Issued: 2:14 PM PST Wednesday, January 10, 2024
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Our cool and snowy pattern continues over the short term. A cold upper level trough has set up shop over the PNW.  A new weather disturbance sliding down the backside of the trough tonight will enhance orographic snowfall on Thursday over the west slopes of the Cascades, particularly from the near and south Hwy 2, with the heaviest showers reserved for the West South zone and Mt Hood.  WNW winds will also begin to crank on Thursday and become strong for the same areas with the heavier showers. An atypical take on convergence bands may form as Fraser River Valley outflow winds (N-NE) drive south through the Puget Sound and link up with onshore flow. This could cause localized higher snowfall totals anywhere these bands form Thursday. Temperatures are likely to drop for the north Cascades including the Mt Baker area and Washington Pass during the day as modified arctic air pushes into the region. 

The southward march of cold temperatures will continue into Friday with 5000' temperatures daytime highs near zero in the north and single digits/lower teens for the central and south WA Cascades. Offshore flow and easterly winds will start to crank through the Passes, creating the potential for dangerously low wind chill values.  There will likely be light upslope snow along the east slopes of the Cascades during this period.

If that wasn't enough, a developing offshore storm will pass inland on Friday.  Forecast models are closing in on a consensus but still, there's a fair amount of uncertainty with the storm track. The south WA Cascades and especially Mt Hood are the most likely to receive significant additional snowfall. 

Remember as the temperature drops, so does the snow density. Even some of these lighter precipitation numbers can produce modest snowfall amounts. 

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with increasing light snow showers and moderate ridgeline winds after midnight.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers, potentially heavier over the north slopes of the Olympics in the afternoon. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with increasing light snow showers and moderate ridgeline winds after midnight.
Thursday Cloudy with light snow showers in the morning, becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Turning colder. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with increasing light snow showers and moderate ridgeline winds after midnight.
Thursday Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with increasing light snow showers and moderate ridgeline winds after midnight.
Thursday Light to moderate snow showers. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with increasing light snow showers after midnight. Light to moderate Pass level and ridgeline W winds increasing late.
Thursday Light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Moderate to strong W ridgeline and Pass level winds.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with increasing light snow showers after midnight. Moderate Pass level and ridgeline W winds increasing late.
Thursday Light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Moderate to strong W ridgeline and Pass level winds.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with increasing light snow showers and moderate ridgeline winds after midnight.
Thursday Light to occasionally moderate snow showers in the morning, then partly to mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the afternoon. Turning colder. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with increasing light snow showers and moderate ridgeline winds after midnight.
Thursday Light snow showers, occasionally moderate near the Cascade crest. Strong ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with increasing light snow showers and moderate ridgeline winds after midnight.
Thursday Light snow showers, occasionally moderate near the Cascade crest. Strong ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Moderate to occasionally heavy snow showers. Strong to extreme ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25
Paradise 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
White Pass LT 0.25 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 1.00 1.00 - 1.50
Timberline 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 - 1.50 1.00 - 1.50 1.00 - 1.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.50
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.50
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday 1.00 - 1.50
Thursday Night 1.00
Friday 1.00 - 1.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday 1.00 - 1.50
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Friday 1.00 - 1.50

