Issued: 7:07 AM PST Monday, December 4, 2023
by Matt Primomo

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

An impressive plume of warm, moisture laden air pushes in today. The leading edge of the firehose comes in with a SW orientation and stays with us for a while. Mt Hood and the adjacent southern volcanoes should get a solid brush of precipitation this morning. Moderate to heavy precipitation rates should quickly settle into the west side of the Olympics and Cascades during the day with a focus on the northern part of the range. Ridgetop winds should increase notably by afternoon as the storm lays in. Overnight temperatures dropped into the mid 20's and even upper teens in the eastern Cascade valleys, which may mix in and help slow the changeover from snow to rain from about Stevens pass and northeast-ward. Elsewhere, snow levels rise rapidly to 7,500-9,000ft by noon.

The heaviest precipitation and strongest winds should occur during the overnight period and last well into the day Tuesday. We could see sustained ridgetop winds of 40-55mph with rainfall rates exceeding .25"/hr in many favored west side locations. The firehose may stall out as it whiplashes and reloads, resulting in increased precipitation totals through Tuesday. Snow levels remain in the 8,000-9,000ft range until Tuesday afternoon when cooler air begins to filter in on the backside of the feature. The North Cascades may start seeing snowfall back down at 5,000ft or so by the end of the day.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Monday Light rain, increasing to moderate rain with moderate Southerly winds.
Monday Night Very heavy rain with moderate to strong ridgetop winds.
Monday Light precipitation in the morning then becoming moderate to heavy during the day. Snow changing to rain early. Increasingly strong ridgetop winds.
Monday Night Very heavy rain with moderate to strong ridgetop winds.
Monday Light precipitation in the morning, then moderate to heavy during the day. Increasing ridgetop winds.
Monday Night Very heavy rain with moderate to strong ridgetop winds.
Monday Moderate rain with increasing ridgetop winds. Rain could be heavy at times in favored locations.
Monday Night Moderate rain showers, could be heavy in favored locations.
Monday Light snow and wintry mix, becoming mostly rain by afternoon and increasing.
Monday Night Heavy rain with moderate to strong ridgetop winds.
Monday Light precipitation as a wintry mix early, then becoming mostly rain and increasing.
Monday Night Heavy rain with moderate to strong ridgetop winds.
Monday Light snow, increasing to heavy snow and rain by the end of the day.
Monday Night Heavy snow and rain with moderate to strong ridgetop winds.
Monday Light snow and rain, becoming mostly rain by the end of the day.
Monday Night Heavy rain with strong ridgetop winds.
Monday Light to moderate rain and snow.
Monday Night Light to moderate rain showers.
Monday Moderate to heavy rain with moderate ridgetop winds.
Monday Night Light to moderate rain.

Precipitation (in)

Monday Monday Night Tuesday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 1.50 - 2.00 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.50 2.50 - 3.50 1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 1.00 2.50 - 3.50 1.50 - 2.00
Stevens Pass 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 1.50
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 1.50 1.00
Crystal Mt 0.50 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Paradise 1.00 - 1.50 1.50 1.50
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.75 -1.00
Washington Pass 0.50 1.50 1.00
Mission Ridge 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.50 0.75 1.00
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 0.50 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 0.25 1.50
Timberline 0.75 0.25 1.00 - 1.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Monday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Tuesday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Monday 1.50
Monday Night 2.50 - 3.50
Tuesday 1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 1.00
Monday Night 2.50 - 3.50
Tuesday 1.50 - 2.00
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.50
Monday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday 1.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 1.00
Monday Night 1.50
Tuesday 1.00
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.50
Monday Night 1.00
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Monday 1.00 - 1.50
Monday Night 1.50
Tuesday 1.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Monday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.75 -1.00
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.50
Monday Night 1.50
Tuesday 1.00
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.50 - 0.75
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.50
Monday Night 0.75
Tuesday 1.00
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25
Monday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.75
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 1.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.75
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 1.00 - 1.50

Snow Level (ft)

