Issued: 2:11 PM PST Friday, February 21, 2025
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A multi-day atmospheric river event arrives Friday through Sunday night. The initial wave moves through Washington State Friday afternoon, peaks during the evening hours, and tapers to post-frontal showers overnight into Saturday morning. The heaviest precipitation will be in the northern Cascades and Olympics, while moderate ridgeline SW winds buffet the entire winds. Snow levels will be around 5000 ft in the north and 6000 ft in the south. Warm air overrunning a shallow low-level cold pool initially creates a wintry mix for areas near and east of the Cascade Crest, while Washington Pass could pick up several inches of higher-density snowfall.

The atmospheric river ramps up Saturday afternoon with moderate to strong SW winds and warming. Heavy precipitation initially targets the Olympics and N Cascades as snow levels rise to 5500-7000 ft. The heavy precipitation rapidly spreads throughout the region in the evening as snow levels peak around 6000-9000 ft. Stormy and extremely wet conditions continue through Sunday evening. Snow levels gradually decrease to 5500-8000 ft on Sunday. There might be a brief, relative break in the action for the mountains of Washington State on Sunday morning before heavier precipitation moves back in. Expect water equivalent precipitation totals in the 2-5” range for west slopes of the Cascades and 1-2.5” totals further east through Sunday.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Light rain and higher elevation snow (moderate in southern and eastern Olympics) decrease and transition to showers. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Light rain and higher elevation snow becomes heavy in the afternoon. Increasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Moderate to heavy rain and snow become light and showery overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Mostly light rain and higher elevation snow showers transition to very heavy rain and snow later in the day. Increasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Moderate to heavy rain and snow become showery and light intensity overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Light rain and snow become moderate to heavy late in the day. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Moderate rain and higher elevation snow become mostly light overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Increasing light to moderate rain and higher elevation snow. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Moderate rain, snow, and freezing rain become light and showery overnight. Light to moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Saturday Mostly light rain and higher elevation snow. Moderate ridgeline and light to moderate E wind at the Pass.
Friday Night Moderate rain, snow, and freezing rain become light and showery overnight. Light to moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Saturday Mostly light rain and higher elevation snow. Moderate ridgeline and light to moderate E wind at the Pass.
Friday Night Moderate rain and snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Light rain and snow becomes moderate in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Decreasing light rain, snow, and freezing rain become showery overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Periods of light rain, snow, and freezing rain. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Decreasing light rain, snow, and freezing rain become showery overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Periods of light rain, snow, and freezing rain. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Increasing periods of light rain and higher elevation snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Increasing periods of light rain and higher elevation snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 1.00 0.75 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.75 -1.00 1.00 - 1.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.75 0.75 -1.00 2.00 1.00 - 1.50
Stevens Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 1.50 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 2.00 1.00 - 1.50
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 1.00 1.00
Paradise 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 2.00 - 2.50 1.50 - 2.00
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 1.00 - 1.50 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 1.50 0.75 -1.00
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75 0.50
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.50 0.25 1.50 1.00
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 LT 0.10 0.75 -1.00 0.75 -1.00
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 LT 0.10 1.00 - 1.50 2.00
Timberline LT 0.10 LT 0.10 1.00 - 1.50 2.00
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night 0.75
Sunday 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 1.00 - 1.50
Saturday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Saturday Night 2.00
Sunday 1.00 - 1.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night 1.50
Sunday 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night 2.00
Sunday 1.00 - 1.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 1.00
Sunday 1.00
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night 2.00 - 2.50
Sunday 1.50 - 2.00
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night 1.50
Sunday 0.75 -1.00
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.50
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 1.50
Sunday 1.00
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0.75 -1.00
Sunday 0.75 -1.00
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday 2.00
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday 2.00

