After a teaser of a pattern change last weekend, a more significant and durable pattern shift arrives over the next several days. Our split flow pattern will give way to a Gulf of Alaska trough, with the pattern becoming increasingly complex as we head later into the holiday weekend and early next week.
A weak frontal system approaches from the northwest on Thursday evening, spreading light rain and snow into the Olympics Mt Baker areas during the early morning hours. This generally light precipitation eases southeastward through Friday morning, reaching Snoqualmie Pass by 10 AM, and Mt Hood by around 4 PM. Snow levels hover around 3000 ft in the morning, but bump up to around 3500 ft in the afternoon. Mt Baker stands to receive the most precipitation with around 0.5" of water equivalent and a comparable amount with post-frontal showers and convergence focusing on the West North and Skagit areas during the evening and overnight hours.
The cold upper trough moving into the region on Saturday brings cooler, but decreasing light snow showers as attention shifts to a cutoff low forming off the California Coast. The brief split pattern will begin to focus a band of generally light snowfall on northern Oregon and southern Washington by early evening.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday
Night
High clouds lower and thicken with light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Friday
Increasing mostly light rain and snow.
Thursday
Night
High clouds lower and thicken with light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Friday
Increasing moderate rain and snow.
Thursday
Night
High clouds lower and thicken.
Friday
Light rain and snow in the morning becomes light to moderate by the afternoon.
Thursday
Night
Increasing clouds.
Friday
Increasing light rain and snow after around 10 AM.
Thursday
Night
Increasing clouds. Increasing light ridgeline winds. Light W wind at the Pass.
Friday
Increasing light rain and snow after around 10 AM. Light ridgeline and W wind at the Pass.
Thursday
Night
Increasing clouds. Light to moderate ridgeline winds. Light W wind at the Pass.
Friday
Increasing light rain and snow after around 9 AM. Increasing light to occasionally moderate ridgeline and W wind at the Pass.
Thursday
Night
Increasing clouds. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday
Increasing light rain and snow after around 10 AM.
Thursday
Night
Increasing clouds. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday
Increasing light rain and snow after around 10 AM. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday
Night
Increasing clouds. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday
Increasing light rain and snow after noon. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday
Night
Mostly clear, then increasing clouds overnight. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday
High clouds lower and thicken in the afternoon.
Issued: 2:10 PM PST Thursday, February 12, 2026
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
Friday
Friday Night
Saturday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
LT 0.10
0.25
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area
LT 0.10
0.50
0.50
0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
0
0.25
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.25
Stevens Pass
0
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass
0
LT 0.25
0.50
LT 0.10
Crystal Mt
0
LT 0.10
0.25
LT 0.10
Paradise
0
LT 0.25
0.75
LT 0.10
White Pass
0
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.10
Washington Pass
0
LT 0.10
0.25
LT 0.10
Mission Ridge
0
0
LT 0.10
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
0
LT 0.10
0.25
LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
0
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows
0
0
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
Timberline
0
0
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
0.25
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
0.50
Friday Night
0.50
Saturday
0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0.25
Friday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday
LT 0.25
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday
LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.25
Friday Night
0.50
Saturday
LT 0.10
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
0.25
Saturday
LT 0.10
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.25
Friday Night
0.75
Saturday
LT 0.10
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday
LT 0.10
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
0.25
Saturday
LT 0.10
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
0.25
Saturday
LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
LT 0.25
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
LT 0.25
Issued: 2:10 PM PST Thursday, February 12, 2026
Snow Level (ft)
Thursday
Evening
Thursday
Night
Friday
Morning
Friday
Afternoon*
Friday
Evening*
Friday
Night
Saturday
Morning
Saturday
Afternoon
Olympics
5000'
3500'
3500'
3000'
2500'
2000'
1500'
1500'
West North
4500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
3000'
2500'
2000'
2000'
West Central
4500'
4000'
3000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
2000'
2000'
West South
5000'
4000'
3500'
3500'
3500'
3000'
2500'
2500'
Stevens Pass
5000'
3500'
3000'
3500'
3500'
3000'
2000'
2000'
Snoqualmie Pass
5000'
4000'
3000'
3500'
3500'
3000'
2000'
2000'
East North
4000'
2500'
2500'
3000'
3000'
2500'
1500'
1500'
East Central
5000'
3500'
4000'
3500'
3500'
3000'
2000'
2000'
East South
5500'
4000'
4000'
4000'
3500'
3500'
2500'
2500'
Mt. Hood
6000'
5000'
4000'
5000'
4000'
4000'
3500'
3500'
Olympics
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
5000'
Thursday
Night
3500'
Friday
Morning
3500'
Friday
Afternoon*
3000'
Friday
Evening*
2500'
Friday
Night
2000'
Saturday
Morning
1500'
Saturday
Afternoon
1500'
West North
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
4500'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
3000'
Friday
Evening*
3000'
Friday
Night
