Issued: 7:04 AM PST Tuesday, December 19, 2023
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

The remnants of a northward-moving upper low off the Pacific Northwest coastline will bring light to moderate precipitation across the region on Tuesday. One band of precipitation is weakening as it moves northward through the central Cascades and may fizzle before reaching Mt Baker. A second and more significant band of precipitation currently brings moderate precipitation to Mt Hood and the southern Cascade volcanoes. This should continue to lift northward and bring a wind shift from S to SW, ushering additional warming in its wake.

The situation gets complicated when we add in easterly low-level flow. There's enough cold air that the mountain passes have been receiving light snowfall this morning. Snow should continue through around 10 AM, but warming as the precipitation trails off from late morning through the afternoon hour should transition the major central Cascade Passes from snow to rain or freezing rain as warmth overwhelms the cold air at middle elevations. Washington Pass should remain all snow. Snow levels west of the Cascade Crest should be around 5500-6500 ft on Tuesday.

Precipitation tapers from south to north, with some moderate precipitation lingering for Mt Baker through the evening hours.

On Wednesday, a cutoff low moves into position off the California Coast and the main jetstream remains to our north. Therefore, expect mostly sunny skies with light winds aloft and increasing light to moderate E flow through the mountain gaps.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Periods of light rain and higher elevation snow focusing on the southern Olympics. Light to occasionally moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night A few scattered rain or snow showers in the evening for the SW slopes of the Olympics, then becoming mostly to partly cloudy.
Tuesday Cloudy early, then periods of light to moderate rain and high-elevation snow from mid-morning onwards. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Decreasing light rain or high-elevation snow showers. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Periods of light to moderate rain and high-elevation snow. Mostly light ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Decreasing very light rain or high elevation snow showers in the early evening, then mostly cloudy. Light ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Periods of light to moderate rain and high-elevation snow are heaviest on the volcanoes and through the morning hours. Lower snow levels near the mountain gaps. Mostly light ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night A chance of a light rain or high-elevation snow shower in the early evening, then gradually decreasing clouds. Light ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Periods of light snow changing to rain or freezing rain late in the day. Light ridgeline winds. Decreasing light E wind at the Pass.
Tuesday Night Periods of light rain or mixed precipitation decreasing or ending. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Tuesday Periods of light snow changing to rain or freezing rain during the mid-day hours. Moderate ridgeline winds. Decreasing light to moderate E wind at the Pass.
Tuesday Night Periods of light rain decreasing or ending. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Tuesday Periods of light snow. Mostly light ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Decreasing light snow. Light ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Periods of light snow in the morning may mix with freezing rain or rain in the afternoon. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Light rain or snow showers in the early evening, then gradually decreasing clouds. Decreasing light to occasionally moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Periods of light snow in the morning mixing with and changing over to freezing rain or rain in the late morning hours. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Gradually decreasing cloud cover. Decreasing light to occasionally moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Moderate rain and higher elevation snow quickly become light and showery by mid-morning. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds decreasing.
Tuesday Night A slight chance of a rain or snow shower in the early evening, then gradually decreasing clouds. Decreasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 LT 0.25 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 0 0
Paradise 0.50 LT 0.10 0
White Pass LT 0.25 0 0
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Mission Ridge 0.25 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 0 0
Timberline 0.25 - 0.50 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Morning* Tuesday Afternoon* Tuesday Evening* Tuesday Night* Wednesday Morning* Wednesday Afternoon*
Olympics 6500' 6000' 6000' 6500' 7000' 7000'
West North 6500' 6000' 5500' 5500' 6500' 6500'
West Central 5000' 5500' 6000' 5500' 6500' 7000'
West South 5000' 5500' 6000' 6500' 5500' 8000'
Stevens Pass 3000' 3500' 5500' 5500' 4000' 7500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 5000' 6000' 6000' 6000' 7500'
East North 1000' 2000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3500'
East Central 2000' 3500' 5500' 3000' 3500' 7500'
East South 3000' 5500' 6000' 6000' 5000' 8000'
Mt. Hood 6000' 6500' 6500' 7500' 8000' 8500'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 6500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 6000'
Tuesday Evening* 6000'
Tuesday Night* 6500'
Wednesday Morning* 7000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 7000'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 6500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 6000'
Tuesday Evening* 5500'
Tuesday Night* 5500'
Wednesday Morning* 6500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 6500'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 5000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 5500'
Tuesday Evening* 6000'
Tuesday Night* 5500'
Wednesday Morning* 6500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 7000'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 5000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 5500'
Tuesday Evening* 6000'
Tuesday Night* 6500'
Wednesday Morning* 5500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 8000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3500'
Tuesday Evening* 5500'
Tuesday Night* 5500'
Wednesday Morning* 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 7500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 5000'
Tuesday Evening* 6000'
Tuesday Night* 6000'
Wednesday Morning* 6000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 7500'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 1000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 2000'
Tuesday Evening* 3000'
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3500'
Tuesday Evening* 5500'
Tuesday Night* 3000'
Wednesday Morning* 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 7500'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 5500'
Tuesday Evening* 6000'
Tuesday Night* 6000'
Wednesday Morning* 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 8000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 6000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 6500'
Tuesday Evening* 6500'
Tuesday Night* 7500'
Wednesday Morning* 8000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 8500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Tuesday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 39 / 37 38 / 34
West North 41 / 37 36 / 34
West Central 41 / 35 36 / 34
West South 37 / 34 36 / 33
Stevens Pass 33 / 25 36 / 30
Snoqualmie Pass 34 / 28 36 / 31
East North 28 / 22 31 / 27
East Central 34 / 37 35 / 31
East South 36 / 30 36 / 32
Mt. Hood 39 / 34 39 / 36
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 39 / 37
Tuesday Night 38 / 34
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 41 / 37
Tuesday Night 36 / 34
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 41 / 35
Tuesday Night 36 / 34
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 37 / 34
Tuesday Night 36 / 33
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 33 / 25
Tuesday Night 36 / 30
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 34 / 28
Tuesday Night 36 / 31
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 28 / 22
Tuesday Night 31 / 27
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 34 / 37
Tuesday Night 35 / 31
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 36 / 30
Tuesday Night 36 / 32
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 39 / 34
Tuesday Night 39 / 36

