We're situated right between an established high-pressure in the Pacific and a deep trough over the Rocky Mountains. This strong ridge repeatedly deflects major storms well to our north. However, with the jet stream flowing across our region, we continue to see very weak disturbances pass overhead. One of these pulses will swing through Tuesday night. Even though this isn't a real storm, it should provide just enough lift to ring out a few showers along the west slopes of the Cascades, increase clouds across the region, and create windy conditions in the mountains. Since we aren't expecting much more than a dusting of snow, the winds will be the primary story. Look for moderate to strong and gust winds along the eastern Cascade zones and at Mt Hood.
By Wednesday morning, a few lingering showers may dot the mountains, but generally clearing and drying will define the day. Mid and upper elevations should see plenty of sunshine, cool temperatures, and decreasing winds. Low clouds could hang around near the bottoms of the Cascade volcanoes and in some of the mountain valleys.
Wednesday night into Thursday two things start to change in our weather pattern. The high-pressure begins to expand eastward which shifts the jets stream towards Idaho. This will allow wind speeds to continue to decrease and slightly warmer air to seep into the region at mid and upper elevations. Second, a cut-off low pressure will start to approach the Pacific Northwest. Even though this storm should stay off the coast till near the end of the short-term forecast period, it will begin to spread a blanket clouds across the area hinting at the changes to come.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday
Night
Partly to mostly cloudy. NW winds increasing significantly and becoming moderate.
Wednesday
Partly to mostly sunny. Light N winds.
Tuesday
Night
Mostly cloudy with a few isolated showers. Light NW winds becoming calm.
Wednesday
Becoming mostly sunny with low clouds. Light NNE winds becoming calm.
Tuesday
Night
Cloudy with a few isolated showers. Light NW winds becoming moderate.
Wednesday
Lingering showers in the morning. Low clouds with some sun breaks possible in the afternoon. Light NW winds becoming moderate.
Tuesday
Night
Cloudy with a few isolated showers. Moderate NW winds becoming strong.
Wednesday
Cloudy with a few lingering showers in the morning. Sun breaks and clearing in the afternoon. Moderate NW winds becoming light.
Tuesday
Night
Cloudy with a few isolated showers. Light to moderate W winds.
Wednesday
Cloudy in the morning with a few lingering showers. Clearing and sun breaks possible in the afternoon. Light WNW winds.
Tuesday
Night
Cloudy with a few isolated showers. Moderate W winds becoming strong.
Wednesday
Cloudy in the morning with a few lingering showers. Low clouds with sun breaks possible in the afternoon. Moderate WNW winds decreasing.
Tuesday
Night
Mostly cloudy with a few very isolated showers. Light to moderate NW winds increasing overnight.
Wednesday
Becoming mostly sunny. Moderate N winds decreasing and turning NW in the afternoon.
Tuesday
Night
Cloudy near the Crest with isolated showers. Partly cloudy in the Wenatchees and dry. Moderate NW winds.
Wednesday
Becoming mostly sunny with a few low clouds in the morning. Moderae N winds turning light NW.
Tuesday
Night
Partly to mostly cloudy with a few flurries possible near the crest. Moderate to strong NW winds.
Wednesday
Becoming mostly sunny with a few low clouds in the morning. Moderate N winds turning light NW.
Tuesday
Night
Increasing clouds with a few isolated showers overnight. Strong and gusty NW winds increasing.
Wednesday
Low clouds in the morning with isolated lingering showers. Sun breaks and clearing in the afternoon. Moderate to strong NW winds turning light NNE.
