The complex weather system impacting the Pacific Northwest enters the post-frontal phase as a cold front sweeps through late on Saturday. A well-defined convergence band formed over the Skagit and sweeps southward to Stevens Pass during the evening hours. Models indicate it could stall over Stevens Pass bringing up to 0.75-1" of water equivalent (8-12" of snow) over approximately 6 hours. Most other snowfall will be light to moderate during the evening hours as moderate W winds keep mountain-enhanced snowfall going across the west slopes and passes with some spillover.
An upper trough dropping down the Canadian Coastline re-invigorates shower activity overnight through Tuesday. Banded convective showers initially target the mountains of Washington State more, but the focus of activity transitions to the central Washington Cascades southward in the afternoon. Hurricane Ridge and Mt Baker could get some sun breaks at this time.
Snow amounts through the remainder of the storm should be in the 18-24" range for Stevens Pass and Paradise and, 10-20" range for Mt Baker, Crystal, and Mt Hood. Some locations favored by convergence spillover will get significant snow totals on the east slopes of the Cascades.
A ridge of high pressure rebounds Sunday evening, cutting off snow flurries, and then partially clearing skies overnight. Monday should be cool and sunny with light winds as a ridge of high pressure expands in the nearshore waters.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Saturday
Night
Light rain and snow showers become moderate to heavy overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Sunday
Light to moderate rain and snow showers taper to flurries by the afternoon. Decreasing light ridgeline winds.
Saturday
Night
Light rain and snow become moderate to heavy overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Sunday
Light to moderate rain and snow showers decrease in the afternoon. Decreasing light ridgeline winds.
Saturday
Night
Light rain and snow showers become moderate to heavy overnight. Locally very intense in convergence over the southern mountain loop or Highway 2 corridor. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Sunday
Moderate to heavy rain and snow showers decrease in the afternoon. Heaviest in convergence.
Saturday
Night
Light rain and snow become moderate to heavy overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds (strong near the Cascade Crest).
Sunday
Heavy rain and snow showers at Paradise, moderate at White Pass and Crystal. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday
Night
Heavy convergence snowfall likely in the evening hours, then moderate to heavy snow showers overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds with light to moderate W winds at the Pass.
Sunday
Decreasing moderate to heavy snow showers. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds with light W wind at the Pass.
Saturday
Night
Light rain and snow in the evening becomes moderate to heavy overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds with light to moderate W winds at the Pass.
Sunday
Decreasing moderate to heavy snow showers. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds with light W wind at the Pass.
Saturday
Night
Increasing light to moderate snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Sunday
Saturday
Night
Increasing light to moderate rain and snow showers. Significant convergence spillover likely in the highway 2 corridor. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Sunday
Moderate snow showers become light in the afternoon. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday
Night
Increasing light rain and snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.
Sunday
Decreasing moderate rain and snow showers. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday
Night
Light to moderate rain and snow. Strong ridgeline winds.
Sunday
Heavy rain and snow showers. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Issued: 2:05 PM PST Saturday, December 7, 2024
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
Sunday
Sunday Night
Monday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
0.50 - 0.75
0.25 - 0.50
0
0
Mt Baker Ski Area
0.50 - 0.75
0.25 - 0.50
0
0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
0.75
0.75
LT 0.10
0
