Issued: 2:01 PM PST Thursday, February 1, 2024
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A nearly stationary and broad area of low pressure is parked over our coastal waters.  This low pressure system continues to spin scattered showers up over the region with southerly flow aloft. Shower activity will become lighter overnight, except for the Olympics where a weak frontal boundary will focus additional shower activity. Moderate southerly winds will continue overnight for the northwest Cascades and over the Olympics.  

The upper low will slowly drift south along the West Coast and weaken through Saturday. The air mass will be marginally unstable, supporting a chance of light showers through the period.  Showers will likely be more plentiful on Friday, particularly near and west of the Cascade crest, Mt Hood, and the Olympic Peninsula. You'll likely find a mix of sun and clouds on the west side of the Cascades on Friday with more sunshine further east. Shower activity looks more isolated on Saturday, with a mixed bag for cloud cover. 

Snow levels will continue to drift a bit lower every day, falling from 5000-6000' on Thursday afternoon to 3000-4000' by Saturday.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers in the evening, then light isolated showers after midnight. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers the evening, then light isolated showers after midnight. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers in the evening, then light isolated showers after midnight. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers in the evening, then light isolated showers after midnight. Light E winds at Pass level, light and variable winds at ridgeline.
Friday Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers.Light and variable winds at Pass level, light W winds at ridgeline.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers in the evening, then light isolated showers after midnight. Light E winds at Pass level, light and variable winds at ridgeline.
Friday Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers.Light and variable winds at Pass level, light W winds at ridgeline.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers in the evening, then light isolated showers after midnight.
Friday Partly to mostly cloudy with sunbreaks and isolated light rain and snow showers.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers in the evening, then light isolated showers after midnight.
Friday Partly sunny with isolated light rain and snow showers.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers in the evening, then light isolated showers after midnight.
Friday Partly sunny with isolated light rain and snow showers.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers in the evening, then light isolated showers after midnight.
Friday Partly to mostly cloudy with sunbreaks and isolated light rain and snow showers.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 0 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Timberline LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 5500' 5000' 4500' 4500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500'
West North 5500' 5000' 4500' 4500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500'
West Central 5500' 5000' 4500' 4500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500'
West South 5500' 5000' 4500' 4500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 4000'
Stevens Pass 5500' 5000' 4500' 4500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 5500' 5000' 4500' 4500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500'
East North 5500' 5000' 4500' 5000' 4000' 3500' 3500' 4000'
East Central 5500' 5000' 5000' 5000' 4000' 3500' 3500' 4000'
East South 5500' 5000' 5000' 5000' 4000' 3500' 3500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 6000' 5000' 4500' 4500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 4000'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening 5500'
Thursday Night 5000'
Friday Morning 4500'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening 5500'
Thursday Night 5000'
Friday Morning 4500'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 5500'
Thursday Night 5000'
Friday Morning 4500'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening 5500'
Thursday Night 5000'
Friday Morning 4500'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 5500'
Thursday Night 5000'
Friday Morning 4500'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 5500'
Thursday Night 5000'
Friday Morning 4500'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening 5500'
Thursday Night 5000'
Friday Morning 4500'
Friday Afternoon 5000'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 5500'
Thursday Night 5000'
Friday Morning 5000'
Friday Afternoon 5000'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening 5500'
Thursday Night 5000'
Friday Morning 5000'
Friday Afternoon 5000'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening 6000'
Thursday Night 5000'
Friday Morning 4500'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 32 / 29 29 / 28
West North 33 / 28 31 / 29
West Central 33 / 28 30 / 28
West South 33 / 29 31 / 28
Stevens Pass 33 / 28 33 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 33 / 28 32 / 27
East North 33 / 27 34 / 25
East Central 33 / 28 34 / 28
East South 33 / 27 33 / 28
Mt. Hood 33 / 30 32 / 28
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 32 / 29
Friday 29 / 28
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 33 / 28
Friday 31 / 29
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 33 / 28
Friday 30 / 28
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 33 / 29
Friday 31 / 28
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 33 / 28
Friday 33 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 33 / 28
Friday 32 / 27
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 33 / 27
Friday 34 / 25
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 33 / 28
Friday 34 / 28
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 33 / 27
Friday 33 / 28
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 33 / 30
Friday 32 / 28

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics S 15-25 S 10-20 S 10-20 SW 5-15
West North S 15-25 S 15-25 S 10-20 S 5-15
West Central SW 5-15 SW 5-15 S 5-15 SW 5-15
West South SSW 5-15 S 10-20 SW 10-20 SW 5-15
Stevens Pass VAR 0-10 SW 0-10 WSW 0-10 WSW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass VAR 0-10 SW 0-10 WSW 0-10 W 5-15
East North SSW 0-10 SW 0-10 SW 0-10 SW 0-10
East Central SW 0-10 WSW 0-10 W 5-15 W 5-15
East South SSW 0-10 WSW 0-10 SW 5-15 W 5-15
Mt. Hood SSW 0-10 SW 5-15 SW 10-20 WSW 10-20
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 15-25
Thursday Night S 10-20
Friday Morning S 10-20
Friday Afternoon SW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 15-25
Thursday Night S 15-25
Friday Morning S 10-20
Friday Afternoon S 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 5-15
Thursday Night SW 5-15
Friday Morning S 5-15
Friday Afternoon SW 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSW 5-15
Thursday Night S 10-20
Friday Morning SW 10-20
Friday Afternoon SW 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening VAR 0-10
Thursday Night SW 0-10
Friday Morning WSW 0-10
Friday Afternoon WSW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening VAR 0-10
Thursday Night SW 0-10
Friday Morning WSW 0-10
Friday Afternoon W 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSW 0-10
Thursday Night SW 0-10
Friday Morning SW 0-10
Friday Afternoon SW 0-10
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 0-10
Thursday Night WSW 0-10
Friday Morning W 5-15
Friday Afternoon W 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSW 0-10
Thursday Night WSW 0-10
Friday Morning SW 5-15
Friday Afternoon W 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSW 0-10
Thursday Night SW 5-15
Friday Morning SW 10-20
Friday Afternoon WSW 10-20

Extended Weather Synopsis

The upper low will begin to merge with the strong southerly jet stream pointed into southern California the latter half of the weekend and early next week. While generally dry conditions are expected to continue, there's plenty of uncertainty regarding cloud cover and whether or not light precipitation may extend from the newly invigorated low pressure system and back up into the Mt Hood area or along the east slopes of the Cascades. There may also be a period of moderate or strong E-SE ridgeline winds in the long range but again the timing is uncertain. Snow levels will stick around 3000-4000'. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday
West North 3000' 4000' 3000' 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 4000' 3000' 4000'
Mt. Hood 4000' 4000' 3000' 4000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night 3000'
Sunday 4000'
Sunday Night 3000'
Monday 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night 3000'
Sunday 4000'
Sunday Night 3000'
Monday 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night 4000'
Sunday 4000'
Sunday Night 3000'
Monday 4000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 1, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.