Issued: 2:02 PM PST Thursday, November 17, 2022
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

The weather pattern will remain quiet with dry weather through the weekend.  A weak (and dry) upper level trough that passed from north to south over the area has turned the flow aloft N-NE. The practical impact of this has been to drop those mild temperatures west of the Cascade Crest (Mt Baker area, Mountain Loop, Olympics, etc) down 15-25 degrees in the 24 hours. Moderate to locally strong East winds can be found along ridgetops near the Cascades crest, making for some low wind chill values this afternoon.  Cold, breezy to windy, and mostly clear conditions will continue overnight. The caveat to the cloud cover includes some low clouds across portions of the east slopes of the Cascades and to the east of Mt. Hood. 

On Friday, we'll start to see upper level ridging rebuild offshore, setting up once again those stark temperature differences between the west side and the east side of the Cascades with continued locally moderate E winds. The Olympics, Mt Baker and central Cascades well west of the Pass will be the first places to moderate on Friday.  There's less certainty that places like Crystal mountain and Snoqualmie/Stevens Pass will realize much warming on Friday.  Mt. Hood will likely see a stiff E wind all day to help keep temperatures/freezing levels chilly. 

On Saturday we'll start to see the ridge weaken and shift inland. This should weaken some of the easterly flow across the area and allow for more warming near and west of the Cascade crest. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Mostly clear.
Friday Mostly sunny.
Thursday Night Mostly clear.
Friday Mostly sunny.
Thursday Night Mostly clear.
Friday Mostly sunny.
Thursday Night Mostly clear.
Friday Mostly sunny. Cooler near the Cascade crest. Breezy in the morning.
Thursday Night Mostly clear. Areas of low clouds. Light to locally moderate E winds.
Friday Mostly sunny. Milder for areas to the West of the Pass. Light to locally moderate E winds.
Thursday Night Mostly clear. Areas of low clouds. Moderate to locally strong E winds.
Friday Mostly sunny. Milder for areas to the West of the Pass. Light to locally moderate E winds.
Thursday Night Mostly clear. Areas of low clouds.
Friday Mostly sunny.
Thursday Night Mostly clear. Areas of low clouds. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly sunny.
Thursday Night Mostly clear. Areas of low clouds. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly sunny.
Thursday Night Mostly clear. Areas of low clouds east side of the mountain. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly sunny. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds easing in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 0 0
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0
Crystal Mt 0 0 0 0
Paradise 0 0 0 0
White Pass 0 0 0 0
Washington Pass 0 0 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 0
Timberline 0 0 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon* Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon*
Olympics 4000' 5500' 5500' 9000' 9000' 9000' 9000' 9000'
West North 4000' 2000' 3500' 7500' 7500' 8000' 8000' 8000'
West Central 4000' 2000' 3500' 6500' 7000' 8500' 8500' 9000'
West South 3000' 1000' 3000' 5500' 6000' 7000' 8000' 9000'
Stevens Pass 3000' 1000' 2000' 3500' 3000' 2500' 3000' 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 1000' 2000' 3500' 3000' 2500' 4500' 7500'
East North 2000' 0 0 4000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 4000'
East Central 2000' 0 0 3000' 3000' 2500' 3500' 4500'
East South 2000' 1000' 1000' 3000' 3000' 2500' 4500' 6500'
Mt. Hood 2000' 1000' 1500' 3000' 4500' 7000' 8000' 9000'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening* 4000'
Thursday Night* 5500'
Friday Morning* 5500'
Friday Afternoon* 9000'
Friday Evening* 9000'
Friday Night* 9000'
Saturday Morning* 9000'
Saturday Afternoon* 9000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 4000'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon* 7500'
Friday Evening* 7500'
Friday Night* 8000'
Saturday Morning* 8000'
Saturday Afternoon* 8000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 4000'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon* 6500'
Friday Evening* 7000'
Friday Night* 8500'
Saturday Morning* 8500'
Saturday Afternoon* 9000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 5500'
Friday Evening* 6000'
Friday Night* 7000'
Saturday Morning* 8000'
Saturday Afternoon* 9000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon* 3500'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning* 3000'
Saturday Afternoon* 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon* 3500'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning* 4500'
Saturday Afternoon* 7500'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 4000'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning* 3000'
Saturday Afternoon* 4000'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 3000'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning* 3500'
Saturday Afternoon* 4500'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon* 3000'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning* 4500'
Saturday Afternoon* 6500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon* 3000'
Friday Evening* 4500'
Friday Night* 7000'
Saturday Morning* 8000'
Saturday Afternoon* 9000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 33 / 27 42 / 30
West North 28 / 22 37 / 28
West Central 25 / 19 35 / 26
West South 21 / 16 34 / 19
Stevens Pass 21 / 18 29 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 22 / 19 29 / 22
East North 18 / 14 28 / 16
East Central 18 / 15 29 / 16
East South 15 / 15 30 / 17
Mt. Hood 21 / 16 30 / 19
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 33 / 27
Friday 42 / 30
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 28 / 22
Friday 37 / 28
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 25 / 19
Friday 35 / 26
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 21 / 16
Friday 34 / 19
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 21 / 18
Friday 29 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 22 / 19
Friday 29 / 22
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 18 / 14
Friday 28 / 16
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 18 / 15
Friday 29 / 16
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 15 / 15
Friday 30 / 17
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 21 / 16
Friday 30 / 19