2500'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
2000'
West Central
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
4500'
Thursday
Night
4000'
Friday
Morning
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
Friday
Evening*
3000'
Friday
Night
3000'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
2000'
West South
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
5000'
Thursday
Night
4000'
Friday
Morning
3500'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
Friday
Evening*
3500'
Friday
Night
3000'
Saturday
Morning
2500'
Saturday
Afternoon
2500'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
5000'
Thursday
Night
3500'
Friday
Morning
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
Friday
Evening*
3500'
Friday
Night
3000'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
2000'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
5000'
Thursday
Night
4000'
Friday
Morning
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
Friday
Evening*
3500'
Friday
Night
3000'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
2000'
East North
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
4000'
Thursday
Night
2500'
Friday
Morning
2500'
Friday
Afternoon*
3000'
Friday
Evening*
3000'
Friday
Night
2500'
Saturday
Morning
1500'
Saturday
Afternoon
1500'
East Central
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
5000'
Thursday
Night
3500'
Friday
Morning
4000'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
Friday
Evening*
3500'
Friday
Night
3000'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
2000'
East South
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
5500'
Thursday
Night
4000'
Friday
Morning
4000'
Friday
Afternoon*
4000'
Friday
Evening*
3500'
Friday
Night
3500'
Saturday
Morning
2500'
Saturday
Afternoon
2500'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Thursday
Evening
6000'
Thursday
Night
5000'
Friday
Morning
4000'
Friday
Afternoon*
5000'
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night
4000'
Saturday
Morning
3500'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
Issued: 2:10 PM PST Thursday, February 12, 2026
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Thursday
Night
Friday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
32 / 29
32 / 28
West North
31 / 26
31 / 29
West Central
31 / 26
31 / 29
West South
32 / 25
34 / 26
Stevens Pass
31 / 25
34 / 28
Snoqualmie Pass
31 / 25
33 / 27
East North
27 / 18
30 / 19
East Central
34 / 28
36 / 28
East South
34 / 29
38 / 28
Mt. Hood
35 / 31
40 / 30
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
32 / 29
Friday
32 / 28
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
31 / 26
Friday
31 / 29
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
31 / 26
Friday
31 / 29
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
32 / 25
Friday
34 / 26
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
31 / 25
Friday
34 / 28
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
31 / 25
Friday
33 / 27
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
27 / 18
Friday
30 / 19
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
34 / 28
Friday
36 / 28
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
34 / 29
Friday
38 / 28
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
35 / 31
Friday
40 / 30
Issued: 2:10 PM PST Thursday, February 12, 2026
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
Thursday
Night
Friday
Morning
Friday
Afternoon
Olympics
SW 5-15
SW 5-15
SW 5-15
S 5-15
West North
SSW 5-15
SSW 5-15
SSW 5-15
SSW 10-20
West Central
SW 5-15
SW 5-15
SSW 5-15
SW 5-15
West South
WSW 0-10
WSW 5-15
SW 5-15
SSW 5-15
Stevens Pass
WSW 5-15
WSW 5-15
WSW 5-15
SW 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass
W 10-20
W 5-15
WSW 5-15
SW 0-10
East North
WSW 5-15
WSW 10-20
SW 5-15
SW 5-15
East Central
W 5-15
W 10-20
W 5-15
SW 5-15
East South
WNW 5-15
W 5-15
WSW 5-15
SW 5-15
Mt. Hood
WSW 5-15
WSW 10-20
WSW 10-20
SW 10-20
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SW
5-15
Thursday
Night
SW
5-15
Friday
Morning
SW
5-15
Friday
Afternoon
S
5-15
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SSW
5-15
Thursday
Night
SSW
5-15
Friday
Morning
SSW
5-15
Friday
Afternoon
SSW
10-20
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SW
5-15
Thursday
Night
SW
5-15
Friday
Morning
SSW
5-15
Friday
Afternoon
SW
5-15
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WSW
0-10
Thursday
Night
WSW
5-15
Friday
Morning
SW
5-15
Friday
Afternoon
SSW
5-15
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WSW
5-15
Thursday
Night
WSW
5-15
Friday
Morning
WSW
5-15
Friday
Afternoon
SW
0-10
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
W
10-20
Thursday
Night
W
5-15
Friday
Morning
WSW
5-15
Friday
Afternoon
SW
0-10
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WSW
5-15
Thursday
Night
WSW
10-20
Friday
Morning
SW
5-15
Friday
Afternoon
SW
5-15
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
W
5-15
Thursday
Night
W
10-20
Friday
Morning
W
5-15
Friday
Afternoon
SW
5-15
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WNW
5-15
Thursday
Night
W
5-15
Friday
Morning
WSW
5-15
Friday
Afternoon
SW
5-15
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
WSW
5-15
Thursday
Night
WSW
10-20
Friday
Morning
WSW
10-20
Friday
Afternoon
SW
10-20
Issued: 2:10 PM PST Thursday, February 12, 2026
Extended Weather Synopsis
There is a lot of uncertainty in the extended forecast. Another cold trough sliding down the British Columbia Coast is likely to phase with the closed low off the California Coast, dragging moisture from the south into our region. With cold air in place, the warm front should bring some snowfall to the east slopes of the Cascades. But the details are very uncertain. However, ensemble guidance is split, with roughly a 50% chance of an alternative solution for Monday. In this scenario, a cutoff low settles over the region, leading to increased instability, snow showers, and very low snow levels. Another day of model runs will be needed to better assess which solution is more likely to verify.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).