Issued: 6:56 AM PST Thursday, December 21, 2023
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

One last day of generally quiet, mild, and dry weather before a storm arrives tomorrow morning. A system passing to our north will drag clouds over the region today. Locations north of about US Hwy 2 should see cloudy to mostly cloudy skies, with a bit more sunshine further south and east. While most precipitation will stay north of the border, you might encounter a stray shower in the North Cascades. 

As we head into the afternoon and evening, conditions will change. Winds turn more southerly and start to increase substantially. Many areas will see moderate to strong and gust S to SW winds overnight. 

Precipitation should arrive in the Olympics and Baker areas in the dark early morning hours before quickly spreading south and east. With warm air in place, many sites will initially see rain, but a strong cold front should cause snow levels to fall by mid-morning. This fast-moving storm brings a compact band of moderate precipitation and strong winds to the mountains during the day. Easterly flow in the Passes will help lower the snow levels, but a shift to westerly winds could cause a brief return to rain at pass level for Snoqualmie and perhaps Stevens. 

By late afternoon, winds turn more westerly, and snowfall rates should start to taper. However, with plenty of moisture in place, westerly winds and a Puget Sound Convergence Zone should help showers add to the snow totals. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Mostly cloudy. A few isolated sprinkles possible.
Thursday Night Cloudy with increasing significantly. Becoming SW moderate to strong. Showers possible after midnight.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with moderate SSW winds increaing in the afternoon. A few isolated showers possible.
Thursday Night Cloudy. Moderate S winds becoming strong and gusty. A few showers possible after midnight.
Thursday Mostly cloudy. Light to moderate SW winds.
Thursday Night Cloudy. Light to moderate S winds increasing.
Thursday Partly cloudy. Light SW winds.
Thursday Night Becoming cloudy. Winds increasing and becoming moderate SSW.
Thursday Partly to mostly cloudy. Light E flow with some low clouds possible particularly E of the Pass.
Thursday Night Cloudy. Light E flow. Ridgeline winds becoming S light to moderate.
Thursday Partly cloudy. Light E flow could bring low clouds/fog into the Pass.
Thursday Night Cloudy. Light E flow. Ridgeline winds becoming S moderate.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with valley fog. A few sprinkles possible near the Canadian border. Light to moderate WSW winds.
Thursday Night Cloudy. SW winds becoming moderate.
Thursday Partly to mostly cloudy with valley fog. Light to moderate westerly winds.
Thursday Night Cloudy with increasing winds. Becoming SW moderate to strong and gusty.
Thursday Partly cloudy with some valley fog.
Thursday Night Becoming cloudy. SW winds increasing significantly from moderate to strong and gusty.
Thursday Partly cloudy with some low clouds/fog. Winds becoming SW light to moderate.
Thursday Night Becoming cloudy. Winds increasing significantly with very strong and gusty alpine winds. Ridgeline winds also becoming strong and gusty.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0.25 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 0.50 0.75 -1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 0.75
Stevens Pass 0 0 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt 0 0 0.25
Paradise 0 0 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass 0 0 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass 0 0 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 0 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0.50
Timberline 0 0 0.50 - 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.75 -1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.50 - 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon
Olympics 7500' 7500' 7000' 5500' 3500' 2500'
West North 6500' 6500' 6500' 6000' 4500' 2500'
West Central 6500' 7000' 7000' 6000' 4500' 2500'
West South 7000' 8000' 7000' 6000' 4500' 3000'
Stevens Pass 6000' 7500' 6000' 5000' 4500' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 7000' 7500' 6500' 5500' 4500' 2500'
East North 3500' 6000' 5000' 4500' 4000' 2500'
East Central 6000' 7500' 6000' 5000' 4000' 2500'
East South 6000' 8500' 6500' 5500' 4500' 3000'
Mt. Hood 8500' 9000' 8500' 7500' 5000' 3000'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Morning* 7500'
Thursday Afternoon* 7500'
Thursday Evening* 7000'
Thursday Night* 5500'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Morning* 6500'
Thursday Afternoon* 6500'
Thursday Evening* 6500'
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Morning* 6500'
Thursday Afternoon* 7000'
Thursday Evening* 7000'
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
West South Elevation
Thursday Morning* 7000'
Thursday Afternoon* 8000'
Thursday Evening* 7000'
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning* 6000'
Thursday Afternoon* 7500'
Thursday Evening* 6000'
Thursday Night* 5000'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning* 7000'
Thursday Afternoon* 7500'
Thursday Evening* 6500'
Thursday Night* 5500'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
East North Elevation
Thursday Morning* 3500'
Thursday Afternoon* 6000'
Thursday Evening* 5000'
Thursday Night* 4500'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Morning* 6000'
Thursday Afternoon* 7500'
Thursday Evening* 6000'
Thursday Night* 5000'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
East South Elevation
Thursday Morning* 6000'
Thursday Afternoon* 8500'
Thursday Evening* 6500'
Thursday Night* 5500'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning* 8500'
Thursday Afternoon* 9000'
Thursday Evening* 8500'
Thursday Night* 7500'
Friday Morning* 5000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Thursday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 42 / 36 40 / 35
West North 42 / 35 40 / 34
West Central 43 / 36 40 / 34
West South 40 / 33 37 / 34
Stevens Pass 37 / 33 35 / 31
Snoqualmie Pass 39 / 34 36 / 33
East North 33 / 27 32 / 27
East Central 39 / 32 35 / 30
East South 40 / 34 37 / 33
Mt. Hood 44 / 37 40 / 36
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 42 / 36
Thursday Night 40 / 35
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 42 / 35
Thursday Night 40 / 34
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 43 / 36
Thursday Night 40 / 34
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 40 / 33
Thursday Night 37 / 34
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 37 / 33
Thursday Night 35 / 31
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 39 / 34
Thursday Night 36 / 33
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 33 / 27
Thursday Night 32 / 27
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 39 / 32
Thursday Night 35 / 30
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 40 / 34
Thursday Night 37 / 33
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 44 / 37
Thursday Night 40 / 36

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon Thursday Evening Thursday Night
Olympics WSW 5-15 SW 5-15 SSW 10-20 SW 20-30
West North SSW 10-20 SSW 15-25 S 20-30 S 25-35
West Central SW 10-20 SSW 10-20 S 10-20 S 15-25
West South SW 5-15 SW 5-15 SW 10-20 SSW 15-25
Stevens Pass W 5-15 SW 0-10 S 5-15 S 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass W 5-15 SW 0-10 S 5-15 S 15-25
East North WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 SW 10-20 SW 15-25
East Central W 10-20 WSW 10-20 SW 15-25 SW 20-30
East South W 5-15 WSW 5-15 SW 15-25 SW 20-30
Mt. Hood WSW 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 20-30 SW 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WSW 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SW 5-15
Thursday Evening SSW 10-20
Thursday Night SW 20-30
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15-25
Thursday Evening S 20-30
Thursday Night S 25-35
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SSW 10-20
Thursday Evening S 10-20
Thursday Night S 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SW 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SW 5-15
Thursday Evening SW 10-20
Thursday Night SSW 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SW 0-10
Thursday Evening S 5-15
Thursday Night S 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SW 0-10
Thursday Evening S 5-15
Thursday Night S 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Thursday Evening SW 10-20
Thursday Night SW 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Thursday Evening SW 15-25
Thursday Night SW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 5-15
Thursday Afternoon WSW 5-15
Thursday Evening SW 15-25
Thursday Night SW 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WSW 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SW 10-20
Thursday Evening SW 20-30
Thursday Night SW 25-35

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Dec 20, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.