Issued: 2:03 PM PST Wednesday, December 23, 2020
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

High pressure will dominate our weather for the next 2+ days. High freezing levels and above freezing temperatures will dominate to the west of the Cascade crest with much cooler air to the east side of the Cascades. The Cascade Passes and to a lesser extent, Mt Hood will battle between mild and cool air masses. Snoqualmie and White Passes should see milder air and above freezing temperatures at their upper elevation sensors while Stevens will likely stay in the freezer through this period. 

As always with cool easterly offshore flow and a strong ridge of high pressure moving overhead, there is a decent amount of uncertainty and large regional variation from East to West across the forecast area. It's looking like we might escape widespread low cloud in the Passes, but it's winter with a subsidence inversion so any low clouds or fog that does form tonight will be slow to break up. 

An approaching frontal system will spread high clouds over the area late in the day Thursday. A new low pressure system forming along the old frontal boundary offshore Thursday night will increase cold offshore flow and help depress freezing levels.  The upper low will begin to rotate precipitation up from the south on Friday. There's low confidence with the timing and location of the precipitation, but it should be a lighter event with perhaps more moderate amounts of snow on the Cascade volcanoes favored in southerly flow aloft. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Mostly clear.
Thursday Mostly sunny. High clouds increasing late.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear.
Thursday Mostly sunny. High clouds increasing late.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear.
Thursday Mostly sunny. High clouds increasing in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear. Areas of low clouds possible White Pass.
Thursday Mostly sunny. High clouds increasing in the afternoon. Areas of low clouds possible in the morning White Pass.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear. Areas of low clouds possible overnight. Light east winds at Pass level.
Thursday Mostly sunny. High clouds increasing in the afternoon. Areas of low clouds possible in the morning. Light east winds at Pass level.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear. Areas of low clouds possible overnight. Moderate east winds at Pass level.
Thursday Mostly sunny. High clouds increasing in the afternoon. Areas of low clouds possible in the morning. Moderate east winds at Pass level.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear. Areas of low clouds possible valleys and lower slopes overnight.
Thursday Mostly sunny. High clouds increasing late. Areas of low clouds possible in the morning.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear. Areas of low clouds possible valleys and lower slopes overnight.
Thursday Mostly sunny. High clouds increasing in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear. Areas of low clouds possible valleys and lower slopes overnight.
Thursday Mostly sunny. High clouds increasing in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear.
Thursday Mostly sunny. High clouds increasing in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Paradise 0 0 0 0.25
White Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0 0 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 0.25
Timberline 0 0 0 0.25 - 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25 - 0.50

