Welcome to the 2024-25 NWAC winter forecasting season!
Friday night and Saturday morning will be a bit of the proverbial "calm before the storm," ahead of a very wet and windy weekend. A few light isolated showers continue to linger around the Cascades Friday afternoon. However, most places are experiencing significant sun breaks or even mostly clear skies. Overnight temperatures will drop further, but increasing clouds should help prevent it from getting significantly colder. By the morning, clouds begin to thicken and lower as our first storm system arrives around midday.
With cold temperatures in place, the storm should initially start as snow for most of the Olympics and the West-Slopes of the Cascades. However, a sharp warm front swings through in the late afternoon/early evening and sends temperatures rising. This will result in several notable changes in the storm. First, snow levels should climb well above pass and most trailhead elevations and peak between 5000 and 6500 ft in the early morning hours. Second, strong and gusty winds will develop along ridgelines and exposed areas. Lastly, more significant precipitation should spillover the Cascade Crest and bring heavier rain and snow to areas further east.
Sunday morning should start with rain and high-elevation snow in the mountains. However, a trailing cold front will help snow levels lower throughout the day. Snow appears to return to the Passes sometime in the afternoon. Significant post-frontal showers should continue Sunday night and into Monday. The heaviest precipitation seems to focus on volcanoes and central Cascades. While all the weather models are confident in continued wet and cold weather, they disagree significantly about the amount of snow on Monday.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday
Night
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy.
Saturday
Cloudy with snow changing to rain around mid-day. Moderate to strong and gusty SSW winds increasing.
Friday
Night
Partly to mostly cloudy becoming cloudy overnight.
Saturday
Cloudy with precipitation increasing in the afternoon. Significant warming during the day. SSW winds increasing and becoming strong and gusty.
Friday
Night
Partly to mostly cloudy becoming cloudy overnight.
Saturday
Cloudy with precipitation increasing in the afternoon. Significant warming during the day. SW winds increasing and becoming moderate to strong and gusty.
Friday
Night
Partly to partly to mostly cloudy becoming cloudy overnight.
Saturday
Cloudy with precipitation increarsing in the afternoon. Significant warming with snow turning to rain at most trailheads. SW winds becoming moderate to strong and gusty.
Friday
Night
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy overnight. Weak east flow possible at pass level.
Saturday
Cloudy with rain and snow developing in the afternoon. Warming. Winds becoming moderate from the SW.
Friday
Night
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy overnight. Weak east flow possible at pass level.
Saturday
Cloudy with snow changing to rain at Pass level mid-day. Warming. SW winds becoming moderate to strong and gusty.
Friday
Night
Partly to mostly clear becoming cloudy.
Saturday
Clouding with rain and snow developing in the afternoon. Warming. Winds becoming SW moderate.
Friday
Night
Partly to mostly clear becoming cloudy.
Saturday
Cloudy with rain and snow developing in the afternoon. Heaviest near the Cascade crest. Warming. W winds increasing and becoming moderate to strong and gusty.
Friday
Night
Partly to mostly clear becoming cloudy.
Saturday
Cloudy with rain and snow developing in the afternoon. Heaviest near the Cascade crest. Warming. W winds increasing and becoming moderate to strong and gusty.
Friday
Night
Partly to mostly clear becoming cloudy.
Saturday
Cloudy with rain and snow developing in the afternoon. Significant warming. Winds becoming W moderate to strong and gusty.
