Issued: 2:09 PM PST Thursday, January 18, 2024
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A warm front continues to slowly lift north over our area, plowing a steady stream of moisture over the area with a focus on the Mt Hood area and the south and central WA Cascades on both sides of the crest.  Strong high pressure anchored inland and the center of low pressure system offshore continues to draw a steady tap of very cold air from eastern WA and through the Passes. The western boundary of the cold air will continue to erode over the next 24 hours as SW flow pumping milder air in aloft.  

This should make for a messy precipitation-type forecast tonight and Friday for many areas near the Cascade crest. Look for localized freezing rain tonight for the Mt Hood area, most likely for middle and lower elevations along with heavy precipitation through the evening and varying wind directions. For the WA Cascades, the western foothills are likely to see freezing rain with heavy snow closer to the Pass and on the east side. As warm frontal precipitation lifts north over the area and ends tomorrow morning, that's the most likely time to see a period of light icing for White and Snoqualmie Pass, and along the east slopes of the Cascades south of I-90. Stevens Pass and along the east slopes of the Cascades north of I-90, this will most likely be an all-snow event all high uncertainty remains. Moderate to locally strong S-SE winds will continue overnight as well. 

As the frontal feature hangs up over the Olympics and northwest Cascades late tonight through Friday, we should see a more straight forward warm-up and a switch from snow to rain at mid-elevations. 

We should temporarily dry out Friday night and Saturday. The exception would be a chance of showers rotating up from the south over the Olympic peninsula. Temperatures will continue to moderate over the region. Temperature inversions will be commonplace near the Passes; look for cold air and low clouds in the Passes and milder air at mid or upper slopes.  

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Periods of light to moderate rain and snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Light rain and snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow with areas of light freezing rain closer to the Cascade crest. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Light rain and snow in the morning with areas of light freezing rain closer to the Cascade crest. Becoming cloudy in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Light to moderate rain and snow. Chance of freezing rain late near White Pass area. Strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Light rain and snow in the morning with areas of light freezing rain closer to the Cascade crest. Becoming cloudy in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Light to moderate snow. Moderate to strong E-SE ridgeline and Pass level winds.
Friday Light wintry mix including freezing rain in the morning then cloudy. Light to moderate E-SE ridgeline and Pass level winds.
Thursday Night Light to moderate snow. Moderate to strong E-SE ridgeline and Pass level winds.
Friday Light wintry mix including freezing rain in the morning then cloudy. Light to moderate E-SE ridgeline and Pass level winds.
Thursday Night Light snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Light to occasionally moderate snow in the morning then cloudy. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Light to moderate snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Light to occasionally moderate snow in the morning then cloudy. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Light to moderate snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Light wintry mix in the morning then mostly cloudy. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Light to moderate rain and snow with an increasing chance of freezing rain mid and upper slopes. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Light wintry mix including a chance of freezing rain in the morning then partly to mostly cloudy. Moderate ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 LT 0.25 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0
Stevens Pass 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0.75 LT 0.25 0 0
Crystal Mt 0.75 LT 0.25 0 0
Paradise 1.00 LT 0.25 0 0
White Pass 0.75 -1.00 LT 0.25 0 0
Washington Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0 0
Mission Ridge 0.25 LT 0.25 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.50 LT 0.25 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.75 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 LT 0.10 0 0
Timberline 0.50 LT 0.10 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 1.00
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.75 -1.00
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon* Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon*
Olympics 3000' 5000' 6500' 7000' 7000' 7000' 6500' 6500'
West North 500' 1000' 2500' 6500' 6500' 7000' 7000' 7000'
West Central 500' 500' 2000' 5000' 6000' 7000' 7000' 7000'
West South 1000' 1000' 3000' 6500' 7000' 8000' 7000' 7000'
Stevens Pass 0 0 500' 1500' 2000' 2500' 3500' 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass 0 500' 1000' 7000' 7000' 7000' 7000' 7000'
East North 0 0 0 1500' 1500' 2500' 3000' 3500'
East Central 0 0 0 1500' 1500' 2000' 2500' 3000'
East South 0 0 1000' 1500' 1000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
Mt. Hood 1000' 7000' 8000' 8000' 8000' 9000' 8000' 7500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 5000'
Friday Morning* 6500'
Friday Afternoon* 7000'
Friday Evening* 7000'
Friday Night* 7000'
Saturday Morning* 6500'
Saturday Afternoon* 6500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 500'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon* 6500'
Friday Evening* 6500'
Friday Night* 7000'
Saturday Morning* 7000'
Saturday Afternoon* 7000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 500'
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon* 5000'
Friday Evening* 6000'
Friday Night* 7000'
Saturday Morning* 7000'
Saturday Afternoon* 7000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 1000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 6500'
Friday Evening* 7000'
Friday Night* 8000'
Saturday Morning* 7000'
Saturday Afternoon* 7000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 1500'
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning* 3500'
Saturday Afternoon* 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon* 7000'
Friday Evening* 7000'
Friday Night* 7000'
Saturday Morning* 7000'
Saturday Afternoon* 7000'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 1500'
Friday Evening* 1500'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning* 3000'
Saturday Afternoon* 3500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 1500'
Friday Evening* 1500'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning* 2500'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon* 1500'
Friday Evening* 1000'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning* 2500'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening* 1000'
Thursday Night* 7000'
Friday Morning* 8000'
Friday Afternoon* 8000'
Friday Evening* 8000'
Friday Night* 9000'
Saturday Morning* 8000'
Saturday Afternoon* 7500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 35 / 30 38 / 33
West North 30 / 26 36 / 31
West Central 28 / 20 36 / 29
West South 30 / 21 38 / 32
Stevens Pass 18 / 13 30 / 19
Snoqualmie Pass 24 / 16 32 / 25
East North 15 / 10 26 / 16
East Central 19 / 13 31 / 20
East South 22 / 14 32 / 23
Mt. Hood 31 / 23 37 / 31
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 35 / 30
Friday 38 / 33
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 30 / 26
Friday 36 / 31
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 28 / 20
Friday 36 / 29
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 30 / 21
Friday 38 / 32
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 18 / 13
Friday 30 / 19
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 24 / 16
Friday 32 / 25
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 15 / 10
Friday 26 / 16
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 19 / 13
Friday 31 / 20
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 22 / 14
Friday 32 / 23
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 31 / 23
Friday 37 / 31