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon*
Olympics 9000' 9000' 8000' 7000' 7000' 7000' 6000' 5000'
West North 7000' 7000' 7000' 6500' 6500' 6500' 5500' 5000'
West Central 8000' 8000' 8000' 6500' 6500' 6500' 5500' 4500'
West South 9000' 9000' 8500' 7500' 7000' 6500' 5500' 4500'
Stevens Pass 4000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 3000' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 6500' 7500' 8000' 7000' 6500' 6000' 4500' 3000'
East North 2500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2000'
East Central 2500' 2500' 2500' 3500' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2000'
East South 5000' 6000' 7000' 6000' 6000' 5000' 3500' 2500'
Mt. Hood 10000' 10000' 10000' 9000' 7500' 6500' 5000' 4000'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 9000'
Wednesday Night* 9000'
Thursday Morning* 8000'
Thursday Afternoon* 7000'
Thursday Evening* 7000'
Thursday Night* 7000'
Friday Morning* 6000'
Friday Afternoon* 5000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 7000'
Wednesday Night* 7000'
Thursday Morning* 7000'
Thursday Afternoon* 6500'
Thursday Evening* 6500'
Thursday Night* 6500'
Friday Morning* 5500'
Friday Afternoon* 5000'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 8000'
Wednesday Night* 8000'
Thursday Morning* 8000'
Thursday Afternoon* 6500'
Thursday Evening* 6500'
Thursday Night* 6500'
Friday Morning* 5500'
Friday Afternoon* 4500'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 9000'
Wednesday Night* 9000'
Thursday Morning* 8500'
Thursday Afternoon* 7500'
Thursday Evening* 7000'
Thursday Night* 6500'
Friday Morning* 5500'
Friday Afternoon* 4500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 4000'
Wednesday Night* 4000'
Thursday Morning* 4000'
Thursday Afternoon* 4000'
Thursday Evening* 4000'
Thursday Night* 4000'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 6500'
Wednesday Night* 7500'
Thursday Morning* 8000'
Thursday Afternoon* 7000'
Thursday Evening* 6500'
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon* 3000'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 5000'
Wednesday Night* 6000'
Thursday Morning* 7000'
Thursday Afternoon* 6000'
Thursday Evening* 6000'
Thursday Night* 5000'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon* 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 10000'
Wednesday Night* 10000'
Thursday Morning* 10000'
Thursday Afternoon* 9000'
Thursday Evening* 7500'
Thursday Night* 6500'
Friday Morning* 5000'
Friday Afternoon* 4000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 37 / 33 38 / 33
West North 33 / 31 37 / 32
West Central 34 / 31 34 / 30
West South 37 / 33 41 / 32
Stevens Pass 30 / 25 32 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass 33 / 27 36 / 24
East North 24 / 19 30 / 19
East Central 27 / 23 33 / 28
East South 27 / 24 36 / 32
Mt. Hood 32 / 26 40 / 33
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 37 / 33
Thursday 38 / 33
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 33 / 31
Thursday 37 / 32
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 34 / 31
Thursday 34 / 30
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 37 / 33
Thursday 41 / 32
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 30 / 25
Thursday 32 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 33 / 27
Thursday 36 / 24
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 24 / 19
Thursday 30 / 19
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 27 / 23
Thursday 33 / 28
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 27 / 24
Thursday 36 / 32
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 32 / 26
Thursday 40 / 33

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics SSW 5-15 SSW 5-15 S 10-20 S 15-25
West North SSW 5-15 SSW 10-20 S 10-20 S 15-25
West Central S 5-15 S 10-20 S 10-20 S 10-20
West South SSE 10-20 S 10-20 SSE 10-20 SSE 15-25
Stevens Pass SSE 10-20 SE 10-20 SE 10-20 SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 15-25 ESE 15-25 SE 15-25 SE 15-25
East North SSW 5-15 SW 5-15 SSW 10-20 SSW 10-20
East Central SSE 10-20 S 5-15 S 10-20 S 10-20
East South S 5-15 S 5-15 S 5-15 S 5-15
Mt. Hood SSE 10-20 S 10-20 SW 5-15 SW 10-20
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSW 5-15
Wednesday Night SSW 5-15
Thursday Morning S 10-20
Thursday Afternoon S 15-25
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSW 5-15
Wednesday Night SSW 10-20
Thursday Morning S 10-20
Thursday Afternoon S 15-25
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening S 5-15
Wednesday Night S 10-20
Thursday Morning S 10-20
Thursday Afternoon S 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSE 10-20
Wednesday Night S 10-20
Thursday Morning SSE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SSE 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSE 10-20
Wednesday Night SE 10-20
Thursday Morning SE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening ESE 15-25
Wednesday Night ESE 15-25
Thursday Morning SE 15-25
Thursday Afternoon SE 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSW 5-15
Wednesday Night SW 5-15
Thursday Morning SSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SSW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSE 10-20
Wednesday Night S 5-15
Thursday Morning S 10-20
Thursday Afternoon S 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening S 5-15
Wednesday Night S 5-15
Thursday Morning S 5-15
Thursday Afternoon S 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSE 10-20
Wednesday Night S 10-20
Thursday Morning SW 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SW 10-20

Extended Weather Synopsis

The upper low complex will continue to eject a few waves of moisture Friday night through Saturday night before passing into California. Precipitation will generally be on the lighter side and again favor the Cascade volcanoes for slightly higher amounts. An upper-level ridge will begin building offshore on Sunday as we dry out.  

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night* Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
West North 2500' 3000' 2000' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 1500' 2500' 2000' 4000'
Mt. Hood 3500' 3500' 2500' 3500'
West North Elevation
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday 3000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday 2500'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night* 3500'
Saturday 3500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday 3500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 23, 2020

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.