Happy Winter Solstice! We'll celebrate the longest night of the year with a welcomed change in the weather. After several days of mild and dry conditions, a storm will start to approach the region. Expect increasing clouds and strengthening winds. Most locations will see moderate to very strong and gusty S-SW ridgeline winds developing overnight.
The storm will be on our doorstep first thing in the morning. A few showers should arrive in the very early morning hours in the Olympics and North Cascades. A fast-moving band of moderate to occasionally heavy precipitation then quickly spreads from NW to SE around sunrise. The storm will need to displace the lingering warm air. While it should do so quickly, many sites start the storm as rain before transitioning to snow. Strong and gusty S-SW winds will accompany the heaviest precipitation.
Behind the cold front, winds turn more W and gradually decrease. This, combined with the loss of easterly flow in the Passes, could result in a slight rise in snow levels. You may see a brief period of rain at Snoqualmie and potentially Stevens. Showers should then continue in the mountains through the afternoon and evening. A Puget Sound Convergence Zone will provide locally heavier snowfall between Hwy 2 and I-90.
A high-pressure ridge quickly builds behind the exiting storm. While you could see a few lingering flurries and clouds to start Saturday, the trend will be for drying and clearing. Fresh snow, cool temperatures, and some sunshine... not a bad way to start the holiday weekend.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday
Night
Cloudy with SSW winds increasing significantly, becoming strong and gusty. A few showers after midnight.
Friday
Rain turning to snow in the morning, then showers. Strong and gusty W winds decreasing slightly.
Thursday
Night
Cloudy with a few showers after midnight. Moderate S winds becoming strong and gusty.
Friday
Rain quickly turning to snow in the morning. Could be moderate to occasionally heavy. Strong and gusty S winds becoming W and decreasing.
Thursday
Night
Cloudy. S winds increasing significantly and becoming moderate to strong and gusty.
Friday
Rain quickly turning to snow in the morning. Precipitation could be heavy at times. Moderate to strong SSW winds turning more W and decreasing.
Thursday
Night
Cloudy. Winds becoming SW moderate to strong.
Friday
Rain quickly turning to snow in the morning. Precipitation could occasionally be heavier on the volcanoes. Moderate to strong SW winds becoming W.
Thursday
Night
Cloudy. Winds becoming SSW light to moderate. Light E flow at Pass level.
Friday
Rain quickly changing to snow in the morning. E flow turning W with a slight bump in snow levels mid-morning. Moderate SSW winds becoming W moderate to strong.
Thursday
Night
Cloudy. Light to moderate S winds increasing and becoming SSW. Light E flow at Pass level.
Friday
Rain changing to snow in the morning. E flow turning to W with a slight bump in snow levels mid-morning. Moderate to strong SSW winds becoming W.
Thursday
Night
Cloudy. Light to moderate SW winds increasing slightly.
Friday
Precipitation with falling snow levels in the morning, becoming showers in the afternoon. Moderate to strong SW winds turning W.
Thursday
Night
Cloudy to mostly cloudy. Moderate SW winds becoming strong and gusty.
Friday
Precipitation in the morning with falling snow levels. Turning to showers in the afternoon. Heaviest near the Cascade crest. Strong and gusty WSW winds becoming W and decreasing slightly.
Thursday
Night
Cloudy to mostly cloudy. Moderate SW winds becoming strong and gusty.
Friday
Precipitation in the morning with falling snow levels. Turning to showers in the afternoon. Heaviest near the Cascade crest. Strong and gusty SW winds becoming W and decreasing slightly.
Thursday
Night
Becoming cloudy. Moderate SW winds increasing significantly and becoming strong and gusty.
Friday
Precipitation with falling snow levels in the morning, becoming more showery in the afternoon. Very strong and gusty WSW winds decreasing slightly and turning W.