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon* Saturday Evening* Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon
Olympics 6000' 6000' 5500' 7000' 7500' 7000' 6000' 6000'
West North 4500' 5000' 5000' 6000' 7000' 6500' 5500' 5500'
West Central 5000' 5000' 5500' 6000' 7500' 7000' 6500' 6000'
West South 5000' 5000' 6000' 6500' 8000' 8000' 7000' 7000'
Stevens Pass 5000' 5000' 5500' 6000' 7500' 7000' 6500' 6500'
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' 5000' 5500' 6500' 8000' 7500' 7000' 6500'
East North 4500' 4500' 5000' 5500' 6000' 6000' 5500' 6000'
East Central 4500' 4500' 5500' 6000' 7500' 7500' 7000' 6500'
East South 5000' 5000' 5500' 6500' 8000' 8000' 7500' 7000'
Mt. Hood 5500' 5500' 6000' 7000' 8500' 8500' 8000' 8000'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening* 6000'
Friday Night* 6000'
Saturday Morning* 5500'
Saturday Afternoon* 7000'
Saturday Evening* 7500'
Saturday Night* 7000'
Sunday Morning* 6000'
Sunday Afternoon 6000'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening* 4500'
Friday Night* 5000'
Saturday Morning* 5000'
Saturday Afternoon* 6000'
Saturday Evening* 7000'
Saturday Night* 6500'
Sunday Morning* 5500'
Sunday Afternoon 5500'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 5000'
Friday Night* 5000'
Saturday Morning* 5500'
Saturday Afternoon* 6000'
Saturday Evening* 7500'
Saturday Night* 7000'
Sunday Morning* 6500'
Sunday Afternoon 6000'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening* 5000'
Friday Night* 5000'
Saturday Morning* 6000'
Saturday Afternoon* 6500'
Saturday Evening* 8000'
Saturday Night* 8000'
Sunday Morning* 7000'
Sunday Afternoon 7000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 5000'
Friday Night* 5000'
Saturday Morning* 5500'
Saturday Afternoon* 6000'
Saturday Evening* 7500'
Saturday Night* 7000'
Sunday Morning* 6500'
Sunday Afternoon 6500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 5000'
Friday Night* 5000'
Saturday Morning* 5500'
Saturday Afternoon* 6500'
Saturday Evening* 8000'
Saturday Night* 7500'
Sunday Morning* 7000'
Sunday Afternoon 6500'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening* 4500'
Friday Night* 4500'
Saturday Morning* 5000'
Saturday Afternoon* 5500'
Saturday Evening* 6000'
Saturday Night* 6000'
Sunday Morning* 5500'
Sunday Afternoon 6000'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 4500'
Friday Night* 4500'
Saturday Morning* 5500'
Saturday Afternoon* 6000'
Saturday Evening* 7500'
Saturday Night* 7500'
Sunday Morning* 7000'
Sunday Afternoon 6500'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening* 5000'
Friday Night* 5000'
Saturday Morning* 5500'
Saturday Afternoon* 6500'
Saturday Evening* 8000'
Saturday Night* 8000'
Sunday Morning* 7500'
Sunday Afternoon 7000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening* 5500'
Friday Night* 5500'
Saturday Morning* 6000'
Saturday Afternoon* 7000'
Saturday Evening* 8500'
Saturday Night* 8500'
Sunday Morning* 8000'
Sunday Afternoon 8000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 34 / 32 38 / 33
West North 33 / 31 38 / 32
West Central 34 / 31 39 / 33
West South 34 / 32 39 / 33
Stevens Pass 35 / 31 38 / 34
Snoqualmie Pass 35 / 31 38 / 34
East North 32 / 26 34 / 30
East Central 34 / 30 38 / 33
East South 34 / 32 40 / 34
Mt. Hood 39 / 34 42 / 34
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 34 / 32
Saturday 38 / 33
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 33 / 31
Saturday 38 / 32
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 34 / 31
Saturday 39 / 33
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 34 / 32
Saturday 39 / 33
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 35 / 31
Saturday 38 / 34
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 35 / 31
Saturday 38 / 34
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 32 / 26
Saturday 34 / 30
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 34 / 30
Saturday 38 / 33
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 34 / 32
Saturday 40 / 34
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 39 / 34
Saturday 42 / 34

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics SSW 15-25 SW 15-25 SSW 15-25 SSW 25-35
West North SSW 20-30 SSW 15-25 SSW 20-30 SSW 25-35
West Central SSW 15-25 SW 15-25 SW 10-20 SSW 20-30
West South SW 20-30 SW 20-30 SW 15-25 SSW 20-30
Stevens Pass SW 10-20 WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 SW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass SSW 10-20 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 SSW 10-20
East North SW 10-20 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 SSW 15-25
East Central SW 10-20 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 SW 15-25
East South SW 10-20 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 SW 15-25
Mt. Hood SW 20-30 SW 25-35 WSW 20-30 SW 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 15-25
Friday Night SW 15-25
Saturday Morning SSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SSW 25-35
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 20-30
Friday Night SSW 15-25
Saturday Morning SSW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon SSW 25-35
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 15-25
Friday Night SW 15-25
Saturday Morning SW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SSW 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 20-30
Friday Night SW 20-30
Saturday Morning SW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SSW 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 10-20
Friday Night WSW 10-20
Saturday Morning WSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 10-20
Friday Night WSW 15-25
Saturday Morning WSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SSW 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 10-20
Friday Night WSW 15-25
Saturday Morning WSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SSW 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 10-20
Friday Night WSW 15-25
Saturday Morning WSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SW 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 10-20
Friday Night WSW 15-25
Saturday Morning WSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 20-30
Friday Night SW 25-35
Saturday Morning WSW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon SW 25-35

Extended Weather Synopsis

The last wave the atmospheric river moves through as a frontal wave lifts northward Sunday evening. Expect a short break in the action late Sunday night into Monday morning. Adeep low moving northward off the coast brings another round of heavy rain and snow with lowering snow levels Monday into Tuesday. Flow shifts from SSW with low-level E flow on Monday to WSW on Tuesday with post-frontal showers and 3500 ft snow levels.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night Monday * Monday Night Tuesday
West North 4500' 4000' 4000' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 5500' 4500' 4500' 3500'
Mt. Hood 6500' 6000' 5000' 4000'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night 4500'
Monday * 4000'
Monday Night 4000'
Tuesday 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night 5500'
Monday * 4500'
Monday Night 4500'
Tuesday 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night 6500'
Monday * 6000'
Monday Night 5000'
Tuesday 4000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 21, 2025

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.

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