Issued: 2:31 PM PST Saturday, December 7, 2024
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

The complex weather system impacting the Pacific Northwest enters the post-frontal phase as a cold front sweeps through late on Saturday. A well-defined convergence band formed over the Skagit and sweeps southward to Stevens Pass during the evening hours. Models indicate it could stall over Stevens Pass bringing up to 0.75-1" of water equivalent (8-12" of snow) over approximately 6 hours. Most other snowfall will be light to moderate during the evening hours as moderate W winds keep mountain-enhanced snowfall going across the west slopes and passes with some spillover.

An upper trough dropping down the Canadian Coastline re-invigorates shower activity overnight through Sunday. Banded convective showers initially target the mountains of Washington State more, but the focus of activity transitions to the central Washington Cascades southward in the afternoon. Hurricane Ridge and Mt Baker could get some sun breaks at this time.

Snow amounts through the remainder of the storm should be in the 18-24" range for Stevens Pass and Paradise and, 10-20" range for Mt Baker, Crystal, and Mt Hood. Some locations favored by convergence spillover will get significant snow totals on the east slopes of the Cascades.

A ridge of high pressure rebounds Sunday evening, cutting off snow flurries, and then partially clearing skies overnight. Monday should be cool and sunny with light winds as a ridge of high pressure expands in the nearshore waters.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Saturday Night Light rain and snow showers become moderate to heavy overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Sunday Light to moderate rain and snow showers taper to flurries by the afternoon. Decreasing light ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Light rain and snow become moderate to heavy overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Sunday Light to moderate rain and snow showers decrease in the afternoon. Decreasing light ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Light rain and snow showers become moderate to heavy overnight. Locally very intense in convergence over the southern mountain loop or Highway 2 corridor. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Sunday Moderate to heavy rain and snow showers decrease in the afternoon. Heaviest in convergence.
Saturday Night Light rain and snow become moderate to heavy overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds (strong near the Cascade Crest).
Sunday Heavy rain and snow showers at Paradise, moderate at White Pass and Crystal. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Heavy convergence snowfall likely in the evening hours, then moderate to heavy snow showers overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds with light to moderate W winds at the Pass.
Sunday Decreasing moderate to heavy snow showers. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds with light W wind at the Pass.
Saturday Night Light rain and snow in the evening becomes moderate to heavy overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds with light to moderate W winds at the Pass.
Sunday Decreasing moderate to heavy snow showers. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds with light W wind at the Pass.
Saturday Night Increasing light to moderate snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Sunday
Saturday Night Increasing light to moderate rain and snow showers. Significant convergence spillover likely in the highway 2 corridor. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Sunday Moderate snow showers become light in the afternoon. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Increasing light rain and snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.
Sunday Decreasing moderate rain and snow showers. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Light to moderate rain and snow. Strong ridgeline winds.
Sunday Heavy rain and snow showers. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.75 0.75 LT 0.10 0
Stevens Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.75 LT 0.10 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 LT 0.10 0
Crystal Mt 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 0
Paradise 0.75 1.00 - 1.50 0 0
White Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 0 0
Washington Pass 0.25 LT 0.25 0 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.50 0.50 LT 0.10 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 0.50 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 0.75 LT 0.10 0
Timberline 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 -1.00 LT 0.10 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.75
Sunday 0.75
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday 0.75
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.75
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.75
Sunday 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.75
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.50
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.50
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.75
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.75 -1.00
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon Sunday Evening Sunday Night Monday Morning Monday Afternoon*
Olympics 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3000' 2500' 3000' 4000'
West North 3000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
West Central 3000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3500'
West South 3500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 4500'
Stevens Pass 3500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 4000'
East North 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 2500' 1500' 1000' 3500'
East Central 3500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 2500' 2000' 4000'
East South 3500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 2500' 2000' 4500'
Mt. Hood 4000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3000' 5000'
Olympics Elevation
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 3000'
Sunday Morning 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
Sunday Evening 3000'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 3000'
Monday Afternoon* 4000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening 3000'
Sunday Night 2000'
Monday Morning 2500'
Monday Afternoon* 3000'
West Central Elevation
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 2500'
Monday Afternoon* 3500'
West South Elevation
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 2500'
Monday Afternoon* 4500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 2500'
Monday Afternoon* 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 2500'
Monday Afternoon* 4000'
East North Elevation
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning 1000'
Monday Afternoon* 3500'
East Central Elevation
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening 3000'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 2000'
Monday Afternoon* 4000'
East South Elevation
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening 3500'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 2000'
Monday Afternoon* 4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Evening 4000'
Saturday Night 3000'
Sunday Morning 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening 3000'
Sunday Night 3500'
Monday Morning 3000'
Monday Afternoon* 5000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Saturday Night Sunday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 28 / 26 30 / 26
West North 29 / 27 28 / 26
West Central 29 / 27 28 / 27
West South 28 / 26 29 / 27
Stevens Pass 29 / 26 29 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 30 / 26 29 / 27
East North 25 / 21 26 / 21
East Central 29 / 26 29 / 26
East South 30 / 26 30 / 27
Mt. Hood 32 / 28 30 / 29
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 28 / 26
Sunday 30 / 26
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 29 / 27
Sunday 28 / 26
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 29 / 27
Sunday 28 / 27
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 28 / 26
Sunday 29 / 27
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 29 / 26
Sunday 29 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 30 / 26
Sunday 29 / 27
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 25 / 21
Sunday 26 / 21
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 29 / 26
Sunday 29 / 26
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 30 / 26
Sunday 30 / 27
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 32 / 28
Sunday 30 / 29