Stevens Pass
1.00 - 1.50
0.75
LT 0.10
0
Snoqualmie Pass
0.50 - 0.75
0.75
LT 0.10
0
Crystal Mt
0.25
0.50 - 0.75
LT 0.10
0
Paradise
0.75
1.00 - 1.50
0
0
White Pass
0.50 - 0.75
0.75
0
0
Washington Pass
0.25
LT 0.25
0
0
Mission Ridge
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
0
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
0.50
0.50
LT 0.10
0
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
0.25
0.50
0
0
Mt Hood Meadows
0.25
0.75
LT 0.10
0
Timberline
0.25 - 0.50
0.75 -1.00
LT 0.10
0
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Sunday
0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night
0
Monday
0
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Sunday
0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night
0
Monday
0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0.75
Sunday
0.75
Sunday Night
LT 0.10
Monday
0
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
1.00 - 1.50
Sunday
0.75
Sunday Night
LT 0.10
Monday
0
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Sunday
0.75
Sunday Night
LT 0.10
Monday
0
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0.25
Sunday
0.50 - 0.75
Sunday Night
LT 0.10
Monday
0
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0.75
Sunday
1.00 - 1.50
Sunday Night
0
Monday
0
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Sunday
0.75
Sunday Night
0
Monday
0
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0.25
Sunday
LT 0.25
Sunday Night
0
Monday
0
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
LT 0.25
Sunday
LT 0.25
Sunday Night
0
Monday
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0.50
Sunday
0.50
Sunday Night
LT 0.10
Monday
0
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0.25
Sunday
0.50
Sunday Night
0
Monday
0
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0.25
Sunday
0.75
Sunday Night
LT 0.10
Monday
0
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Sunday
0.75 -1.00
Sunday Night
LT 0.10
Monday
0
Issued: 2:05 PM PST Saturday, December 7, 2024
Snow Level (ft)
Saturday
Evening
Saturday
Night
Sunday
Morning
Sunday
Afternoon
Sunday
Evening
Sunday
Night
Monday
Morning
Monday
Afternoon*
Olympics
3000'
3000'
3000'
3500'
3000'
2500'
3000'
4000'
West North
3000'
2500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
2000'
2500'
3000'
West Central
3000'
2500'
3000'
3000'
2500'
2500'
2500'
3500'
West South
3500'
2500'
3000'
3000'
2500'
2500'
2500'
4500'
Stevens Pass
3500'
2500'
3000'
3000'
2500'
2500'
2500'
3500'
Snoqualmie Pass
3500'
2500'
3000'
3000'
2500'
2500'
2500'
4000'
East North
3000'
2500'
2500'
3000'
2500'
1500'
1000'
3500'
East Central
3500'
2500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
2500'
2000'
4000'
East South
3500'
2500'
3000'
3000'
3500'
2500'
2000'
4500'
Mt. Hood
4000'
3000'
3000'
3000'
3000'
3500'
3000'
5000'
Olympics
Elevation
Saturday
Evening
3000'
Saturday
Night
3000'
Sunday
Morning
3000'
Sunday
Afternoon
3500'
Sunday
Evening
3000'
Sunday
Night
2500'
Monday
Morning
3000'
Monday
Afternoon*
4000'
West North
Elevation
Saturday
Evening
3000'
Saturday
Night
2500'
Sunday
Morning
3000'
Sunday
Afternoon
3000'
Sunday
Evening
3000'
Sunday
Night
2000'
Monday
Morning
2500'
Monday
Afternoon*
3000'
West Central
Elevation
Saturday
Evening
3000'
Saturday
Night
2500'
Sunday
Morning
3000'
Sunday
Afternoon
3000'
Sunday
Evening
2500'
Sunday
Night
2500'
Monday
Morning
2500'
Monday
Afternoon*
3500'
West South
Elevation
Saturday
Evening
3500'
Saturday
Night
2500'
Sunday
Morning
3000'
Sunday
Afternoon
3000'
Sunday
Evening
2500'
Sunday
Night
2500'
Monday
Morning
2500'
Monday
Afternoon*
4500'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Saturday
Evening
3500'
Saturday
Night
2500'
Sunday
Morning
3000'
Sunday
Afternoon
3000'
Sunday
Evening
2500'
Sunday
Night
2500'
Monday
Morning
2500'
Monday
Afternoon*
3500'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Saturday
Evening
3500'
Saturday
Night
2500'
Sunday
Morning
3000'
Sunday
Afternoon
3000'
Sunday
Evening
2500'
Sunday
Night
2500'
Monday
Morning
2500'
Monday
Afternoon*
4000'
East North
Elevation
Saturday
Evening
3000'
Saturday
Night
2500'
Sunday
Morning
2500'
Sunday
Afternoon
3000'
Sunday
Evening
2500'
Sunday
Night
1500'
Monday
Morning
1000'
Monday
Afternoon*
3500'
East Central
Elevation
Saturday
Evening
3500'
Saturday
Night
2500'
Sunday
Morning
3000'
Sunday
