Issued: 1:33 PM PST Tuesday, February 1, 2022
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A convergence zone downwind of Vancouver Island will continue to affect the west slopes of the Cascades between Hwy2 and I-90 through the early evening hours, however, the area with heavier snowfall rates will stay west of the Passes and only another inch or so is expected at Stevens and Snoqualmie. Over the rest of the area this afternoon there's a mix of scattered showers and low clouds and high clouds beginning to stream overhead from the NW. 

We should see partial clearing overnight as low level clouds diminish somewhat while high clouds increase after midnight.  An ill-defined warm-frontal system will ride over an upper level ridge anchored well offshore on Wednesday, bringing light snow into the area mid-day or early afternoon.  Snowfall amounts look like (generally less than 3 inches through 4 pm Wed) with more moderate snow Wednesday night through Thursday morning, especially for the central and southern Cascades near and west of the crest.  After a cold start (widespread teens at 5000') Wednesday morning, freezing levels will inch up during the day and again Wednesday night. Light snow should become light scattered showers on Thursday afternoon as the ridge reasserts itself over the area. Current forecasts point to 4-12" of storm snow totals for the west slopes of the Cascades, Mt Hood, and the Olympics with lower amount for the east slopes of the Cascades, but this could be a sneaky system with higher amounts possible as we get closer. 

Westerly ridgeline winds will increase Wednesday afternoon and further Wednesday night and begin to relax during the day on Thursday. The strongest winds will likely occur from the Central Cascades and south to Mt Hood.  

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Partly to mostly cloudy with high clouds increasing late.
Wednesday Cloudy with light snow developing late morning or mid-day.
Tuesday Night Partly to mostly cloudy with high clouds increasing late.
Wednesday Cloudy with light snow developing late morning or mid-day.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers in the evening tapering off after midnight.
Wednesday Cloudy with light snow developing late morning or mid-day.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers in the evening tapering off after midnight.
Wednesday Cloudy with light snow developing late morning or mid-day.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers in the evening tapering off after midnight. Light and variable winds at Pass level overnight.
Wednesday Cloudy with light snow developing late morning or mid-day. Light east winds at Pass level.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers in the evening tapering off after midnight. Light and variable winds at Pass level overnight.
Wednesday Cloudy with light snow developing late morning or mid-day. Light east winds at Pass level.
Tuesday Night Partly to mostly cloudy with high clouds increasing late.
Wednesday Cloudy. Very light snow developing mid-day or early afternoon.
Tuesday Night Partly to mostly cloudy with a few light snow showers near the Cascade crest. High clouds increasing late.
Wednesday Cloudy. Very light snow developing mid-day or early afternoon.
Tuesday Night Partly to mostly cloudy with a few light snow showers near the Cascade crest. High clouds increasing late.
Wednesday Cloudy. Very light snow developing mid-day or early afternoon.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers in the evening tapering off after midnight and becoming partly cloudy.
Wednesday Cloudy. Very light snow developing mid-day or early afternoon. Ridgeline winds becoming strong in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0 LT 0.25 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Paradise LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50 0.25
White Pass 0 LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Timberline LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon*
Olympics 500' 500' 1000' 1500' 2500' 3000' 4000' 4500'
West North 500' 0 0 500' 1000' 1500' 1500' 2500'
West Central 500' 0 500' 1000' 1000' 2000' 2000' 3000'
West South 500' 0 500' 1500' 2000' 2500' 3000' 4500'
Stevens Pass 500' 0 0 1000' 1000' 1500' 2000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 0 500' 1000' 1000' 1500' 2500' 3000'
East North 500' 0 0 1000' 500' 500' 1000' 2500'
East Central 500' 0 0 1000' 1000' 1000' 1500' 3000'
East South 500' 0 500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2000' 3000'
Mt. Hood 500' 500' 1000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 500'
Wednesday Morning 1000'
Wednesday Afternoon 1500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday Morning* 4000'
Thursday Afternoon* 4500'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 0'
Wednesday Afternoon 500'
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 500'
Wednesday Afternoon 1000'
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 500'
Wednesday Afternoon 1500'
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 4500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 0'
Wednesday Afternoon 1000'
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 500'
Wednesday Afternoon 1000'
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 0'
Wednesday Afternoon 1000'
Wednesday Evening 500'
Wednesday Night* 500'
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 0'
Wednesday Afternoon 1000'
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 500'
Wednesday Afternoon 1500'
Wednesday Evening 1500'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 500'
Wednesday Morning 1000'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 20 / 14 28 / 18
West North 18 / 11 25 / 12
West Central 21 / 13 26 / 16
West South 20 / 12 27 / 17
Stevens Pass 18 / 11 24 / 13
Snoqualmie Pass 19 / 12 24 / 14
East North 13 / 5 23 / 8
East Central 19 / 10 24 / 11
East South 20 / 11 26 / 12
Mt. Hood 21 / 16 27 / 18
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 20 / 14
Wednesday 28 / 18
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 18 / 11
Wednesday 25 / 12
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 21 / 13
Wednesday 26 / 16
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 20 / 12
Wednesday 27 / 17
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 18 / 11
Wednesday 24 / 13
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 19 / 12
Wednesday 24 / 14
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 13 / 5
Wednesday 23 / 8
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 19 / 10
Wednesday 24 / 11
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 20 / 11
Wednesday 26 / 12
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 21 / 16
Wednesday 27 / 18

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics N 5-15 NW 5-15 NW 10-20 WNW 10-20
West North NE 5-15 VAR 0-10 SW 5-15 WSW 10-20
West Central NW 5-15 VAR 0-10 W 0-10 W 10-20
West South NW 0-10 NW 0-10 W 5-15 WNW 15-25
Stevens Pass WNW 5-15 WNW 0-10 W 5-15 W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass NW 10-20 WNW 0-10 W 10-20 W 15-25
East North NNW 5-15 NW 5-15 W 5-15 W 10-20
East Central NNW 0-10 WNW 0-10 W 10-20 W 15-25
East South NNW 5-15 NW 0-10 W 10-20 W 15-25
Mt. Hood NW 10-20 NW 10-20 NW 10-20 WNW 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening N 5-15
Tuesday Night NW 5-15
Wednesday Morning NW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NE 5-15
Tuesday Night VAR 0-10
Wednesday Morning SW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NW 5-15
Tuesday Night VAR 0-10
Wednesday Morning W 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon W 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NW 0-10
Tuesday Night NW 0-10
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 5-15
Tuesday Night WNW 0-10
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NW 10-20
Tuesday Night WNW 0-10
Wednesday Morning W 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon W 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NNW 5-15
Tuesday Night NW 5-15
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon W 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NNW 0-10
Tuesday Night WNW 0-10
Wednesday Morning W 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon W 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NNW 5-15
Tuesday Night NW 0-10
Wednesday Morning W 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon W 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NW 10-20
Tuesday Night NW 10-20
Wednesday Morning NW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 20-30

Extended Weather Synopsis

A fast-moving frontal system will approach Thursday night and pass through the area Friday morning, bringing a quick shot of rain and snow for the Olympics, and the central/northern Cascades with very light precipitation for areas further south. While this frontal system will temporarily knock down the Pacific ridge offshore, it will rebuild quickly on Saturday leading to a significant drying/warming trend over the weekend. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night* Friday Friday Night Saturday
West North 3000' 2500' 1500' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 3000' 2000' 5500'
Mt. Hood 6000' 4000' 5000' 8000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday 2500'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday 5500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday 4000'
Friday Night 5000'
Saturday 8000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 1, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.