Issued: 2:20 PM PST Wednesday, November 16, 2022
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Welcome to the 2022-23 season at NWAC! A high-amplitude ridge continues to dominate the regional weather. Inversion conditions have become pronounced to the east of the Cascades, with a strong pressure gradient through the mountain gaps driving moderate E winds. This pattern should continue into Wednesday evening. A moisture-starved backdoor cold front sliding down the continental divide reinforces the easterly flow late with mid-level ENE winds late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. The upslope winds combined with weak upper-level support could touch off a few snow showers (less than 1" of accumulation) along the eastern foothills of the Cascades from the Wenatchee Mountains northward. The front also ushers in cooler temperatures. The combined effect of temperatures in the 20s and moderate winds in many exposed locations will lead to windchills around 0F in wind-exposed locations while afternoon 5000 ft high temperatures should be 5-15F cooler than 24 hours prior. Skies clear Thursday afternoon across the region as the upper-level ridge just offshore pushes back onshore. E winds through the mountain gaps should finally ease into the light to moderate range on Friday. Meanwhile, temperatures should warm west of the mountains with freezing levels rising up to 8000 ft in the Olympic Mountains by Friday afternoon.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Mostly clear with a few high clouds. Valley fog possibly developing.
Thursday A few high clouds early, then mostly sunny skies.
Wednesday Night Clear to start with obscured skies developing as high clouds increase.
Thursday A few high clouds early, then mostly sunny skies.
Wednesday Night Clear to start with obscured skies developing as high clouds increase.
Thursday A few high clouds early, then mostly sunny skies.
Wednesday Night Clear to start with increasing high clouds in the early morning hours. Moderate to occasionally strong winds developing through the mountain gaps by morning.
Thursday Some cloud cover early, then becoming mostly sunny.
Wednesday Night Clear to start with obscured skies developing as clouds increase in the early morning hours. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline winds with increasing moderate E wind through at the Pass.
Thursday Mostly cloudy early, then becoming mostly sunny. Moderate E ridgeline and pass-level winds.
Wednesday Night Clear to start with obscured skies developing as clouds increase in the early morning hours. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline winds with increasing moderate E wind through at the Pass.
Thursday Mostly cloudy early, then becoming mostly sunny. Moderate E ridgeline and pass-level winds.
Wednesday Night Increasing clouds with a chance of snow flurries during the early morning hours.
Thursday A few snow flurries in the early morning hours, with gradually clearing skies becoming mostly sunny by afternoon.
Wednesday Night Increasing clouds with a chance of snow flurries developing by morning.
Thursday A few snow showers possible early, with gradually clearing skies becoming mostly sunny by afternoon.
Wednesday Night Clear to start with clouds increasing by morning.
Thursday Mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming partly cloudy by afternoon.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear skies with valley fog to the east of Mt. Hood.
Thursday High clouds and heavily filtered sunshine in the morning with full sunshine returning during the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 0 0
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0
Crystal Mt 0 0 0 0
Paradise 0 0 0 0
White Pass 0 0 0 0
Washington Pass 0 LT 0.10 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 0
Timberline 0 0 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon*
Olympics 10000' 9500' 8000' 6000' 5000' 6000' 7500' 8000'
West North 9000' 6000' 4000' 3000' 3500' 3000' 3500' 5000'
West Central 9500' 7500' 4500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3500' 5000'
West South 10500' 9000' 5500' 3500' 3000' 2500' 3000' 5000'
Stevens Pass 9500' 7000' 0 3000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 10000' 8000' 0 3000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 4000'
East North 8000' 4500' 0 2500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 3000'
East Central 9500' 5500' 0 2500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2500'
East South 10500' 9000' 0 2500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2500'
Mt. Hood 10500' 10000' 8000' 3000' 3000' 1500' 1500' 2500'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 10000'
Wednesday Night* 9500'
Thursday Morning* 8000'
Thursday Afternoon* 6000'
Thursday Evening* 5000'
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday Morning* 7500'
Friday Afternoon* 8000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 9000'
Wednesday Night* 6000'
Thursday Morning* 4000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening* 3500'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon* 5000'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 9500'
Wednesday Night* 7500'
Thursday Morning* 4500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'
Thursday Evening* 3500'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon* 5000'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 10500'
Wednesday Night* 9000'
Thursday Morning* 5500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 5000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 9500'
Wednesday Night* 7000'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon* 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 10000'
Wednesday Night* 8000'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 4000'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 8000'
Wednesday Night* 4500'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon* 3000'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 9500'
Wednesday Night* 5500'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon* 2500'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 10500'
Wednesday Night* 9000'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon* 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 10500'
Wednesday Night* 10000'
Thursday Morning* 8000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 1500'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon* 2500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 46 / 34 34 / 30
West North 40 / 32 32 / 26
West Central 41 / 31 28 / 25
West South 42 / 30 29 / 26
Stevens Pass 38 / 24 28 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass 40 / 25 39 / 24
East North 26 / 19 24 / 16
East Central 34 / 23 24 / 20
East South 37 / 23 25 / 22
Mt. Hood 48 / 25 29 / 24
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 46 / 34
Thursday 34 / 30
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 40 / 32
Thursday 32 / 26
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 41 / 31
Thursday 28 / 25
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 42 / 30
Thursday 29 / 26
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 38 / 24
Thursday 28 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 40 / 25
Thursday 39 / 24
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 26 / 19
Thursday 24 / 16
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 34 / 23
Thursday 24 / 20
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 37 / 23
Thursday 25 / 22
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 48 / 25
Thursday 29 / 24

