Issued: 2:15 PM PST Wednesday, February 14, 2024
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A complex system will bring impactful weather and significant snowfall focused on the southern half of our forecast region through Thursday afternoon. Snow started around Mt Hood around noon as a warm front lifts slowly northward. The associated low pressure sits of the Oregon coastline and tracks slowly toward the mouth of the Columbia River. The warm front will bring increasing moderate to heavy snow Wednesday night to areas from Mt Hood to Mt Rainier, with higher snowfall rates also possible with E slope enhancement for the Wenatchee Mountains and Icicle Creek areas. The combined upper-level support of ESE winds aloft and increased low-level pressure gradients will drive moderate winds through the mountain gaps and along exposed ridgelines near and west of the Cascade Crest, with peak winds Wednesday night. The front lingers near the coastline or shifts slightly onshore on Thursday, bringing the highest snowfall rates to the SE Olympics, but continued decreasing moderate to locally heavy snowfall for the southern volcanoes and Wenatchee Mountains. Storm totals should be in the 20-30" range for Mt St Helens, 15-20" range for Mt Hood and Paradise, and 5-15" range for most other areas south of I-90. Snowfall amounts decrease dramatically from Snoqualmie Pass northward, where we expect 1-4" accumulations, with only a dusting for Mt Baker. Temperatures will be favorable for high snow-water ratios and snow levels hovering near or just above sea level.

Snow showers taper or end over much of Washington State Friday evening as the remnants of the low move onshore. A stationary front lingers over North Oregon Thursday night and weakens Friday as ridging brings a mostly dry day on Friday. Expect a cold start to the day with freezing levels rising rapidly up to the 3000 ft range for the west slopes of the Cascades. E flow increases as an offshore frontal system approaches.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Light snow develops and increases (becoming moderate to heavy at times in the SE Olympics). Thursday: Moderate snow (heavy in Northern Olympics) early becomes light and showery by the af
Thursday Moderate snow (heavy in Northern Olympics) early becomes light and showery by the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Cloudy with a chance of light snow in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with periods of light snow developing (Barlow Pass southward). Moderate ridgeline winds, strong gusts.
Thursday Cloudy with periods of decreasing light snow. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Increasing snow (very heavy for southern volcanoes and moderate to heavy in other areas).Moderate to locally strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Moderate snow (heavy at times for Mt St Helens) tapering becoming light to moderate in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light snow developing. Moderate ridgeline winds. Light to moderate E winds at the Pass.
Thursday Decreasing light snow becoming showery. Moderate ridgeline winds become light. Decreasing mostly light E wind at the Pass.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light snow developing. Moderate ridgeline winds. Moderate E winds at the Pass.
Thursday Decreasing light snow becoming showery. Moderate ridgeline and E winds at the Pass become light.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with a chance of light snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with snow flurries.
Wednesday Night Light snow becomes moderate overnight in favored eastern areas (Wenatchee Mountains and Icicle). Moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Light snow tapering to flurries.
Wednesday Night Moderate snow. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Light to moderate snow tapering to light snow showers.
Wednesday Night Increasing moderate to heavy snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Decreasing moderate to heavy snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Crystal Mt 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Paradise 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
White Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Mission Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Timberline 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon*
Olympics 2000' 1000' 500' 1000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 5000'
West North 1500' 1000' 1000' 500' 1500' 1000' 500' 3000'
West Central 1500' 0 0 500' 2000' 1000' 500' 3000'
West South 1000' 1000' 1000' 1500' 2000' 1000' 500' 3000'
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 0 1000' 500' 500' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 0 0 500' 1000' 500' 500' 2500'
East North 0 0 0 0 500' 0 0 2000'
East Central 500' 0 0 0 1000' 500' 500' 2000'
East South 500' 0 0 1000' 1000' 500' 500' 2000'
Mt. Hood 1500' 1500' 2000' 2500' 2000' 1000' 500' 2000'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2000'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning* 500'
Thursday Afternoon* 1000'
Thursday Evening* 1500'
Thursday Night* 1500'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon* 5000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 1500'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 500'
Thursday Evening* 1500'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 3000'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 1500'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 500'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 3000'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 1000'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 1500'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
Thursday Evening* 1000'
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 500'
Thursday Evening* 1000'
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 2500'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
Thursday Evening* 500'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
Thursday Evening* 1000'
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 1000'
Thursday Evening* 1000'
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 1500'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 21 / 19 26 / 19
West North 21 / 18 27 / 19
West Central 21 / 18 24 / 18
West South 20 / 18 25 / 18
Stevens Pass 19 / 17 23 / 17
Snoqualmie Pass 20 / 17 24 / 17
East North 15 / 6 24 / 5
East Central 19 / 16 21 / 17
East South 18 / 16 22 / 15
Mt. Hood 25 / 19 30 / 26
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 21 / 19
Thursday 26 / 19
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 21 / 18
Thursday 27 / 19
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 21 / 18
Thursday 24 / 18
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 20 / 18
Thursday 25 / 18
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 19 / 17
Thursday 23 / 17
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 20 / 17
Thursday 24 / 17
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 15 / 6
Thursday 24 / 5
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 19 / 16
Thursday 21 / 17
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 18 / 16
Thursday 22 / 15
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 25 / 19
Thursday 30 / 26