Issued: 1:54 PM PST Thursday, December 21, 2023
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
Friday
Friday Night
Saturday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
LT 0.10
0.25
LT 0.10
0
Mt Baker Ski Area
LT 0.25
1.00
LT 0.25
0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
0
0.75 -1.00
LT 0.25
0
Stevens Pass
0
0.50
LT 0.25
0
Snoqualmie Pass
0
0.50
0.25
0
Crystal Mt
0
0.25
LT 0.10
0
Paradise
0
0.75
LT 0.25
0
White Pass
0
0.50
LT 0.25
0
Washington Pass
0
0.25
LT 0.25
0
Mission Ridge
0
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
0
0.25
LT 0.25
0
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
0
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
0
Mt Hood Meadows
0
0.50
LT 0.10
0
Timberline
0
0.50
LT 0.10
0
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
0.25
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
0
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
1.00
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0.75 -1.00
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
0
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0.50
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
0
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0.50
Friday Night
0.25
Saturday
0
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0.25
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
0
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0.75
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
0
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0.50
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
0
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0.25
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
0
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0.25
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
0
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.25
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
0
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0.50
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
0
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0.50
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
0
Issued: 1:54 PM PST Thursday, December 21, 2023
Snow Level (ft)
Thursday
Evening*
Thursday
Night*
Friday
Morning*
Friday
Afternoon
Friday
Evening
Friday
Night
Saturday
Morning
Saturday
Afternoon
Olympics
7500'
5500'
3500'
2500'
2000'
1500'
2000'
3000'
West North
7000'
5500'
4500'
2500'
1500'
1000'
1000'
3000'
West Central
7000'
6000'
4500'
2500'
1500'
1500'
1000'
3000'
West South
7000'
6000'
5000'
2500'
1500'
1500'
1000'
3500'
Stevens Pass
6000'
5500'
4500'
2500'
1500'
1500'
1000'
3000'
Snoqualmie Pass
7000'
6000'
4500'
2500'
1500'
1500'
1000'
3000'
East North
5000'
4500'
4000'
2500'
1000'
500'
500'
2500'
East Central
5500'
5000'
4500'
2500'
1500'
1000'
500'
3000'
East South
6000'
5500'
5000'
2500'
1500'
1500'
1000'
3500'
Mt. Hood
8500'
8000'
5500'
3000'
2000'
1500'
1500'
3500'
Olympics
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
7500'
Thursday
Night*
5500'
Friday
Morning*
3500'
Friday
Afternoon
2500'
Friday
Evening
2000'
Friday
Night
1500'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
West North
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
7000'
Thursday
Night*
5500'
Friday
Morning*
4500'
Friday
Afternoon
2500'
Friday
Evening
1500'
Friday
Night
1000'
Saturday
Morning
1000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
West Central
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
7000'
Thursday
Night*
6000'
Friday
Morning*
4500'
Friday
Afternoon
2500'
Friday
Evening
1500'
Friday
Night
1500'
Saturday
Morning
1000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
West South
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
7000'
Thursday
Night*
6000'
Friday
Morning*
5000'
Friday
Afternoon
2500'
Friday
Evening
1500'
Friday
Night
1500'
Saturday
Morning
1000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
6000'
Thursday
Night*
5500'
Friday
Morning*
4500'
Friday
Afternoon
2500'
Friday
Evening
1500'
Friday
Night
1500'
Saturday
Morning
1000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
7000'
Thursday
Night*
6000'
Friday
Morning*
4500'
Friday
Afternoon
2500'
Friday
Evening
1500'
Friday
Night
1500'
Saturday
Morning
1000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
East North
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
5000'
Thursday
Night*
4500'
Friday
Morning*
4000'
Friday
Afternoon
2500'
Friday
Evening
1000'
Friday
Night
500'
Saturday
Morning
500'
Saturday
Afternoon
2500'
East Central
