A weak ridge over the Pacific Northwest brought dry, mild weather and plenty of sun breaks Tuesday afternoon. The weak ridge slides eastward overnight as a warm front lifts NE over our region. The warm front will bring some periods of light to very light precipitation along with rising snow levels for areas west of the Cascade Crest.
The bigger story will be the very deep offshore parent low. This low draws a deepening cold air pool east of the Cascades through the mountain gaps. The pressure difference across the Cascades peaks early Wednesday morning around 14 mb. Expect increasing moderate to strong ESE winds near the Cascade Crest, with moderate winds through the mountain gaps, and locally strong and gusty winds for the western Cascade foothills. Models show signs of light upslope snowfall for the east slopes of the Cascades as warm front and E flow combine to lift moisture against the mountainous barrier.
Most of our region may get a brief break in the precipitation early Wednesday while in the warm sector of the storm. Light to locally moderate rain and high-elevation snow moves into the Olympics by late morning and the Cascades by the afternoon. Precipitation should rain below 4500-5500 ft west of the Cascade Crest, a wintry mix for Snoqualmie Pass and areas of the east slopes further south. Expect mostly snowfall from Stevens Pass northward. A front moves through late in the day, decreasing easterly winds and perhaps changing Snoqualmie Pass to rain at pass level.
A second low rotating around the deep offshore parent low heads toward the British Columbia coastline Wednesday night with SW flow feeding light additional precipitation into the region. A ridge builds across the intermountain west and may keep the region mostly dry and mild on Thursday.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday
Night
Periods of light rain or high-elevation snow from late evening onwards. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Wednesday
Increasing periods of rain and high-elevation snow. Decreasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Tuesday
Night
Cloudy with light rain or snow in the early morning hours. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.
Wednesday
Light rain and snow becoming moderate in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.
Tuesday
Night
Cloudy with light rain or high-elevation snow in the early morning hours. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday
Light rain and high-elevation snow increases in the afternoon. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday
Night
Cloudy with periods of light rain or snow from late evening through early morning hours. Moderate ridgeline winds becoming strong at times. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds will be strongest near the mountain gaps.
Wednesday
Light rain and high-elevation snow increases in the afternoon. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds will be strongest near the mountain gaps.
Tuesday
Night
Cloudy with a chance of light snow in the early morning hours. Increasing moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Wednesday
Increasing periods of light snow or a wintry mix. Moderate ridgeline and E winds decrease in the afternoon.
Tuesday
Night
Cloudy with a chance of light mixed precipitation or snow in the early morning hours. Increasing moderate to strong ridgeline and E wind at the Pass. Winds may be locally very strong in the Cascade foothills west of the Pass.
Wednesday
Periods of light snow or a wintry mix could change to rain at pass level by the afternoon. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts. Decreasing moderate E winds at the Pass become light by the day's end.
Tuesday
Night
Cloudy with increasing chances of light snow. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday
Increasing light snow. Moderate ridgeline winds become generally light by the afternoon.
Tuesday
Night
Cloudy with increasing chances of light snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday
Increasing light snow or wintry mix. Moderate ridgeline winds decrease late in the day.
Tuesday
Night
Cloudy with increasing chances of light snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday
Increasing light snow or wintry mix, changing to rain in some areas. Moderate ridgeline winds decrease late in the day.
Tuesday
Night
Cloudy with a chance of light rain, snow, or a wintry mix developing. Moderate ridgeline winds become strong at times.
