Issued: 2:16 PM PST Friday, February 17, 2023
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Through the weekend, the Cascade Crest will create a sharp divide between clouds and light snowfall to the west and partial sunshine mixed with a few snow flurries to the east. NW flow around an E Pacific high pressure maintains an increase from primarily light to primarily moderate W ridgeline winds. The rains of a front over southern Washington drop into the Mt. Hood area overnight. Expect a trace to half an inch of snowfall with its remaining moisture. A very weak convergence may bring some light snow (up to an inch of accumulation) near Barlow or Stevens Pass. An approaching disturbance shifts very light snowfall to areas north of I-90 overnight. Light snowfall increases and spreads throughout the west slopes of the Cascades on Saturday, peaking in the mid-day hours and tapering to flurries Saturday night. This should be a 1-4” event for most areas but 6” may be possible in convergence. A moisture plume rounding the offshore high begins to move into northern Washington on Sunday. Models diverge significantly regarding how quickly the snowfall ramps up during the day. At this time, expect primarily light snowfall in the morning from Smoqualmie Pass northward. Moderate snow develops in the afternoon with some snow expanding south to the Mt. Rainier area. The offshore high brings significant warming to the Olympics by the afternoon, but warming should be more limited for the Cascades with snow levels rising to 2000-2500 ft by the afternoon.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Cloudy with an increasing chance of very light rain or snow.
Saturday Mostly cloudy.
Friday Night Cloudy with snow flurries in the evening, then light snow develops overnight.
Saturday Light snow.
Friday Night Cloudy with light convergence snowfall in the evening near the southern mountain loop. Widespread light snow overnight.
Saturday Increasing light snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Light snow in the evening tapering to flurries.
Saturday Increasing light snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Cloudy with light convergence snowfall in the evening. Widespread light snow overnight. Light to moderate ridgeline and light W wind at the Pass.
Saturday Increasing light snow. Moderate ridgeline and W wind at the Pass.
Friday Night Periods of light snow. Light to moderate ridgeline and light W wind at the Pass.
Saturday Increasing light snow. Moderate ridgeline and W wind at the Pass.
Friday Night Partly to mostly cloudy.
Saturday Very light snow near the Cascade Crest with partial sunshine further east.
Friday Night Partly to mostly cloudy.
Saturday Very light snow near the Cascade Crest with partial sunshine further east.
Friday Night Partly to mostly cloudy.
Saturday Very light snow near the Cascade Crest with partial sunshine further east.
Friday Night Very light snow at times for the western slopes of Mt. Hood. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Increasing light snow. Strong ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25
Stevens Pass 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0 LT 0.10 0 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Timberline LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics 2000' 1500' 2500' 3500' 3000' 2000' 3000' 5500'
West North 1500' 1000' 1500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 1000' 2000'
West Central 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 1000' 2000'
West South 2500' 1500' 1500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2000' 3000'
Stevens Pass 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 1500' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 1500' 2500'
East North 2500' 1500' 1000' 3000' 2500' 1500' 1500' 3000'
East Central 3000' 2000' 1500' 3000' 3500' 2500' 2500' 3000'
East South 4000' 2500' 2000' 3000' 3500' 2500' 2500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 3000' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 5500'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2000'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 2000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2500'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 25 / 22 28 / 25
West North 25 / 23 28 / 24
West Central 25 / 23 28 / 24
West South 26 / 23 29 / 23
Stevens Pass 25 / 23 29 / 24
Snoqualmie Pass 25 / 23 29 / 24
East North 24 / 19 29 / 22
East Central 25 / 22 31 / 23
East South 29 / 24 31 / 24
Mt. Hood 30 / 26 30 / 27
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 25 / 22
Saturday 28 / 25
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 25 / 23
Saturday 28 / 24
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 25 / 23
Saturday 28 / 24
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 26 / 23
Saturday 29 / 23
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 25 / 23
Saturday 29 / 24
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 25 / 23
Saturday 29 / 24
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 24 / 19
Saturday 29 / 22
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 25 / 22
Saturday 31 / 23
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 29 / 24
Saturday 31 / 24
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 30 / 26
Saturday 30 / 27

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 WSW 10-20 WNW 5-15
West North WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 WSW 10-20 WNW 5-15
West Central W 5-15 WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 W 10-20
West South WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 W 10-20 WNW 15-25
Stevens Pass W 10-20 WSW 10-20 W 10-20 W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass W 10-20 W 10-20 WNW 10-20 WNW 20-30
East North W 15-25 W 10-20 W 15-25 WNW 10-20
East Central W 15-25 W 15-25 WNW 15-25 WNW 15-25
East South W 10-20 WNW 10-20 WNW 10-20 W 10-20
Mt. Hood WSW 15-25 W 20-30 W 25-35 W 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 5-15
Friday Night WSW 5-15
Saturday Morning WSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WNW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 5-15
Friday Night WSW 5-15
Saturday Morning WSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WNW 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 5-15
Friday Night WSW 10-20
Saturday Morning WSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon W 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 10-20
Friday Night WSW 10-20
Saturday Morning W 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WNW 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 10-20
Friday Night WSW 10-20
Saturday Morning W 10-20
Saturday Afternoon W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 10-20
Friday Night W 10-20
Saturday Morning WNW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WNW 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 15-25
Friday Night W 10-20
Saturday Morning W 15-25
Saturday Afternoon WNW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 15-25
Friday Night W 15-25
Saturday Morning WNW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon WNW 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 10-20
Friday Night WNW 10-20
Saturday Morning WNW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon W 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 15-25
Friday Night W 20-30
Saturday Morning W 25-35
Saturday Afternoon W 25-35

Extended Weather Synopsis

The moisture feed increases Sunday night and Monday with moderate rain and snow becoming heavy and increasingly spilling over to the east slopes of the Cascades as snow levels rise to 3000-4000 ft. Precipitation and snow levels peak Monday evening before a cold open trough brings modified arctic air southward across our region. Snow levels drop to around 1000-1500 ft on Tuesday. Expect 1-3 ft snow totals for much of the Cascades through Tuesday.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night Monday Monday Night Tuesday
West North 2500' 3000' 2500' 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 3500' 3500' 1000'
Mt. Hood 4000' 4000' 4500' 2000'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday 3000'
Monday Night 2500'
Tuesday 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night 3000'
Monday 3500'
Monday Night 3500'
Tuesday 1000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night 4000'
Monday 4000'
Monday Night 4500'
Tuesday 2000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 17, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.