Issued: 2:00 PM PST Tuesday, November 14, 2023
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Welcome to the 2023-24 NWAC Forecasting Season! Mountain weather forecasts will be issued daily at 2 pm and general avalanche information statements published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday at 6 pm until we begin full forecasting operations. 

What a beautiful day to kick off the winter season! The Pacific Northwest finds itself nestled between a storm in the Gulf of Alaska and a cut-off low-pressure system off the coast of California. This leaves us with mostly clear skies, light to moderate winds, and crisp fall-like temperatures.  While we aren't expecting a big storm over the next few days, the weather will get a bit messy. 

A passing short-wave system to our north and a lifting frontal boundary to our south will both spread clouds into the region Tuesday night. Each system will usher a few light showers over the area late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Even though snow levels are rather low, this shouldn't produce much new snow. Basically, if you're further north or further south, you're more likely to get wet. If you're in the middle, you might just stay dry.

By late Wednesday, sun breaks should return to the mountains as the storms exit and we begin clearing up. Without the warm cloud blanket, temperatures will dip significantly Wednesday night. Combine the clear skies, cool temperatures, and lingering moisture and you could encounter patchy fog and low clouds in the mountain valleys and passes. Cool northerly flow will start to shift more westerly Thursday afternoon. While temperatures will remain a bit chilly, freezing levels should start to climb as a building high-pressure ridge takes control of our weather. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Mostly clear in the evening, then increasing clouds. A few stray showers in the NW Olympics.
Wednesday A few isolated showers possible in the morning, then sunbreaks and clearing in the afternoon. Winds turning NW and becoming light to moderate.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear in the evening with clouds increasing after midnight. A few stray showers could occur near the Canadian border.
Wednesday Cloudy with scattered showers in the morning. Sunbreaks in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear in the evening then increasing clouds after midnight.
Wednesday Scattered showers in the morning with some sunbreaks in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear in the evening, then increasing clouds. Scattered showers primarily south of Hwy 12, with a few stray sprinkles making it further north. Light to moderate WSW winds.
Wednesday Cloudy in the morning with scattered showers. Light to moderate W winds.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear in the evening with increasing clouds after midnight. Light easterly flow at Pass level.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy with a few stray sprinkles in the morning, but accumulations should be minimal. Sunbreaks and clearing in the afternoon. Westerly winds at Pass level.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear in the evening, with increasing clouds. Light to moderate East flow at pass level.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy in the morning, with a few isolated sprinkles possible. East flow turning westerly.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear in the evening, with increasing clouds after midnight. A stray shower possible near the Canadain border. Light to moderate W winds.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy in the morning with a few isolated showers possible. Sunbreaks in the afternoon. Light to moderate W winds turning NW.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear in the evening, then increasing clouds after midnight. Moderate W winds.
Wednesday Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning, with increasing sun later in the day. Moderate to strong W winds turning WNW.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear in the evening with increasing clouds. A few isolated showers possible after midnight, especially in the southern half of the zone. Moderate W winds increasing slightly.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy in the morning with a few isolated showers possible. Moderate to strong W winds turning WNW.
Tuesday Night Increasing clouds overnight, becoming cloudy. Bands of showers particularly after midnight. Moderate WSW winds turning W.
Wednesday Cloudy with scattered showers. Some sunbreaks possible in the afternoon. Moderate to strong W winds turning WNW.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 LT 0.25 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 LT 0.10 0 0
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0
Crystal Mt 0 LT 0.10 0 0
Paradise 0 LT 0.10 0 0
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Washington Pass 0 LT 0.10 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 0 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 0.25 0 0
Timberline LT 0.25 0.25 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening* Tuesday Night* Wednesday Morning* Wednesday Afternoon Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon*
Olympics 2500' 2000' 2500' 3500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 5500'
West North 2000' 2000' 2000' 3500' 2000' 1000' 2000' 4500'
West Central 2500' 2000' 2000' 4000' 2500' 1500' 2500' 4500'
West South 4500' 4000' 4500' 5500' 3000' 2000' 3000' 6000'
Stevens Pass 2500' 2500' 2500' 4500' 2500' 1500' 3000' 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 2500' 3000' 4500' 2500' 2000' 3000' 5000'
East North 2000' 1500' 1500' 4000' 2000' 500' 2000' 4500'
East Central 3000' 2500' 2500' 5000' 3000' 1500' 2500' 5000'
East South 4500' 4500' 5000' 6000' 3000' 2000' 2500' 5500'
Mt. Hood 6000' 6500' 7000' 7500' 7500' 4500' 5000' 6500'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2500'
Tuesday Night* 2000'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 5500'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2000'
Tuesday Night* 2000'
Wednesday Morning* 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 4500'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2500'
Tuesday Night* 2000'
Wednesday Morning* 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 4500'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 4500'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning* 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon 5500'
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 6000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2500'
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 3000'
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2000'
Tuesday Night* 1500'
Wednesday Morning* 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night* 500'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 4500'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 3000'
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 5000'
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 4500'
Tuesday Night* 4500'
Wednesday Morning* 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon 6000'
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 6000'
Tuesday Night* 6500'
Wednesday Morning* 7000'
Wednesday Afternoon 7500'
Wednesday Evening 7500'
Wednesday Night* 4500'
Thursday Morning* 5000'
Thursday Afternoon* 6500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 32 / 28 37 / 29
West North 31 / 26 34 / 27
West Central 36 / 29 37 / 29
West South 33 / 27 37 / 29
Stevens Pass 31 / 25 32 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 32 / 26 34 / 27
East North 25 / 17 23 / 17
East Central 32 / 24 35 / 27
East South 35 / 29 37 / 28
Mt. Hood 40 / 32 39 / 33
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 32 / 28
Wednesday 37 / 29
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 31 / 26
Wednesday 34 / 27
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 36 / 29
Wednesday 37 / 29
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 33 / 27
Wednesday 37 / 29
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 31 / 25
Wednesday 32 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 32 / 26
Wednesday 34 / 27
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 25 / 17
Wednesday 23 / 17
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 32 / 24
Wednesday 35 / 27
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 35 / 29
Wednesday 37 / 28
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 40 / 32
Wednesday 39 / 33

