Issued: 2:19 PM PST Friday, December 23, 2022
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A massive pattern shift remains underway as a train of warm, moisture-laden systems moves into the PNW and battles entrenched bitterly cold air. The results will be messy. Warm air has moved into areas near and west of the Cascade Crest from the central Washington Cascades southward. But, E flow continues to bring cold air through the mountain gaps. That has led to a major icing event in these areas. While the SW winds aloft gradually erode the cold air pool east of the Cascades, this process will be slow and in the meantime, additional moisture will bring more freezing rain.

The first wave of moisture departed on Friday with post-frontal showers moving through on WSW winds. This activity should continue to focus on the west slopes of the Cascades through Friday night. A stronger frontal feature arrives and peaks Saturday. Moderate to strong SSW ridgeline winds and heavy precipitation ramp up in the early morning hours for the Olympics. By 7-10 AM heavy precipitation spreads throughout the Cascades. Some areas well east of the Cascade Crest should continue to see snowfall but may start to changeover as the front mixes down the mild mid-level air mass.

Saturday night features a relative break in the action with minimal cooling.

Sunday will be the warmest day with rain likely for most of the region as a warm front lifts northward and focuses more rainfall in the northern Cascades where it may be moderate to heavy. Continue to expect patchy areas of freezing rain in the coldest valleys around the Methow.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Cloudy with periods of light rain or a wintry mix.
Saturday Moderate to heavy rain or wintry mix.
Friday Night Moderate rain, snow or wintry mix.
Saturday Heavy rain, high elevation snow, or wintry mix. Moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.
Friday Night Moderate rain and snow showers.
Saturday Heavy rain, high elevation snow, or wintry mix.
Friday Night Moderate rain showers or wintry mix.
Saturday Heavy rain, high elevation snow, or wintry mix at Paradise (moderate at White Pass and Crystal).
Friday Night Moderate wintry mix. Moderate ridgeline and light to moderate E wind at the Pass.
Saturday Heavy wintry mix. Moderate ridgeline and light to moderate E wind at the Pass.
Friday Night Moderate snow showers. Snow may mix with freezing rain, sleet, or rain west of the Pass. Moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Saturday Heavy wintry mix. Moderate ridgeline and moderate E wind at the Pass.
Friday Night Moderate snow showers.
Saturday Heavy snow may mix with freezing rain or sleet at times.
Friday Night Light snow showers or wintry mix (western part)
Saturday Moderate to heavy snow changing to wintry mix.
Friday Night Light snow showers or wintry mix.
Saturday Moderate wintry mix changing to rain in southern areas.
Friday Night Moderate snow, sleet, freezing rain, or rain showers. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Heavy rain and wintry mix. Moderate ridgeline winds becoming strong.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 1.00 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 - 0.75 1.50 - 2.00 0.25 0.75 -1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.50 - 0.75 1.50 - 2.00 0.25 0.50
Stevens Pass 0.50 1.00 LT 0.25 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 - 0.75 1.50 LT 0.25 0.50
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 0.75 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Paradise 1.00 - 1.50 2.50 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass 0.25 0.75 -1.00 LT 0.25 0.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.50 1.00 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday 1.50 - 2.00
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.75 -1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday 1.50 - 2.00
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday 1.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.75
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Saturday 2.50
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon* Saturday Evening* Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon*
Olympics 6500' 6500' 7000' 7000' 7500' 7500' 7500' 6500'
West North 4000' 4000' 5000' 6000' 5500' 5000' 6000' 6500'
West Central 5000' 5500' 6000' 6500' 6000' 5500' 6500' 7500'
West South 7000' 7000' 7000' 7500' 7500' 7000' 7500' 8000'
Stevens Pass 5000' 5000' 6000' 6000' 5500' 5500' 6500' 7500'
Snoqualmie Pass 6000' 6000' 6500' 7000' 6500' 6000' 7000' 8000'
East North 0 0 0 0 5500' 5000' 6000' 6500'
East Central 0 0 0 6000' 5500' 5000' 6000' 7500'
East South 0 5000' 5500' 6500' 6000' 5500' 6500' 7500'
Mt. Hood 7000' 7000' 7500' 8000' 7500' 7500' 8500' 9000'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening* 6500'
Friday Night* 6500'
Saturday Morning* 7000'
Saturday Afternoon* 7000'
Saturday Evening* 7500'
Saturday Night* 7500'
Sunday Morning* 7500'
Sunday Afternoon* 6500'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night* 4000'
Saturday Morning* 5000'
Saturday Afternoon* 6000'
Saturday Evening* 5500'
Saturday Night* 5000'
Sunday Morning* 6000'
Sunday Afternoon* 6500'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 5000'
Friday Night* 5500'
Saturday Morning* 6000'
Saturday Afternoon* 6500'
Saturday Evening* 6000'
Saturday Night* 5500'
Sunday Morning* 6500'
Sunday Afternoon* 7500'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening* 7000'
Friday Night* 7000'
Saturday Morning* 7000'
Saturday Afternoon* 7500'
Saturday Evening* 7500'
Saturday Night* 7000'
Sunday Morning* 7500'
Sunday Afternoon* 8000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 5000'
Friday Night* 5000'
Saturday Morning* 6000'
Saturday Afternoon* 6000'
Saturday Evening* 5500'
Saturday Night* 5500'
Sunday Morning* 6500'
Sunday Afternoon* 7500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 6000'
Friday Night* 6000'
Saturday Morning* 6500'
Saturday Afternoon* 7000'
Saturday Evening* 6500'
Saturday Night* 6000'
Sunday Morning* 7000'
Sunday Afternoon* 8000'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Saturday Evening* 5500'
Saturday Night* 5000'
Sunday Morning* 6000'
Sunday Afternoon* 6500'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 6000'
Saturday Evening* 5500'
Saturday Night* 5000'
Sunday Morning* 6000'
Sunday Afternoon* 7500'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 5000'
Saturday Morning* 5500'
Saturday Afternoon* 6500'
Saturday Evening* 6000'
Saturday Night* 5500'
Sunday Morning* 6500'
Sunday Afternoon* 7500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening* 7000'
Friday Night* 7000'
Saturday Morning* 7500'
Saturday Afternoon* 8000'
Saturday Evening* 7500'
Saturday Night* 7500'
Sunday Morning* 8500'
Sunday Afternoon* 9000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 36 / 31 38 / 36
West North 34 / 29 37 / 35
West Central 35 / 30 39 / 33
West South 36 / 32 39 / 36
Stevens Pass 33 / 30 38 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 33 / 29 38 / 30
East North 25 / 16 34 / 20
East Central 31 / 26 36 / 29
East South 34 / 31 40 / 32
Mt. Hood 37 / 35 42 / 36
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 36 / 31
Saturday 38 / 36
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 34 / 29
Saturday 37 / 35
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 35 / 30
Saturday 39 / 33
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 36 / 32
Saturday 39 / 36
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 33 / 30
Saturday 38 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 33 / 29
Saturday 38 / 30
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 25 / 16
Saturday 34 / 20
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 31 / 26
Saturday 36 / 29
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 34 / 31
Saturday 40 / 32
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 37 / 35
Saturday 42 / 36

