An upper-level ridge of high pressure continues to dominate the weather through Wednesday night. Moderate E winds in the early evening should ease as the surface high weakens and shifts east. A low and associated shortwave trough move into the region Thursday through Friday. High cloud cover and light southerly winds aloft represent the precursors and should help moderate overnight temperatures slightly. Temperatures will not be quite as chilly as Tuesday night for most locations. The low moves into the Oregon near-shore waters on Thursday, bringing lowering clouds followed by light rain snow to NW Washington as a fading warm front spreads a band of precipitation onshore. Periods of light rain and snow should fill into other areas during the afternoon. Light E flow at low levels likely keeps Snoqualmie Pass just cool enough for all snow, but a mix with rain is possible Thursday afternoon.
Thursday night, the low spins just off the Oregon Coast, and the upper trough moves onshore, bringing the strongest precipitation of the storm. Expect moderate rain and snow to locations from around Snoqualmie Pass southward. Snowfall should be the most significant on the southern Cascade Volcanoes. Southerly ridgeline winds will also peak in the moderate range for these same locations. Rain and snow decrease from north to south Thursday night through Friday, but linger much of the day in the southern Cascades Volcanoes. Expect partly cloudy skies developing late in the day for the Mt. Baker and Hurricane Ridge areas.
Storm total snowfall of 8-14" is likely for Paradise while Mt. Hood can expect 8-12" above 6000 ft. Snoqualmie pass could pick up 1-5" of snow from this event with marginal temperatures at pass level limiting snowfall amounts.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday
Night
High and increasing mid-level clouds.
Thursday
Periods of light rain and snow develop by mid-morning and increase in the afternoon.
Wednesday
Night
High and increasing mid-level clouds.
Thursday
Periods of light rain and snow develop in the morning and continue through the afternoon.
Wednesday
Night
High and increasing mid-level clouds.
Thursday
Increasing chances of light rain or snow showers.
Wednesday
Night
High clouds.
Thursday
Cloudy in the morning with periods of light rain or snow developing around noon.
Wednesday
Night
High and increasing mid-level clouds. Decreasing light to moderate E winds becoming light at the Pass.
Thursday
Increasing chances of light rain or snow showers. Light E winds at the Pass.
Wednesday
Night
High and increasing mid-level clouds. Decreasing moderate E winds becoming light.
Thursday
Increasing chances of light rain or snow showers. Precipitation is likely to stay snow at pass level. Light E winds at the Pass.
Wednesday
Night
High and increasing mid-level clouds.
Thursday
Cloudy in the morning with light snow at times during the afternoon.
Wednesday
Night
High cloud cover.
Thursday
Cloudy in the morning with light snow likely developing late in the day.
Wednesday
Night
High cloud cover.
Thursday
Cloudy in the morning with light snow possible late in the day.
Wednesday
Night
High cloud cover.
Thursday
Cloudy in the morning with light rain or snow developing in the afternoon.
