Issued: 2:08 PM PST Tuesday, November 29, 2022
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A major winter storm will impact the region with major snow accumulations and significant winds over the next 24 hours. A deep upper-level low positioned at the base of the Alaska Panhandle Saturday afternoon has spawned a developing surface low tracking toward Vancouver Island. Out ahead of the low pressure, a frontal system will impact our region. A warm front currently spreads heavy precipitation into SW Washington State with lighter precipitation extending NE as far as Bellingham. This package will continue to lift northest through the evening hours, with a trailing cold front pushing SE and shifting the heaviest precipitation toward Mt Hood on Wednesday morning. With cold air in place across the region, the warm front will moderate air to the west of the Cascades enough to push Snow levels up to around 3500 ft early Wednesday for Mt. Hood. Warming won't be impactful for most of Washington's mountains. Deep, cold air east of the Cascades will be funneled through mountain gaps, potentially creating blizzard conditions in some areas before low-level flow switches westerly with the cold front early Wednesday. Snow tapers to showers in most areas by Wednesday afternoon, with a slight cooling trend as the upper low moves just offshore. As a secondary low may re-organize precipitation over southern portions of our region while northern areas could see a break in the snow late in the day. With cold temperatures and high snow ratios, we expect 1-2.5 ft of snow for most areas of the Cascades and Olympics by Wednesday evening with slightly higher amounts not out of the question for the Volcanoes.

The trough moves onshore Wednesday night and Thursday with periods of snow showers and banded precipitation associated with the surface low adding to snow totals.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Heavy snow and strong ridgeline winds in the evening.
Wednesday Decreasing light snow showers.
Tuesday Night Very heavy snow. Strong ridgeline winds in the evening.
Wednesday Moderate snow showers become light by mid-morning.
Tuesday Night Moderate snow quickly becomes heavy. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Moderate snow showers become light by late morning.
Tuesday Night Increasing heavy snow at Paradise; increasing moderate to heavy snow at Crystal and White Pass.
Wednesday Heavy snow at Paradise and moderate snow at Crystal and White Pass all quickly transitioning to light snow showers.
Tuesday Night Moderate snow becoming heavy overnight. Moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Wednesday Moderate snow transitioning to light snow showers. Moderate ridgeline and E winds switching W during the morning hours become light to moderate in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Moderate snow becoming very heavy overnight. Moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass with strong gusts.
Wednesday Moderate snow transitioning to light snow showers.
Tuesday Night Moderate snow becoming heavy overnight. Strong ridgeline and E winds at the Pass in the evening, decreasing to moderate overnight.
Wednesday Light to moderate snow showers become light by mid-morning.
Tuesday Night Increasing moderate to heavy snow. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Light to moderate snow, quickly tapering to light snow showers.
Tuesday Night Light snow becoming moderate overnight. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Moderate snow in the morning, tapering to light snow showers.
Tuesday Night Increasing heavy snow. Strong ridgeline winds with extreme gusts peaking in the early morning hours.
Wednesday Very heavy snow in the morning tapering to moderate snow by the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds early, decreasing into the moderate range.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 1.00 - 1.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.50 - 2.00 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 1.00 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 0.75 -1.00 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise 1.50 - 2.00 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25
White Pass 0.75 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mission Ridge 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 1.00 0.75 0.25 LT 0.25
Timberline 1.00 0.75 0.25 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Wednesday 0.50
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.50
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening* Tuesday Night* Wednesday Morning* Wednesday Afternoon Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics 1500' 2500' 1000' 1000' 0 0 0 0
West North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
West Central 0 0 0 500' 0 0 0 500'
West South 500' 500' 1500' 2000' 1000' 1000' 500' 1000'
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 1000' 0 0 0 500'
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 1000' 500' 500' 0 500'
East North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East Central 0 0 0 1000' 0 0 0 500'
East South 0 0 1500' 2500' 1500' 1500' 500' 1000'
Mt. Hood 1500' 2500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 1000' 1000'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 1500'
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 1000'
Wednesday Afternoon 1000'
Wednesday Evening 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 0'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 0'
Tuesday Night* 0'
Wednesday Morning* 0'
Wednesday Afternoon 0'
Wednesday Evening 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 0'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 0'
Tuesday Night* 0'
Wednesday Morning* 0'
Wednesday Afternoon 500'
Wednesday Evening 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 500'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 500'
Tuesday Night* 500'
Wednesday Morning* 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2000'
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night 1000'
Thursday Morning 500'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 0'
Tuesday Night* 0'
Wednesday Morning* 0'
Wednesday Afternoon 1000'
Wednesday Evening 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 0'
Tuesday Night* 0'
Wednesday Morning* 0'
Wednesday Afternoon 1000'
Wednesday Evening 500'
Wednesday Night 500'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 500'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 0'
Tuesday Night* 0'
Wednesday Morning* 0'
Wednesday Afternoon 0'
Wednesday Evening 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 0'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 0'
Tuesday Night* 0'
Wednesday Morning* 0'
Wednesday Afternoon 1000'
Wednesday Evening 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 500'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 0'
Tuesday Night* 0'
Wednesday Morning* 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 1500'
Wednesday Night 1500'
Thursday Morning 500'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 1500'
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning 1000'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 27 / 20 18 / 11
West North 20 / 16 21 / 6
West Central 21 / 17 20 / 10
West South 25 / 20 25 / 14
Stevens Pass 19 / 12 20 / 12
Snoqualmie Pass 21 / 13 20 / 13
East North 9 / 2 18 / 8
East Central 18 / 10 20 / 13
East South 26 / 15 24 / 17
Mt. Hood 31 / 25 29 / 23
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 27 / 20
Wednesday 18 / 11
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 20 / 16
Wednesday 21 / 6
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 21 / 17
Wednesday 20 / 10
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 25 / 20
Wednesday 25 / 14
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 19 / 12
Wednesday 20 / 12
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 21 / 13
Wednesday 20 / 13
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 9 / 2
Wednesday 18 / 8
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 18 / 10
Wednesday 20 / 13
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 26 / 15
Wednesday 24 / 17
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 31 / 25
Wednesday 29 / 23