Wednesday
Increasing periods light rain, snow, or a wintry mix. Decreasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Issued: 2:04 PM PST Tuesday, December 26, 2023
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
Wednesday
Wednesday Night
Thursday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
LT 0.10
0.25
0.50
LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
0.75
0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
LT 0.10
0.25
0.25
LT 0.25
Stevens Pass
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
Crystal Mt
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
0.25
LT 0.10
Paradise
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.25
White Pass
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
Washington Pass
LT 0.10
0.25
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
Mission Ridge
0
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
Timberline
LT 0.10
0.25
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
0.25
Wednesday Night
0.50
Thursday
LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night
0.75
Thursday
0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
0.25
Wednesday Night
0.25
Thursday
LT 0.25
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
LT 0.10
Wednesday Night
LT 0.10
Thursday
LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
LT 0.10
Wednesday Night
LT 0.10
Thursday
LT 0.10
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
LT 0.25
Wednesday Night
0.25
Thursday
LT 0.10
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
LT 0.25
Wednesday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Thursday
LT 0.25
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
LT 0.25
Wednesday Night
LT 0.25
Thursday
LT 0.10
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
0.25
Wednesday Night
LT 0.25
Thursday
LT 0.10
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
LT 0.25
Wednesday Night
LT 0.10
Thursday
LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.25
Wednesday
LT 0.25
Wednesday Night
LT 0.25
Thursday
LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
LT 0.25
Wednesday Night
LT 0.25
Thursday
LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
LT 0.25
Wednesday Night
LT 0.25
Thursday
LT 0.10
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
0.25
Wednesday Night
LT 0.25
Thursday
LT 0.10
Issued: 2:04 PM PST Tuesday, December 26, 2023
Snow Level (ft)
Tuesday
Evening*
Tuesday
Night*
Wednesday
Morning*
Wednesday
Afternoon*
Wednesday
Evening*
Wednesday
Night*
Thursday
Morning*
Thursday
Afternoon*
Olympics
5500'
6500'
6500'
5500'
5500'
5000'
4500'
5000'
West North
4500'
4000'
5000'
4500'
4500'
4500'
4500'
4500'
West Central
5000'
4500'
5500'
5000'
4500'
5000'
5000'
5000'
West South
5500'
5000'
5500'
5000'
4500'
5000'
5000'
6000'
Stevens Pass
2500'
2000'
2500'
3500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
5000'
Snoqualmie Pass
3000'
2500'
3000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
5500'
East North
2000'
1500'
2000'
3000'
2500'
2500'
2500'
4000'
East Central
2500'
2000'
2500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
3000'
5000'
East South
3000'
2500'
4000'
4500'
4000'
4000'
4500'
6000'
Mt. Hood
6000'
6500'
5500'
5500'
5500'
5500'
5500'
7000'
Olympics
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening*
5500'
Tuesday
Night*
6500'
Wednesday
Morning*
6500'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
5500'
Wednesday
Evening*
5500'
Wednesday
Night*
5000'
Thursday
Morning*
4500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
5000'
West North
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening*
4500'
Tuesday
Night*
4000'
Wednesday
Morning*
5000'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
4500'
Wednesday
Evening*
4500'
Wednesday
Night*
4500'
Thursday
Morning*
4500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
4500'
West Central
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening*
5000'
Tuesday
Night*
4500'
Wednesday
Morning*
5500'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
5000'
Wednesday
Evening*
4500'
Wednesday
Night*
5000'
Thursday
Morning*
5000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
5000'
West South
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening*
5500'
Tuesday
Night*
5000'
Wednesday
Morning*
5500'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
5000'
Wednesday
Evening*
4500'
Wednesday
Night*
5000'
Thursday
Morning*
5000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
6000'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening*
2500'
Tuesday
Night*
2000'
Wednesday
Morning*
2500'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
3500'
Wednesday
Evening*
3000'
Wednesday
Night*
3000'
Thursday
Morning*
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
5000'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening*
3000'
Tuesday
Night*
2500'
Wednesday
Morning*
3000'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
3500'
Wednesday
Evening*
3000'
Wednesday
Night*
3000'
Thursday
Morning*
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
5500'
East North
