20 24 / 17
East Central 21 / 19 24 / 19
East South 20 / 18 25 / 18
Mt. Hood 25 / 22 26 / 21
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 24 / 20
Friday 24 / 18
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 26 / 21
Friday 23 / 18
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 23 / 20
Friday 22 / 20
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 24 / 21
Friday 25 / 20
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 22 / 19
Friday 24 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 22 / 20
Friday 23 / 21
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 21 / 20
Friday 24 / 17
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 21 / 19
Friday 24 / 19
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 20 / 18
Friday 25 / 18
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 25 / 22
Friday 26 / 21

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics SW 5-15 WSW 10-20 SW 5-15 NNW 0-10
West North S 5-15 SSW 5-15 SW 5-15 S 0-10
West Central SE 5-15 SSW 5-15 SW 10-20 WSW 0-10
West South SW 5-15 WSW 5-15 SW 5-15 SW 5-15
Stevens Pass SSE 5-15 SW 5-15 WSW 5-15 W 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass SE 5-15 WSW 5-15 W 10-20 WSW 0-10
East North SSE 5-15 SSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 WNW 0-10
East Central S 5-15 W 10-20 W 10-20 W 0-10
East South WSW 5-15 W 10-20 W 10-20 WSW 5-15
Mt. Hood W 20-30 W 20-30 WSW 20-30 WSW 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 5-15
Thursday Night WSW 10-20
Friday Morning SW 5-15
Friday Afternoon NNW 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 5-15
Thursday Night SSW 5-15
Friday Morning SW 5-15
Friday Afternoon S 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 5-15
Thursday Night SSW 5-15
Friday Morning SW 10-20
Friday Afternoon WSW 0-10
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 5-15
Thursday Night WSW 5-15
Friday Morning SW 5-15
Friday Afternoon SW 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSE 5-15
Thursday Night SW 5-15
Friday Morning WSW 5-15
Friday Afternoon W 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 5-15
Thursday Night WSW 5-15
Friday Morning W 10-20
Friday Afternoon WSW 0-10
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSE 5-15
Thursday Night SSW 5-15
Friday Morning WSW 5-15
Friday Afternoon WNW 0-10
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 5-15
Thursday Night W 10-20
Friday Morning W 10-20
Friday Afternoon W 0-10
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WSW 5-15
Thursday Night W 10-20
Friday Morning W 10-20
Friday Afternoon WSW 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 20-30
Thursday Night W 20-30
Friday Morning WSW 20-30
Friday Afternoon WSW 20-30

Extended Weather Synopsis

The next front, attached to a deep Aleutian Low, should bring plenty of moisture as it arrives late Saturday night or Sunday morning. The system should bring plenty of post-frontal snow shower activity under a broad trough through Monday. Expect a snow event primarily for the region with upwards of 1 ft of snow for much for the west slopes of the Cascades by the end of the day Monday. Moderate E flow at the outset of the storm Saturday night should gradually relent and switch back westerly as the trough axis shifts E Sunday night. The E flow should keep pass-level temperatures low throughout the storm as cold air also works in aloft. In some parts of our forecast area, snow showers may not shut off entirely on Monday as a weak ridge transits the area.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night* Sunday * Sunday Night* Monday
West North 2000' 2000' 2000' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 2000' 2500' 2500'
Mt. Hood 3500' 4000' 3500' 3000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday * 2000'
Sunday Night* 2000'
Monday 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday * 2000'
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday * 4000'
Sunday Night* 3500'
Monday 3000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 10, 2020

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.