Issued: 2:01 PM PST Friday, November 15, 2024
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
Saturday
Saturday Night
Sunday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
0
0.25
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area
0
0.50
1.00 - 1.50
0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
0
0.25 - 0.50
1.50
1.00
Stevens Pass
0
LT 0.25
1.00 - 1.50
0.75
Snoqualmie Pass
0
0.25
1.00 - 1.50
0.75 -1.00
Crystal Mt
0
LT 0.10
0.50
0.50
Paradise
0
0.25 - 0.50
1.50
0.75 -1.00
White Pass
0
0.25
0.75 -1.00
0.75
Washington Pass
0
LT 0.25
0.75
0.50
Mission Ridge
0
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
0
LT 0.25
0.75 -1.00
0.50 - 0.75
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
0
LT 0.10
0.50
0.50
Mt Hood Meadows
0
LT 0.25
1.00 - 1.50
1.00 - 1.50
Timberline
0
0.25
1.00 - 1.50
1.00 - 1.50
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.25
Saturday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Sunday
LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.50
Saturday Night
1.00 - 1.50
Sunday
0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night
1.50
Sunday
1.00
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.25
Saturday Night
1.00 - 1.50
Sunday
0.75
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.25
Saturday Night
1.00 - 1.50
Sunday
0.75 -1.00
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
0.50
Sunday
0.50
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night
1.50
Sunday
0.75 -1.00
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.25
Saturday Night
0.75 -1.00
Sunday
0.75
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.25
Saturday Night
0.75
Sunday
0.50
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Sunday
0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.25
Saturday Night
0.75 -1.00
Sunday
0.50 - 0.75
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
0.50
Sunday
0.50
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.25
Saturday Night
1.00 - 1.50
Sunday
1.00 - 1.50
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.25
Saturday Night
1.00 - 1.50
Sunday
1.00 - 1.50
Issued: 2:01 PM PST Friday, November 15, 2024
Snow Level (ft)
Friday
Evening
Friday
Night
Saturday
Morning
Saturday
Afternoon
Saturday
Evening
Saturday
Night
Sunday
Morning
Sunday
Afternoon
Olympics
2500'
2500'
3000'
6000'
6500'
6500'
4000'
2500'
West North
2500'
2000'
2000'
3000'
4000'
4500'
4000'
3000'
West Central
2500'
2500'
2000'
3500'
4000'
5500'
5000'
3000'
West South
2500'
2500'
2000'
3500'
5000'
6500'
5500'
4000'
Stevens Pass
2500'
2500'
2000'
3000'
4000'
6000'
5000'
3500'
Snoqualmie Pass
2500'
2500'
2000'
3000'
4500'
6000'
5000'
3500'
East North
2500'
2000'
2000'
3000'
4000'
5000'
4500'
3500'
East Central
2500'
2500'
2000'
3000'
4000'
6000'
5500'
3500'
East South
2500'
2500'
2000'
3500'
4500'
6000'
5500'
4000'
Mt. Hood
3000'
2500'
2000'
3500'
6000'
6500'
6500'
4500'
Olympics
Elevation
Friday
Evening
2500'
Friday
Night
2500'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
6000'
Saturday
Evening
6500'
Saturday
Night
6500'
Sunday
Morning
4000'
Sunday
Afternoon
2500'
West North
Elevation
Friday
Evening
2500'
Friday
Night
2000'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Saturday
Evening
4000'
Saturday
Night
4500'
Sunday
Morning
4000'
Sunday
Afternoon
3000'
West Central
Elevation
Friday
Evening
2500'
Friday
Night
2500'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
Saturday
Evening
4000'
Saturday
Night
5500'
Sunday
Morning
5000'
Sunday
Afternoon
3000'
West South
Elevation
Friday
Evening
2500'
Friday
Night
2500'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
Saturday
Evening
5000'
Saturday
Night
6500'
Sunday
Morning
5500'
Sunday
Afternoon
4000'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Friday
Evening
2500'
Friday
Night
2500'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Saturday
Evening
4000'
Saturday
Night
6000'
Sunday
Morning
5000'
Sunday
Afternoon
3500'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Friday
Evening
2500'
Friday
Night
2500'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Saturday
Evening
4500'
Saturday
Night
6000'
Sunday
Morning
5000'
Sunday
Afternoon
3500'
East North
Elevation
Friday
Evening
2500'
Friday
Night
2000'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Saturday
Evening
4000'
Saturday
Night
5000'
Sunday
Morning
4500'
Sunday
Afternoon
3500'
East Central
Elevation
Friday
Evening
2500'
Friday
Night