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening*
2000'
Tuesday
Night*
1500'
Wednesday
Morning*
2000'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
3000'
Wednesday
Evening*
2500'
Wednesday
Night*
2500'
Thursday
Morning*
2500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
4000'
East Central
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening*
2500'
Tuesday
Night*
2000'
Wednesday
Morning*
2500'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
3000'
Wednesday
Evening*
3000'
Wednesday
Night*
3000'
Thursday
Morning*
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
5000'
East South
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening*
3000'
Tuesday
Night*
2500'
Wednesday
Morning*
4000'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
4500'
Wednesday
Evening*
4000'
Wednesday
Night*
4000'
Thursday
Morning*
4500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
6000'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening*
6000'
Tuesday
Night*
6500'
Wednesday
Morning*
5500'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
5500'
Wednesday
Evening*
5500'
Wednesday
Night*
5500'
Thursday
Morning*
5500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
7000'
Issued: 2:04 PM PST Tuesday, December 26, 2023
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Tuesday
Night
Wednesday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
38 / 32
38 / 32
West North
36 / 32
38 / 32
West Central
31 / 27
32 / 30
West South
36 / 32
35 / 33
Stevens Pass
31 / 26
31 / 29
Snoqualmie Pass
31 / 27
31 / 29
East North
27 / 22
29 / 25
East Central
31 / 26
32 / 30
East South
31 / 28
33 / 28
Mt. Hood
37 / 34
36 / 33
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
38 / 32
Wednesday
38 / 32
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
36 / 32
Wednesday
38 / 32
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
31 / 27
Wednesday
32 / 30
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
36 / 32
Wednesday
35 / 33
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
31 / 26
Wednesday
31 / 29
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
31 / 27
Wednesday
31 / 29
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
27 / 22
Wednesday
29 / 25
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
31 / 26
Wednesday
32 / 30
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
31 / 28
Wednesday
33 / 28
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
37 / 34
Wednesday
36 / 33
Issued: 2:04 PM PST Tuesday, December 26, 2023
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
Tuesday
Night
Wednesday
Morning
Wednesday
Afternoon
Olympics
SSE 15-25
S 20-30
S 20-30
S 20-30
West North
SSE 15-25
SSE 20-30
SSE 20-30
S 20-30
West Central
ESE 15-25
SE 20-30
SE 15-25
SSE 10-20
West South
SE 10-20
SSE 15-25
S 20-30
SSW 10-20
Stevens Pass
SE 15-25
ESE 20-30
ESE 20-30
SSE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass
ESE 20-30
ESE 25-35
SE 20-30
ESE 10-20
East North
SE 10-20
SE 15-25
SE 15-25
SSE 10-20
East Central
SSE 15-25
SE 20-30
SSE 15-25
S 15-25
East South
SE 10-20
SE 10-20
SSE 15-25
S 10-20
Mt. Hood
S 20-30
S 25-35
S 25-35
SSW 15-25
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
SSE
15-25
Tuesday
Night
S
20-30
Wednesday
Morning
S
20-30
Wednesday
Afternoon
S
20-30
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
SSE
15-25
Tuesday
Night
SSE
20-30
Wednesday
Morning
SSE
20-30
Wednesday
Afternoon
S
20-30
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
ESE
15-25
Tuesday
Night
SE
20-30
Wednesday
Morning
SE
15-25
Wednesday
Afternoon
SSE
10-20
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
SE
10-20
Tuesday
Night
SSE
15-25
Wednesday
Morning
S
20-30
Wednesday
Afternoon
SSW
10-20
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
SE
15-25
Tuesday
Night
ESE
20-30
Wednesday
Morning
ESE
20-30
Wednesday
Afternoon
SSE
5-15
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
ESE
20-30
Tuesday
Night
ESE
25-35
Wednesday
Morning
SE
20-30
Wednesday
Afternoon
ESE
10-20
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
SE
10-20
Tuesday
Night
SE
15-25
Wednesday
Morning
SE
15-25
Wednesday
Afternoon
SSE
10-20
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
SSE
15-25
Tuesday
Night
SE
20-30
Wednesday
Morning
SSE
15-25
Wednesday
Afternoon
S
15-25
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
SE
10-20
Tuesday
Night
SE
10-20
Wednesday
Morning
SSE
15-25
Wednesday
Afternoon
S
10-20
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
S
20-30
Tuesday
Night
S
25-35
Wednesday
Morning
S
25-35
Wednesday
Afternoon
SSW
15-25
Issued: 2:04 PM PST Tuesday, December 26, 2023
Extended Weather Synopsis
Thursday night through Saturday night the ridge over the western US and deep offshore low continue to do battle with the offshore system bringing clouds and brushing the Olympics with some very light precipitation at times. Temperatures remain well above seasonal norms. By the time the system arrives, it will be very weak and may spread some light rain and high-elevation snow into the Pacific Northwest on Saturday.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).