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Morning Tuesday Afternoon Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night
Olympics SE 5-15 SSW 10-20 SW 10-20 SW 5-15
West North SE 5-15 S 5-15 SSW 15-25 SSW 10-20
West Central SE 10-20 SSE 10-20 SW 10-20 SSW 5-15
West South SSE 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 5-15 SW 0-10
Stevens Pass SE 10-20 S 5-15 SW 5-15 SW 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 20-30 SSE 15-25 WSW 10-20 SW 0-10
East North SE 5-15 SSE 5-15 SW 10-20 WSW 10-20
East Central SSE 10-20 SSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 WSW 5-15
East South SSE 5-15 SW 5-15 WSW 10-20 WSW 5-15
Mt. Hood SSW 20-30 SW 15-25 SW 10-20 SW 5-15
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SE 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 10-20
Tuesday Evening SW 10-20
Tuesday Night SW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SE 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon S 5-15
Tuesday Evening SSW 15-25
Tuesday Night SSW 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SE 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon SSE 10-20
Tuesday Evening SW 10-20
Tuesday Night SSW 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SSE 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SW 10-20
Tuesday Evening SW 5-15
Tuesday Night SW 0-10
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SE 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon S 5-15
Tuesday Evening SW 5-15
Tuesday Night SW 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning ESE 20-30
Tuesday Afternoon SSE 15-25
Tuesday Evening WSW 10-20
Tuesday Night SW 0-10
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SE 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SSE 5-15
Tuesday Evening SW 10-20
Tuesday Night WSW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SSE 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 10-20
Tuesday Evening WSW 10-20
Tuesday Night WSW 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SSE 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SW 5-15
Tuesday Evening WSW 10-20
Tuesday Night WSW 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SSW 20-30
Tuesday Afternoon SW 15-25
Tuesday Evening SW 10-20
Tuesday Night SW 5-15

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Dec 18, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.