2500'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Saturday
Evening
4000'
Saturday
Night
6000'
Sunday
Morning
5500'
Sunday
Afternoon
3500'
East South
Elevation
Friday
Evening
2500'
Friday
Night
2500'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
Saturday
Evening
4500'
Saturday
Night
6000'
Sunday
Morning
5500'
Sunday
Afternoon
4000'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Friday
Evening
3000'
Friday
Night
2500'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
Saturday
Evening
6000'
Saturday
Night
6500'
Sunday
Morning
6500'
Sunday
Afternoon
4500'
Issued: 2:01 PM PST Friday, November 15, 2024
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Friday
Night
Saturday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
30 / 23
33 / 25
West North
29 / 23
29 / 22
West Central
31 / 25
32 / 25
West South
29 / 23
32 / 21
Stevens Pass
28 / 23
29 / 24
Snoqualmie Pass
31 / 23
32 / 24
East North
23 / 18
26 / 18
East Central
30 / 21
30 / 20
East South
30 / 22
31 / 21
Mt. Hood
24 / 21
31 / 23
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
30 / 23
Saturday
33 / 25
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
29 / 23
Saturday
29 / 22
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
31 / 25
Saturday
32 / 25
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
29 / 23
Saturday
32 / 21
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
28 / 23
Saturday
29 / 24
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
31 / 23
Saturday
32 / 24
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
23 / 18
Saturday
26 / 18
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
30 / 21
Saturday
30 / 20
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
30 / 22
Saturday
31 / 21
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
24 / 21
Saturday
31 / 23
Issued: 2:01 PM PST Friday, November 15, 2024
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
Friday
Night
Saturday
Morning
Saturday
Afternoon
Olympics
WNW 0-10
W 10-20
SSW 15-25
SSW 20-30
West North
W 0-10
SW 5-15
SSW 20-30
SSW 25-35
West Central
WNW 5-15
W 5-15
SW 15-25
SW 20-30
West South
WNW 5-15
W 5-15
SW 10-20
SW 20-30
Stevens Pass
WNW 5-15
W 5-15
W 5-15
SW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass
NW 5-15
W 5-15
W 10-20
SW 20-30
East North
NNW 5-15
WNW 5-15
W 10-20
SW 15-25
East Central
N 5-15
WNW 5-15
W 15-25
W 20-30
East South
NNW 5-15
NW 5-15
W 10-20
W 20-30
Mt. Hood
NW 10-20
NW 10-20
WNW 10-20
W 20-30
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
WNW
0-10
Friday
Night
W
10-20
Saturday
Morning
SSW
15-25
Saturday
Afternoon
SSW
20-30
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
W
0-10
Friday
Night
SW
5-15
Saturday
Morning
SSW
20-30
Saturday
Afternoon
SSW
25-35
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
WNW
5-15
Friday
Night
W
5-15
Saturday
Morning
SW
15-25
Saturday
Afternoon
SW
20-30
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
WNW
5-15
Friday
Night
W
5-15
Saturday
Morning
SW
10-20
Saturday
Afternoon
SW
20-30
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
WNW
5-15
Friday
Night
W
5-15
Saturday
Morning
W
5-15
Saturday
Afternoon
SW
15-25
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
NW
5-15
Friday
Night
W
5-15
Saturday
Morning
W
10-20
Saturday
Afternoon
SW
20-30
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
NNW
5-15
Friday
Night
WNW
5-15
Saturday
Morning
W
10-20
Saturday
Afternoon
SW
15-25
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
N
5-15
Friday
Night
WNW
5-15
Saturday
Morning
W
15-25
Saturday
Afternoon
W
20-30
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
NNW
5-15
Friday
Night
NW
5-15
Saturday
Morning
W
10-20
Saturday
Afternoon
W
20-30
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
NW
10-20
Friday
Night
NW
10-20
Saturday
Morning
WNW
10-20
Saturday
Afternoon
W
20-30
Issued: 2:01 PM PST Friday, November 15, 2024
Extended Weather Synopsis
The wet and windy weather seems to stay with us into the first part of the week. Showers continue Monday before slowly tapering off overnight. This will offer a short-lived break in the action. Tuesday should the driest day of the forecast period. Some areas could even see a few sun breaks especially east of the Cascade Crest. Our next major storm system appears to arrive Tuesday night. It's a long way our, and the details are still a bit hazy, but this storm looks colder with snow levels hovering around 2000-3000ft.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).