Issued: 2:11 PM PST Wednesday, November 17, 2021
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
Thursday
Thursday Night
Friday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
0
0.25 - 0.50
0.25
0
Mt Baker Ski Area
0
0.25
LT 0.10
0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
0
LT 0.25
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.10
Stevens Pass
0
LT 0.25
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass
0
LT 0.10
0.50
LT 0.10
Crystal Mt
0
LT 0.10
0.50
LT 0.10
Paradise
0
LT 0.25
1.00
LT 0.25
White Pass
0
LT 0.10
0.75
LT 0.25
Washington Pass
0
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
0
Mission Ridge
0
LT 0.10
0.25
LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
0
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
0
LT 0.25
0.50 - 0.75
LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows
0
LT 0.10
0.75
0.25 - 0.50
Timberline
0
LT 0.10
0.75 -1.00
0.25
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night
0.25
Friday
0
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0.25
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.25
Thursday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Friday
LT 0.10
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.25
Thursday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Friday
LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0.50
Friday
LT 0.10
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0.50
Friday
LT 0.10
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.25
Thursday Night
1.00
Friday
LT 0.25
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0.75
Friday
LT 0.25
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.25
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0.25
Friday
LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Friday
LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.25
Thursday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Friday
LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0.75
Friday
0.25 - 0.50
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0.75 -1.00
Friday
0.25
Issued: 2:11 PM PST Wednesday, November 17, 2021
Snow Level (ft)
Wednesday
Evening*
Wednesday
Night*
Thursday
Morning*
Thursday
Afternoon*
Thursday
Evening*
Thursday
Night*
Friday
Morning
Friday
Afternoon
Olympics
5500'
5500'
3500'
3000'
2500'
2500'
3000'
4000'
West North
4000'
3000'
3000'
3000'
3000'
2500'
2500'
4000'
West Central
3000'
2500'
2500'
3500'
3000'
2500'
2500'
3500'
West South
3000'
3000'
3500'
4500'
4000'
4000'
4000'
4000'
Stevens Pass
2500'
2000'
2000'
3000'
3000'
2000'
2000'
3500'
Snoqualmie Pass
2500'
2500'
2500'
3000'
3000'
2500'
3000'
3500'
East North
1500'
1000'
500'
2500'
2000'
1500'
1500'
4000'
East Central
2000'
2000'
2000'
3000'
2500'
2000'
2500'
4000'
East South
2000'
2000'
3000'
5000'
4000'
4000'
3500'
4000'
Mt. Hood
4500'
5000'
4500'
6500'
6000'
5500'
5500'
4500'
Olympics
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
5500'
Wednesday
Night*
5500'
Thursday
Morning*
3500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
3000'
Thursday
Evening*
2500'
Thursday
Night*
2500'
Friday
Morning
3000'
Friday
Afternoon
4000'
West North
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
4000'
Wednesday
Night*
3000'
Thursday
Morning*
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
3000'
Thursday
Evening*
3000'
Thursday
Night*
2500'
Friday
Morning
2500'
Friday
Afternoon
4000'
West Central
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
3000'
Wednesday
Night*
2500'
Thursday
Morning*
2500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
3500'
Thursday
Evening*
3000'
Thursday
Night*
2500'
Friday
Morning
2500'
Friday
Afternoon
3500'
West South
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
3000'
Wednesday
Night*
3000'
Thursday
Morning*
3500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
4500'
Thursday
Evening*
4000'
Thursday
Night*
4000'
Friday
Morning
4000'
Friday
Afternoon
4000'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
2500'
Wednesday
Night*
2000'
Thursday
Morning*
2000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
3000'
Thursday
Evening*
3000'
Thursday
Night*
2000'
Friday
Morning
2000'
Friday
Afternoon
3500'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
2500'
Wednesday
Night*
2500'
Thursday
Morning*
2500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
3000'
Thursday
Evening*
3000'
Thursday
Night*
2500'
Friday
Morning
3000'
Friday
Afternoon
3500'
East North
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
1500'
Wednesday
Night*
1000'
Thursday
Morning*
500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
2500'
