Issued: 7:11 AM PST Monday, December 25, 2023
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

An atmospheric river arrives on Monday with a warm front lifting northward. The front brings increasing moderate SSW winds along with plentiful moisture. Warm air efficiently displaces any cold air west of the Cascade Crest with snow levels quickly rising to 5000-6000 ft in these areas. The situation becomes much more interesting near and east of the Cascade Crest where cold air remains entrenched with strong E gradients streaming that cold air through the mountain gaps. Expect mostly snow for Snoqualmie and White passes today with a possible transition to sleet or freezing rain late Monday through the evening hours. Stevens Pass likely remains mostly snow although some sleet or freezing rain may mix in at times; expect 4-8 with this storm.

A cold frontal passage in the early morning hours on Tuesday may briefly switch low-level flow westerly, enabling elevations below 4000 ft to change to rain before E flow returns by late morning. WSW behind the front shifts SW by the afternoon with light snow showers cutting off from south to north as the day progresses. Snow levels should settle around 3000-4000 ft for most of the Cascades. However, some mixed precipitation remains possible as E flow returns. Areas south of I-90 can expect some sunshine with a break between storms as the next system spins offshore.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Monday Periods of moderate rain and high-elevation snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Moderate to heavy rain and high-elevation snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Monday Increasing rain and high-elevation snow becoming heavy by mid-morning. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Heavy rain and high-elevation snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Monday Increasing rain and high-elevation snow becoming moderate to occasionally heavy by mid-morning. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and high-elevation snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Monday Increasing rain and high-elevation snow become heavy for the volcanoes and moderate for Crystal and Paradise. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Heavy rain and high elevation snow for Paradise; moderate for Crystal and White Passes.
Monday Light snow becoming moderate by the afternoon. Light to occasionally moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Monday Night Moderate snow may mix with freezing rain or sleet at times. Light to occasionally moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Monday Light snow becomes moderate by the afternoon and mixes with freezing rain or sleet late in the day. Moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Monday Night Moderate snow or mixed precipitation. Moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass decrease in the early morning hours.
Monday Light snow develops by late morning. Light ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Light to moderate snow. Light ridgeline winds.
Monday Increasing light snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Monday Light to moderate snow mixing with sleet or freezing rain in the afternoon. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Light to moderate mixed precipitation. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Monday Moderate snow, mixed precipitation, and rain. Rising snow levels. Moderate to occasionally strong ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Moderate snow, mixed precipitation, and rain changing back to snow in the early morning hours. Strong ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Monday Monday Night Tuesday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 1.00 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 2.00 - 2.50 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 0.50 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 LT 0.25
Paradise 1.00 0.75 LT 0.10
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0.25 0.50 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Timberline 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.50
Monday Night 1.00
Tuesday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Monday 1.00
Monday Night 2.00 - 2.50
Tuesday 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.50 - 0.75
Monday Night 1.00
Tuesday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Monday Night 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.50
Monday Night 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Monday Night 0.75
Tuesday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Monday 1.00
Monday Night 0.75
Tuesday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.25
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25
Monday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.50 - 0.75
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.50
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Monday Morning* Monday Afternoon* Monday Evening* Monday Night* Tuesday Morning* Tuesday Afternoon*
Olympics 5500' 7500' 7000' 5500' 4000' 3500'
West North 4500' 5500' 5500' 4000' 3000' 3000'
West Central 4500' 5500' 5500' 4000' 3000' 3000'
West South 4500' 5500' 5500' 4000' 3500' 4000'
Stevens Pass 500' 2000' 2500' 2500' 2000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 1500' 3000' 5500' 3000' 3000' 3000'
East North 0 1000' 1500' 1500' 1000' 3000'
East Central 500' 1000' 2000' 2500' 2000' 3000'
East South 1500' 2000' 5500' 4000' 4000' 4000'
Mt. Hood 5500' 7000' 6500' 5000' 4500' 5000'
Olympics Elevation
Monday Morning* 5500'
Monday Afternoon* 7500'
Monday Evening* 7000'
Monday Night* 5500'
Tuesday Morning* 4000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3500'
West North Elevation
Monday Morning* 4500'
Monday Afternoon* 5500'
Monday Evening* 5500'
Monday Night* 4000'
Tuesday Morning* 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
West Central Elevation
Monday Morning* 4500'
Monday Afternoon* 5500'
Monday Evening* 5500'
Monday Night* 4000'
Tuesday Morning* 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
West South Elevation
Monday Morning* 4500'
Monday Afternoon* 5500'
Monday Evening* 5500'
Monday Night* 4000'
Tuesday Morning* 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 4000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Monday Morning* 500'
Monday Afternoon* 2000'
Monday Evening* 2500'
Monday Night* 2500'
Tuesday Morning* 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 3000'
Monday Evening* 5500'
Monday Night* 3000'
Tuesday Morning* 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
East North Elevation
Monday Morning* 0'
Monday Afternoon* 1000'
Monday Evening* 1500'
Monday Night* 1500'
Tuesday Morning* 1000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
East Central Elevation
Monday Morning* 500'
Monday Afternoon* 1000'
Monday Evening* 2000'
Monday Night* 2500'
Tuesday Morning* 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
East South Elevation
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 2000'
Monday Evening* 5500'
Monday Night* 4000'
Tuesday Morning* 4000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Morning* 5500'
Monday Afternoon* 7000'
Monday Evening* 6500'
Monday Night* 5000'
Tuesday Morning* 4500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 5000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Monday Monday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 37 / 32 35 / 29
West North 35 / 27 35 / 32
West Central 31 / 24 31 / 29
West South 34 / 28 35 / 32
Stevens Pass 25 / 18 29 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 27 / 21 29 / 27
East North 21 / 14 23 / 21
East Central 26 / 18 29 / 26
East South 30 / 23 31 / 30
Mt. Hood 35 / 30 35 / 33
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 37 / 32
Monday Night 35 / 29
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 35 / 27
Monday Night 35 / 32
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 31 / 24
Monday Night 31 / 29
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 34 / 28
Monday Night 35 / 32
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 25 / 18
Monday Night 29 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 27 / 21
Monday Night 29 / 27
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 21 / 14
Monday Night 23 / 21
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 26 / 18
Monday Night 29 / 26
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 30 / 23
Monday Night 31 / 30
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 35 / 30
Monday Night 35 / 33

