Issued: 1:54 PM PST Thursday, December 21, 2023
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Happy Winter Solstice! We'll celebrate the longest night of the year with a welcomed change in the weather. After several days of mild and dry conditions, a storm will start to approach the region. Expect increasing clouds and strengthening winds. Most locations will see moderate to very strong and gusty S-SW ridgeline winds developing overnight.  

The storm will be on our doorstep first thing in the morning. A few showers should arrive in the very early morning hours in the Olympics and North Cascades. A fast-moving band of moderate to occasionally heavy precipitation then quickly spreads from NW to SE around sunrise. The storm will need to displace the lingering warm air. While it should do so quickly, many sites start the storm as rain before transitioning to snow. Strong and gusty S-SW winds will accompany the heaviest precipitation.

Behind the cold front, winds turn more W and gradually decrease. This, combined with the loss of easterly flow in the Passes, could result in a slight rise in snow levels. You may see a brief period of rain at Snoqualmie and potentially Stevens. Showers should then continue in the mountains through the afternoon and evening. A Puget Sound Convergence Zone will provide locally heavier snowfall between Hwy 2 and I-90. 

A high-pressure ridge quickly builds behind the exiting storm. While you could see a few lingering flurries and clouds to start Saturday, the trend will be for drying and clearing. Fresh snow, cool temperatures, and some sunshine... not a bad way to start the holiday weekend. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Cloudy with SSW winds increasing significantly, becoming strong and gusty. A few showers after midnight.
Friday Rain turning to snow in the morning, then showers. Strong and gusty W winds decreasing slightly.
Thursday Night Cloudy with a few showers after midnight. Moderate S winds becoming strong and gusty.
Friday Rain quickly turning to snow in the morning. Could be moderate to occasionally heavy. Strong and gusty S winds becoming W and decreasing.
Thursday Night Cloudy. S winds increasing significantly and becoming moderate to strong and gusty.
Friday Rain quickly turning to snow in the morning. Precipitation could be heavy at times. Moderate to strong SSW winds turning more W and decreasing.
Thursday Night Cloudy. Winds becoming SW moderate to strong.
Friday Rain quickly turning to snow in the morning. Precipitation could occasionally be heavier on the volcanoes. Moderate to strong SW winds becoming W.
Thursday Night Cloudy. Winds becoming SSW light to moderate. Light E flow at Pass level.
Friday Rain quickly changing to snow in the morning. E flow turning W with a slight bump in snow levels mid-morning. Moderate SSW winds becoming W moderate to strong.
Thursday Night Cloudy. Light to moderate S winds increasing and becoming SSW. Light E flow at Pass level.
Friday Rain changing to snow in the morning. E flow turning to W with a slight bump in snow levels mid-morning. Moderate to strong SSW winds becoming W.
Thursday Night Cloudy. Light to moderate SW winds increasing slightly.
Friday Precipitation with falling snow levels in the morning, becoming showers in the afternoon. Moderate to strong SW winds turning W.
Thursday Night Cloudy to mostly cloudy. Moderate SW winds becoming strong and gusty.
Friday Precipitation in the morning with falling snow levels. Turning to showers in the afternoon. Heaviest near the Cascade crest. Strong and gusty WSW winds becoming W and decreasing slightly.
Thursday Night Cloudy to mostly cloudy. Moderate SW winds becoming strong and gusty.
Friday Precipitation in the morning with falling snow levels. Turning to showers in the afternoon. Heaviest near the Cascade crest. Strong and gusty SW winds becoming W and decreasing slightly.
Thursday Night Becoming cloudy. Moderate SW winds increasing significantly and becoming strong and gusty.
Friday Precipitation with falling snow levels in the morning, becoming more showery in the afternoon. Very strong and gusty WSW winds decreasing slightly and turning W.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 1.00 LT 0.25 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0.75 -1.00 LT 0.25 0
Stevens Pass 0 0.50 LT 0.25 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0.50 0.25 0
Crystal Mt 0 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Paradise 0 0.75 LT 0.25 0
White Pass 0 0.50 LT 0.25 0
Washington Pass 0 0.25 LT 0.25 0
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0.25 LT 0.25 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0.50 LT 0.10 0
Timberline 0 0.50 LT 0.10 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 1.00
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.75 -1.00
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.75
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 7500' 5500' 3500' 2500' 2000' 1500' 2000' 3000'
West North 7000' 5500' 4500' 2500' 1500' 1000' 1000' 3000'
West Central 7000' 6000' 4500' 2500' 1500' 1500' 1000' 3000'
West South 7000' 6000' 5000' 2500' 1500' 1500' 1000' 3500'
Stevens Pass 6000' 5500' 4500' 2500' 1500' 1500' 1000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 7000' 6000' 4500' 2500' 1500' 1500' 1000' 3000'
East North 5000' 4500' 4000' 2500' 1000' 500' 500' 2500'
East Central 5500' 5000' 4500' 2500' 1500' 1000' 500' 3000'
East South 6000' 5500' 5000' 2500' 1500' 1500' 1000' 3500'
Mt. Hood 8500' 8000' 5500' 3000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening* 7500'
Thursday Night* 5500'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 7000'
Thursday Night* 5500'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 1000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 7000'
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 7000'
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday Morning* 5000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 6000'
Thursday Night* 5500'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 7000'
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 5000'
Thursday Night* 4500'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning 500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 5500'
Thursday Night* 5000'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 6000'
Thursday Night* 5500'
Friday Morning* 5000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening* 8500'
Thursday Night* 8000'
Friday Morning* 5500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 40 / 36 36 / 26
West North 41 / 38 38 / 25
West Central 43 / 38 38 / 26
West South 36 / 33 34 / 25
Stevens Pass 35 / 31 32 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 36 / 33 33 / 26
East North 28 / 26 26 / 20
East Central 35 / 32 32 / 26
East South 38 / 33 33 / 25
Mt. Hood 38 / 34 35 / 25
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 40 / 36
Friday 36 / 26
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 41 / 38
Friday 38 / 25
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 43 / 38
Friday 38 / 26
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 36 / 33
Friday 34 / 25
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 35 / 31
Friday 32 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 36 / 33
Friday 33 / 26
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 28 / 26
Friday 26 / 20
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 35 / 32
Friday 32 / 26
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 38 / 33
Friday 33 / 25
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 38 / 34
Friday 35 / 25