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics ENE 5-15 ENE 10-20 ENE 5-15 WSW 0-10
West North E 10-20 ESE 10-20 E 10-20 ESE 5-15
West Central ESE 15-25 ESE 15-25 ESE 15-25 ESE 10-20
West South ESE 15-25 ESE 20-30 SE 10-20 SSW 5-15
Stevens Pass E 20-30 E 0-10 E 20-30 E 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 20-30 E 25-35 ESE 20-30 ESE 10-20
East North E 10-20 E 10-20 E 10-20 E 5-15
East Central E 15-25 E 20-30 E 15-25 ENE 0-10
East South E 10-20 E 10-20 ESE 5-15 SW 0-10
Mt. Hood SSW 10-20 SW 15-25 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening ENE 5-15
Wednesday Night ENE 10-20
Thursday Morning ENE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon WSW 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening E 10-20
Wednesday Night ESE 10-20
Thursday Morning E 10-20
Thursday Afternoon ESE 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening ESE 15-25
Wednesday Night ESE 15-25
Thursday Morning ESE 15-25
Thursday Afternoon ESE 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening ESE 15-25
Wednesday Night ESE 20-30
Thursday Morning SE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SSW 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening E 20-30
Wednesday Night E 0-10
Thursday Morning E 20-30
Thursday Afternoon E 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening ESE 20-30
Wednesday Night E 25-35
Thursday Morning ESE 20-30
Thursday Afternoon ESE 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening E 10-20
Wednesday Night E 10-20
Thursday Morning E 10-20
Thursday Afternoon E 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening E 15-25
Wednesday Night E 20-30
Thursday Morning E 15-25
Thursday Afternoon ENE 0-10
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening E 10-20
Wednesday Night E 10-20
Thursday Morning ESE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SW 0-10
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSW 10-20
Wednesday Night SW 15-25
Thursday Morning WSW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon WSW 15-25

Extended Weather Synopsis

The offshore frontal system decelerates and weakens as it approaches the coastline Friday night, bringing light rain and snow to our mountains by the afternoon on Saturday. Light bands of showers continue to drift northward with a secondary frontal wave moving up into the area on S flow. Cold air trapped E of the Cascades and E flow will keep the passes significantly cooler. But most areas should remain snow through the weekend.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night* Saturday * Saturday Night* Sunday *
West North 3000' 4500' 4000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 1500' 2500' 2500' 3000'
Mt. Hood 1000' 3000' 2500' 3000'
West North Elevation
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday * 4500'
Saturday Night* 4000'
Sunday * 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday * 2500'
Saturday Night* 2500'
Sunday * 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday * 3000'
Saturday Night* 2500'
Sunday * 3000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 14, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.