Afternoon
3000'
Sunday
Evening
3000'
Sunday
Night
2500'
Monday
Morning
2000'
Monday
Afternoon*
4000'
East South
Elevation
Saturday
Evening
3500'
Saturday
Night
2500'
Sunday
Morning
3000'
Sunday
Afternoon
3000'
Sunday
Evening
3500'
Sunday
Night
2500'
Monday
Morning
2000'
Monday
Afternoon*
4500'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Saturday
Evening
4000'
Saturday
Night
3000'
Sunday
Morning
3000'
Sunday
Afternoon
3000'
Sunday
Evening
3000'
Sunday
Night
3500'
Monday
Morning
3000'
Monday
Afternoon*
5000'
Issued: 2:05 PM PST Saturday, December 7, 2024
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Saturday
Night
Sunday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
28 / 26
30 / 26
West North
29 / 27
28 / 26
West Central
29 / 27
28 / 27
West South
28 / 26
29 / 27
Stevens Pass
29 / 26
29 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass
30 / 26
29 / 27
East North
25 / 21
26 / 21
East Central
29 / 26
29 / 26
East South
30 / 26
30 / 27
Mt. Hood
32 / 28
30 / 29
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
28 / 26
Sunday
30 / 26
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
29 / 27
Sunday
28 / 26
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
29 / 27
Sunday
28 / 27
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
28 / 26
Sunday
29 / 27
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
29 / 26
Sunday
29 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
30 / 26
Sunday
29 / 27
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
25 / 21
Sunday
26 / 21
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
29 / 26
Sunday
29 / 26
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
30 / 26
Sunday
30 / 27
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
32 / 28
Sunday
30 / 29
Issued: 2:05 PM PST Saturday, December 7, 2024
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
Saturday
Night
Sunday
Morning
Sunday
Afternoon
Olympics
WSW 10-20
WSW 15-25
W 10-20
WNW 0-10
West North
W 15-25
SSW 15-25
WSW 5-15
WNW 0-10
West Central
WNW 10-20
WSW 15-25
WSW 10-20
W 5-15
West South
W 20-30
WSW 20-30
W 15-25
W 10-20
Stevens Pass
W 15-25
WSW 15-25
W 10-20
W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass
W 25-35
W 20-30
W 15-25
WNW 15-25
East North
W 20-30
WSW 20-30
W 15-25
WNW 10-20
East Central
W 25-35
W 25-35
W 20-30
WNW 10-20
East South
W 20-30
W 20-30
W 20-30
W 10-20
Mt. Hood
W 25-35
WSW 25-35
W 20-30
W 15-25
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
WSW
10-20
Saturday
Night
WSW
15-25
Sunday
Morning
W
10-20
Sunday
Afternoon
WNW
0-10
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
W
15-25
Saturday
Night
SSW
15-25
Sunday
Morning
WSW
5-15
Sunday
Afternoon
WNW
0-10
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
WNW
10-20
Saturday
Night
WSW
15-25
Sunday
Morning
WSW
10-20
Sunday
Afternoon
W
5-15
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
W
20-30
Saturday
Night
WSW
20-30
Sunday
Morning
W
15-25
Sunday
Afternoon
W
10-20
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
W
15-25
Saturday
Night
WSW
15-25
Sunday
Morning
W
10-20
Sunday
Afternoon
W
10-20
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
W
25-35
Saturday
Night
W
20-30
Sunday
Morning
W
15-25
Sunday
Afternoon
WNW
15-25
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
W
20-30
Saturday
Night
WSW
20-30
Sunday
Morning
W
15-25
Sunday
Afternoon
WNW
10-20
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
W
25-35
Saturday
Night
W
25-35
Sunday
Morning
W
20-30
Sunday
Afternoon
WNW
10-20
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
W
20-30
Saturday
Night
W
20-30
Sunday
Morning
W
20-30
Sunday
Afternoon
W
10-20
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
W
25-35
Saturday
Night
WSW
25-35
Sunday
Morning
W
20-30
Sunday
Afternoon
W
15-25
Issued: 2:05 PM PST Saturday, December 7, 2024
Extended Weather Synopsis
The ridge of high pressure brings a cool, clear night Monday night as the ridge of high pressure moves onshore. Temperatures quickly warm on Tuesday with high pressure parked over the area. High clouds increase over the area in the afternoon. A weak warm front brushes northern Washington with a chance of very light precipitation Tuesday night. Wednesday features another break as a stronger front moves toward the coastline.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).