Issued: 2:05 PM PST Tuesday, December 19, 2023
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

The weather pattern transitions from mild and damp to mild and dry over the next 12 hours, with dry weather forecast through Thursday.

A remnant low pressure drifts northward off the Washington coastline as of Tuesday afternoon. An associated band of briefly moderate precipitation lifts northward along with the dissipating low. Upper-level flow switches from S to SW behind the band of moisture bringing in some very light showery precipitation for the west slopes of the Cascades. Most of the remaining moisture will fall in the northern Cascades, particularly around Mt Baker Tuesday evening, and tapers Tuesday night. Expect areas south of the Methow to warm up Tuesday evening thanks to the SW flow. Any moisture making it to the east slopes of the Cascades or Passes likely transitions to rain (or freezing rain where cold air gets trapped in deep valleys).

By Wednesday, upper-level flow splits around the region as another cutoff low moves off the coast of California. Expect little change in the pattern through Thursday with freezing levels rising to 6500-8500 ft Wednesday afternoon and 7000-9000 ft by Thursday afternoon. Light E flow continues through the mountain gaps through Thursday, making inversions and low clouds likely throughout the forecast period given a lack of upper air forcing to mix the atmosphere. Mostly sunny skies should be the rule on Wednesday, but cloud cover will increase Wednesday night into Thursday.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night A few scattered rain or snow showers in the evening for the S and W slopes of the Olympics, then becoming mostly to partly cloudy across the region overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds in the evening become light.
Wednesday Mostly sunny. Light ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Light to moderate rain or high-elevation snow becomes showery by late evening and tapers overnight. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Partly cloudy in the morning, then becoming mostly sunny. Light ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Light rain or high-elevation snow showers decrease, then end during the evening hours. Becoming mostly cloudy overnight. Decreasing light ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Mostly sunny. Light ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night A chance of a light rain or high-elevation snow shower in the early evening, then gradually decreasing clouds. Light ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Mostly sunny. Light ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Light rain showers or mixed precipitation decreasing or ending. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Wednesday Mostly sunny with low cloud likely at Pass level. Light ridgeline and E winds at the Pass.
Tuesday Night Light rain showers or mixed precipitation decreasing or ending. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Wednesday Mostly sunny with low cloud likely at Pass level. Light ridgeline and E winds at the Pass.
Tuesday Night Light snow showers decrease, then end. Light ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Becoming mostly sunny. Light ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Light rain or snow showers are possible in the early evening, then gradually decreasing clouds. Decreasing light to occasionally moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Mostly sunny above the inversion with stratus below 4500 ft. Light ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Gradually decreasing cloud cover. Decreasing light to occasionally moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Mostly sunny above the inversion with stratus below 4500 ft. Light ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night A slight chance of a rain or snow shower in the early evening, then gradually decreasing clouds. Decreasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Mostly sunny. Light ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 0 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Crystal Mt 0 0 0 0
Paradise LT 0.10 0 0 0
White Pass 0 0 0 0
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 0
Timberline 0 0 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening* Tuesday Night* Wednesday Morning* Wednesday Afternoon* Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon*
Olympics 6500' 7000' 7000' 7000' 7000' 7500' 7500' 7500'
West North 6000' 6000' 6500' 6500' 6500' 6500' 6500' 7000'
West Central 6000' 6000' 6500' 7000' 7000' 6500' 6500' 7500'
West South 6500' 7000' 6500' 8000' 7500' 7000' 7000' 8000'
Stevens Pass 5000' 5000' 6000' 7500' 7000' 6000' 6000' 7500'
Snoqualmie Pass 6000' 6500' 6000' 7500' 7000' 6500' 6500' 7500'
East North 3000' 3500' 2500' 4000' 3500' 3000' 2500' 3500'
East Central 5500' 6000' 4500' 8000' 6500' 5500' 6500' 7500'
East South 7000' 7000' 5500' 8000' 7000' 6500' 7500' 8500'
Mt. Hood 7500' 8000' 8000' 8500' 8500' 8500' 8500' 9000'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 6500'
Tuesday Night* 7000'
Wednesday Morning* 7000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 7000'
Wednesday Evening* 7000'
Wednesday Night* 7500'
Thursday Morning* 7500'
Thursday Afternoon* 7500'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 6000'
Tuesday Night* 6000'
Wednesday Morning* 6500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 6500'
Wednesday Evening* 6500'
Wednesday Night* 6500'
Thursday Morning* 6500'
Thursday Afternoon* 7000'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 6000'
Tuesday Night* 6000'
Wednesday Morning* 6500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 7000'
Wednesday Evening* 7000'
Wednesday Night* 6500'
Thursday Morning* 6500'
Thursday Afternoon* 7500'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 6500'
Tuesday Night* 7000'
Wednesday Morning* 6500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 8000'
Wednesday Evening* 7500'
Wednesday Night* 7000'
Thursday Morning* 7000'
Thursday Afternoon* 8000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5000'
Tuesday Night* 5000'
Wednesday Morning* 6000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 7500'
Wednesday Evening* 7000'
Wednesday Night* 6000'
Thursday Morning* 6000'
Thursday Afternoon* 7500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 6000'
Tuesday Night* 6500'
Wednesday Morning* 6000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 7500'
Wednesday Evening* 7000'
Wednesday Night* 6500'
Thursday Morning* 6500'
Thursday Afternoon* 7500'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 3000'
Tuesday Night* 3500'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4000'
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5500'
Tuesday Night* 6000'
Wednesday Morning* 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 8000'
Wednesday Evening* 6500'
Wednesday Night* 5500'
Thursday Morning* 6500'
Thursday Afternoon* 7500'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 7000'
Tuesday Night* 7000'
Wednesday Morning* 5500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 8000'
Wednesday Evening* 7000'
Wednesday Night* 6500'
Thursday Morning* 7500'
Thursday Afternoon* 8500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 7500'
Tuesday Night* 8000'
Wednesday Morning* 8000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 8500'
Wednesday Evening* 8500'
Wednesday Night* 8500'
Thursday Morning* 8500'
Thursday Afternoon* 9000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 38 / 34 40 / 33
West North 38 / 35 38 / 34
West Central 38 / 33 39 / 32
West South 38 / 35 43 / 35
Stevens Pass 37 / 33 42 / 34
Snoqualmie Pass 37 / 33 40 / 33
East North 30 / 26 33 / 26
East Central 37 / 33 41 / 34
East South 38 / 35 42 / 36
Mt. Hood 39 / 37 47 / 37
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 38 / 34
Wednesday 40 / 33
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 38 / 35
Wednesday 38 / 34
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 38 / 33
Wednesday 39 / 32
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 38 / 35
Wednesday 43 / 35
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 37 / 33
Wednesday 42 / 34
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 37 / 33
Wednesday 40 / 33
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 30 / 26
Wednesday 33 / 26
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 37 / 33
Wednesday 41 / 34
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 38 / 35
Wednesday 42 / 36
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 39 / 37
Wednesday 47 / 37