Issued: 1:48 PM PST Tuesday, February 15, 2022
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
Wednesday
Wednesday Night
Thursday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
0
0
0
0
Mt Baker Ski Area
LT 0.10
0
0
LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0
LT 0.25
Stevens Pass
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0
LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0
LT 0.10
Crystal Mt
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0
LT 0.10
Paradise
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0
LT 0.10
White Pass
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0
0
Washington Pass
LT 0.10
0
0
LT 0.10
Mission Ridge
0
0
0
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
LT 0.10
0
0
LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
0
0
0
0
Mt Hood Meadows
LT 0.10
0
0
0
Timberline
LT 0.10
0
0
0
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
LT 0.10
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.25
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
LT 0.10
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
LT 0.10
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
LT 0.10
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
LT 0.10
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
LT 0.10
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Issued: 1:48 PM PST Tuesday, February 15, 2022
Snow Level (ft)
Tuesday
Evening
Tuesday
Night
Wednesday
Morning
Wednesday
Afternoon
Wednesday
Evening
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Morning
Thursday
Afternoon
Olympics
4500'
4000'
4000'
5000'
5000'
5000'
4500'
5000'
West North
3000'
2500'
2500'
3500'
3000'
2500'
2000'
3000'
West Central
3000'
3000'
3000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
2500'
3500'
West South
3000'
3000'
3000'
4500'
3000'
3000'
2500'
4000'
Stevens Pass
3000'
3000'
3000'
4000'
3000'
3000'
2500'
3500'
Snoqualmie Pass
3000'
3000'
3000'
4000'
3000'
3000'
2500'
3500'
East North
2500'
2500'
2500'
3500'
3000'
2500'
2000'
3000'
East Central
3000'
2500'
3000'
4000'
3500'
3000'
2500'
3500'
East South
3500'
3000'
3000'
4500'
4000'
3500'
2500'
4000'
Mt. Hood
3000'
3000'
3000'
4500'
4500'
4500'
3000'
4500'
Olympics
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
4500'
Tuesday
Night
4000'
Wednesday
Morning
4000'
Wednesday
Afternoon
5000'
Wednesday
Evening
5000'
Wednesday
Night
5000'
Thursday
Morning
4500'
Thursday
Afternoon
5000'
West North
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
3000'
Tuesday
Night
2500'
Wednesday
Morning
2500'
Wednesday
Afternoon
3500'
Wednesday
Evening
3000'
Wednesday
Night
2500'
Thursday
Morning
2000'
Thursday
Afternoon
3000'
West Central
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
3000'
Tuesday
Night
3000'
Wednesday
Morning
3000'
Wednesday
Afternoon
3500'
Wednesday
Evening
3000'
Wednesday
Night
3000'
Thursday
Morning
2500'
Thursday
Afternoon
3500'
West South
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
3000'
Tuesday
Night
3000'
Wednesday
Morning
3000'
Wednesday
Afternoon
4500'
Wednesday
Evening
3000'
Wednesday
Night
3000'
Thursday
Morning
2500'
Thursday
Afternoon
4000'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
3000'
Tuesday
Night
3000'
Wednesday
Morning
3000'
Wednesday
Afternoon
4000'
Wednesday
Evening
3000'
Wednesday
Night
3000'
Thursday
Morning
2500'
Thursday
Afternoon
3500'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
3000'
Tuesday
Night
3000'
Wednesday
Morning
3000'
Wednesday
Afternoon
4000'
Wednesday
Evening
3000'
Wednesday
Night
3000'
Thursday
Morning
2500'
Thursday
Afternoon
3500'
East North
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
2500'
Tuesday
Night
2500'
Wednesday
Morning
2500'
Wednesday
Afternoon
3500'
Wednesday
Evening
3000'
Wednesday
Night
2500'
Thursday
Morning
2000'
Thursday
Afternoon
3000'
East Central
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
3000'
Tuesday
Night
2500'
Wednesday
Morning
3000'
Wednesday
Afternoon
4000'
Wednesday
Evening
3500'
Wednesday
Night
3000'
Thursday
Morning
2500'
Thursday
Afternoon
3500'
East South
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
3500'
Tuesday
Night
3000'
Wednesday
Morning
3000'
Wednesday
Afternoon
4500'
Wednesday
Evening
4000'
Wednesday
Night
3500'
Thursday
Morning
2500'
Thursday
Afternoon
