Issued: 2:17 PM PST Thursday, February 25, 2021
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

An upper-level shortwave dropping towards us in cool NW flow aloft will pack a bigger punch later tonight through Friday morning. This upper-level feature will ramp up the already significant snow shower and strong winds across the region, with 100 mph gusts possible at many stations through Friday morning. Convergence zone enhancement currently blasting into the central Cascades in Skagit and Snohomish counties will begin to shift south a bit toward I-90 overnight and Mt Rainier toward Friday morning.  A secondary area of convergence will likely form downwind of Vancouver Island mid-day Friday as the low-level wind field becomes more northwesterly. Mt Hood will get hit the hardest later tonight through Friday as the shortwave brings the moisture further south. 

This pattern will continue through Friday evening with showers tapering off Saturday morning. Plenty of low level clouds should hang around Saturday, preventing a full-scale clearing trend. Winds will become relatively light on Saturday. 

Expect several feet of snow, 2-5 ft, by Friday night along with the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt Hood with snowfall totals tapering further east of the Cascade crest in part due to strong downsloping.  

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Cloudy with moderate snow showers. Strong to extreme ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Strong ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Cloudy with moderate to occasionally heavy snow showers. Strong winds.
Friday Cloudy with light to moderate snow showers in the morning becoming scattered showers in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Cloudy with moderate to heavy snow showers. Strong to extreme ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy with moderate snow showers. Strong ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Cloudy with moderate to heavy snow showers. Strong to extreme ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy with moderate snow showers. Strong to extreme ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon. Heaviest showers Paradise area.
Thursday Night Cloudy with moderate to heavy snow showers. Strong Pass level westerly winds, winds strong to extreme at ridgeline.
Friday Cloudy with light to moderate snow showers. Strong ridgeline and Pass level winds decreasing in the afternoon
Thursday Night Cloudy with moderate to heavy snow showers. Strong Pass level westerly winds, winds strong to extreme at ridgeline.
Friday Cloudy with moderate snow showers. Strong Pass level westerly winds, winds strong to extreme at ridgeline, decreasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Cloudy with light to moderate snow showers. Strong to extreme ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy with light to moderate snow showers in the morning becoming scattered showers in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds decreasing in the morning.
Thursday Night Cloudy with light to moderate snow showers. Showers heaviest near the Cascade crest. Extreme ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy with light to moderate snow showers in the morning becoming scattered showers in the afternoon. Showers heaviest near the Cascade crest. Extreme ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Cloudy with light to moderate snow showers. Showers heaviest near the Cascade crest. Extreme ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy with light to moderate snow showers in the morning becoming scattered showers in the afternoon. Showers heaviest near the Cascade crest. Extreme ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Cloudy with moderate snow showers increasing after midnight to moderate to heavy showers. Extreme ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy with moderate to heavy snow showers. Extreme ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 LT 0.25 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.75 -1.00 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0
Stevens Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 0.75 0.50 0.25 0
Paradise 1.00 - 1.50 0.75 -1.00 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
White Pass 1.00 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.50 0.50 LT 0.25 0
Mt Hood Meadows 1.00 - 1.50 1.00 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10
Timberline 1.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.75 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.75 -1.00
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Friday 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Friday 0.75 -1.00
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 1.00
Friday 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Friday 1.00
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 1.50
Friday 1.00 - 1.50
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 1500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1000' 1000' 1500' 3000'
West North 1500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1000' 500' 1500' 2000'
West Central 2000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 1000' 500' 1500' 2500'
West South 2000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 1000' 500' 1500' 3000'
Stevens Pass 1500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1000' 500' 1500' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 1500' 2000' 1500' 1500' 1000' 500' 1500' 2000'
East North 1000' 1000' 1500' 1500' 1000' 0 1500' 2500'
East Central 2000' 2000' 1500' 2000' 1000' 500' 1500' 3000'
East South 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 1000' 500' 1500' 3000'
Mt. Hood 2500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 1500' 1000' 1500' 3000'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 1500'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 1500'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 1500'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 1500'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 1500'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 1500'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening 1000'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 1500'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 2500'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 23 / 19 22 / 19
West North 21 / 20 21 / 19
West Central 22 / 20 20 / 19
West South 24 / 22 23 / 19
Stevens Pass 22 / 20 21 / 19
Snoqualmie Pass 23 / 20 20 / 19
East North 21 / 19 22 / 17
East Central 22 / 20 21 / 18
East South 24 / 22 23 / 19
Mt. Hood 25 / 22 25 / 20
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 23 / 19
Friday 22 / 19
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 21 / 20
Friday 21 / 19
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 22 / 20
Friday 20 / 19
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 24 / 22
Friday 23 / 19
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 22 / 20
Friday 21 / 19
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 23 / 20
Friday 20 / 19
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 21 / 19
Friday 22 / 17
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 22 / 20
Friday 21 / 18
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 24 / 22
Friday 23 / 19
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 25 / 22
Friday 25 / 20

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics W 30-40 W 35-50 NW 25-35 WNW 20-30
West North W 20-30 W 25-35 WNW 20-30 W 20-30
West Central W 30-40 W 30-40 WNW 30-40 WNW 20-30
West South W 30-40 W 40-55 WNW 35-50 WNW 30-40
Stevens Pass W 35-50 W 35-50 WNW 30-40 WSW 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass WNW 35-50 W 40-55 W 35-50 WNW 25-35
East North W 35-50 W 35-50 NW 20-30 WNW 15-25
East Central W 40-55 W 45-65 WNW 40-55 WNW 25-35
East South W 35-50 W 40-55 WNW 40-55 WNW 20-30
Mt. Hood W 40-55 WSW 45-65 WNW 40-55 WNW 35-50
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 30-40
Thursday Night W 35-50
Friday Morning NW 25-35
Friday Afternoon WNW 20-30
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 20-30
Thursday Night W 25-35
Friday Morning WNW 20-30
Friday Afternoon W 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 30-40
Thursday Night W 30-40
Friday Morning WNW 30-40
Friday Afternoon WNW 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 30-40
Thursday Night W 40-55
Friday Morning WNW 35-50
Friday Afternoon WNW 30-40
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 35-50
Thursday Night W 35-50
Friday Morning WNW 30-40
Friday Afternoon WSW 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 35-50
Thursday Night W 40-55
Friday Morning W 35-50
Friday Afternoon WNW 25-35
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 35-50
Thursday Night W 35-50
Friday Morning NW 20-30
Friday Afternoon WNW 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 40-55
Thursday Night W 45-65
Friday Morning WNW 40-55
Friday Afternoon WNW 25-35
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 35-50
Thursday Night W 40-55
Friday Morning WNW 40-55
Friday Afternoon WNW 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 40-55
Thursday Night WSW 45-65
Friday Morning WNW 40-55
Friday Afternoon WNW 35-50

Extended Weather Synopsis

Warm frontal moisture should ride over the top of flat upper level ridging on Sunday, making for a mostly cloudy day with a chance of light rain or snow over Washington State with drier conditions possible for Mt Hood. Forecast models are in disagreement if we'll get a full dry day on Monday or if the northern branch of a split flow will bring another system into the region. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday
West North 2000' 3500' 4000' 400'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 3500' 4000' 4000'
Mt. Hood 3000' 4000' 4500' 5000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday 3500'
Sunday Night 4000'
Monday 400'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday 3500'
Sunday Night 4000'
Monday 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night 3000'
Sunday 4000'
Sunday Night 4500'
Monday 5000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 25, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.