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics SSW 10-20 SSW 5-15 SW 5-15 SW 5-15
West North SSW 15-25 SSW 10-20 SSW 5-15 SSW 5-15
West Central SSW 10-20 SSW 5-15 SSW 5-15 SSW 0-10
West South SW 5-15 SW 0-10 SW 0-10 SW 0-10
Stevens Pass SW 5-15 SSW 0-10 SSW 0-10 SW 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass SW 5-15 SSE 5-15 SSE 5-15 SSE 5-15
East North SW 5-15 SW 5-15 SW 5-15 SW 5-15
East Central WSW 10-20 SW 5-15 SW 5-15 WSW 5-15
East South SW 5-15 S 5-15 SSW 0-10 SW 0-10
Mt. Hood SSW 5-15 SSW 0-10 SW 0-10 WSW 0-10
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSW 10-20
Tuesday Night SSW 5-15
Wednesday Morning SW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSW 15-25
Tuesday Night SSW 10-20
Wednesday Morning SSW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSW 10-20
Tuesday Night SSW 5-15
Wednesday Morning SSW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 0-10
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 5-15
Tuesday Night SW 0-10
Wednesday Morning SW 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon SW 0-10
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 5-15
Tuesday Night SSW 0-10
Wednesday Morning SSW 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon SW 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 5-15
Tuesday Night SSE 5-15
Wednesday Morning SSE 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 5-15
Tuesday Night SW 5-15
Wednesday Morning SW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 10-20
Tuesday Night SW 5-15
Wednesday Morning SW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 5-15
Tuesday Night S 5-15
Wednesday Morning SSW 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon SW 0-10
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSW 5-15
Tuesday Night SSW 0-10
Wednesday Morning SW 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 0-10

Extended Weather Synopsis

A sharp frontal system brings winter conditions back to the region.  Clouds lower and thicken Thursday night with precipitation reaching the Olympics and Baker areas in the early morning hours. Expect moderate snow for the west slopes of the Cascades and light snow for the east slopes on Friday with snow levels dropping rapidly from 5000 ft initially down to below 3000 ft by the end of the day. The Snoqualmie Pass may see snowfall start as snow with a brief transition to rain as the front passes before temperatures cool off. Showers and convergence bands become light by midnight Friday night. Expect lingering clouds along the west slopes of the Cascades on Saturday with a few flurries. Freezing levels should be around 500-1500 ft!

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night* Friday Friday Night Saturday
West North 5500' 4000' 1000' 500'
Snoqualmie Pass 7000' 4000' 1500' 1000'
Mt. Hood 8000' 4500' 2000' 1500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night* 5500'
Friday 4000'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday 500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night* 7000'
Friday 4000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday 1000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night* 8000'
Friday 4500'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday 1500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 19, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.