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics WSW 10-20 WSW 15-25 W 10-20 WNW 0-10
West North W 15-25 SSW 15-25 WSW 5-15 WNW 0-10
West Central WNW 10-20 WSW 15-25 WSW 10-20 W 5-15
West South W 20-30 WSW 20-30 W 15-25 W 10-20
Stevens Pass W 15-25 WSW 15-25 W 10-20 W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass W 25-35 W 20-30 W 15-25 WNW 15-25
East North W 20-30 WSW 20-30 W 15-25 WNW 10-20
East Central W 25-35 W 25-35 W 20-30 WNW 10-20
East South W 20-30 W 20-30 W 20-30 W 10-20
Mt. Hood W 25-35 WSW 25-35 W 20-30 W 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening WSW 10-20
Saturday Night WSW 15-25
Sunday Morning W 10-20
Sunday Afternoon WNW 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening W 15-25
Saturday Night SSW 15-25
Sunday Morning WSW 5-15
Sunday Afternoon WNW 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening WNW 10-20
Saturday Night WSW 15-25
Sunday Morning WSW 10-20
Sunday Afternoon W 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening W 20-30
Saturday Night WSW 20-30
Sunday Morning W 15-25
Sunday Afternoon W 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening W 15-25
Saturday Night WSW 15-25
Sunday Morning W 10-20
Sunday Afternoon W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening W 25-35
Saturday Night W 20-30
Sunday Morning W 15-25
Sunday Afternoon WNW 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening W 20-30
Saturday Night WSW 20-30
Sunday Morning W 15-25
Sunday Afternoon WNW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening W 25-35
Saturday Night W 25-35
Sunday Morning W 20-30
Sunday Afternoon WNW 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening W 20-30
Saturday Night W 20-30
Sunday Morning W 20-30
Sunday Afternoon W 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening W 25-35
Saturday Night WSW 25-35
Sunday Morning W 20-30
Sunday Afternoon W 15-25

Extended Weather Synopsis

The ridge of high pressure brings a cool, clear night Monday night as the ridge of high pressure moves onshore. Temperatures quickly warm on Tuesday with high pressure parked over the area. High clouds increase over the area in the afternoon. A weak warm front brushes northern Washington with a chance of very light precipitation Tuesday night. Wednesday features another break as a stronger front moves toward the coastline.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Monday Night* Tuesday * Tuesday Night* Wednesday *
West North 2000' 7000' 5000' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 7000' 6000' 3000'
Mt. Hood 4500' 10500' 9500' 4000'
West North Elevation
Monday Night* 2000'
Tuesday * 7000'
Tuesday Night* 5000'
Wednesday * 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Night* 2500'
Tuesday * 7000'
Tuesday Night* 6000'
Wednesday * 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Night* 4500'
Tuesday * 10500'
Tuesday Night* 9500'
Wednesday * 4000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 7, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.