Issued: 2:11 PM PST Saturday, January 29, 2022
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A winter storm approaches the region Saturday night. Light rain and snow arrive in the Olympics and Mt. Baker during the evening before increasing in intensity in these areas and spreading to other parts of Washington State overnight. Snow levels should be around 3000-4000 ft range. Snoqualmie Pass may get some mixed precipitation as low-level E flow continues.

Rain and snow intensify across the northern Cascades and Olympics on Sunday as the occluded frontal system arrives on Sunday. Models are having difficulty deciding how much moisture will be in the warm sector of the storm from the central and southern Washington Cascades, but overall these areas may have much lighter precipitation with breaks possible during the mid-day hours. With the warm front likely to lift north to around the mountain loop area, expect snow levels to rise up to 4000-5000 ft across the central and southern Washington Cascades. Moderate WSW winds become strong and shift to the SSW in the Olympics, Mt. Baker, Mt. Hood, and Crystal mountain areas late in the day as the cold front approaches.

We may see a change back to mixed precipitation as the flow aloft takes a more southerly component and light E flow keeps cold air trapped near the surface trickling through Snoqualmie Pass. Expect a period of heavy rain and snow Sunday evening as the cold front arrives with strong winds. The Cascade Passes should shift back to all snow by the late evening hours as a moderate push of westerly winds brings moderate snow with heavy convergence bands with the upper trough moving in behind the front.

NW flow will bring a weak disturbance through on Monday, bringing light to moderate snow showers and convergence focused from Snoqualmie Pass to the Mountain loop. Colder than average temperatures will produce high snow to water ratios.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Saturday Night Increasing light rain and snow.
Sunday Light rain and snow becoming moderate in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Increasing light rain and snow becoming moderate.
Sunday Heavy rain and snow. Increasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Light rain and snow developing in the late evening and increasing overnight.
Sunday Increasing moderate rain and snow.
Saturday Night Light rain and snow developing after midnight.
Sunday Increasing light rain and snow, possibly becoming moderate at Paradise. Strong ridgeline winds late in the day.
Saturday Night Light rain, snow and mixed precipitation developing overnight. Light E winds at the Pass.
Sunday Increasing light to moderate rain and snow heaviest early and late in the day. Light or variable E winds at the Pass.
Saturday Night Light rain, snow, snow and mixed precipitation developing overnight. Light to moderate E winds at the Pass becoming light.
Sunday Increasing light to moderate rain and snow heaviest early and late in the day. Light or variable E winds at the Pass.
Saturday Night Cloudy with light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Sunday Light snow becoming moderate late in the day.
Saturday Night Cloudy with light snow developing after midnight.
Sunday Periods of light snow or mixed precipitation.
Saturday Night Cloudy.
Sunday Light rain, snow, and isolated pockets of freezing rain developing during the late morning hours.
Saturday Night Cloudy.
Sunday Clouds lowering and thickening with light rain and snow developing at the end of the day.