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Monday Morning Monday Afternoon Monday Evening Monday Night
Olympics S 15-25 SSW 20-30 SSW 30-40 SSW 20-30
West North S 15-25 S 20-30 S 25-35 S 25-35
West Central SE 10-20 SE 10-20 SE 10-20 S 15-25
West South S 5-15 S 10-20 S 15-25 SSW 20-30
Stevens Pass SSE 10-20 SSE 5-15 SSE 10-20 S 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 15-25 ESE 10-20 ESE 10-20 SE 10-20
East North SSE 10-20 SSE 5-15 SSE 5-15 S 10-20
East Central S 15-25 S 15-25 S 15-25 SSW 20-30
East South S 5-15 S 5-15 S 10-20 SSW 15-25
Mt. Hood SW 20-30 SW 20-30 SSW 25-35 SW 35-50
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning S 15-25
Monday Afternoon SSW 20-30
Monday Evening SSW 30-40
Monday Night SSW 20-30
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning S 15-25
Monday Afternoon S 20-30
Monday Evening S 25-35
Monday Night S 25-35
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SE 10-20
Monday Afternoon SE 10-20
Monday Evening SE 10-20
Monday Night S 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning S 5-15
Monday Afternoon S 10-20
Monday Evening S 15-25
Monday Night SSW 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SSE 10-20
Monday Afternoon SSE 5-15
Monday Evening SSE 10-20
Monday Night S 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning ESE 15-25
Monday Afternoon ESE 10-20
Monday Evening ESE 10-20
Monday Night SE 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SSE 10-20
Monday Afternoon SSE 5-15
Monday Evening SSE 5-15
Monday Night S 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning S 15-25
Monday Afternoon S 15-25
Monday Evening S 15-25
Monday Night SSW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning S 5-15
Monday Afternoon S 5-15
Monday Evening S 10-20
Monday Night SSW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SW 20-30
Monday Afternoon SW 20-30
Monday Evening SSW 25-35
Monday Night SW 35-50

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Dec 24, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.