Issued: 2:34 PM PST Tuesday, December 16, 2025
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

230pm Update: Adjusted Synopsis 

An atmospheric river is steering moisture and rising snow levels into our region this afternoon. Stormy conditions will intensify as a strong cold front approaches and sweeps from NW to SE across the area tonight, bringing heavy precipitation and strong winds across the mountains. Temperatures will remain mild through the evening and then snow levels will drop rapidly after the cold front sweeps through the Cascades in the 1-2am window.  

We'll be left in post-frontal westerly flow on Wednesday, with snow (finally!) showing up at lower elevations (2-3000') and stacking up throughout the day.  Snow totals through Wednesday afternoon should range from 6-18".  The west slopes of the Cascades, the Passes (above 4000'), and areas near the Cascade crest are the most likely places to see a foot or more of new snow. Westerly winds will be so strong that a clean convergence zone may be hard to discern on radar, but there may be stretches of E-W convergence bands in the Mt Loop and Stevens vicinity, particularly through mid-day Wednesday. Extreme winds will be a theme this afternoon and tonight just about everywhere.  Ferocious westerly winds will not let up on Wednesday, at least not immediately, and strong downslope winds will pepper not just the mountains but also ares along the eastern slopes of the Cascades during the day. Expect poor visibility during heavier showers/strong winds. Both showers and winds will taper slowly later in the day. 

Showers should be lighter on Wednesday night as a new Pacific frontal system approaches.  The heaviest precipitation and winds will push into the Mt Hood area early Thursday, and lighter but still significant precipitation will spread northward as an occluded front approaches the WA Cascades Thursday afternoon.  There will be some warming with this system, but outside of Mt Hood, it's unclear how much snow levels jump over the Cascades Thursday afternoon and evening. 

Weather Station Announcement: Our weather station network is struggling following this prolonged and epic storm cycle of flooding, high winds, washouts, fallen trees, etc.  Some stations may be down for an extended period. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Stormy with moderate to heavy rain and snow and extreme winds.
Wednesday Light to moderate snow showers. Extreme ridgeline winds slowly easing during the day.
Tuesday Night Stormy with moderate to heavy rain and snow and extreme winds.
Wednesday Moderate to occasionally heavy snow showers. Extreme ridgeline winds slowly easing during the day.
Tuesday Night Stormy with moderate to heavy rain and snow and extreme winds.
Wednesday Moderate to occasionally heavy snow showers. Extreme ridgeline winds slowly easing during the day.
Tuesday Night Stormy with moderate to heavy rain and snow and extreme winds.
Wednesday Light to moderate snow showers. Extreme ridgeline winds slowly easing during the day.
Tuesday Night Stormy with moderate to heavy rain and snow and strong W-SW winds at Pass level and becoming extreme along ridgelines.
Wednesday Moderate to occasionally heavy snow showers. Extreme Pass level and ridgeline W winds slowly easing during the day.
Tuesday Night Stormy with moderate to heavy rain and snow and strong W-SW winds at Pass level and becoming extreme along ridgelines.
Wednesday Moderate to occasionally heavy snow showers. Extreme Pass level and ridgeline W winds slowly easing during the day.
Tuesday Night Stormy with moderate to heavy rain and snow and extreme winds.
Wednesday Light to moderate snow showers, heaviest near the Cascade crest. Extreme ridgeline winds slowly easing during the day.
Tuesday Night Stormy with moderate rain and snow and extreme winds.
Wednesday Light to moderate snow showers, heaviest near the Cascade crest. Extreme ridgeline winds slowly easing during the day.
Tuesday Night Stormy with moderate rain and snow and extreme winds.
Wednesday Light to moderate snow showers, heaviest near the Cascade crest. Extreme ridgeline winds slowly easing during the day.
Tuesday Night Stormy with moderate to heavy rain and snow and extreme winds.
Wednesday Light to moderate snow showers. Extreme ridgeline winds slowly easing during the day.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 LT 0.25 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 2.00 - 2.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 2.50 0.75 -1.00 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass 1.50 0.75 0.25 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 1.50 - 2.00 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 -1.00
Crystal Mt 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0.75 -1.00
Paradise 1.50 - 2.00 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 1.00
White Pass 1.50 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 0.75 -1.00
Washington Pass 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 0.75
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 1.00 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0.75 -1.00
Mt Hood Meadows 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 LT 0.10 2.00 - 2.50
Timberline 1.50 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 2.50 - 3.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.50
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 2.00 - 2.50
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 2.50
Wednesday 0.75 -1.00
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.50
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.75 -1.00
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.75 -1.00
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 1.00
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.50
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.75 -1.00
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.75
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.75 -1.00
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.50
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 2.00 - 2.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.50
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 2.50 - 3.50