Precipitation (in)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 0.50 0.75 -1.00 0.50
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.50
Crystal Mt 0 LT 0.10 0.50 0.25
Paradise LT 0.10 0.25 1.00 0.50
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Timberline 0 0 0.75 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Monday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.50
Sunday Night 0.75 -1.00
Monday 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0.75 -1.00
Monday 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0.75 -1.00
Monday 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.50
Monday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 1.00
Monday 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Monday 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.50
Monday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Monday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.50
Monday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Monday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0.75
Monday 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Evening* Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon* Sunday Evening* Sunday Night Monday Morning Monday Afternoon
Olympics 5000' 4000' 4500' 5000' 3000' 1500' 1000' 1500'
West North 4000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3500' 1500' 500' 1000'
West Central 5000' 3000' 3500' 4000' 3500' 2000' 1000' 1500'
West South 6000' 3500' 4000' 5000' 4500' 2000' 1000' 1500'
Stevens Pass 5000' 3000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 2000' 1000' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' 3000' 3500' 4500' 4000' 2500' 1000' 1500'
East North 0 0 0 4000' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1500'
East Central 5000' 3000' 3000' 4500' 3500' 2500' 1000' 2000'
East South 6000' 4500' 5000' 5500' 4500' 2500' 1000' 2000'
Mt. Hood 7500' 6500' 6500' 7500' 5000' 2500' 1500' 2000'
Olympics Elevation
Saturday Evening* 5000'
Saturday Night* 4000'
Sunday Morning* 4500'
Sunday Afternoon* 5000'
Sunday Evening* 3000'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning 1000'
Monday Afternoon 1500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Evening* 4000'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday Morning* 3000'
Sunday Afternoon* 3500'
Sunday Evening* 3500'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday Morning 500'
Monday Afternoon 1000'
West Central Elevation
Saturday Evening* 5000'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday Morning* 3500'
Sunday Afternoon* 4000'
Sunday Evening* 3500'
Sunday Night 2000'
Monday Morning 1000'
Monday Afternoon 1500'
West South Elevation
Saturday Evening* 6000'
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday Morning* 4000'
Sunday Afternoon* 5000'
Sunday Evening* 4500'
Sunday Night 2000'
Monday Morning 1000'
Monday Afternoon 1500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening* 5000'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday Morning* 3500'
Sunday Afternoon* 4000'
Sunday Evening* 4000'
Sunday Night 2000'
Monday Morning 1000'
Monday Afternoon 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening* 5000'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday Morning* 3500'
Sunday Afternoon* 4500'
Sunday Evening* 4000'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 1000'
Monday Afternoon 1500'
East North Elevation
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 4000'
Sunday Evening* 3000'
Sunday Night 2000'
Monday Morning 1000'
Monday Afternoon 1500'
East Central Elevation
Saturday Evening* 5000'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday Morning* 3000'
Sunday Afternoon* 4500'
Sunday Evening* 3500'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 1000'
Monday Afternoon 2000'
East South Elevation
Saturday Evening* 6000'
Saturday Night* 4500'
Sunday Morning* 5000'
Sunday Afternoon* 5500'
Sunday Evening* 4500'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 1000'
Monday Afternoon 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Evening* 7500'
Saturday Night* 6500'
Sunday Morning* 6500'
Sunday Afternoon* 7500'
Sunday Evening* 5000'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 1500'
Monday Afternoon 2000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Saturday Night Sunday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 32 / 29 32 / 30
West North 28 / 27 31 / 29
West Central 29 / 25 32 / 29
West South 30 / 26 34 / 28
Stevens Pass 30 / 23 34 / 29
Snoqualmie Pass 29 / 22 33 / 29
East North 29 / 23 32 / 27
East Central 30 / 26 33 / 28
East South 32 / 30 35 / 28
Mt. Hood 33 / 29 36 / 31
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 32 / 29
Sunday 32 / 30
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 28 / 27
Sunday 31 / 29
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 29 / 25
Sunday 32 / 29
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 30 / 26
Sunday 34 / 28
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 30 / 23
Sunday 34 / 29
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 29 / 22
Sunday 33 / 29
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 29 / 23
Sunday 32 / 27
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 30 / 26
Sunday 33 / 28
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 32 / 30
Sunday 35 / 28
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 33 / 29
Sunday 36 / 31

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics SW 10-20 SW 15-25 SW 25-35 SSW 30-40
West North SSW 10-20 SSW 10-20 SW 20-30 SSW 25-35
West Central SW 5-15 SW 10-20 WSW 10-20 SSW 20-30
West South SW 5-15 SW 5-15 WSW 5-15 SW 20-30
Stevens Pass WSW 5-15 WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 SW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass W 5-15 WSW 10-20 W 10-20 S 15-25
East North WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 SW 15-25
East Central W 15-25 WSW 15-25 W 15-25 SW 15-25
East South WSW 15-25 W 10-20 W 5-15 SW 15-25
Mt. Hood WSW 15-25 WSW 20-30 WSW 5-15 SW 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SW 10-20
Saturday Night SW 15-25
Sunday Morning SW 25-35
Sunday Afternoon SSW 30-40
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SSW 10-20
Saturday Night SSW 10-20
Sunday Morning SW 20-30
Sunday Afternoon SSW 25-35
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SW 5-15
Saturday Night SW 10-20
Sunday Morning WSW 10-20
Sunday Afternoon SSW 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SW 5-15
Saturday Night SW 5-15
Sunday Morning WSW 5-15
Sunday Afternoon SW 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening WSW 5-15
Saturday Night WSW 10-20
Sunday Morning WSW 10-20
Sunday Afternoon SW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening W 5-15
Saturday Night WSW 10-20
Sunday Morning W 10-20
Sunday Afternoon S 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening WSW 10-20
Saturday Night WSW 10-20
Sunday Morning WSW 10-20
Sunday Afternoon SW 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening W 15-25
Saturday Night WSW 15-25
Sunday Morning W 15-25
Sunday Afternoon SW 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening WSW 15-25
Saturday Night W 10-20
Sunday Morning W 5-15
Sunday Afternoon SW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening WSW 15-25
Saturday Night WSW 20-30
Sunday Morning WSW 5-15
Sunday Afternoon SW 25-35

Extended Weather Synopsis

NW flow continues as the region is sandwiched between a trough over the plains of Canada and an offshore high. This should bring low snow levels and light snow showers to the region throughout the extended forecast. Disturbances Tuesday morning and late Wednesday may bring the most organized snow showers.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Monday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
West North 0 500' 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 1000' 500' 0
Mt. Hood 1000' 1500' 1000' 500'
West North Elevation
Monday Night 0'
Tuesday 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Night 500'
Tuesday 1000'
Tuesday Night 500'
Wednesday 0'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Night 1000'
Tuesday 1500'
Tuesday Night 1000'
Wednesday 500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 29, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.