4000'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
3000'
Tuesday
Night
3000'
Wednesday
Morning
3000'
Wednesday
Afternoon
4500'
Wednesday
Evening
4500'
Wednesday
Night
4500'
Thursday
Morning
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon
4500'
Issued: 1:48 PM PST Tuesday, February 15, 2022
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Tuesday
Night
Wednesday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
33 / 29
34 / 28
West North
31 / 27
32 / 26
West Central
31 / 26
33 / 26
West South
30 / 26
33 / 25
Stevens Pass
30 / 25
31 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass
30 / 27
31 / 26
East North
30 / 27
30 / 24
East Central
33 / 26
33 / 25
East South
30 / 26
32 / 27
Mt. Hood
30 / 24
31 / 25
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
33 / 29
Wednesday
34 / 28
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
31 / 27
Wednesday
32 / 26
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
31 / 26
Wednesday
33 / 26
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
30 / 26
Wednesday
33 / 25
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
30 / 25
Wednesday
31 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
30 / 27
Wednesday
31 / 26
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
30 / 27
Wednesday
30 / 24
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
33 / 26
Wednesday
33 / 25
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
30 / 26
Wednesday
32 / 27
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
30 / 24
Wednesday
31 / 25
Issued: 1:48 PM PST Tuesday, February 15, 2022
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
Tuesday
Night
Wednesday
Morning
Wednesday
Afternoon
Olympics
NW 10-20
NNW 15-25
N 5-15
NNW 5-15
West North
W 5-15
NNW 0-10
NNE 5-15
VAR 0-10
West Central
NW 5-15
WNW 10-20
NNW 5-15
NNW 5-15
West South
NW 10-20
NW 20-30
NNW 15-25
NW 5-15
Stevens Pass
W 10-20
W 10-20
WNW 5-15
WNW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass
W 10-20
W 20-30
WNW 15-25
WNW 10-20
East North
WNW 10-20
NW 15-25
N 15-25
NW 5-15
East Central
NW 15-25
NNW 15-25
N 15-25
NW 5-15
East South
NW 20-30
NW 20-30
N 15-25
NW 5-15
Mt. Hood
NW 20-30
NW 30-40
NW 20-30
NNE 5-15
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
NW
10-20
Tuesday
Night
NNW
15-25
Wednesday
Morning
N
5-15
Wednesday
Afternoon
NNW
5-15
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
W
5-15
Tuesday
Night
NNW
0-10
Wednesday
Morning
NNE
5-15
Wednesday
Afternoon
VAR
0-10
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
NW
5-15
Tuesday
Night
WNW
10-20
Wednesday
Morning
NNW
5-15
Wednesday
Afternoon
NNW
5-15
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
NW
10-20
Tuesday
Night
NW
20-30
Wednesday
Morning
NNW
15-25
Wednesday
Afternoon
NW
5-15
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
W
10-20
Tuesday
Night
W
10-20
Wednesday
Morning
WNW
5-15
Wednesday
Afternoon
WNW
5-15
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
W
10-20
Tuesday
Night
W
20-30
Wednesday
Morning
WNW
15-25
Wednesday
Afternoon
WNW
10-20
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
WNW
10-20
Tuesday
Night
NW
15-25
Wednesday
Morning
N
15-25
Wednesday
Afternoon
NW
5-15
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
NW
15-25
Tuesday
Night
NNW
15-25
Wednesday
Morning
N
15-25
Wednesday
Afternoon
NW
5-15
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
NW
20-30
Tuesday
Night
NW
20-30
Wednesday
Morning
N
15-25
Wednesday
Afternoon
NW
5-15
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
NW
20-30
Tuesday
Night
NW
30-40
Wednesday
Morning
NW
20-30
Wednesday
Afternoon
NNE
5-15
Issued: 1:48 PM PST Tuesday, February 15, 2022
Extended Weather Synopsis
An approaching cut-off low pressure will begin to impact the region Thursday evening. While this doesn't appear to be a particularly wet storm it should bring a quick shot of precipitation and stronger winds as it slides south along the coast. Most importantly, this weak system begins to break down the long-lived Pacific high-pressure ridge and make way for better developed storm over the weekend. Right now the models differ on the strength of this second approaching weather system, but they generally agree that a deep trough will swing through the Northwest Satuday into Sunday.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).