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
5500'
Thursday
Night*
5000'
Friday
Morning*
4500'
Friday
Afternoon
2500'
Friday
Evening
1500'
Friday
Night
1000'
Saturday
Morning
500'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
East South
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
6000'
Thursday
Night*
5500'
Friday
Morning*
5000'
Friday
Afternoon
2500'
Friday
Evening
1500'
Friday
Night
1500'
Saturday
Morning
1000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
8500'
Thursday
Night*
8000'
Friday
Morning*
5500'
Friday
Afternoon
3000'
Friday
Evening
2000'
Friday
Night
1500'
Saturday
Morning
1500'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
Issued: 1:54 PM PST Thursday, December 21, 2023
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Thursday
Night
Friday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
40 / 36
36 / 26
West North
41 / 38
38 / 25
West Central
43 / 38
38 / 26
West South
36 / 33
34 / 25
Stevens Pass
35 / 31
32 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass
36 / 33
33 / 26
East North
28 / 26
26 / 20
East Central
35 / 32
32 / 26
East South
38 / 33
33 / 25
Mt. Hood
38 / 34
35 / 25
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
40 / 36
Friday
36 / 26
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
41 / 38
Friday
38 / 25
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
43 / 38
Friday
38 / 26
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
36 / 33
Friday
34 / 25
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
35 / 31
Friday
32 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
36 / 33
Friday
33 / 26
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
28 / 26
Friday
26 / 20
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
35 / 32
Friday
32 / 26
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
38 / 33
Friday
33 / 25
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
38 / 34
Friday
35 / 25
Issued: 1:54 PM PST Thursday, December 21, 2023
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
Thursday
Night
Friday
Morning
Friday
Afternoon
Olympics
SSW 10-20
SSW 25-35
W 25-35
W 20-30
West North
S 15-25
S 30-40
S 30-40
W 15-25
West Central
S 10-20
S 20-30
SSW 20-30
W 15-25
West South
SSW 10-20
SW 20-30
SW 20-30
W 20-30
Stevens Pass
S 5-15
SSW 10-20
SSW 15-25
W 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass
S 10-20
SSW 15-25
SSW 20-30
W 20-30
East North
SW 10-20
SW 15-25
SW 20-30
W 20-30
East Central
SW 15-25
SW 25-35
WSW 30-40
W 25-35
East South
SW 15-25
SW 25-35
SW 30-40
W 25-35
Mt. Hood
SW 15-25
SW 30-40
WSW 35-50
W 25-35
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SSW
10-20
Thursday
Night
SSW
25-35
Friday
Morning
W
25-35
Friday
Afternoon
W
20-30
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
S
15-25
Thursday
Night
S
30-40
Friday
Morning
S
30-40
Friday
Afternoon
W
15-25
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
S
10-20
Thursday
Night
S
20-30
Friday
Morning
SSW
20-30
Friday
Afternoon
W
15-25
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SSW
10-20
Thursday
Night
SW
20-30
Friday
Morning
SW
20-30
Friday
Afternoon
W
20-30
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
S
5-15
Thursday
Night
SSW
10-20
Friday
Morning
SSW
15-25
Friday
Afternoon
W
20-30
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
S
10-20
Thursday
Night
SSW
15-25
Friday
Morning
SSW
20-30
Friday
Afternoon
W
20-30
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SW
10-20
Thursday
Night
SW
15-25
Friday
Morning
SW
20-30
Friday
Afternoon
W
20-30
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SW
15-25
Thursday
Night
SW
25-35
Friday
Morning
WSW
30-40
Friday
Afternoon
W
25-35
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SW
15-25
Thursday
Night
SW
25-35
Friday
Morning
SW
30-40
Friday
Afternoon
W
25-35
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SW
15-25
Thursday
Night
SW
30-40
Friday
Morning
WSW
35-50
Friday
Afternoon
W
25-35
Issued: 1:54 PM PST Thursday, December 21, 2023
Extended Weather Synopsis
The transient high-pressure ridge should quickly shift inland Saturday night. This will start to open the door for a series of storms to impact the area. The question is when, where, and how much? Weather models diverge significantly starting Sunday. Some bring another round of snow in the afternoon. Others maintain dry, cool weather. Most show a more potent storm on Christmas Day, but again, the wide spread in snow levels could result in Santa bringing us snow or rain. We'll have to keep an eye on how these systems progress.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).