Issued: 7:05 AM PST Monday, December 18, 2023
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

An upper low off the California coast ejects northward through Tuesday, bringing mostly light precipitation. Much of that precipitation falls as rain for ski area elevations to the west of the Cascade Crest. Inversions remain in place across the E slopes of the Cascades and through the mountain gaps, so expect a wintry mix in these areas by the time precipitation arrives.

Cloudy skies cover the Pacific Northwest on Monday morning. A weak disturbance passed east of the Cascades early this morning, bringing very light rain to Wenatchee, but mountain locations have remained dry thus far. A second wave of moisture moves currently over southern Oregon moves northward into the region by the afternoon and through the northern portions of Washington state during the evening hours. Another band of light to moderate precipitation moves northward in the early morning hours on Tuesday through the end of the day.

The devil is in the details for the east slopes of the Cascades and mountain gaps. For places like Snoqualmie Pass and Stevens Passes, precipitation likely starts as freezing rain or sleet, may mix with snow through late morning on Tuesday, and then changes back to rain. Snow accumulations are more likely for Stevens pass with 1-4" possible. Washington Pass should remain mostly snow. The system ends warm as E winds ease somewhat and SSW flow continues.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Monday Cloudy with light rain and high-elevation snow showers from mid-morning onwards. Light ridgeline winds. Mild.
Monday Night Periods of light rain and highest elevation snow at Hurricane Ridge. Precipitation may be moderate over the southern Olympics.
Monday Cloudy with light rain and high-elevation snow showers late in the day. Light ridgeline winds. Mild.
Monday Night Periods of light rain and snow. Light to occasionally moderate ridgeline winds.
Monday Cloudy with light rain and high-elevation snow showers late in the day. Light ridgeline winds. Mild.
Monday Night Periods of decreasing light rain and snow. Light ridgeline winds.
Monday Cloudy with light rain and high-elevation snow showers in the afternoon. A wintry mix is possible near the mountain gaps with strong inversions likely in these areas. Light ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Periods of light rain and snow with mixed precipitation possible closer to the Cascade Crest. Light ridgeline winds.
Monday Cloudy in the morning with a chance of mixed precipitation or light snow late in the day. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Monday Night Increasing periods of snow with mixed precipitation also possible. Mostly light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Monday Cloudy in the morning with a chance of mixed precipitation or rain late in the day. Moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Monday Night Increasing periods of snow or mixed precipitation. Moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Monday Cloudy with light ridgeline winds. A weakened inversion at the Pass.
Monday Night Periods of light snow. Light ridgeline winds.
Monday Cloudy with periods of light mixed precipitation or snow more likely in the afternoon. Light to occasionally moderate ridgeline winds. Inversions in many areas.
Monday Night Periods of light mixed snow, sleet, and freezing rain. Light ridgeline winds.
Monday Cloudy with periods of light mixed precipitation or snow more likely in the afternoon. Light ridgeline winds. Inversions in many areas.
Monday Night Increasing periods of light mixed snow, sleet, and freezing rain. Minimal snow accumulations. Light ridgeline winds.
Monday Cloudy with light rain and snow. Mild. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Increasing periods of light rain and snow. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Monday Monday Night Tuesday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 0.25 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25
Paradise LT 0.10 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0.25 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25
Timberline LT 0.25 0.25 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 0
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.25
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.25
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Monday Morning* Monday Afternoon* Monday Evening* Monday Night* Tuesday Morning* Tuesday Afternoon*
Olympics 8500' 7500' 7000' 7000' 6500' 6500'
West North 8000' 7000' 7000' 6500' 6000' 6000'
West Central 7500' 7000' 7000' 5500' 5500' 5500'
West South 7000' 7000' 6000' 5500' 5000' 5500'
Stevens Pass 3000' 5500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 7000' 7000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 5000'
East North 1000' 2000' 1000' 1000' 1000' 2000'
East Central 2000' 3500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 3000'
East South 2500' 6000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 5500'
Mt. Hood 7500' 8000' 7000' 6500' 6500' 6500'
Olympics Elevation
Monday Morning* 8500'
Monday Afternoon* 7500'
Monday Evening* 7000'
Monday Night* 7000'
Tuesday Morning* 6500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 6500'
West North Elevation
Monday Morning* 8000'
Monday Afternoon* 7000'
Monday Evening* 7000'
Monday Night* 6500'
Tuesday Morning* 6000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 6000'
West Central Elevation
Monday Morning* 7500'
Monday Afternoon* 7000'
Monday Evening* 7000'
Monday Night* 5500'
Tuesday Morning* 5500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 5500'
West South Elevation
Monday Morning* 7000'
Monday Afternoon* 7000'
Monday Evening* 6000'
Monday Night* 5500'
Tuesday Morning* 5000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 5500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Monday Morning* 3000'
Monday Afternoon* 5500'
Monday Evening* 3000'
Monday Night* 3000'
Tuesday Morning* 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Morning* 7000'
Monday Afternoon* 7000'
Monday Evening* 3000'
Monday Night* 3000'
Tuesday Morning* 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 5000'
East North Elevation
Monday Morning* 1000'
Monday Afternoon* 2000'
Monday Evening* 1000'
Monday Night* 1000'
Tuesday Morning* 1000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 2000'
East Central Elevation
Monday Morning* 2000'
Monday Afternoon* 3500'
Monday Evening* 1500'
Monday Night* 1500'
Tuesday Morning* 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
East South Elevation
Monday Morning* 2500'
Monday Afternoon* 6000'
Monday Evening* 2000'
Monday Night* 2000'
Tuesday Morning* 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 5500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Morning* 7500'
Monday Afternoon* 8000'
Monday Evening* 7000'
Monday Night* 6500'
Tuesday Morning* 6500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 6500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Monday Monday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 40 / 37 38 / 36
West North 40 / 34 37 / 36
West Central 39 / 35 37 / 32
West South 42 / 35 36 / 35
Stevens Pass 36 / 27 31 / 29
Snoqualmie Pass 37 / 31 34 / 30
East North 28 / 20 26 / 22
East Central 37 / 29 31 / 29
East South 39 / 32 34 / 33
Mt. Hood 39 / 36 37 / 35
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 40 / 37
Monday Night 38 / 36
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 40 / 34
Monday Night 37 / 36
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 39 / 35
Monday Night 37 / 32
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 42 / 35
Monday Night 36 / 35
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 36 / 27
Monday Night 31 / 29
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 37 / 31
Monday Night 34 / 30
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 28 / 20
Monday Night 26 / 22
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 37 / 29
Monday Night 31 / 29
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 39 / 32
Monday Night 34 / 33
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 39 / 36
Monday Night 37 / 35

