Moderate to strong offshore flow peaked Wednesday night but continued on Thursday as a very deep low pressure transited the offshore waters aining for British Columbia. The consistent southerly flow aloft has helped to erode the cold air pool east of the Cascades where temperatures at low elevations hover around the freezing mark. We've seen very significant downslope warming with these gusty winds for the west slopes of the Cascades, foothills, and lowlands. With moderated air to start with, some lowland locations reached a balmy 60F during the mid-day hours!
The general weather pattern is that deep lows move into an area about 1000 miles off the PNW coastline, then travel N or NE into British Columbia. The first such deep low exits due north with a band of showers circulating around the low bringing moderate to heavy precipitation late this afternoon and overnight for the Olympics and Mt. Baker areas. Most other areas will experience light precipitation. Southerly winds peak with the transiting upper trough Thursday evening and also expect an uptick in E winds at low levels along with upslope precipitation enhancement east of the Cascade Crest. Snow levels drop with the transiting upper trough from around 4000 ft to around 3000 ft for the west slopes of the Cascades.
Much of the region may temporarily dry out as the western US ridge expands slightly into our region. But, any drying will be short-lived as the second deep low moves into the offshore waters with a leading front spreading light to moderate precipitation throughout the region by the afternoon. The front arrives Friday evening with a round of moderate to occasionally strong southerly winds. The front lingers with periods of precipitation through Saturday.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday
Night
Moderate rain and snow. Gradual cooling.
Friday
Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow.
Thursday
Night
Heavy rain and snow. Gradual cooling.
Friday
Light to moderate rain and snow.
Thursday
Night
Light to moderate rain and snow. Gradual cooling.
Friday
Light rain and snow.
Thursday
Night
Light rain and snow (moderate at times at Paradise). Gradual cooling.
Friday
Increasing light rain and snow.
Thursday
Night
Periods of light rain and snow. Light to moderate ridgeline and E winds at the Pass becoming light.
Friday
Periods of very light rain and snow. Light ridgeline wind. Light E wind at the Pass becoming variable in the early morning hours.
Thursday
Night
Periods of light rain and snow. Light to moderate ridgeline and E winds at the Pass becoming light.
Friday
Periods of very light rain and snow. Light ridgeline wind. Light E wind at the Pass becoming variable in the early morning hours.
Thursday
Night
Light rain or snow.
Friday
Periods of very light rain and snow.
Thursday
Night
Light rain or snow.
Friday
Periods of very light rain and snow.
Thursday
Night
Periods of light rain and snow.
Friday
Periods of light rain and snow.
Thursday
Night
Periods of light rain and snow, heaviest in the evening. Strong rigeline wind gusts.
Friday
Periods of light rain and snow.
Issued: 2:18 PM PST Thursday, January 5, 2023
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
Friday
Friday Night
Saturday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
0.25 - 0.50
0.25
0.25
LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area
1.00
0.25 - 0.50
0.25 - 0.50
0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
Stevens Pass
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
Crystal Mt
0.25
LT 0.25
0.25
LT 0.25
Paradise
0.50
LT 0.25
0.25
LT 0.25
White Pass
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
0.25
LT 0.10
Washington Pass
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
Mission Ridge
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0.25
LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
0.25
LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows
LT 0.25
0.25
0.25 - 0.50
0.25
Timberline
LT 0.25
0.25
0.25 - 0.50
0.25
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Friday
0.25
Friday Night
0.25
Saturday
LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
1.00
Friday
0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday
0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
LT 0.25
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
LT 0.25
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0.25
Friday
LT 0.25
Friday Night
0.25
Saturday
LT 0.25
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
0.50
Friday
LT 0.25
Friday Night
0.25
Saturday
LT 0.25
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
0.25
Saturday
LT 0.10
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
LT 0.10
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
0.25
Saturday
LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
0.25
Saturday
LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
LT 0.10
Friday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday
LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.25
Friday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday
0.25
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.25
Friday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday
0.25
Issued: 2:18 PM PST Thursday, January 5, 2023
Snow Level (ft)
Thursday
Evening*
Thursday
Night*
Friday
Morning*
Friday
Afternoon*
Friday
Evening*
Friday
Night*
Saturday
Morning*
Saturday
Afternoon*
Olympics
4500'
3500'
3000'
4000'
4000'
3500'
3500'
4000'
West North
4000'
3500'
3000'
3500'
4000'
3000'
2500'
3500'
West Central
4000'
3000'
3000'
4000'
4000'
3000'
2500'
3000'
West South
4000'
3500'
3000'
4000'
4000'
3000'
3000'
3500'
Stevens Pass
3000'
3000'
2500'
3500'
3000'
2500'
2000'
3000'
Snoqualmie Pass
4000'
3500'
3000'
4000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
East North
3000'
2500'
2500'
3000'
2500'
2500'
2500'
2500'
East Central
3500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
3000'
3000'
2500'
3000'
East South
4000'
3500'
3000'
4000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
3500'
Mt. Hood
5000'
4000'
3500'
5000'
4000'
4000'
3500'
4000'
Olympics
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
4500'
Thursday
Night*
3500'
Friday
Morning*
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
4000'
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night*
