Issued: 2:13 PM PST Thursday, February 15, 2024
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A weak upper low continues to spin off the Washington Coastline on Thursday afternoon with light snow showers spinning into the mountains of Washington State through the early evening hours. The low will weaken and move east of the Cascades during the early evening, with a rapid tapering of snow shower activity. Meanwhile, a weakening warm front will bring some light to moderate snow to the Mt Hood area. That front stalls overnight, only bringing some very light snow into the mountains of southernmost Washington. That snowfall should be very light and lingers into Friday as a shortwave ridge replaces the warm front. The result will be the start of a warming trend for areas not exposed to E flow drawing cold air through the gaps and into areas near the Cascade Crest. This will primarily impact the Olympics on Friday afternoon, with freezing levels rising to around 5500 ft.

The warming trend should spread into the West North, West Central, and parts of the West South Cascades Friday night and Saturday as southerly flow aloft brings in mild air ahead of an approaching cold front. The front should bring some very light rain or snow to Mt Hood, the southern Cascade Volcanoes, and the Olympics late in the day.

The other major story will be moderate to locally strong ridgeline winds ramping up Friday afternoon and peaking on Saturday morning.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Light snow ending during the early evening hours, then clearing skies.
Friday Mostly cloudy.
Thursday Night Partly cloudy early, then mostly clearing skies.
Friday Mostly sunny. High clouds arrive late in the day.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow flurries in the evening. Mostly clear skies overnight.
Friday Mostly sunny. High clouds arrive late in the afternoon.
Thursday Night A few light snow showers early. Light snow at times mainly south of Mt Rainier.
Friday Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow flurries in the morning.
Thursday Night Gradually clearing skies with a chance of snow flurries in the evening. Increasing light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Friday Mostly sunny in the morning with high clouds increasing in the afternoon. Increasing moderate ridgeline and light E wind at the Pass.
Thursday Night Gradually clearing skies with a chance of snow flurries in the evening. Increasing light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Friday Mostly sunny in the morning with high clouds increasing in the afternoon. Increasing moderate ridgeline and light to moderate E wind at the Pass.
Thursday Night A chance of snow flurries in the evening, then mostly clearing skies. of snow flurries in the evening. Clearing skies overnight.
Friday Mostly sunny.
Thursday Night A chance of snow flurries in the evening, then mostly clearing skies.
Friday Mostly sunny. Moderate ridgeline winds develop in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Light snow or snow showers at times mainly southern part.
Friday Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow flurries in the morning.
Thursday Night Light to moderate snow.
Friday Cloudy with decreasing periods of light snow. Moderate ridgeline winds develop in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 0 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
White Pass LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.25
Timberline 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon* Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon*
Olympics 1500' 3000' 4000' 5500' 6000' 5500' 5500' 5500'
West North 1500' 1500' 2000' 3500' 4000' 4500' 4500' 4500'
West Central 1500' 1500' 1000' 3000' 4000' 4500' 4500' 4500'
West South 1000' 1000' 1000' 3000' 4000' 4500' 4500' 4500'
Stevens Pass 0 500' 500' 2000' 1000' 1500' 1500' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 500' 500' 2000' 1000' 1500' 1500' 2000'
East North 0 0 0 1000' 0 1000' 1000' 1500'
East Central 0 500' 500' 1500' 500' 1000' 1500' 1500'
East South 500' 500' 1000' 2000' 1000' 1500' 2000' 1500'
Mt. Hood 2500' 3000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 3000' 3500' 4500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening* 1500'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon* 5500'
Friday Evening* 6000'
Friday Night* 5500'
Saturday Morning* 5500'
Saturday Afternoon* 5500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 1500'
Thursday Night* 1500'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon* 3500'
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night* 4500'
Saturday Morning* 4500'
Saturday Afternoon* 4500'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 1500'
Thursday Night* 1500'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon* 3000'
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night* 4500'
Saturday Morning* 4500'
Saturday Afternoon* 4500'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 1000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon* 3000'
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night* 4500'
Saturday Morning* 4500'
Saturday Afternoon* 4500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
Friday Evening* 1000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 500'
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
Friday Evening* 1000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 2000'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 1000'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday Morning* 1000'
Saturday Afternoon* 1500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 1500'
Friday Evening* 500'
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 1500'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 500'
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
Friday Evening* 1000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 2000'
Saturday Afternoon* 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon* 4000'
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning* 3500'
Saturday Afternoon* 4500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 23 / 19 36 / 22
West North 21 / 19 32 / 20
West Central 21 / 17 28 / 19
West South 22 / 16 29 / 17
Stevens Pass 18 / 15 26 / 15
Snoqualmie Pass 19 / 15 26 / 15
East North 16 / 10 22 / 10
East Central 17 / 13 24 / 12
East South 20 / 15 25 / 14
Mt. Hood 26 / 19 27 / 20
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 23 / 19
Friday 36 / 22
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 21 / 19
Friday 32 / 20
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 21 / 17
Friday 28 / 19
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 22 / 16
Friday 29 / 17
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 18 / 15
Friday 26 / 15
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 19 / 15
Friday 26 / 15
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 16 / 10
Friday 22 / 10
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 17 / 13
Friday 24 / 12
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 20 / 15
Friday 25 / 14
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 26 / 19
Friday 27 / 20