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Monday Morning Monday Afternoon Monday Evening Monday Night
Olympics S 5-15 SSW 10-20 SSW 10-20 S 10-20
West North S 5-15 S 5-15 S 5-15 SSE 5-15
West Central S 5-15 SSE 5-15 SE 5-15 SE 10-20
West South SSW 0-10 S 0-10 S 5-15 SSE 5-15
Stevens Pass S 0-10 SSE 5-15 SE 5-15 SE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass SSE 10-20 ESE 15-25 ESE 15-25 ESE 15-25
East North SSW 5-15 SSW 5-15 SSE 0-10 SSE 5-15
East Central SW 5-15 SSW 10-20 S 5-15 S 10-20
East South SW 5-15 S 5-15 S 5-15 SSE 5-15
Mt. Hood SW 10-20 SSW 10-20 SSW 10-20 SSW 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning S 5-15
Monday Afternoon SSW 10-20
Monday Evening SSW 10-20
Monday Night S 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning S 5-15
Monday Afternoon S 5-15
Monday Evening S 5-15
Monday Night SSE 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning S 5-15
Monday Afternoon SSE 5-15
Monday Evening SE 5-15
Monday Night SE 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SSW 0-10
Monday Afternoon S 0-10
Monday Evening S 5-15
Monday Night SSE 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning S 0-10
Monday Afternoon SSE 5-15
Monday Evening SE 5-15
Monday Night SE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SSE 10-20
Monday Afternoon ESE 15-25
Monday Evening ESE 15-25
Monday Night ESE 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SSW 5-15
Monday Afternoon SSW 5-15
Monday Evening SSE 0-10
Monday Night SSE 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SW 5-15
Monday Afternoon SSW 10-20
Monday Evening S 5-15
Monday Night S 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SW 5-15
Monday Afternoon S 5-15
Monday Evening S 5-15
Monday Night SSE 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SW 10-20
Monday Afternoon SSW 10-20
Monday Evening SSW 10-20
Monday Night SSW 20-30

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Dec 17, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.