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon*
Olympics 7000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 5500'
West North 6000' 4000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 4000'
West Central 6500' 5000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 4500'
West South 7000' 6000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 5000'
Stevens Pass 6000' 5000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 7000' 5000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 5000'
East North 5000' 5000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 3000'
East Central 5500' 5500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3000'
East South 7500' 6000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 5000'
Mt. Hood 8000' 6500' 2500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3500' 8000'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening 7000'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 5500'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 6000'
Tuesday Night 4000'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 4000'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 6500'
Tuesday Night 5000'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 4500'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 7000'
Tuesday Night 6000'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 6000'
Tuesday Night 5000'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 7000'
Tuesday Night 5000'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 5000'
Tuesday Night 5000'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 2000'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 5500'
Tuesday Night 5500'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 7500'
Tuesday Night 6000'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening 8000'
Tuesday Night 6500'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning* 3500'
Thursday Afternoon* 8000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 35 / 24 24 / 21
West North 35 / 26 23 / 21
West Central 36 / 25 23 / 21
West South 38 / 25 25 / 20
Stevens Pass 37 / 25 23 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 37 / 25 24 / 21
East North 32 / 24 23 / 21
East Central 36 / 24 23 / 21
East South 40 / 24 25 / 20
Mt. Hood 42 / 27 26 / 22
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 35 / 24
Wednesday 24 / 21
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 35 / 26
Wednesday 23 / 21
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 36 / 25
Wednesday 23 / 21
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 38 / 25
Wednesday 25 / 20
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 37 / 25
Wednesday 23 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 37 / 25
Wednesday 24 / 21
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 32 / 24
Wednesday 23 / 21
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 36 / 24
Wednesday 23 / 21
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 40 / 24
Wednesday 25 / 20
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 42 / 27
Wednesday 26 / 22

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics SW 35-50 W 40-55 W 40-55 W 25-35
West North SSW 40-55 WSW 35-50 W 35-50 W 20-30
West Central SW 40-55 WSW 40-55 W 40-55 W 20-30
West South SW 40-55 W 40-55 W 40-55 W 30-40
Stevens Pass SSW 25-35 WSW 35-50 W 40-55 W 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass SSW 40-55 WSW 40-55 W 40-55 W 30-40
East North SW 25-35 WSW 40-55 W 40-55 W 30-40
East Central SW 35-50 WSW 40-55 W 50-70 W 40-55
East South SW 35-50 W 40-55 W 45-65 W 35-50
Mt. Hood SW 40-55 WSW 50-70 W 40-55 W 35-50
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 35-50
Tuesday Night W 40-55
Wednesday Morning W 40-55
Wednesday Afternoon W 25-35
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSW 40-55
Tuesday Night WSW 35-50
Wednesday Morning W 35-50
Wednesday Afternoon W 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 40-55
Tuesday Night WSW 40-55
Wednesday Morning W 40-55
Wednesday Afternoon W 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 40-55
Tuesday Night W 40-55
Wednesday Morning W 40-55
Wednesday Afternoon W 30-40
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSW 25-35
Tuesday Night WSW 35-50
Wednesday Morning W 40-55
Wednesday Afternoon W 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSW 40-55
Tuesday Night WSW 40-55
Wednesday Morning W 40-55
Wednesday Afternoon W 30-40
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 25-35
Tuesday Night WSW 40-55
Wednesday Morning W 40-55
Wednesday Afternoon W 30-40
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 35-50
Tuesday Night WSW 40-55
Wednesday Morning W 50-70
Wednesday Afternoon W 40-55
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 35-50
Tuesday Night W 40-55
Wednesday Morning W 45-65
Wednesday Afternoon W 35-50
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 40-55
Tuesday Night WSW 50-70
Wednesday Morning W 40-55
Wednesday Afternoon W 35-50

Extended Weather Synopsis

The frontal system will deliver heavy precipitation to the south WA Cascades and Mt Hood Thursday night as well, and snow levels will fall overnight.  We'll be in cool westerly flow Friday and Saturday with a broad upper level trough offshore.  Snow levels will stick below Pass levels and ski area bases as snow showers continue to accumulate several inches of fresh snow each day. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
West North 2500' 1500' 1000' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 2000' 1500' 2500'
Mt. Hood 5500' 2500' 2000' 2500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night 2500'
Friday 1500'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night 5500'
Friday 2500'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday 2500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 16, 2025

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.

📱 Download Avy App today ( iOS | Android )