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics NNE 0-10 ENE 5-15 ENE 5-15 ENE 10-20
West North NE 0-10 ENE 5-15 E 5-15 E 5-15
West Central E 0-10 ESE 10-20 ESE 15-25 ESE 15-25
West South NW 0-10 E 0-10 E 15-25 ESE 10-20
Stevens Pass E 5-15 ESE 10-20 ESE 20-30 ESE 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass NE 5-15 ESE 10-20 ESE 20-30 ESE 20-30
East North NNE 0-10 ESE 10-20 ESE 10-20 ESE 10-20
East Central NNE 5-15 E 10-20 E 15-25 E 10-20
East South NNW 0-10 ENE 5-15 ENE 10-20 ENE 10-20
Mt. Hood NW 0-10 WNW 5-15 NNE 5-15 ESE 5-15
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NNE 0-10
Wednesday Night ENE 5-15
Thursday Morning ENE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon ENE 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NE 0-10
Wednesday Night ENE 5-15
Thursday Morning E 5-15
Thursday Afternoon E 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening E 0-10
Wednesday Night ESE 10-20
Thursday Morning ESE 15-25
Thursday Afternoon ESE 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NW 0-10
Wednesday Night E 0-10
Thursday Morning E 15-25
Thursday Afternoon ESE 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening E 5-15
Wednesday Night ESE 10-20
Thursday Morning ESE 20-30
Thursday Afternoon ESE 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NE 5-15
Wednesday Night ESE 10-20
Thursday Morning ESE 20-30
Thursday Afternoon ESE 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NNE 0-10
Wednesday Night ESE 10-20
Thursday Morning ESE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon ESE 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NNE 5-15
Wednesday Night E 10-20
Thursday Morning E 15-25
Thursday Afternoon E 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NNW 0-10
Wednesday Night ENE 5-15
Thursday Morning ENE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon ENE 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NW 0-10
Wednesday Night WNW 5-15
Thursday Morning NNE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon ESE 5-15

Extended Weather Synopsis

Winds begin to shift westerly Friday night as the west coast ridge begins to break down and signal a return to more active weather next week. High clouds begin to increase ahead of the next system on Saturday with obscured skies developing on Sunday ahead of a weak system approaching the coast by the end of the weekend. Temperatures should be above seasonal norms in most mountain locations except in valleys where inversion should trap cold air. However, by the end of the weekend, these areas will moderate as well.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night* Saturday * Saturday Night* Sunday *
West North 8000' 9500' 9500' 8000'
Snoqualmie Pass 7500' 10000' 10500' 8500'
Mt. Hood 7500' 11000' 11500' 10000'
West North Elevation
Friday Night* 8000'
Saturday * 9500'
Saturday Night* 9500'
Sunday * 8000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night* 7500'
Saturday * 10000'
Saturday Night* 10500'
Sunday * 8500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night* 7500'
Saturday * 11000'
Saturday Night* 11500'
Sunday * 10000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Apr 30, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.