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics SW 15-25 SSW 20-30 SSW 25-35 SW 20-30
West North SW 10-20 SSW 15-25 SSW 30-40 SW 20-30
West Central WSW 20-30 SW 15-25 S 15-25 SW 25-35
West South WSW 10-20 SW 15-25 SSW 15-25 SW 20-30
Stevens Pass WSW 10-20 SW 5-15 S 5-15 SW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass SE 15-25 SE 10-20 SE 5-15 SW 15-25
East North WSW 15-25 SW 10-20 S 10-20 SW 15-25
East Central WSW 25-35 WSW 20-30 SSW 15-25 WSW 30-40
East South WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 SW 10-20 SW 20-30
Mt. Hood WSW 25-35 SW 20-30 SW 20-30 SW 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 15-25
Friday Night SSW 20-30
Saturday Morning SSW 25-35
Saturday Afternoon SW 20-30
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 10-20
Friday Night SSW 15-25
Saturday Morning SSW 30-40
Saturday Afternoon SW 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 20-30
Friday Night SW 15-25
Saturday Morning S 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SW 25-35
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 10-20
Friday Night SW 15-25
Saturday Morning SSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SW 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 10-20
Friday Night SW 5-15
Saturday Morning S 5-15
Saturday Afternoon SW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SE 15-25
Friday Night SE 10-20
Saturday Morning SE 5-15
Saturday Afternoon SW 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 15-25
Friday Night SW 10-20
Saturday Morning S 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SW 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 25-35
Friday Night WSW 20-30
Saturday Morning SSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon WSW 30-40
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 15-25
Friday Night WSW 15-25
Saturday Morning SW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SW 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 25-35
Friday Night SW 20-30
Saturday Morning SW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon SW 30-40

Extended Weather Synopsis

Additional moisture-laden frontal systems will swing through about every 24 hours, bringing rain and high-elevation snow from Sunday night through Tuesday. A cooling trend by Tuesday could bring snow back down to mid-elevations.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night* Monday Monday Night Tuesday
West North 6500' 5000' 5000' 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass 8000' 7000' 5500' 5000'
Mt. Hood 9000' 8000' 8000' 5000'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night* 6500'
Monday 5000'
Monday Night 5000'
Tuesday 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night* 8000'
Monday 7000'
Monday Night 5500'
Tuesday 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night* 9000'
Monday 8000'
Monday Night 8000'
Tuesday 5000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 23, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.