Thursday
Evening*
2000'
Thursday
Night*
1500'
Friday
Morning
1500'
Friday
Afternoon
4000'
East Central
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
2000'
Wednesday
Night*
2000'
Thursday
Morning*
2000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
3000'
Thursday
Evening*
2500'
Thursday
Night*
2000'
Friday
Morning
2500'
Friday
Afternoon
4000'
East South
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
2000'
Wednesday
Night*
2000'
Thursday
Morning*
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
5000'
Thursday
Evening*
4000'
Thursday
Night*
4000'
Friday
Morning
3500'
Friday
Afternoon
4000'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
4500'
Wednesday
Night*
5000'
Thursday
Morning*
4500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
6500'
Thursday
Evening*
6000'
Thursday
Night*
5500'
Friday
Morning
5500'
Friday
Afternoon
4500'
Issued: 2:11 PM PST Wednesday, November 17, 2021
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
34 / 29
30 / 27
West North
29 / 27
29 / 24
West Central
28 / 23
30 / 26
West South
31 / 24
35 / 30
Stevens Pass
23 / 19
30 / 24
Snoqualmie Pass
26 / 20
32 / 25
East North
19 / 16
27 / 20
East Central
24 / 18
30 / 24
East South
26 / 19
37 / 28
Mt. Hood
34 / 26
41 / 34
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
34 / 29
Thursday
30 / 27
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
29 / 27
Thursday
29 / 24
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
28 / 23
Thursday
30 / 26
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
31 / 24
Thursday
35 / 30
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
23 / 19
Thursday
30 / 24
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
26 / 20
Thursday
32 / 25
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
19 / 16
Thursday
27 / 20
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
24 / 18
Thursday
30 / 24
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
26 / 19
Thursday
37 / 28
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
34 / 26
Thursday
41 / 34
Issued: 2:11 PM PST Wednesday, November 17, 2021
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Morning
Thursday
Afternoon
Olympics
S 5-15
SSW 5-15
SSW 5-15
SSW 5-15
West North
SSE 5-15
S 5-15
SSW 10-20
SSW 5-15
West Central
ESE 15-25
SE 5-15
S 5-15
SSW 5-15
West South
SSE 5-15
SSW 5-15
SSW 5-15
SW 5-15
Stevens Pass
ESE 10-20
SSE 5-15
SSW 0-10
SW 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass
ESE 15-25
SE 5-15
S 0-10
SW 0-10
East North
SE 10-20
S 5-15
SSW 5-15
WSW 5-15
East Central
SSE 10-20
SSW 10-20
SW 10-20
WSW 10-20
East South
SSE 10-20
SSW 0-10
SW 5-15
SW 5-15
Mt. Hood
SSW 10-20
SW 15-25
SW 20-30
SW 20-30
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
S
5-15
Wednesday
Night
SSW
5-15
Thursday
Morning
SSW
5-15
Thursday
Afternoon
SSW
5-15
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SSE
5-15
Wednesday
Night
S
5-15
Thursday
Morning
SSW
10-20
Thursday
Afternoon
SSW
5-15
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
ESE
15-25
Wednesday
Night
SE
5-15
Thursday
Morning
S
5-15
Thursday
Afternoon
SSW
5-15
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SSE
5-15
Wednesday
Night
SSW
5-15
Thursday
Morning
SSW
5-15
Thursday
Afternoon
SW
5-15
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
ESE
10-20
Wednesday
Night
SSE
5-15
Thursday
Morning
SSW
0-10
Thursday
Afternoon
SW
0-10
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
ESE
15-25
Wednesday
Night
SE
5-15
Thursday
Morning
S
0-10
Thursday
Afternoon
SW
0-10
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SE
10-20
Wednesday
Night
S
5-15
Thursday
Morning
SSW
5-15
Thursday
Afternoon
WSW
5-15
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SSE
10-20
Wednesday
Night
SSW
10-20
Thursday
Morning
SW
10-20
Thursday
Afternoon
WSW
10-20
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SSE
10-20
Wednesday
Night
SSW
0-10
Thursday
Morning
SW
5-15
Thursday
Afternoon
SW
5-15
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SSW
10-20
Wednesday
Night
SW
15-25
Thursday
Morning
SW
20-30
Thursday
Afternoon
SW
20-30
Issued: 2:11 PM PST Wednesday, November 17, 2021
Extended Weather Synopsis
In the wake of Thursday/Friday's weak system, a broad ridge of high pressure offshore will permit limited moisture to spill into our region on a mild WNW flow. A subtle shortwave feature on Saturday may bring very light rain/snow showers at times. Expect high clouds and mostly fair weather on Sunday with rising snow levels a milder system brings moisture into British Columbia. The associated cold front should arrive early next week.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).