Issued: 2:13 PM PST Monday, December 25, 2023
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Moisture continues to stream into the area as an atmospheric river impacts the region through Monday night. Freezing levels in most areas west of the Cascade Crest rose to 5000-6500 ft Monday afternoon. Expect these warm temperatures to persist through Monday even, but begin lowering as the front approaches in the early morning hours. Heavy rain and high-elevation snow focus on the volcanoes, particularly Mt Baker. Although precipitation was slow to pick up for Mt Baker on Christmas day, we expect upwards of 2" of snow water equivalent in 12 hours with snow levels dropping from 5000 to 4000 ft overnight. The flow pattern has not favored the major passes, but as the front arrives late Monday night, expect the possibility of a period of heavier precipitation and a potential shift from mixed precipitation to rain at Snoqualmie Pass as E flow relaxes somewhat heading into Tuesday morning. Snow or wintry mix remains most likely for Stevens Pass where 3-4" of snow accumulation is possible.

Precipitation rapidly decreases behind the front early Tuesday, but a convergence band likely maintains some locally moderate precipitation rates in the Mt Baker vicinity through mid-morning. By the afternoon, expect snow levels across the west slopes of the Cascades to lower to around 3500 ft with mostly cloudy skies and sprinkles/flurries.

Easterly flow rapidly intensifies as another deep offshore low spins off the coast. Expect moderate to locally strong E winds through the mountain gaps Tuesday night with a slightly weaker cold pool than with the last system along the east slopes of the Cascades.

A front splits somewhat and loses energy as it moves into the region on Wednesday afternoon. Expect bands of light precipitation to arrive on SSW flow during the day and focus on the volcanoes and S slopes of the Olympics. Strong E flow peaks during the morning hours and may bring another round of mixed precipitation to the passes.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Monday Night Moderate to heavy rain and high-elevation snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Mostly cloudy with isolated rain showers or snow flurries. Light ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Very heavy rain and high-elevation snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Convergence rain and snow in the morning tapering to light rain and snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds early, and then winds become light.
Monday Night Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and high-elevation snow. Moderate ridgeline winds early, and then winds become light.
Tuesday Light rain and snow showers in the morning, decrease or end by the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds early, and then winds become light.
Monday Night Heavy rain and high elevation snow for Paradise; moderate for Crystal and White Passes. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Decreasing light rain and snow showers. Becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Light ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Moderate snow may mix with freezing rain or sleet at times. Light to occasionally moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Tuesday Light rain and snow showers in the morning, decrease or end by the afternoon. Light ridgeline and light E winds at the Pass.
Monday Night Moderate snow or mixed precipitation. Moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass decrease in the early morning hours.
Tuesday Light rain and snow showers in the morning, decrease or end by the afternoon. Light ridgeline and light E winds at the Pass.
Monday Night Light to moderate snow. Mostly light ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Light snow becoming showery through the morning hours with some weak convergence spillover possible. Light ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Light rain or snow showers mostly near the Cascade Crest in the morning. Moderate ridgeline winds quickly become light.
Monday Night Light to moderate mixed precipitation. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Light rain or snow showers mostly near the Cascade Crest in the morning. Light ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Moderate snow, mixed precipitation, and rain changing back to snow in the early morning hours. Strong ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Light rain or snow showers early decrease or end, then the sky becomes mostly cloudy. Moderate ridgeline winds become light.

Precipitation (in)