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics E 10-20 NE 10-20 NNE 5-15 N 0-10
West North NE 10-20 NE 5-15 NE 5-15 VAR 0-10
West Central E 5-15 E 0-10 E 0-10 NW 0-10
West South E 20-30 ESE 15-25 E 10-20 VAR 5-15
Stevens Pass E 10-20 E 5-15 E 5-15 VAR 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass E 15-25 E 10-20 E 10-20 VAR 0-10
East North NE 10-20 NE 5-15 N 5-15 NW 5-15
East Central E 10-20 E 10-20 E 5-15 VAR 0-10
East South E 15-25 ENE 15-25 E 5-15 SE 5-15
Mt. Hood E 25-35 E 25-35 E 20-30 E 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 10-20
Thursday Night NE 10-20
Friday Morning NNE 5-15
Friday Afternoon N 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NE 10-20
Thursday Night NE 5-15
Friday Morning NE 5-15
Friday Afternoon VAR 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 5-15
Thursday Night E 0-10
Friday Morning E 0-10
Friday Afternoon NW 0-10
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 20-30
Thursday Night ESE 15-25
Friday Morning E 10-20
Friday Afternoon VAR 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 10-20
Thursday Night E 5-15
Friday Morning E 5-15
Friday Afternoon VAR 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 15-25
Thursday Night E 10-20
Friday Morning E 10-20
Friday Afternoon VAR 0-10
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NE 10-20
Thursday Night NE 5-15
Friday Morning N 5-15
Friday Afternoon NW 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 10-20
Thursday Night E 10-20
Friday Morning E 5-15
Friday Afternoon VAR 0-10
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 15-25
Thursday Night ENE 15-25
Friday Morning E 5-15
Friday Afternoon SE 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 25-35
Thursday Night E 25-35
Friday Morning E 20-30
Friday Afternoon E 15-25

Extended Weather Synopsis

The pattern will shift Sunday as a weak frontal system approaches the coast.  Freezing levels will be mild and we should see a general increase in cloud covers with dry weather to close out the weekend.  This weak weather system may not make much headway inland on Monday but another frontal system arriving Mon night/Tue should bring widespread light/moderate precipitation early next week. 

Forecast models are suggesting a more active pattern over Turkey Day weekend with some suggesting a mild/wet pattern with the jet stream positioned well into southern/central B.C.  Stay tuned...

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night* Sunday * Sunday Night* Monday *
West North 7000' 6500' 4500' 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass 7000' 6500' 6000' 4500'
Mt. Hood 9000' 7500' 7000' 6500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night* 7000'
Sunday * 6500'
Sunday Night* 4500'
Monday * 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night* 7000'
Sunday * 6500'
Sunday Night* 6000'
Monday * 4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night* 9000'
Sunday * 7500'
Sunday Night* 7000'
Monday * 6500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 16, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.