3500'
Saturday
Morning*
3500'
Saturday
Afternoon*
4000'
West North
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
4000'
Thursday
Night*
3500'
Friday
Morning*
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night*
3000'
Saturday
Morning*
2500'
Saturday
Afternoon*
3500'
West Central
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
4000'
Thursday
Night*
3000'
Friday
Morning*
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
4000'
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night*
3000'
Saturday
Morning*
2500'
Saturday
Afternoon*
3000'
West South
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
4000'
Thursday
Night*
3500'
Friday
Morning*
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
4000'
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night*
3000'
Saturday
Morning*
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon*
3500'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
3000'
Thursday
Night*
3000'
Friday
Morning*
2500'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
Friday
Evening*
3000'
Friday
Night*
2500'
Saturday
Morning*
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon*
3000'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
4000'
Thursday
Night*
3500'
Friday
Morning*
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
4000'
Friday
Evening*
3500'
Friday
Night*
3000'
Saturday
Morning*
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon*
3000'
East North
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
3000'
Thursday
Night*
2500'
Friday
Morning*
2500'
Friday
Afternoon*
3000'
Friday
Evening*
2500'
Friday
Night*
2500'
Saturday
Morning*
2500'
Saturday
Afternoon*
2500'
East Central
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
3500'
Thursday
Night*
3000'
Friday
Morning*
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
3000'
Friday
Evening*
3000'
Friday
Night*
3000'
Saturday
Morning*
2500'
Saturday
Afternoon*
3000'
East South
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
4000'
Thursday
Night*
3500'
Friday
Morning*
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
4000'
Friday
Evening*
3500'
Friday
Night*
3000'
Saturday
Morning*
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon*
3500'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Thursday
Evening*
5000'
Thursday
Night*
4000'
Friday
Morning*
3500'
Friday
Afternoon*
5000'
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night*
4000'
Saturday
Morning*
3500'
Saturday
Afternoon*
4000'
Issued: 2:18 PM PST Thursday, January 5, 2023
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Thursday
Night
Friday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
32 / 26
32 / 27
West North
33 / 27
30 / 26
West Central
30 / 27
31 / 22
West South
32 / 25
33 / 24
Stevens Pass
29 / 27
31 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass
29 / 27
29 / 20
East North
26 / 25
29 / 21
East Central
29 / 26
30 / 21
East South
30 / 22
30 / 22
Mt. Hood
32 / 25
32 / 25
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
32 / 26
Friday
32 / 27
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
33 / 27
Friday
30 / 26
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
30 / 27
Friday
31 / 22
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
32 / 25
Friday
33 / 24
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
29 / 27
Friday
31 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
29 / 27
Friday
29 / 20
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
26 / 25
Friday
29 / 21
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
29 / 26
Friday
30 / 21
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
30 / 22
Friday
30 / 22
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Thursday
Night
32 / 25
Friday
32 / 25
Issued: 2:18 PM PST Thursday, January 5, 2023
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
Thursday
Night
Friday
Morning
Friday
Afternoon
Olympics
SSW 25-35
SW 15-25
S 15-25
S 15-25
West North
S 25-35
SSW 20-30
S 15-25
SSE 15-25
West Central
SSE 15-25
SW 20-30
SSW 10-20
SE 10-20
West South
SSW 15-25
SW 10-20
SSW 5-15
S 10-20
Stevens Pass
SSE 10-20
WSW 10-20
SSW 5-15
SE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass
SE 10-20
WSW 10-20
SSE 5-15
ESE 10-20
East North
SSE 10-20
SSW 10-20
SW 10-20
SSE 5-15
East Central
S 15-25
WSW 15-25
SW 10-20
S 10-20
East South
SSW 10-20
WSW 10-20
SW 5-15
S 5-15
Mt. Hood
SW 25-35
SW 20-30
SW 15-25
SSW 20-30
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SSW
25-35
Thursday
Night
SW
15-25
Friday
Morning
S
15-25
Friday
Afternoon
S
15-25
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
S
25-35
Thursday
Night
SSW
20-30
Friday
Morning
S
15-25
Friday
Afternoon
SSE
15-25
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SSE
15-25
Thursday
Night
SW
20-30
Friday
Morning
SSW
10-20
Friday
Afternoon
SE
10-20
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SSW
15-25
Thursday
Night
SW
10-20
Friday
Morning
SSW
5-15
Friday
Afternoon
S
10-20
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SSE
10-20
Thursday
Night
WSW
10-20
Friday
Morning
SSW
5-15
Friday
Afternoon
SE
5-15
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SE
10-20
Thursday
Night
WSW
10-20
Friday
Morning
SSE
5-15
Friday
Afternoon
ESE
10-20
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SSE
10-20
Thursday
Night
SSW
10-20
Friday
Morning
SW
10-20
Friday
Afternoon
SSE
5-15
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
S
15-25
Thursday
Night
WSW
15-25
Friday
Morning
SW
10-20
Friday
Afternoon
S
10-20
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SSW
10-20
Thursday
Night
WSW
10-20
Friday
Morning
SW
5-15
Friday
Afternoon
S
5-15
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday
Evening
SW
25-35
Thursday
Night
SW
20-30
Friday
Morning
SW
15-25
Friday
Afternoon
SSW
20-30
Issued: 2:18 PM PST Thursday, January 5, 2023
Extended Weather Synopsis
The lingering frontal system eventually fizzles as the ridge over the intermountain west expands once again into our region on Saturday evening. A third deep low moves into position offshore on Sunday. Additional rounds of precipitation arrive late Sunday through Monday on SW flow. Snow levels will fluctuate near Snoqualmie Pass level with E flow continuing throughout the period.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).