Monday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.75 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 2.00 - 2.50 0.25 0.25 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 1.00 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 0.75 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Paradise 0.75 -1.00 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
White Pass 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Timberline 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.75
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 2.00 - 2.50
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 1.00
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.75
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.75 -1.00
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Monday Evening* Monday Night* Tuesday Morning* Tuesday Afternoon* Tuesday Evening* Tuesday Night* Wednesday Morning* Wednesday Afternoon*
Olympics 7000' 5500' 3500' 3500' 4000' 5500' 6500' 6000'
West North 5000' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 4500' 4500'
West Central 5500' 4500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 4500' 4500'
West South 6000' 5000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 4000' 5000' 4500'
Stevens Pass 2500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 5500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000'
East North 1500' 1500' 2000' 3000' 2500' 1500' 1500' 2500'
East Central 2000' 2000' 2500' 3500' 3000' 2000' 3000' 2500'
East South 3000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 3500' 3000' 4500' 3000'
Mt. Hood 7500' 6500' 5000' 5000' 5500' 5500' 6000' 4500'
Olympics Elevation
Monday Evening* 7000'
Monday Night* 5500'
Tuesday Morning* 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3500'
Tuesday Evening* 4000'
Tuesday Night* 5500'
Wednesday Morning* 6500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 6000'
West North Elevation
Monday Evening* 5000'
Monday Night* 4000'
Tuesday Morning* 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3500'
Tuesday Evening* 3000'
Tuesday Night* 3000'
Wednesday Morning* 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4500'
West Central Elevation
Monday Evening* 5500'
Monday Night* 4500'
Tuesday Morning* 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3500'
Tuesday Evening* 3500'
Tuesday Night* 3500'
Wednesday Morning* 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4500'
West South Elevation
Monday Evening* 6000'
Monday Night* 5000'
Tuesday Morning* 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 4000'
Tuesday Evening* 4000'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning* 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Monday Evening* 2500'
Monday Night* 2500'
Tuesday Morning* 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
Tuesday Evening* 3000'
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Evening* 5500'
Monday Night* 3000'
Tuesday Morning* 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
Tuesday Evening* 3000'
Tuesday Night* 3000'
Wednesday Morning* 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
East North Elevation
Monday Evening* 1500'
Monday Night* 1500'
Tuesday Morning* 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
Tuesday Evening* 2500'
Tuesday Night* 1500'
Wednesday Morning* 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 2500'
East Central Elevation
Monday Evening* 2000'
Monday Night* 2000'
Tuesday Morning* 2500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3500'
Tuesday Evening* 3000'
Tuesday Night* 2000'
Wednesday Morning* 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 2500'
East South Elevation
Monday Evening* 3000'
Monday Night* 4000'
Tuesday Morning* 4000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 4000'
Tuesday Evening* 3500'
Tuesday Night* 3000'
Wednesday Morning* 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Evening* 7500'
Monday Night* 6500'
Tuesday Morning* 5000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 5000'
Tuesday Evening* 5500'
Tuesday Night* 5500'
Wednesday Morning* 6000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Monday Night Tuesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 35 / 29 32 / 24
West North 35 / 32 32 / 29
West Central 32 / 29 32 / 29
West South 35 / 32 34 / 28
Stevens Pass 31 / 25 32 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 30 / 27 30 / 28
East North 24 / 21 29 / 23
East Central 29 / 26 31 / 27
East South 31 / 29 33 / 28
Mt. Hood 35 / 32 37 / 30
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 35 / 29
Tuesday 32 / 24
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 35 / 32
Tuesday 32 / 29
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 32 / 29
Tuesday 32 / 29
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 35 / 32
Tuesday 34 / 28
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 31 / 25
Tuesday 32 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 30 / 27
Tuesday 30 / 28
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 24 / 21
Tuesday 29 / 23
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 29 / 26
Tuesday 31 / 27
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 31 / 29
Tuesday 33 / 28
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 35 / 32
Tuesday 37 / 30

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Monday Evening Monday Night Tuesday Morning Tuesday Afternoon
Olympics SSW 30-40 SW 20-30 SW 5-15 SSE 5-15
West North S 25-35 SSW 20-30 SSW 15-25 S 5-15
West Central SE 10-20 S 15-25 SW 10-20 SE 5-15
West South SSW 15-25 SW 15-25 SW 5-15 S 5-15
Stevens Pass SSE 10-20 SSW 10-20 WSW 5-15 SE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 10-20 SE 10-20 SW 5-15 ESE 5-15
East North SSE 5-15 S 10-20 SW 10-20 S 5-15
East Central S 15-25 SSW 20-30 W 15-25 S 5-15
East South S 10-20 SW 10-20 WSW 5-15 S 5-15
Mt. Hood SSW 20-30 SW 25-35 WSW 15-25 SSW 5-15
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSW 30-40
Monday Night SW 20-30
Tuesday Morning SW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SSE 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening S 25-35
Monday Night SSW 20-30
Tuesday Morning SSW 15-25
Tuesday Afternoon S 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SE 10-20
Monday Night S 15-25
Tuesday Morning SW 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon SE 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSW 15-25
Monday Night SW 15-25
Tuesday Morning SW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon S 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSE 10-20
Monday Night SSW 10-20
Tuesday Morning WSW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening ESE 10-20
Monday Night SE 10-20
Tuesday Morning SW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon ESE 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSE 5-15
Monday Night S 10-20
Tuesday Morning SW 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon S 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening S 15-25
Monday Night SSW 20-30
Tuesday Morning W 15-25
Tuesday Afternoon S 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening S 10-20
Monday Night SW 10-20
Tuesday Morning WSW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon S 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSW 20-30
Monday Night SW 25-35
Tuesday Morning WSW 15-25
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 5-15

Extended Weather Synopsis

Most of the moisture associated with Wednesday's system moves northward as high pressure begins to gain the upper hand against offshore troughs. Expect a gradual drying trend with unseasonably mild air west of the Cascades and cooler further east and through the mountain gaps.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Night* Thursday * Thursday Night* Friday *
West North 4000' 4000' 4500' 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 3500' 5000' 5500'
Mt. Hood 5000' 5000' 6000' 6000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Night* 4000'
Thursday * 4000'
Thursday Night* 4500'
Friday * 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday * 3500'
Thursday Night* 5000'
Friday * 5500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Night* 5000'
Thursday * 5000'
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday * 6000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 25, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.