Issued: 2:29 PM PST Wednesday, January 6, 2016
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday & Sunday

PM update 5000 ft free-air winds have been increased for the central Cascades this afternoon, particularly the Crystal/Paradise area.

A upper level low hanging around offshore continues to rotate upper level shortwaves through the area in southerly flow aloft. A partial clearing trend should take place this afternoon as most of the area will be between shortwaves, with the clearing most pronounced west of the Cascade crest. Low level easterly flow should maintain cloud cover over the east slopes and Cascade Passes along with some light rain or snow. There should be a gradual warming trend this afternoon. 

The upper level low will slowly dig SE overnight and the PNW will be left in no-man's land regarding upper level flow and forcing as the jet stream is well south and directed into the Baja Peninsula. A few mountain showers are possible Thursday afternoon with a weakly unstable air mass overhead. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning

Mostly clear. 

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning

Partly to mostly clear, except mostly cloudy near the Cascade Passes. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Wednesday

Mostly cloudy with a chance of light rain and snow. 

Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning

Mostly cloudy with a chance of light rain or snow showers. 

Mt. Hood Area
Wednesday

Mostly cloudy with a chance of light rain and snow, possible sunbreaks mid-day. 

Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning

Mostly cloudy. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level * 5500' 5500' 4000' ' ' 3500' ' 5000'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level * 4000' 3500' 2500' ' ' 2500' ' 3500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level * 3500' 3000' 3000' ' ' 3500' ' 3500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Sunday Sunday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.10 LT 0.10
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 LT 0.10
LT 0.10 LT 0.10

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening SE 0 - 10 SE 0 - 10 ESE 15 - 25 --- - SSE 10 - 20
Wednesday Night SE 0 - 10 VAR 0 - 10 VAR 0 - 10 --- - VAR 0 - 10
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening SE 0 - 10
Wednesday Night SE 0 - 10
Thursday - Thursday Night VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening SE 0 - 10
Wednesday Night VAR 0 - 10
Thursday - Thursday Night NNE 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening ESE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night VAR 0 - 10
Thursday - Thursday Night NW 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday - Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening SSE 10 - 20
Wednesday Night VAR 0 - 10
Thursday - Thursday Night NW 0 - 10
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening SE 0 - 10
Wednesday Night SE 0 - 10
Thursday - Thursday Night VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening SE 0 - 10
Wednesday Night VAR 0 - 10
Thursday - Thursday Night NNE 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening ESE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night VAR 0 - 10
Thursday - Thursday Night NW 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday - Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening SSE 10 - 20
Wednesday Night VAR 0 - 10
Thursday - Thursday Night NW 0 - 10

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon SE 0 - 10 SE 0 - 10 SE 10 - 20 --- - SSE 10 - 20
Wednesday Night N 0 - 10 N 0 - 10 VAR 0 - 10 --- - NW 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SE 0 - 10
Wednesday Night N 0 - 10
Thursday - Thursday Night NNW 0 - 10
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SE 0 - 10
Wednesday Night N 0 - 10
Thursday - Thursday Night NNW 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SE 10 - 20
Wednesday Night VAR 0 - 10
Thursday - Thursday Night NW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday - Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 10 - 20
Wednesday Night NW 0 - 10
Thursday - Thursday Night NW 0 - 10

Extended Weather Synopsis for Sunday night through Sunday

Friday should be a feature a clearing trend in the afternoon. Colder air from the interior of Canada and interior West should slowly work it's way eastward as offshore pressure gradients increase. A weak weather system approaching from the west will begin to split and slide south toward the Oregon/California border late Friday night. 

Currently, the GFS model has light rain and snow spreading over the Mt. Hood area Saturday. Models disagree how far north this light precipitation may reach into the Washington Cascades Saturday and Saturday night. On Sunday, light NW flow aloft will keep mostly cloudy skies and the chance of showers in the forecast. 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Friday - Friday Night

Mostly clear, except partly cloudy east slopes. Increasing clouds late Friday night Mt. Hood area. 

Saturday

Light rain and snow Mt. Hood area.  Becoming mostly cloudy south Washington Cascades and partly cloudy north Washington Cascades and Olympics. 

Saturday Night

Mostly cloudy with a chance of light rain and snow mainly south Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood. 

Sunday

Mostly cloudy with isolated rain and snow showers. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday - Friday Night Snow Level 2500' - 3500' 2500' - 3500' 2500' - 3500' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday - Friday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday - Sunday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday - Friday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday - Sunday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday - Friday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday - Sunday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 6, 2016

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

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