Monday Morning* Monday Afternoon* Monday Evening* Monday Night* Tuesday Morning* Tuesday Afternoon
Olympics 8000' 10000' 10000' 9000' 6500' 6000'
West North 5000' 8000' 8500' 8500' 6500' 6000'
West Central 6000' 8500' 9000' 9000' 7500' 6000'
West South 7500' 9500' 9500' 10000' 8500' 7000'
Stevens Pass 3500' 8000' 8500' 9000' 8000' 6500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 8500' 8500' 9000' 8000' 7500'
East North 2500' 6500' 6500' 7500' 7500' 6500'
East Central 3500' 8500' 8500' 9000' 8500' 7000'
East South 6000' 9500' 9500' 10000' 9000' 7500'
Mt. Hood 8500' 10000' 10000' 10000' 10000' 9000'
Olympics Elevation
Monday Morning* 8000'
Monday Afternoon* 10000'
Monday Evening* 10000'
Monday Night* 9000'
Tuesday Morning* 6500'
Tuesday Afternoon 6000'
West North Elevation
Monday Morning* 5000'
Monday Afternoon* 8000'
Monday Evening* 8500'
Monday Night* 8500'
Tuesday Morning* 6500'
Tuesday Afternoon 6000'
West Central Elevation
Monday Morning* 6000'
Monday Afternoon* 8500'
Monday Evening* 9000'
Monday Night* 9000'
Tuesday Morning* 7500'
Tuesday Afternoon 6000'
West South Elevation
Monday Morning* 7500'
Monday Afternoon* 9500'
Monday Evening* 9500'
Monday Night* 10000'
Tuesday Morning* 8500'
Tuesday Afternoon 7000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon* 8000'
Monday Evening* 8500'
Monday Night* 9000'
Tuesday Morning* 8000'
Tuesday Afternoon 6500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon* 8500'
Monday Evening* 8500'
Monday Night* 9000'
Tuesday Morning* 8000'
Tuesday Afternoon 7500'
East North Elevation
Monday Morning* 2500'
Monday Afternoon* 6500'
Monday Evening* 6500'
Monday Night* 7500'
Tuesday Morning* 7500'
Tuesday Afternoon 6500'
East Central Elevation
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon* 8500'
Monday Evening* 8500'
Monday Night* 9000'
Tuesday Morning* 8500'
Tuesday Afternoon 7000'
East South Elevation
Monday Morning* 6000'
Monday Afternoon* 9500'
Monday Evening* 9500'
Monday Night* 10000'
Tuesday Morning* 9000'
Tuesday Afternoon 7500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Morning* 8500'
Monday Afternoon* 10000'
Monday Evening* 10000'
Monday Night* 10000'
Tuesday Morning* 10000'
Tuesday Afternoon 9000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Monday Monday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 42 / 33 42 / 39
West North 40 / 28 43 / 41
West Central 41 / 28 44 / 42
West South 41 / 35 43 / 42
Stevens Pass 37 / 30 43 / 37
Snoqualmie Pass 38 / 30 43 / 38
East North 34 / 23 40 / 31
East Central 38 / 28 42 / 37
East South 41 / 35 44 / 41
Mt. Hood 42 / 39 44 / 42
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 42 / 33
Monday Night 42 / 39
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 40 / 28
Monday Night 43 / 41
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 41 / 28
Monday Night 44 / 42
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 41 / 35
Monday Night 43 / 42
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 37 / 30
Monday Night 43 / 37
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 38 / 30
Monday Night 43 / 38
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 34 / 23
Monday Night 40 / 31
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 38 / 28
Monday Night 42 / 37
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 41 / 35
Monday Night 44 / 41
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 42 / 39
Monday Night 44 / 42

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Monday Morning Monday Afternoon Monday Evening Monday Night
Olympics SSW 20-30 SW 25-35 SW 25-35 SW 15-25
West North S 10-20 SSW 20-30 SSW 25-35 SSW 20-30
West Central SSE 10-20 S 10-20 SW 30-40 SW 25-35
West South SSW 5-15 SSW 15-25 SW 20-30 SW 20-30
Stevens Pass S 5-15 SSW 5-15 SW 15-25 SW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass SSE 5-15 SSE 5-15 SSW 10-20 SW 20-30
East North SSW 5-15 S 10-20 SSW 20-30 SW 15-25
East Central SW 10-20 SSW 15-25 SW 20-30 SW 25-35
East South SSW 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 15-25 SW 15-25
Mt. Hood SW 15-25 SW 25-35 SW 35-50 SW 40-55
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SSW 20-30
Monday Afternoon SW 25-35
Monday Evening SW 25-35
Monday Night SW 15-25
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning S 10-20
Monday Afternoon SSW 20-30
Monday Evening SSW 25-35
Monday Night SSW 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SSE 10-20
Monday Afternoon S 10-20
Monday Evening SW 30-40
Monday Night SW 25-35
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SSW 5-15
Monday Afternoon SSW 15-25
Monday Evening SW 20-30
Monday Night SW 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning S 5-15
Monday Afternoon SSW 5-15
Monday Evening SW 15-25
Monday Night SW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SSE 5-15
Monday Afternoon SSE 5-15
Monday Evening SSW 10-20
Monday Night SW 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SSW 5-15
Monday Afternoon S 10-20
Monday Evening SSW 20-30
Monday Night SW 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SW 10-20
Monday Afternoon SSW 15-25
Monday Evening SW 20-30
Monday Night SW 25-35
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SSW 5-15
Monday Afternoon SW 10-20
Monday Evening SW 15-25
Monday Night SW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SW 15-25
Monday Afternoon SW 25-35
Monday Evening SW 35-50
Monday Night SW 40-55

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Dec 3, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.