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics W 5-15 W 5-15 WNW 5-15 NW 10-20
West North SW 5-15 SW 5-15 WSW 5-15 WNW 5-15
West Central SW 5-15 SW 5-15 W 5-15 WNW 5-15
West South WSW 5-15 WSW 10-20 W 10-20 W 10-20
Stevens Pass W 5-15 W 5-15 W 5-15 WNW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass W 5-15 W 10-20 W 10-20 NW 10-20
East North W 10-20 W 10-20 W 10-20 NW 5-15
East Central W 15-25 W 15-25 W 20-30 WNW 20-30
East South W 10-20 W 15-25 W 20-30 WNW 20-30
Mt. Hood WSW 15-25 W 15-25 W 20-30 WNW 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 5-15
Tuesday Night W 5-15
Wednesday Morning WNW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon NW 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 5-15
Tuesday Night SW 5-15
Wednesday Morning WSW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 5-15
Tuesday Night SW 5-15
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 5-15
Tuesday Night WSW 10-20
Wednesday Morning W 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon W 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 5-15
Tuesday Night W 5-15
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 5-15
Tuesday Night W 10-20
Wednesday Morning W 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon NW 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 10-20
Tuesday Night W 10-20
Wednesday Morning W 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon NW 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 15-25
Tuesday Night W 15-25
Wednesday Morning W 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 10-20
Tuesday Night W 15-25
Wednesday Morning W 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 15-25
Tuesday Night W 15-25
Wednesday Morning W 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 20-30

Extended Weather Synopsis

A high-pressure ridge takes hold of the region Thursday afternoon/evening. This could develop several inversion layers and create numerous freezing levels. In general, expect much warmer air to override the Northwest, pushing first into western Washington overnight, before fully overrunning the Cascades Friday. Mostly clear skies will once again allow surface temperatures to cool dramatically Friday night. As a result, you may encounter patch fog, but it should generally be confined to areas near rivers and lakes. A significant winter storm starts to approach the region on Saturday. Increasing clouds and strengthening winds should arrive by the afternoon. However, at this point, precipitation seems to hold off until after sunset. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night* Friday * Friday Night* Saturday *
West North 1500' 9500' 9000' 7000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 10000' 9000' 7000'
Mt. Hood 9500' 10500' 9500' 7500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night* 1500'
Friday * 9500'
Friday Night* 9000'
Saturday * 7000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday * 10000'
Friday Night* 9000'
Saturday * 7000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night* 9500'
Friday * 10500'
Friday Night* 9500'
Saturday * 7500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Apr 30, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.