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics SE 5-15 SSE 5-15 SSE 5-15 S 5-15
West North E 5-15 ESE 5-15 ESE 5-15 SE 10-20
West Central ESE 5-15 ESE 10-20 ESE 10-20 ESE 15-25
West South ESE 0-10 ESE 10-20 SE 15-25 SE 15-25
Stevens Pass E 10-20 ESE 10-20 ESE 10-20 ESE 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 5-15 ESE 10-20 ESE 15-25 ESE 20-30
East North E 5-15 E 5-15 ESE 5-15 ESE 10-20
East Central ENE 5-15 E 5-15 ESE 5-15 ESE 10-20
East South E 0-10 E 5-15 ESE 5-15 ESE 10-20
Mt. Hood W 5-15 S 5-15 SE 5-15 SE 10-20
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 5-15
Thursday Night SSE 5-15
Friday Morning SSE 5-15
Friday Afternoon S 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 5-15
Thursday Night ESE 5-15
Friday Morning ESE 5-15
Friday Afternoon SE 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening ESE 5-15
Thursday Night ESE 10-20
Friday Morning ESE 10-20
Friday Afternoon ESE 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening ESE 0-10
Thursday Night ESE 10-20
Friday Morning SE 15-25
Friday Afternoon SE 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 10-20
Thursday Night ESE 10-20
Friday Morning ESE 10-20
Friday Afternoon ESE 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening ESE 5-15
Thursday Night ESE 10-20
Friday Morning ESE 15-25
Friday Afternoon ESE 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 5-15
Thursday Night E 5-15
Friday Morning ESE 5-15
Friday Afternoon ESE 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening ENE 5-15
Thursday Night E 5-15
Friday Morning ESE 5-15
Friday Afternoon ESE 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 0-10
Thursday Night E 5-15
Friday Morning ESE 5-15
Friday Afternoon ESE 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 5-15
Thursday Night S 5-15
Friday Morning SE 5-15
Friday Afternoon SE 10-20

Extended Weather Synopsis

Waves of moisture move from SSW to NNE along a stalled and weakening frontal boundary. The most significant wave moves northward on Sunday morning. East gap winds will be gradually decreasing in the moderate range. Areas west of the Crest should be near or above normal. The east slopes of the Cascades will begin to warm up more significantly on Sunday.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night* Sunday * Sunday Night* Monday *
West North 3500' 3500' 4000' 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 3000' 3500' 3000'
Mt. Hood 3500' 4000' 5000' 3500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday * 3500'
Sunday Night* 4000'
Monday * 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night* 2500'
Sunday * 3000'
Sunday Night* 3500'
Monday * 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday * 4000'
Sunday Night* 5000'
Monday * 3500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 15, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.