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics S 15-25 S 20-30 SSW 15-25 SSW 15-25
West North SE 10-20 SSE 15-25 S 15-25 S 15-25
West Central SE 15-25 SSE 10-20 SSE 10-20 S 10-20
West South SE 20-30 SSE 15-25 S 10-20 SSW 10-20
Stevens Pass SE 15-25 SE 10-20 SE 10-20 SE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass SE 20-30 SE 10-20 SE 10-20 SE 5-15
East North SE 10-20 SE 15-25 S 10-20 S 10-20
East Central SE 15-25 SSE 10-20 S 10-20 S 10-20
East South SE 15-25 SSE 10-20 S 10-20 S 10-20
Mt. Hood S 15-25 SSW 15-25 S 10-20 S 10-20
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 15-25
Thursday Night S 20-30
Friday Morning SSW 15-25
Friday Afternoon SSW 15-25
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 10-20
Thursday Night SSE 15-25
Friday Morning S 15-25
Friday Afternoon S 15-25
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 15-25
Thursday Night SSE 10-20
Friday Morning SSE 10-20
Friday Afternoon S 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 20-30
Thursday Night SSE 15-25
Friday Morning S 10-20
Friday Afternoon SSW 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 15-25
Thursday Night SE 10-20
Friday Morning SE 10-20
Friday Afternoon SE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 20-30
Thursday Night SE 10-20
Friday Morning SE 10-20
Friday Afternoon SE 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 10-20
Thursday Night SE 15-25
Friday Morning S 10-20
Friday Afternoon S 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 15-25
Thursday Night SSE 10-20
Friday Morning S 10-20
Friday Afternoon S 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 15-25
Thursday Night SSE 10-20
Friday Morning S 10-20
Friday Afternoon S 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 15-25
Thursday Night SSW 15-25
Friday Morning S 10-20
Friday Afternoon S 10-20

Extended Weather Synopsis

Temperatures will continue to gradually moderate Sunday and Monday with a few disturbances rotating up showers at times. Showers will likely be heaviest over the Olympic peninsula and west slopes of the Cascades further away from the Cascade crest. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night* Sunday * Sunday Night* Monday *
West North 5000' 5000' 5000' 6000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 3000' 4000' 4500'
Mt. Hood 5000' 5500' 4500' 4000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night* 5000'
Sunday * 5000'
Sunday Night* 5000'
Monday * 6000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday * 3000'
Sunday Night* 4000'
Monday * 4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night* 5000'
Sunday * 5500'
Sunday Night* 4500'
Monday * 4000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 18, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.