Issued: 7:03 AM PST Thursday, December 29, 2022
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

An elongated, weak trough extends from an Aleutian low to our coastline. The associated upper-level front brings a round of mostly light rain/snow to the region today as it lifts NE. Steadier precipitation focuses on the Olympics and southern Washington Cascades during the morning and northern Washington Cascades in the afternoon. Areas behind the front can expect an increased SW flow, light rain/snow shower activity, and a slight bump in temperatures late in the day, but snow levels should remain below the major mountain passes. Although the front is reasonably weak, E winds should help enhance snowfall along the E slopes of the Cascades relative to your typical storm. We expect 3-8" of snow by the end of the day for Mt. Hood, Paradise, and the southern Olympics with 1-5" at most other locations.

Light rain/snow showers taper during the evening behind the first front. By late evening, a stronger frontal system also lifting NE begins to impact the Mt. Hood area. Moderate rain and snow spread throughout the region overnight. Expect an accompanying more significant round of southerly winds with moderate E winds peaking in the early morning hours.

Moderate rain and snow transition to showers by the afternoon. Expect the potential for a shift to rain at Snoqualmie Pass level as snow levels bump up to around 3500 ft upper-level SW winds overwhelm weakening low-level easterlies. Thursday night through Friday, we expect around 8-14" of snow for Mt. Hood, Paradise, and Mt. Baker with slightly lower amounts elsewhere.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Light rain and snow (moderate in southern Olympics) tapering to showers in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Very light rain and snow showers in the evening, then light rain and snow returns.
Thursday Light snow developing from late morning onwards, potentially becoming moderate during the afternoon.
Thursday Night Very light rain or snow showers in the evening, then light rain/snow returning by morning.
Thursday Light snow developing from late morning onwards.
Thursday Night Very light rain or snow showers in the evening, then light rain/snow returning by morning.
Thursday Light to moderate rain and snow becoming showery late in the day.
Thursday Night Tapering rain/snow showers in the evening, then moderate rain/snow develop overnight.
Thursday Light snow developing from late morning onwards. Light to moderate ridgeline and E flow at the Pass.
Thursday Night Light rain/snow showers in the evening, then light snow develops overnight. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass becoming moderate overnight.
Thursday Light to occasionally moderate snow developing from late morning onwards. Light to moderate ridgeline and E flow at the Pass.
Thursday Night Light rain/snow showers in the evening, then light snow develops overnight. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass becoming moderate overnight.
Thursday Cloudy, then light snow developing by noon and increasing during the afternoon.
Thursday Night Light snow showers, then light snow.
Thursday Cloudy to start, then increasing light to occasionally moderate snow.
Thursday Night Light snow showers in the evening, then light to moderate snow overnight.
Thursday Increasing light snow.
Thursday Night Light rain or snow showers in the evening, then light to moderate rain/snow overnight.
Thursday Moderate rain/snow tapering to light rain/snow showers by the afternoon.
Thursday Night Light rain/snow showers, then moderate rain/snow with ridgeline winds becoming strong.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0.25 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 0.25 0.75
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 0.25 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt 0.25 0.50 0.25
Paradise 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 0.75
White Pass 0.25 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday 0.75
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday 0.25 - 0.50

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon
Olympics 3000' 3000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 3500'
West North 1000' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 3000'
West Central 1500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 3000'
West South 2000' 3000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3500'
Stevens Pass 1000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 1500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 3500'
East North 0 1500' 1000' 500' 1000' 3000'
East Central 1000' 2000' 1000' 1400' 1500' 3000'
East South 2000' 3000' 3000' 2500' 3500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 2500' 3000' 4500' 4000' 4500' 4000'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening* 4000'
Thursday Night* 4000'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2000'
Thursday Evening* 1500'
Thursday Night* 1500'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
East North Elevation
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 1500'
Thursday Evening* 1000'
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2000'
Thursday Evening* 1000'
Thursday Night* 1400'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
East South Elevation
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening* 4500'
Thursday Night* 4000'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon 4000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Thursday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 30 / 27 30 / 27
West North 27 / 25 28 / 27
West Central 26 / 25 27 / 25
West South 29 / 26 31 / 29
Stevens Pass 26 / 23 25 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass 26 / 23 26 / 25
East North 23 / 12 20 / 18
East Central 28 / 26 25 / 23
East South 29 / 24 29 / 26
Mt. Hood 32 / 26 34 / 30
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 30 / 27
Thursday Night 30 / 27
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 27 / 25
Thursday Night 28 / 27
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 26 / 25
Thursday Night 27 / 25
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 29 / 26
Thursday Night 31 / 29
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 26 / 23
Thursday Night 25 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 26 / 23
Thursday Night 26 / 25
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 23 / 12
Thursday Night 20 / 18
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 28 / 26
Thursday Night 25 / 23
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 29 / 24
Thursday Night 29 / 26
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 32 / 26
Thursday Night 34 / 30

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon Thursday Evening Thursday Night
Olympics S 10-20 SSW 10-20 SSW 10-20 SSE 5-15
West North SSE 10-20 S 15-25 SSW 10-20 SSE 10-20
West Central SE 10-20 SSE 10-20 S 5-15 SE 10-20
West South SSE 5-15 SSW 5-15 SW 10-20 SE 20-30
Stevens Pass SE 10-20 SSE 5-15 S 0-10 SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 15-25 SE 10-20 SSE 0-10 SE 15-25
East North SSE 5-15 SSE 5-15 S 5-15 SE 5-15
East Central S 10-20 S 10-20 SW 10-20 SSE 10-20
East South SSE 10-20 SW 5-15 SW 10-20 SSE 10-20
Mt. Hood SW 5-15 WSW 25-35 SW 25-35 SW 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning S 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SSW 10-20
Thursday Evening SSW 10-20
Thursday Night SSE 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SSE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon S 15-25
Thursday Evening SSW 10-20
Thursday Night SSE 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SSE 10-20
Thursday Evening S 5-15
Thursday Night SE 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SSE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SSW 5-15
Thursday Evening SW 10-20
Thursday Night SE 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SSE 5-15
Thursday Evening S 0-10
Thursday Night SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning ESE 15-25
Thursday Afternoon SE 10-20
Thursday Evening SSE 0-10
Thursday Night SE 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SSE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SSE 5-15
Thursday Evening S 5-15
Thursday Night SE 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning S 10-20
Thursday Afternoon S 10-20
Thursday Evening SW 10-20
Thursday Night SSE 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SSE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SW 5-15
Thursday Evening SW 10-20
Thursday Night SSE 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SW 5-15
Thursday Afternoon WSW 25-35
Thursday Evening SW 25-35
Thursday Night SW 30-40

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Dec 28, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.