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon*
Olympics 1000' 500' 1000' 1000' 500' 0 0 0
West North 1000' 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
West Central 1000' 0 500' 500' 0 0 0 0
West South 1000' 500' 500' 1000' 0 0 0 0
Stevens Pass 1000' 0 0 1000' 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 1000' 500' 0 1000' 0 0 0 0
East North 1000' 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East Central 1000' 0 500' 1000' 0 0 0 0
East South 1000' 0 500' 1500' 500' 0 0 0
Mt. Hood 1500' 1500' 1500' 2000' 1500' 1500' 1000' 500'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night 500'
Thursday Morning 1000'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'
Thursday Evening 500'
Thursday Night 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 0'
Thursday Evening 0'
Thursday Night 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 500'
Thursday Afternoon 500'
Thursday Evening 0'
Thursday Night 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night 500'
Thursday Morning 500'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'
Thursday Evening 0'
Thursday Night 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'
Thursday Evening 0'
Thursday Night 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night 500'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'
Thursday Evening 0'
Thursday Night 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 0'
Thursday Evening 0'
Thursday Night 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 500'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'
Thursday Evening 0'
Thursday Night 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 500'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Thursday Evening 500'
Thursday Night 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1500'
Wednesday Night 1500'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 2000'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon* 500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 22 / 18 24 / 18
West North 22 / 17 18 / 12
West Central 23 / 20 22 / 16
West South 23 / 19 24 / 19
Stevens Pass 23 / 20 24 / 19
Snoqualmie Pass 23 / 20 24 / 19
East North 17 / 12 14 / 7
East Central 21 / 17 19 / 12
East South 22 / 18 22 / 15
Mt. Hood 24 / 20 24 / 20
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 22 / 18
Thursday 24 / 18
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 22 / 17
Thursday 18 / 12
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 23 / 20
Thursday 22 / 16
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 23 / 19
Thursday 24 / 19
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 23 / 20
Thursday 24 / 19
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 23 / 20
Thursday 24 / 19
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 17 / 12
Thursday 14 / 7
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 21 / 17
Thursday 19 / 12
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 22 / 18
Thursday 22 / 15
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 24 / 20
Thursday 24 / 20

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics WNW 0-10 W 10-20 WNW 20-30 NW 10-20
West North WNW 0-10 W 10-20 W 20-30 NNW 15-25
West Central W 0-10 W 15-25 WNW 20-30 WNW 20-30
West South W 10-20 W 15-25 W 25-35 W 25-35
Stevens Pass WNW 0-10 W 10-20 W 15-25 WNW 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass WNW 5-15 WNW 15-25 W 25-35 WNW 25-35
East North WNW 5-15 W 15-25 W 20-30 WNW 15-25
East Central WNW 10-20 W 15-25 W 30-40 WNW 30-40
East South WNW 5-15 W 10-20 W 25-35 WNW 25-35
Mt. Hood W 25-35 WNW 30-40 W 35-50 W 40-55
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WNW 0-10
Wednesday Night W 10-20
Thursday Morning WNW 20-30
Thursday Afternoon NW 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WNW 0-10
Wednesday Night W 10-20
Thursday Morning W 20-30
Thursday Afternoon NNW 15-25
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 0-10
Wednesday Night W 15-25
Thursday Morning WNW 20-30
Thursday Afternoon WNW 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 10-20
Wednesday Night W 15-25
Thursday Morning W 25-35
Thursday Afternoon W 25-35
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WNW 0-10
Wednesday Night W 10-20
Thursday Morning W 15-25
Thursday Afternoon WNW 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WNW 5-15
Wednesday Night WNW 15-25
Thursday Morning W 25-35
Thursday Afternoon WNW 25-35
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WNW 5-15
Wednesday Night W 15-25
Thursday Morning W 20-30
Thursday Afternoon WNW 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WNW 10-20
Wednesday Night W 15-25
Thursday Morning W 30-40
Thursday Afternoon WNW 30-40
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WNW 5-15
Wednesday Night W 10-20
Thursday Morning W 25-35
Thursday Afternoon WNW 25-35
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 25-35
Wednesday Night WNW 30-40
Thursday Morning W 35-50
Thursday Afternoon W 40-55

Extended Weather Synopsis

There's even more uncertainity on Saturday. Another storm system may impact the south WA Cascades and Mt Hood area during the daylight hours on Saturday or may stay even further south.  An upper level ridge of high pressure will start to build offshore on Sunday, leading to a drying trend for the remainder of the holiday weekend. Temperatures will moderate over the latter half of the weekend as well, although there's also quite the spread to how quickly this happens. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night* Saturday * Saturday Night* Sunday *
West North 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 1000'
Mt. Hood 0 0 1500' 1500'
West North Elevation
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday * 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday * 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday * 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday * 1000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday * 0'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday * 1500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 10, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.