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics SSW 25-35 SW 15-25 WSW 15-25 SW 5-15
West North SSE 25-35 S 20-30 SW 20-30 SW 10-20
West Central SE 15-25 SSE 15-25 SW 20-30 SW 5-15
West South SSW 20-30 SW 15-25 W 10-20 WSW 5-15
Stevens Pass SE 20-30 SE 15-25 WSW 10-20 WSW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 25-35 ESE 20-30 WSW 15-25 W 0-10
East North SE 10-20 SE 15-25 SSW 10-20 W 10-20
East Central S 20-30 S 20-30 WSW 20-30 W 10-20
East South S 10-20 SSW 15-25 WSW 10-20 W 0-10
Mt. Hood SW 30-40 SW 30-40 WSW 25-35 SW 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSW 25-35
Tuesday Night SW 15-25
Wednesday Morning WSW 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSE 25-35
Tuesday Night S 20-30
Wednesday Morning SW 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon SW 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SE 15-25
Tuesday Night SSE 15-25
Wednesday Morning SW 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSW 20-30
Tuesday Night SW 15-25
Wednesday Morning W 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SE 20-30
Tuesday Night SE 15-25
Wednesday Morning WSW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening ESE 25-35
Tuesday Night ESE 20-30
Wednesday Morning WSW 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon W 0-10
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SE 10-20
Tuesday Night SE 15-25
Wednesday Morning SSW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon W 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening S 20-30
Tuesday Night S 20-30
Wednesday Morning WSW 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon W 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening S 10-20
Tuesday Night SSW 15-25
Wednesday Morning WSW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon W 0-10
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 30-40
Tuesday Night SW 30-40
Wednesday Morning WSW 25-35
Wednesday Afternoon SW 15-25

Extended Weather Synopsis

Weak onshore flow with cold temperatures across the region could touch off a few snow showers for the west slopes of the Cascades through Thursday night. Another system dropping out of the Gulf of Alaska should position itself off the Washington Coast on Friday, bringing another round of moderate E winds for the Cascades with light to moderate precipitation spreading into the Olympics and southern Cascades late in the day. These same areas should expect the heaviest snowfall as precipitation likely spreads throughout the region Friday night and Saturday. Temperatures remain well below seasonal norms with snow levels hovering around sea level.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night Friday * Friday Night* Saturday *
West North 0 0 0 500'
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 500'
Mt. Hood 500' 500' 1000' 1000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night 0'
Friday * 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday * 500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night 0'
Friday * 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday * 500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night 500'
Friday * 500'
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday * 1000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 29, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.