Issued: 1:59 PM PST Wednesday, December 6, 2023
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

The multi-day conveyor belt of moisture that's pummelled the PNW and knocked back our early-season snowpack with rain and mild temperatures is finally coming to an end.  A frontal boundary that has become north-south oriented continues to slowly slide to the east, producing light to locally moderate precipitation along both sides of the central and south Cascades and the Mt Hood area. This pattern will continue through the evening with precipitation becoming lighter later tonight. Light snow has reappeared at upper elevations, and we can expect snow levels to gradually cool even further to around 3500'-4000' by Thursday morning.  

A weak surface low will pass south of the Olympic Peninsula on Thursday, introducing a new shot of light rain/snow focused on the central and south Washington Cascades. As the trailing upper trough passes into eastern WA Thursday afternoon, look for an increase in shower intensity along the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt Hood.  Several inches of snow could accumulate above 4000' for these areas although there's a fair amount of uncertainty associated with the precipitation forecast. We should also see a burst of westerly winds from about Hwy2 and south to Mt Hood on Thursday afternoon. 

We'll see showers wind down Thursday night before giving way to a dry Friday. Continued onshore westerly flow and an upper-level ridge offshore will help trap low-level moisture west of the Cascade crest on Friday with sunnier skies likely near and east of the crest. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of light rain and snow showers.
Thursday Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow in the morning, then chance of light rain and snow showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of light rain and snow.
Thursday Cloudy in the morning, then light rain and snow showers in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds in the morning.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light rain and snow in the evening, tapering off after midnight.
Thursday Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow in the morning, then light to occasionally moderate showers in the afternoon. Light to moderate ridgeline winds in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow in the evening, tapering off after midnight.
Thursday Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow in the morning, then light to occasionally moderate showers in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light rain and snow in the evening, tapering off after midnight.
Thursday Cloudy in the morning, then light to occasionally moderate showers in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline and Pass level W winds in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light rain and snow in the evening, tapering off after midnight.
Thursday Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow in the morning, then light to occasionally moderate showers in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline and Pass level W winds in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of light rain and snow.
Thursday Cloudy in the morning, then light rain and snow showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light rain and snow in the evening, tapering off after midnight.
Thursday Cloudy in the morning, then light to occasionally moderate showers in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light rain and snow in the evening, tapering off after midnight.
Thursday Cloudy in the morning, then light to occasionally moderate showers in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Cloudy with light rain and snow in the morning, then light to moderate showers in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10
White Pass 0.25 0.25 0.25 0
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10
Timberline 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.50
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics 4500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 3000'
West North 4000' 3500' 3500' 3000' 2500' 1500' 2000' 3000'
West Central 4500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 2500' 1500' 2000' 3000'
West South 4500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 2500' 1500' 2000' 3000'
Stevens Pass 4500' 4000' 4000' 3500' 2500' 1500' 2000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 4500' 4000' 4000' 3500' 2500' 1500' 2000' 3000'
East North 4500' 3500' 3000' 4000' 2500' 1500' 2000' 3000'
East Central 5000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 2500' 1500' 2000' 3000'
East South 5000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 2500' 1500' 2000' 3000'
Mt. Hood 5000' 4000' 4000' 3500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 3000'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening 4500'
Wednesday Night 4000'
Thursday Morning 3500'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening 4000'
Wednesday Night 3500'
Thursday Morning 3500'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening 4500'
Wednesday Night 4000'
Thursday Morning 3500'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening 4500'
Wednesday Night 4000'
Thursday Morning 3500'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening 4500'
Wednesday Night 4000'
Thursday Morning 4000'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening 4500'
Wednesday Night 4000'
Thursday Morning 4000'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening 4500'
Wednesday Night 3500'
Thursday Morning 3000'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening 5000'
Wednesday Night 4000'
Thursday Morning 4000'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening 5000'
Wednesday Night 4000'
Thursday Morning 4000'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening 5000'
Wednesday Night 4000'
Thursday Morning 4000'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 29 / 26 28 / 25
West North 29 / 26 27 / 25
West Central 30 / 27 28 / 26
West South 30 / 27 28 / 27
Stevens Pass 31 / 26 28 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 31 / 26 28 / 26
East North 30 / 23 28 / 23
East Central 31 / 25 28 / 25
East South 32 / 27 28 / 25
Mt. Hood 32 / 29 29 / 26
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 29 / 26
Thursday 28 / 25
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 29 / 26
Thursday 27 / 25
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 30 / 27
Thursday 28 / 26
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 30 / 27
Thursday 28 / 27
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 31 / 26
Thursday 28 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 31 / 26
Thursday 28 / 26
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 30 / 23
Thursday 28 / 23
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 31 / 25
Thursday 28 / 25
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 32 / 27
Thursday 28 / 25
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 32 / 29
Thursday 29 / 26

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics SW 0-10 SW 0-10 S 5-15 W 10-20
West North W 0-10 SW 0-10 SW 15-25 W 5-15
West Central W 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 15-25 W 10-20
West South W 10-20 WSW 15-25 SW 15-25 W 20-30
Stevens Pass WNW 0-10 WNW 5-15 WSW 10-20 W 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass WNW 5-15 WNW 10-20 W 15-25 W 15-25
East North W 5-15 WNW 5-15 W 10-20 W 5-15
East Central WNW 5-15 WNW 15-25 W 15-25 W 10-20
East South WNW 5-15 W 15-25 W 15-25 W 10-20
Mt. Hood W 15-25 WSW 30-40 W 25-35 W 35-50
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 0-10
Wednesday Night SW 0-10
Thursday Morning S 5-15
Thursday Afternoon W 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 0-10
Wednesday Night SW 0-10
Thursday Morning SW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon W 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 5-15
Wednesday Night SW 10-20
Thursday Morning SW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon W 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 10-20
Wednesday Night WSW 15-25
Thursday Morning SW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon W 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WNW 0-10
Wednesday Night WNW 5-15
Thursday Morning WSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon W 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WNW 5-15
Wednesday Night WNW 10-20
Thursday Morning W 15-25
Thursday Afternoon W 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 5-15
Wednesday Night WNW 5-15
Thursday Morning W 10-20
Thursday Afternoon W 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WNW 5-15
Wednesday Night WNW 15-25
Thursday Morning W 15-25
Thursday Afternoon W 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WNW 5-15
Wednesday Night W 15-25
Thursday Morning W 15-25
Thursday Afternoon W 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 15-25
Wednesday Night WSW 30-40
Thursday Morning W 25-35
Thursday Afternoon W 35-50

Extended Weather Synopsis

A strong frontal system will impact the region over the weekend although many details are up in the air. This storm has the potential to deliver 1-2+' of snow to our mountains. However after a cool start on Saturday, snow levels look to rise Saturday night through Sunday, and there's a good chance snow will switch to rain at lower and possibly even mid-elevations for the latter half of the weekend. 

 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night* Saturday * Saturday Night* Sunday
West North 1500' 1500' 3500' 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass 1500' 1500' 3000' 5000'
Mt. Hood 2000' 2500' 5000' 6000'
West North Elevation
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday * 1500'
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday * 1500'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday * 2500'
Saturday Night* 5000'
Sunday 6000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 6, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.