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics SSW 10-20 SSW 25-35 W 25-35 W 20-30
West North S 15-25 S 30-40 S 30-40 W 15-25
West Central S 10-20 S 20-30 SSW 20-30 W 15-25
West South SSW 10-20 SW 20-30 SW 20-30 W 20-30
Stevens Pass S 5-15 SSW 10-20 SSW 15-25 W 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass S 10-20 SSW 15-25 SSW 20-30 W 20-30
East North SW 10-20 SW 15-25 SW 20-30 W 20-30
East Central SW 15-25 SW 25-35 WSW 30-40 W 25-35
East South SW 15-25 SW 25-35 SW 30-40 W 25-35
Mt. Hood SW 15-25 SW 30-40 WSW 35-50 W 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSW 10-20
Thursday Night SSW 25-35
Friday Morning W 25-35
Friday Afternoon W 20-30
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 15-25
Thursday Night S 30-40
Friday Morning S 30-40
Friday Afternoon W 15-25
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 10-20
Thursday Night S 20-30
Friday Morning SSW 20-30
Friday Afternoon W 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSW 10-20
Thursday Night SW 20-30
Friday Morning SW 20-30
Friday Afternoon W 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 5-15
Thursday Night SSW 10-20
Friday Morning SSW 15-25
Friday Afternoon W 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 10-20
Thursday Night SSW 15-25
Friday Morning SSW 20-30
Friday Afternoon W 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 10-20
Thursday Night SW 15-25
Friday Morning SW 20-30
Friday Afternoon W 20-30
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 15-25
Thursday Night SW 25-35
Friday Morning WSW 30-40
Friday Afternoon W 25-35
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 15-25
Thursday Night SW 25-35
Friday Morning SW 30-40
Friday Afternoon W 25-35
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 15-25
Thursday Night SW 30-40
Friday Morning WSW 35-50
Friday Afternoon W 25-35

Extended Weather Synopsis

The transient high-pressure ridge should quickly shift inland Saturday night. This will start to open the door for a series of storms to impact the area. The question is when, where, and how much? Weather models diverge significantly starting Sunday. Some bring another round of snow in the afternoon. Others maintain dry, cool weather. Most show a more potent storm on Christmas Day, but again, the wide spread in snow levels could result in Santa bringing us snow or rain. We'll have to keep an eye on how these systems progress. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night* Sunday * Sunday Night* Monday *
West North 1000' 2500' 2500' 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass 1000' 2500' 2500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 1500' 4500' 3500' 4500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday * 2500'
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday * 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday * 2500'
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday * 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday * 4500'
Sunday Night* 3500'
Monday * 4500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 21, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.